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NDNDAQ

Nasdaq, Inc.

$NDAQ·$53B·Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges·Financial Services
$98.44-0.9%YTD-3.7%1Y+4.3%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-21: 56 posts2026-08-22: 27 posts361+8%
Price updated 4m ago·X counts updated 9d ago
NDNDAQ
$NDAQNasdaq, Inc.
$98.44-0.88%361 posts+8%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $NDAQ, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-08-29

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Nasdaq at 90% of its 52-week range with Verafin adding dark-web intelligence — quality data-and-exchange compounder doing what it does.

Nasdaq Inc. is the parent of the Nasdaq stock exchange and a diversified financial-technology and data business (Verafin fraud detection, market-data, index products). The setup is a real-business compounder printing steady beats at the top of its range.

  • The core P&L is compounding cleanly: Q1 revenue grew 2.2% YoY to $2.14B at a 65% gross margin and 31% operating margin, EPS beat at $1.07 vs $0.984 consensus, and the sell side models FY26 EPS at ~$4.12 rising to ~$5.31 in 2028 — mid-teens EPS growth on a diversified fintech base.
  • The product tape is quietly building: Nasdaq Verafin added Q6 Cyber's Dark Web Intelligence to its fraud platform this week (a real product enhancement in a growth-margin segment), and index/market-data volumes benefit from every IPO cycle — Rainier Acquisition Corp closed its $75M IPO on Nasdaq this week as one data point.
  • Insider selling is loud enough to note: four officers sold combined ~$1.24M in early-to-mid August (Skule, Griggs, Peterson, Smith) — small dollar amounts each but a consistent trim at 90% of the 52-week range; the tell is that no officer stepped up with an open-market buy on the same window.

The setup is a real-business quality compounder at the top of its range with a specific product-tape catalyst — the October 20 Q3 print is the referee, and the market needs continued mid-single-digit revenue growth plus reiterated FY EPS guide toward the $4.12 consensus. A clean beat with visible Verafin or index-data acceleration extends the accelerating trajectory; a soft trading-services segment print with continued officer selling cools the tape from the 52-week high.

What to watch: The October 20 Q3 earnings — need continued mid-single-digit revenue growth, reiterated FY EPS guide toward the $4.12 consensus, and visible Verafin or index-data acceleration. A soft trading-services segment print with continued officer selling cools the tape from the 52-week high; a clean beat with Verafin momentum extends the accelerating trajectory.

On the calendar: 2026-10-20 — Q3 earnings

sentiment ticker mismatch

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Neutral sentiment35 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-30

There is very little discussion of the Nasdaq exchange itself. The stream is almost entirely futures traders posting Nasdaq-100 setups, execution screenshots, R-multiple wins and losses, and ICT-style order-flow models. Some read direction as up above 29,300 while others fade rallies at value-area highs. It reads as trader chatter around the index, not sentiment on Nasdaq Inc.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $NDAQ

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Operates US stock exchanges, sells market data subscriptions, and provides financial technology and anti-financial crime software.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $NDAQ.

Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges · Financial Services

Trading volume — which directly drives exchange transaction revenue — is sustained by macro uncertainty and AI-driven algorithmic activity. Data and analytics subscriptions provide recurring revenue insulation from volume volatility.

What this means for $NDAQ

Partial — cloud infrastructure exposure benefits indirectly from hyperscaler capex; core business is Nasdaq, Inc.

Industry benchmark

10-name peer basket
+2.9%YTD
+8.1%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
27.4How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
7.3%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
29.5%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
3.8%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
6.3Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
15.9%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
54.8%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.8Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 23, 2026$1.07$0.98+8.7%
Q1 2026Apr 23, 2026$0.96$0.93+3.2%
Q4 2025Jan 29, 2026$0.96$0.92+4.1%
Q3 2025Oct 21, 2025$0.88$0.85+3.3%
Next earningsTue, Oct 20·consensus EPS $1.02

