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COCOIN

Coinbase Global, Inc.

$COIN·$44B·Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges·Financial Services
$160.49-4.0%YTD-30.4%1Y-59.7%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-10: 1,255 posts2026-07-11: 1,221 posts2026-07-12: 800 posts2026-07-13: 1,031 posts2026-07-14: 1,058 posts2026-07-15: 1,171 posts2026-07-16: 1,162 posts7,779+19%
Price updated 9h ago·X counts updated 9h ago
COCOIN
$COINCoinbase Global, Inc.
$160.49-4.02%7.8k posts+19%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $COIN, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Hinges on a big eventWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-07-16

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Beaten-up crypto exchange base-building into July 30 earnings; asymmetric off the low, but Robinhood is stealing share.

Coinbase is the largest US crypto exchange — its revenue lives and dies with trading volume, which lives and dies with crypto prices. After a brutal 65% drawdown from all-time highs, the stock has stopped falling and is trying to base while Bitcoin puts in higher lows.

  • Revenue was down 30% YoY at $1.4B last quarter and EPS came in at -$1.49 — the P&L is soft because retail volumes went cold, and this is what the drawdown was already discounting.
  • Trades at 50x TTM earnings, but earnings are noise in a cyclical trading business; the 7% free cash flow yield is real cash generated even in a bad quarter and it's the anchor holding the tape.
  • Citizens cut its PT to $325 from $355 but kept Market Outperform — sell-side is still constructive on the two-year setup; the recent multiple compression is what makes the risk-reward attractive off the low.
  • 52-week position is 9th percentile — the tape is priced for more pain, so a decent print becomes asymmetric to the upside.
  • Long-time board member Fred Wilson trimmed $1.6M on July 1 — small dollars against a $44B market cap, but no one is publicly buying either.

July 30 earnings sets the tone: revenue outperform on Q2 volumes plus a Q3 guide reflecting the recent BTC breakout is what confirms the base. Miss + Q3 guide-down and $158 becomes $130. The Long HOOD/Short COIN pair trade is the real threat here — regulatory posture toward memecoins is the structural share loss Coinbase can't easily counter without changing its listing philosophy.

Agrees with X sentimentThe mixed X read is honest: the bull case (base-building at $158, RSI divergence, BTC weekly close over $60k) is fair, and the Long HOOD/Short COIN thesis is a real threat — Robinhood embracing the memecoin economy is structural share loss Coinbase won't easily counter without changing its listing posture.

What to watch: July 30 Q2 earnings — need revenue at or above $1.6B and a Q3 guide reflecting the BTC breakout. Miss with a soft guide cracks $158 and opens the door back to $130.

On the calendar: 2026-07-30 — Q2 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Mixed sentiment⚠39 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-15 · top-engagement diverged

Coinbase chatter is defensively cautious. COIN is down 65% from ATH versus HOOD +79% off the lows, and Citizens cut its PT to $325 (from $355) while maintaining Market Outperform, flagging a soft crypto backdrop as transitory. Bulls point to $158 finding stability, a possible ascending broadening-wedge target of $70 (a bear-case bounce metaphor), an RSI bullish divergence on the 4-day chart, and BTC printing a second consecutive weekly close above $60,000 to reclaim key fib support. A vocal thread argues Long HOOD/Short COIN is the trade because Coinbase is behaviorally hostile to the on-chain memecoin economy that Robinhood is embracing. Genuinely two-sided while price-drifts sideways.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $COIN

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Operates the largest US cryptocurrency exchange and provides custody, staking, and institutional trading infrastructure.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $COIN.

Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges · Financial Services

No material change from last week — COIN's Kalshi acquisition and Bitcoin ETF expansion validate a new institutional market structure for digital assets.

What this means for $COIN

Neutral — Operates the largest US cryptocurrency exchange and provides custody, staking, and institutional trading infrastructure; the institutional crypto ETF expansion and retail trading volume does not materially affect this business's near-term earnings.

