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ARAR

Antero Resources Corporation

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 34% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesConsistent chatter on X (1.1K/wk), no spike
$AR·$10B·Oil & Gas Exploration & Production·Energy
$33.81+0.7%YTD-1.8%1Y-7.5%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-08: 155 posts2026-07-09: 164 posts2026-07-10: 179 posts2026-07-11: 85 posts2026-07-12: 140 posts2026-07-13: 232 posts2026-07-14: 163 posts1,126+28%
Price updated 3m ago·X counts updated 2d ago
ARAR
$ARAntero Resources Corporation
$33.82+0.67%1.1k posts+28%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $AR, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-07-15

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Appalachian nat-gas producer with a 16% FCF yield coiling right on the 200-day — an event-driven quarter in a still-volatile gas market.

Antero Resources is an Appalachian natural-gas and NGL producer with roughly 502,000 net acres in the Marcellus and Utica shales and 17.7 Tcf of proved reserves. The stock is roughly flat year-to-date and coiling right on both moving averages into a July 29 print, with the underlying business generating one of the highest free-cash-flow yields in energy.

Where the mechanics actually stand:

  • The topline just re-accelerated: Q1 revenue grew 34% year-on-year to $1.86B on 40% gross margin and 36% operating margin — Antero's C3+ NGL exposure benefits directly from lower-48 propane and butane demand growth, which the tape is only starting to price.
  • Free cash flow is enormous: Q1 delivered $830M FCF against a $10.3B market cap, and the trailing FCF yield of 16% is what makes this a real income-plus-optionality story rather than a pure commodity trade.
  • Consensus is modeling flat FY26–FY27 revenue at ~$6.7B with EPS around $4.20 — the story is that gas prices are relatively stable at these levels and Antero's NGL mix keeps the model earning cash whether Henry Hub spikes or fades.
  • The chart is coiled: shares at 29th percentile of the 52-week range, 5% below the 50-day and 5% below the 200-day, with a fresh material definitive agreement disclosed June 17 (likely a hedging arrangement or debt refinancing) — the coil energy is loading into the July 29 print.

The July 29 earnings is the coil-release event — a beat with 2026 FCF guide raised and NGL export commentary intact is what breaks the range higher toward the $40 highs, while any hint that Q3 gas-price realizations weakened or C3+ demand pressure from Chinese propane inventory is what would extend the coiling into a re-test of the lows.

Note: X 'sentiment' on the AR ticker is entirely about AgentRanking, an unrelated Solana project — no equity read here.

What to watch: The July 29 Q2 print — 2026 FCF guidance, C3+ NGL realizations, and any commentary on the June 17 material definitive agreement (hedging or credit facility). A raised FCF guide breaks the coil higher; weakened Q3 gas realizations extend the coiling into a re-test of the lows.

On the calendar: 2026-07-29 — Q2 2026 earnings

x sentiment mismatch

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-08

Note: AR chatter here is dominated by AgentRanking, a Solana project sharing the ticker, rather than Antero Resources. Posts highlight AgentRanking's beta testing phase, an active-fee engine, 46.5% of $AR staked, 60M tokens locked, and 11+ SOL used for buybacks, plus a partnership with Xona agent. One equity-side post mentions Antero's C3+ NGLs headed back up. Overall tone is enthusiastic on AgentRanking accumulation.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $AR

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Appalachian Basin natural gas and NGL producer concentrated in Marcellus and Utica shale with a large reserve base.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Oil & Gas Exploration & Production sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $AR.

Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · Energy

No material change from last week — an outcome that compresses the upside price optionality that E&Ps have been pricing.

What this means for $AR

Partial — Appalachian Basin natural gas and NGL producer concentrated in Marcellus and Utica shale with a large reserve base; the capex discipline and Brent price dynamics shaping E&P cash returns is a secondary rather than primary near-term earnings catalyst.

