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OXOXY

Occidental Petroleum Corporation

$OXY·$56B·Oil & Gas Exploration & Production·Energy
$60.18+1.8%YTD+33.6%1Y+25.2%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-22: 9 posts218+3%
Price updated 9h ago·X counts updated 9d ago
OXOXY
$OXYOccidental Petroleum Corporation
$60.18+1.83%218 posts+3%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $OXY, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-08-29

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Occidental at $59 with a fresh 10%+ beneficial owner and OXY earnings beat — Buffett-adjacent oil compounder waiting on crude direction.

Occidental Petroleum is a large US independent oil and gas producer — Permian-focused upstream, plus midstream and OxyChem, and a 40%+ stake in the NPWR carbon-solutions subsidiary. The setup is a real-business energy compounder coiling with a fresh institutional signal.

  • The most recent print was strong: Q2 EPS came in at $2.40 vs a $1.83 consensus (a ~31% beat), Q1 EPS at $1.06 also beat, and the sell side models FY26 EPS at ~$5.57 (implied energy-price sensitivity) — the trailing FCF yield of 6.3% supports the dividend and buyback structure.
  • The institutional signal is meaningful: a new 10%+ beneficial owner filed a Form 3 on August 4 (Buffett-Berkshire is the obvious inference given the pre-existing large position, though not officially named), and Bank of Nova Scotia added ~87K shares — the institutional cap is holding, not selling, at these levels.
  • The near-term overhang is oil-price direction: OXY is at 71% of its 52-week range and 14% above the 200-day, so the tape has already priced in the current commodity backdrop; US-Iran de-escalation talk (per the bear framing) plus continued production growth from OPEC+ are the specific risks the crowd is watching.

The setup is a real-business quality energy compounder coiled with a fresh 10%+ institutional signal — the November 9 Q3 print is the referee, and the market needs continued production growth plus realized oil-price disclosure at recent averages. A break of WTI below $65/bbl cools the tape; continued elevated crude plus a named Buffett-add disclosure extends the setup toward the crowd's $88-112 fair-value zone.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bullish X read on OXY as "cheap against sales" with fair value $88-112 (vs $60), 100% up as a "risk free swing," and the 40.3% NPWR stake framing is factually anchored, though the fair value range is aspirational at the top end. The oil-weakness-on-Iran-de-escalation skepticism is fair as a specific near-term risk. The Berkshire-inferred 10%+ beneficial-owner Form 3 is the crowd-missing tell.

What to watch: The November 9 Q3 earnings — need continued production growth, realized oil-price disclosure at recent averages, and any Named-Buffett-add disclosure. A break of WTI below $65/bbl cools the tape; continued elevated crude plus a Berkshire-add disclosure extends the setup toward the $88-112 fair-value zone.

On the calendar: 2026-11-09 — Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-28

Occidental posts are bullish, calling OXY 'cheap against sales' with fair-value $88-112 (vs $60), 100% up on a 'risk free swing,' and highlighting the 40.3% NPWR stake. Skeptics flag oil weakness on possible US-Iran de-escalation. Sample thin; tone reads constructive.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $OXY

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Explores and produces oil and gas primarily in the Permian Basin; also operates OxyChem chemical unit and midstream assets; Berkshire-backed.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Oil & Gas Exploration & Production sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $OXY.

Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · Energy

Oil price cycle — WTI trading in the $70-$85 band — is the core driver; OPEC+ production discipline and US shale cost structures determine free-cash-flow at current strip. Geopolitical risk premium provides a floor but macro demand uncertainty caps the upside.

What this means for $OXY

Direct beneficiary — upstream production economics move directly with oil price; Occidental Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the.

Industry benchmark

23-name peer basket
+39.9%YTD
+44.2%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
11.8How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
2.6%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
12.4%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
6.3%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.4Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
12.8%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
26.2%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.4Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 5, 2026$2.40$1.83+31.1%
Q1 2026May 5, 2026$1.06$0.60+76.4%
Q4 2025Feb 18, 2026$0.31$0.16+88.0%
Q3 2025Nov 10, 2025$0.64$0.51+25.0%
Next earningsMon, Nov 9·consensus EPS $1.28

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$5.2B-23.1%11.9%7.2%$3.25$-298.0M
Q4 FY25$5.0B-27.6%27.8%9.3%$-0.07$1.9B
Q3 FY25$6.6B-6.5%32.6%17.7%$0.67$1.0B
Q2 FY25$6.3B-8.1%30.2%13.6%$0.27$962.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 7 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$24.9B$24.2B – $25.9B$5.57$4.69 – $6.817
FY27$23.8B$22.9B – $25.2B$3.74$2.79 – $6.127
FY28$24.2B$22.7B – $26.4B$3.85$2.70 – $4.927
FY29$24.2B$22.8B – $25.9B$3.69$3.40 – $4.023
FY30$24.0B$22.6B – $25.7B$3.97$3.67 – $4.336

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.1×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.75%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+8.6%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+15.7%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 990.6M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.9% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.165-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuyJun 23Richard A. JacksonCEO4.8K sh$250K
+ 19 other (12 awards · 6 inkinds · 1 gift) in window

See when $OXY insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsAug 43
AI summary

A new 10%+ beneficial owner filed a Form 3 initial statement of ownership for OXY (OXY) dated 2026-08-04. The filing reports initial beneficial ownership of shares, representing approximately a 10%+ stake of outstanding shares. Form 3 is required within 10 days of crossing the 10% ownership threshold and is an administrative disclosure. This indicates significant insider or institutional accumulation and may precede further Schedule 13D/G activity.

8-KOfficer or director changeMay 48-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) filed an 8-K covering an executive leadership change (Item 5.02), annual meeting vote results (Item 5.07), and a Regulation FD disclosure (Item 7.01). The energy company reported outcomes of its annual shareholders' meeting alongside a personnel update at the officer or director level. The RegFD item ensures concurrent investor communications are publicly accessible. Details of the executive transition and vote tallies are provided as exhibits.

8-KMaterial agreementMar 98-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 3.03 · Item 8.01: Other event
+ 14 other (4 earnings 8-Ks · 4 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Here's Why Occidental Petroleum (OXY) is a Strong Momentum Stockzacks.com·19h agoIs Occidental Petroleum a Bargain or a Value Trap Right Now?fool.com·21h ago28,413 Shares in Occidental Petroleum Corporation $OXY Bought by Beacon Pointe Advisors LLCdefenseworld.net·1d agoChevron vs. Occidental: Which Oil Major's Dividend Is Actually Safer?fool.com·2d agoOccidental Petroleum: An Improved Balance Sheet Results In A Great Opportunityseekingalpha.com·3d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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