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OXOXY

Occidental Petroleum Corporation

$OXY·$53B·Oil & Gas Exploration & Production·Energy
$53.73-0.1%YTD+30.4%1Y+26.0%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-09: 405 posts2026-07-10: 414 posts2026-07-11: 136 posts2026-07-12: 238 posts2026-07-13: 425 posts2026-07-14: 247 posts2026-07-15: 241 posts2,141+27%
Price updated 5m ago·X counts updated 17h ago
OXOXY
$OXYOccidental Petroleum Corporation
$53.73-0.08%2.1k posts+27%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $OXY, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-07-16

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Buffett-backed low-cost oil operator into a Strait-of-Hormuz premium — director just bought $250K in June.

Occidental Petroleum is the Permian-focused oil producer with Berkshire Hathaway as the anchor investor and low-cost Permian acreage as the operational moat. The tape is coiled +30% YTD as Middle East geopolitics keeps a real risk premium on crude.

  • The core E&P business is genuinely earning at the current oil strip: Q1 2026 revenue was $5.2B, operating margin 7%, and Q1 FCF was negative $298M (typical Q1 capex-heavy pattern) — analyst FY26 EPS consensus of $5.56 puts the stock at 10x forward earnings and 6.3% trailing FCF yield.
  • The insider signal is meaningfully bullish: officer/director Richard A. Jackson bought 4,770 shares at $52.38 on June 23 for $250K — a real open-market purchase from an officer-director is one of the strongest single-print signals available, and it landed at essentially the current $53.77 price.
  • The Iran/Hormuz risk premium is a real tailwind: OXY's July 10 'Q2 Earnings Considerations' 8-K pre-announced that Q2 realized oil prices jumped amid Iran war disruption, and community options flow is loaded with 19,000+ $56 7/17 calls and $1.1M of Sep26 52.5P sold-puts — real conviction in a rebound-window setup.

The August 5 Q2 earnings are the near-term test — Q2 realized-price affirmation, Permian production trajectory, and any specific low-carbon (Stratos DAC) commentary extend the setup toward the sell-side $65+. Iran de-escalation or a soft crude print resets the multiple back into the $50 zone.

Agrees with X sentimentX is bullish on the oil rally, cites 19,000+ $56 7/17 calls loaded at $0.97, $1.1M of Sep26 52.5P sold-puts, and OXY being down 25% from highs with drying volume — a rebound-window setup with Buffett backing. Mechanics validate: 10x forward P/E, 6.3% FCF yield, director Jackson's $250K June open-market purchase at $52.38, and the July 10 Q2 preview flagged realized-price acceleration. The tension is the $54-56.57 range as resistance the bears are watching.

What to watch: The August 5 Q2 earnings. Watch Q2 realized oil/gas price affirmation, Permian production trajectory, and low-carbon (Stratos DAC) commentary. Iran de-escalation or a soft crude print resets multiple back to $50; steady realizations + Permian growth extends toward the sell-side $65+ target.

On the calendar: 2026-08-05 — Q2 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment23 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-15

Occidental Petroleum chatter is bullish on the oil rally. Bulls flag unusual options activity aligned with the crude-oil spike, with 19,000+ $56 7/17 calls loaded at $0.97, plus $1.1M of Sep26 52.5P sold-puts. Traders posted $OXY calls +228% intraday alongside NVDA and WULF wins. Community notes OXY is down over 25% from highs with drying volume - a rebound-window setup with Buffett backing and dual growth from low-cost oil & gas. A bearish-tactical thread eyes $52P as a hedge, targeting a local high while $54-56.57 holds as resistance. Broader Hormuz-strait narrative drives energy longs.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $OXY

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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Explores and produces oil and gas primarily in the Permian Basin; also operates OxyChem chemical unit and midstream assets; Berkshire-backed.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Oil & Gas Exploration & Production sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $OXY.

Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · Energy

No material change from last week — an outcome that compresses the upside price optionality that E&Ps have been pricing.

What this means for $OXY

Neutral — Explores and produces oil and gas primarily in the Permian Basin; also operates OxyChem chemical unit and midstream assets; Berkshire-backed; end markets and revenue mix have limited overlap with the capex discipline and Brent price dynamics shaping E&P cash returns.

Industry benchmark

12-name peer basket
+35.0%YTD
+14.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
11.8How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
2.6%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
12.4%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
6.3%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.4Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
12.8%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
26.2%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.4Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 5, 2026$1.06$0.60+76.4%
Q4 2025Feb 18, 2026$0.31$0.16+88.0%
Q3 2025Nov 10, 2025$0.64$0.51+25.0%
Q2 2025Aug 6, 2025$0.39$0.30+31.2%
Next earningsWed, Aug 5·consensus EPS $1.90

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$5.2B-23.1%11.9%7.2%$3.25$-298.0M
Q4 FY25$5.0B-27.6%27.8%9.3%$-0.07$1.9B
Q3 FY25$6.6B-6.5%32.6%17.7%$0.67$1.0B
Q2 FY25$6.3B-8.1%30.2%13.6%$0.27$962.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 8 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$25.9B$25.0B – $26.3B$5.56$4.88 – $6.498
FY27$24.3B$23.0B – $25.1B$3.87$2.73 – $6.288
FY28$24.6B$24.6B – $24.6B$3.86$2.97 – $4.727
FY29$24.2B$22.8B – $25.5B$3.67$3.39 – $3.923
FY30$24.0B$22.7B – $25.3B$3.97$3.67 – $4.246

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.52%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-2.4%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+8.4%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 990.6M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.9% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.155-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuyJun 23Richard A. JacksonCEO4.8K sh$250K
+ 45 other (24 awards · 19 inkinds · 2 gifts) in window

See when $OXY insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeMay 48-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) filed an 8-K covering an executive leadership change (Item 5.02), annual meeting vote results (Item 5.07), and a Regulation FD disclosure (Item 7.01). The energy company reported outcomes of its annual shareholders' meeting alongside a personnel update at the officer or director level. The RegFD item ensures concurrent investor communications are publicly accessible. Details of the executive transition and vote tallies are provided as exhibits.

8-KMaterial agreementMar 98-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 3.03 · Item 8.01: Other event
8-KPress release / Reg FDFeb 198-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
SC 13D/AActivist amendmentFeb 5SC 13D/A
SC 13D/AActivist amendmentJan 21SC 13D/A
+ 14 other (5 earnings 8-Ks · 3 13Gs · 2 proxys · 1 11-K) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Occidental Petroleum (OXY) Stock Slides as Market Rises: Facts to Know Before You Tradezacks.com·20h agoIs Occidental Petroleum (OXY) Stock Undervalued Right Now?zacks.com·2d agoEarnings season plays: Profit expectations are growing for these stocks while their valuations get cheapercnbc.com·2d agoOccidental Petroleum: More Will Follow Evercoreseekingalpha.com·4d agoOccidental's quarterly realized oil prices jump amid Iran war disruptionreuters.com·6d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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