Industry benchmark

12-name peer basket
+37.7%YTD
+16.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
11.4How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
6.2%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
20.9%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
16.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
12.7%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
26.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.6Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Apr 29, 2026$1.15$1.17-1.7%
Q4 2025Feb 11, 2026$0.42$0.50-16.5%
Q3 2025Oct 29, 2025$0.15$0.22-31.8%
Q2 2025Jul 30, 2025$0.35$0.42-16.5%
Next earningsWed, Jul 29·consensus EPS $0.88

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$1.9B+33.8%39.8%35.5%$1.73$829.9M
Q4 FY25$1.3B+11.7%21.1%16.1%$0.63$318.0M
Q3 FY25$1.1B+15.2%15.2%9.2%$0.25$341.1M
Q2 FY25$1.2B+29.7%20.2%14.3%$0.50$283.9M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 8 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$6.7B$6.4B – $7.3B$4.21$3.23 – $5.128
FY27$6.7B$6.3B – $7.2B$4.25$2.84 – $5.558
FY28$7.2B$7.1B – $7.3B$5.36$3.99 – $6.666
FY29$7.5B$6.9B – $8.0B$6.04$5.42 – $6.625
FY30$7.5B$6.9B – $8.1B$5.52$4.96 – $6.053

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.27%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-5.9%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-5.7%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 295.7M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.2% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.335-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellMay 4Yvette K SchultzSee Remarks39.5K sh$1.6MSellMay 4Michael N. KennedySee Remarks185.8K sh$7.3MSellMar 19Benjamin A. HardestyDirector12.0K sh$528KSellMar 10Sheri PearceSee Remarks19.7K sh$750KSellMar 9Yvette K SchultzSee Remarks15.0K sh$590KSellFeb 27Benjamin A. HardestyDirector12.0K sh$432K
+ 35 other (20 awards · 9 inkinds · 6 exempts) in window

See when $AR insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDJun 238-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Delaware 001-36120 80-0162034 furnished a Reg FD disclosure covering: Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c)) Securities registered pursuant to section 12(b) of the Act: Title of each class Trading Symbol(s) Name of each exchange on which registered Common Stock, par value $0.01 Per Share AR New York Stock Exchange Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in .

8-KMaterial agreementJun 178-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

Antero Resources Corporation (NYSE: AR), a Denver-based Appalachian natural gas producer, entered a material definitive agreement and created a new direct financial obligation (Items 1.01 and 2.03) as of June 16, 2026. Items 1.01 and 2.03 filed together typically signal a new or amended credit facility, term loan, or hedging arrangement. The counterparty, dollar amount, and terms of the obligation are in body exhibits not included in the excerpt. Given Antero's balance sheet focus and natural gas price exposure, a new debt facility or hedging agreement would be material to understanding its financial structure and risk profile.

8-KShareholder voteJun 48-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

AR (AR) disclosed the results of its annual meeting of shareholders in an 8-K filing under Item 5.07. Shareholders voted on an advisory say-on-pay resolution, ratification of the independent auditor. All management-sponsored proposals were approved by majority shareholder vote. Annual meeting results are a routine disclosure that confirms shareholder ratification of the board's composition and compensation practices.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 128-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Antero Resources Corporation posted an updated investor presentation to its website on May 12, 2026, furnishing it as a Regulation FD disclosure. The content of the presentation is not detailed in the available excerpt. This is a routine investor relations communication update for the Appalachian natural gas producer; updated presentations typically include operational and financial updates.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMar 38-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KPress release / Reg FDFeb 238-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KPress release / Reg FDFeb 98-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KMaterial agreementFeb 38-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.01: Acquisition completed · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 8.01: Other event
+ 11 other (3 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys · 2 13Gs · 1 10-Q) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Antero Resources Announces Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Release Date and Conference Callprnewswire.com·22h agoNatural Gas Stocks: Short-Term Pain, Long-Term Opportunity?zacks.com·3d ago3 Natural Gas Stocks Built for America's Energy Power Shiftzacks.com·10d agoThe Hackett Group® Announces Winners of the 2026 Hackett Innovation Awardsgurufocus.com·22d agoKopin Expands U.S. Operations With New Optics & Photonics Design Center in Dallas, Texasgurufocus.com·23d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $AR on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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