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$2.1B+2.2%65.8%30.7%$0.92$629.0M
Q4 FY25$2.1B+2.5%66.9%30.3%$0.91$536.0M
Q3 FY25$2.0B+2.9%44.4%29.9%$0.74$152.0M
Q2 FY25$2.1B+16.6%41.2%27.2%$0.79$687.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 11 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$5.9B$5.8B – $6.0B$4.12$3.95 – $4.2511
FY27$6.4B$6.3B – $6.6B$4.65$4.40 – $5.0811
FY28$7.0B$6.7B – $7.2B$5.31$5.06 – $5.759
FY29$7.5B$7.4B – $7.6B$5.94$5.79 – $6.084
FY30$7.6B$7.4B – $7.7B$6.15$5.99 – $6.294

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.90%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+8.8%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+10.1%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 439.7M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.6% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.975-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 10Griggs Pc NelsonPres. Capital Access Platforms3.2K sh$310KSellAug 10Jeremy SkuleEVP, CSO2.3K sh$213KSellAug 7Bradley J PetersonEVP, CIO6.0K sh$573KSellAug 3Smith Bryan EverardEVP, CPO1.6K sh$148KSellJul 29Griggs Pc NelsonPres. Capital Access Platforms11.0K sh$1.1MSellJul 27Griggs Pc NelsonPres. Capital Access Platforms11.0K sh$1.0MSellJul 24Bradley J PetersonEVP, CIO13.0K sh$1.2MSellJul 24Griggs Pc NelsonPres. Capital Access Platforms6.8K sh$627KSellJul 1Smith Bryan EverardEVP, CPO3.0K sh$240KSellJun 11Smith Bryan EverardEVP, CPO3.0K sh$261K
1–10 of 17
+ 41 other (20 awards · 18 inkinds · 2 exempts · 1 gift) in window

See when $NDAQ insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDJul 238-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

NDAQ filed an 8-K disclosing financial results for the reported period under Item 2.02. press release providing financial results for the sec ond quarter o f 2026. Results were simultaneously disclosed under Regulation FD (Item 7.01), indicating simultaneous public release. This is a routine earnings disclosure; investors should review the accompanying press release (Exhibit 99.1) for revenue, earnings, and guidance details.

8-KAgreement terminatedJul 18-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 1.02: Agreement terminated · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

Nasdaq entered an Amended and Restated Credit Agreement with Bank of America as administrative agent on June 30, 2026 (Item 1.01) while terminating the prior December 2022 facility (Item 1.02). Routine credit facility renewal replacing the prior revolver.

8-KShareholder voteJun 168-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) reported results of its June 10, 2026 Annual Meeting: all twelve director nominees were elected, executive compensation was approved on an advisory basis, and Ernst & Young LLP was ratified as independent auditor for fiscal 2026. Director vote tallies ranged from approximately 342M to 372M shares FOR with ~26.2M broker non-votes. Routine annual meeting outcome — all standard governance items passed with strong majorities, no material opposition.

8-KPress release / Reg FDApr 238-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

NDAQ reported first quarter of 2026. A copy of the press release is financial results (8-K Item 2.02). Investors should review the full earnings press release and any management guidance for forward outlook.

+ 12 other (5 13Gs · 3 proxys · 2 10-Qs · 1 CERT) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Rainier Acquisition Corporation Announces Closing of $75,000,000 Initial Public Offeringglobenewswire.com·3d agoBRODSKY & SMITH SHAREHOLDER UPDATE: Notifying Investors of the Following Investigations: Varex Imaging Corporation (Nasdaq – VREX), Synlogic, Inc. (OTC – SYBX), Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. (Nasdaq – BWMN), Nathan's Famous, Inc. (Nasdaq – NATH)globenewswire.com·3d agoNasdaq Up in Pre-Market on Strength from NVDA, CRM & Morezacks.com·4d agoNasdaq Verafin Adds Q6 Cyber's Dark Web Intelligence to Fraud Platformpymnts.com·4d agoNasdaq Verafin Partners with Q6 Cyber, Bringing Unique Intelligence Together for Proactive Fraud Prevention to Support Financial Institutionsglobenewswire.com·4d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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