Industry benchmark

6-name peer basket
-2.5%YTD
-1.9%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
50.4How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
0.1%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
0.4%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
7.0%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
6.9Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
5.7%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
75.9%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.6Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 7, 2026$-1.49$0.06-2436.2%
Q4 2025Feb 12, 2026$-2.49$0.99-350.5%
Q3 2025Oct 30, 2025$1.44$1.20+20.0%
Q2 2025Jul 31, 2025$0.12$1.25-90.4%
Next earningsThu, Jul 30·consensus EPS $0.10

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$1.4B-30.5%69.7%1.0%$-1.49$182.7M
Q4 FY25$1.0B-54.6%71.9%-43.1%$-2.49$3.1B
Q3 FY25$1.9B+55.1%86.4%25.7%$1.65$-784.5M
Q2 FY25$1.5B+3.3%71.5%-1.6%$5.60$328.5M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 24 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$6.1B$5.5B – $6.3B$0.61$0.37 – $1.2224
FY27$7.6B$6.5B – $8.7B$5.06$2.02 – $8.4023
FY28$8.4B$8.4B – $8.5B$6.50$1.60 – $9.2710
FY29$8.9B$7.5B – $11.2B$6.35$5.10 – $8.535
FY30$7.7B$6.5B – $9.7B$1.25$1.00 – $1.685

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.7%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-7.1%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-28.2%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 219.3M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.8% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β3.355-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJul 1Frederick R WilsonDirector10.0K sh$1.6MSellJun 5Jennifer N. JonesChief Accounting Officer2.1K sh$324KSellMay 27Paul GrewalChief Legal Officer2.0K sh$347KSellMay 22Lawrence J BrockChief People Officer1.5K sh$284KSellMay 15Alesia J HaasCFO9.8K sh$2.0MSellApr 16Alesia J HaasCFO10.0K sh$2.0MSellMar 16Alesia J HaasCFO9.9K sh$2.0MSellMar 4Alesia J HaasCFO10.0K sh$2.0MSellFeb 27Paul GrewalChief Legal Officer1.3K sh$230KSellFeb 24Jennifer N. JonesChief Accounting Officer440 sh$67K
1–10 of 11
+ 38 other (18 exempts · 11 inkinds · 9 awards) in window

See when $COIN insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeJul 98-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Coinbase Global disclosed that Chief Legal Officer Paul Grewal has resigned effective July 6, 2026, and the company expects to appoint Molly Abraham as General Counsel to succeed him. Grewal's departure comes after years of high-profile legal battles defending Coinbase against SEC enforcement actions. The transition to an internal successor suggests continuity in Coinbase's legal strategy. Grewal's experience as a former federal judge and his public advocacy in crypto legal battles will be difficult to replace.

8-KShareholder voteJun 188-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Coinbase (COIN) held its 2026 Annual Meeting on June 16, 2026 and filed an 8-K reporting routine director election and proposal vote results (Item 5.07). No extraordinary governance changes were disclosed.

8-KRestructuring / exit costsMay 58-K — Item 2.05: Restructuring / exit costs
AI summary

COIN filed an 8-K (other items) dated 2026-05-05. 0001679788 FALSE 0001679788 2026-05-05 2026-05-05 UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549 FORM 8-K CURRENT REPORT Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): May 5, 2026 Coinbase Global, Inc. A separation or divestiture could be material to valuation.

8-KOfficer or director changeApr 108-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

COIN disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-04-10). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

+ 11 other (3 13Gs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys · 1 10-Q) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Japan's Crypto Overhaul Could Open the Door to a Wave of Institutional Moneymarketbeat.com·22h agoCoinbase Just Joined a 140-Company Stablecoin Alliance. Here's What It Means for the Stock.fool.com·23h agoCoinbase Announces Date of Second Quarter 2026 Financial Resultsbusinesswire.com·2d agoCONY Shareholders Lost 56.25% While Paying Tax on Their Own Money Back247wallst.com·2d agoCoinbase, Circle stocks climb as analysts see Bitcoin-linked upsideinvezz.com·2d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Crypto Equity PlaysStablecoins & Tokenization

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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