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TickerTalks›$AR
ARAR

Antero Resources Corporation

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 34% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesConsistent chatter on X (259/wk), no spike
$AR·$11B·Oil & Gas Exploration & Production·Energy
$38.48+0.1%YTD+4.4%1Y+18.6%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-21: 47 posts2026-08-22: 88 posts2026-08-23: 30 posts259+38%
Price updated 2h ago·X counts updated 8d ago
ARAR
$ARAntero Resources Corporation
$38.48+0.08%259 posts+38%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $AR, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-08-30

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Cheap, cash-flowing Appalachian natural gas producer benefitting from AI-power demand — chatter is a crypto token, real setup is quieter.

Antero Resources is a large Appalachian natural gas producer with substantial liquids (NGL) exposure — a straightforward energy-cyclical play on both winter heating and, increasingly, AI data-center power demand. It's been quietly working higher while the market focused on flashier names.

Why the setup is understated:

  • Financial profile is attractive: 11.4x earnings, 7.2x EV/EBITDA, 2x sales and 16% FCF yield on 12.7% ROE and 21% operating margins — for an E&P, an unusually clean multiple/return combo.
  • Growth is real, not just price-lifted: Q1 revenue grew 34% year-on-year to $1.86B and operating margin recovered to 35.5% (from 16% the prior quarter) — nat gas prices helped but execution shows through.
  • Institutional activity is quietly positive: Bank of New York Mellon added $106M, Fielder Capital took a $4.6M starter — the kind of accumulation that shows up in 13Fs before the tape catches up.
  • The AI-power hook is real: Appalachian nat gas is the marginal fuel for eastern PJM data-center buildout, and any AI-power PPA acceleration lifts realized prices in AR's footprint.
  • The $AR X chatter is Arweave (decentralized storage crypto), not Antero — treat as ticker collision.

The October 28 print keeps the setup intact — realized-price commentary reflecting Appalachian tightness and reiterated FCF-yield trajectory holds the multiple; a warmer winter forecast or a Marcellus supply surprise is the near-term risk that would bend the cash-flow story.

What to watch: October 28 earnings — the specific numbers are realized natural gas prices (Appalachian tightness) and reiterated FCF-yield trajectory; a warmer winter forecast or Marcellus supply surprise bends the cash-flow story and pulls shares back to the 200-day.

On the calendar: 2026-10-28 — Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment8 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-30

Sentiment is firmly upbeat but almost entirely about the Arweave crypto token rather than Antero Resources, with posters describing a bullish structure, engaged buyers and Cosmos-adjacent rotation. Boosters highlight permanent decentralized data storage as the utility narrative, with one calling for a two-month green reversal at $38 and another framing AR as sector confirmation for LINK. The equity ticker gets no meaningful attention in this window.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $AR

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Appalachian Basin natural gas and NGL producer concentrated in Marcellus and Utica shale with a large reserve base.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Oil & Gas Exploration & Production sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $AR.

Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · Energy

Oil price cycle — WTI trading in the $70-$85 band — is the core driver; OPEC+ production discipline and US shale cost structures determine free-cash-flow at current strip. Geopolitical risk premium provides a floor but macro demand uncertainty caps the upside.

What this means for $AR

Partial — fee-based midstream revenue has limited direct commodity price exposure but volume ties to upstream production activity.

Industry benchmark

23-name peer basket
+41.1%YTD
+44.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
11.4How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
6.2%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
20.9%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
16.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
12.7%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
26.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.6Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 29, 2026$0.76$0.83-9.0%
Q1 2026Apr 29, 2026$1.15$1.17-1.7%
Q4 2025Feb 11, 2026$0.42$0.50-16.5%
Q3 2025Oct 29, 2025$0.15$0.22-31.8%
Next earningsWed, Oct 28·consensus EPS $1.06

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$1.9B+33.8%39.8%35.5%$1.73$829.9M
Q4 FY25$1.3B+11.7%21.1%16.1%$0.63$318.0M
Q3 FY25$1.1B+15.2%15.2%9.2%$0.25$341.1M
Q2 FY25$1.2B+29.7%20.2%14.3%$0.50$283.9M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 7 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$6.7B$6.5B – $7.3B$4.12$3.48 – $5.386
FY27$6.7B$6.4B – $7.3B$4.25$3.17 – $5.327
FY28$7.2B$6.6B – $7.6B$5.43$3.96 – $6.616
FY29$7.7B$7.2B – $8.2B$6.17$5.65 – $6.725
FY30$8.0B$7.4B – $8.5B$5.88$5.39 – $6.413

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.57%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+8.8%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+6.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 296.3M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.345-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellMay 4Yvette K SchultzSee Remarks39.5K sh$1.6MSellMay 4Michael N. KennedySee Remarks185.8K sh$7.3MSellMar 19Benjamin A. HardestyDirector12.0K sh$528KSellMar 10Sheri PearceSee Remarks19.7K sh$750KSellMar 9Yvette K SchultzSee Remarks15.0K sh$590K
+ 28 other (18 awards · 7 inkinds · 3 exempts) in window

See when $AR insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDJun 238-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Delaware 001-36120 80-0162034 furnished a Reg FD disclosure covering: Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c)) Securities registered pursuant to section 12(b) of the Act: Title of each class Trading Symbol(s) Name of each exchange on which registered Common Stock, par value $0.01 Per Share AR New York Stock Exchange Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in .

8-KMaterial agreementJun 178-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

Antero Resources Corporation (NYSE: AR), a Denver-based Appalachian natural gas producer, entered a material definitive agreement and created a new direct financial obligation (Items 1.01 and 2.03) as of June 16, 2026. Items 1.01 and 2.03 filed together typically signal a new or amended credit facility, term loan, or hedging arrangement. The counterparty, dollar amount, and terms of the obligation are in body exhibits not included in the excerpt. Given Antero's balance sheet focus and natural gas price exposure, a new debt facility or hedging agreement would be material to understanding its financial structure and risk profile.

8-KShareholder voteJun 48-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

AR (AR) disclosed the results of its annual meeting of shareholders in an 8-K filing under Item 5.07. Shareholders voted on an advisory say-on-pay resolution, ratification of the independent auditor. All management-sponsored proposals were approved by majority shareholder vote. Annual meeting results are a routine disclosure that confirms shareholder ratification of the board's composition and compensation practices.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 128-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Antero Resources Corporation posted an updated investor presentation to its website on May 12, 2026, furnishing it as a Regulation FD disclosure. The content of the presentation is not detailed in the available excerpt. This is a routine investor relations communication update for the Appalachian natural gas producer; updated presentations typically include operational and financial updates.

+ 11 other (3 13Gs · 3 earnings 8-Ks · 2 10-Qs · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Why Is Antero Resources (AR) Up 9.1% Since Last Earnings Report?zacks.com·3d agoDiamond Hill Small-Mid Cap Strategy Q2 2026 Portfolio Reviewseekingalpha.com·7d agoBank of New York Mellon Corp Invests $106.06 Million in Antero Resources Corporation $ARdefenseworld.net·7d agoFielder Capital Group LLC Takes $4.63 Million Position in Antero Resources Corporation $ARdefenseworld.net·15d agoFocus Partners Advisor Solutions LLC Buys New Shares in Antero Resources Corporation $ARdefenseworld.net·15d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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