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COCOIN

Coinbase Global, Inc.

$COIN·$46B·Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges·Financial Services
$173.16-5.8%YTD-20.3%1Y-47.6%
Price updated 8h ago·X counts updated 5d ago
COCOIN
$COINCoinbase Global, Inc.
$173.16-5.79%2.8k posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

Top X posts

The complete picture of $COIN on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

2,842X posts · last 7 days
Sep 29Oct 11
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $COIN's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level, louder than 58% of tracked names.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data18 posts analyzed · as of 2026-10-02

The crowd is bullish — Coinbase broke back above the 200-DMA at $186, is pushing into the $200 GEX magnet with a $1.5M Oct 2 $202.5C print, and the monthly chart's falling wedge is being called a breakout to $250. CEO Brian Armstrong's quote that "Grok is the leading client for agentic traders on Coinbase" is passing around as narrative fuel. The lone bear sees price action as corrective and expects lower before the next leg.

Read what X is saying about $COIN

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $COIN — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Driven by hypeWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-10-02

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Coinbase is a leveraged bet on another crypto cycle — Oct 29 is the earnings print that tests the 200-day reclaim.

Coinbase is the US-regulated crypto exchange. Its revenue tracks crypto trading volume more than any traditional business cycle, which is why the stock keeps printing 50% moves in both directions.

  • The business is still crypto-cycle hostage: revenue fell 31% YoY last quarter and operating margin collapsed near zero — the AI-trading and stablecoin stories are promising but structurally secondary to crypto volumes.
  • 52-week position is 19%, so the stock has lagged the broader AI trade all year, and even bulls admit a wave-3 bottom at $98-$105 is still live if BTC rolls over — the 200-day reclaim is a start, not a signal.
  • The real cheer in the thread is Oct call flow and Armstrong confirming Grok as an agentic trading client — thin reeds against -31% revenue, but a credible setup if the Mag-7-adjacent AI narrative broadens into financial platforms.

Oct 29 is the real tape test — a return to transaction-revenue growth above $1B plus credible stablecoin or Grok traction and the stock re-rates. Soft trading volume with no visible AI monetization and the reclaim fails back toward the lows.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bulls have the right chart (200-day reclaim, call-flow build, Grok agentic deal) — just underweight that revenue was -31% YoY last quarter and a macro reclaim doesn't matter if trading volume stays soft at the exchange.

What to watch: Oct 29 Q3 — transaction-revenue trajectory, stablecoin-revenue trend, and color on Grok and agentic-trading pilots. A sub-$1B transaction revenue print breaks the reclaim.

On the calendar: 2026-10-29 — Q3 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $COIN

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Operates the largest US cryptocurrency exchange and provides custody, staking, and institutional trading infrastructure.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $COIN.

Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges · Financial Services

No material change from last week — COIN cited as bullish setup with CEO forecasting $400K Bitcoin by 2030.

What this means for $COIN

Partial — Operates the largest US cryptocurrency exchange and provides custody, staking, and institutional trading infrastructure.

Industry benchmark

7-name peer basket
-8.5%YTD
+2.9%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
50.4How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
0.1%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
0.4%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
7.0%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
6.9Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
5.7%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
75.9%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.6Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 30, 2026$-1.36$-0.44-206.5%
Q1 2026May 7, 2026$-0.24$0.36-166.7%
Q4 2025Feb 12, 2026$-2.49$0.99-350.5%
Q3 2025Oct 30, 2025$1.44$1.20+20.0%
Next earningsThu, Oct 29·consensus EPS $-0.27

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$1.4B-30.5%69.7%1.0%$-1.49$182.7M
Q4 FY25$1.0B-54.6%71.9%-43.1%$-2.49$3.1B
Q3 FY25$1.9B+55.1%86.4%25.7%$1.65$-784.5M
Q2 FY25$1.5B+3.3%71.5%-1.6%$5.60$328.5M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 25 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$5.2B$4.7B – $6.2B-$2.90-$12.27 – $6.4725
FY27$6.8B$5.6B – $9.1B$2.93-$0.39 – $6.0725
FY28$7.8B$6.6B – $9.2B$5.54$2.06 – $7.3116
FY29$8.1B$6.8B – $11.6B$6.82$5.42 – $10.7114
FY30$5.2B$4.4B – $7.4B$1.25$0.99 – $1.9614

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.15%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-2.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-5.0%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 219.8M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today4.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β3.415-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellOct 2Marc L AndreessenDirector6.8K sh$1.4MSellOct 1Marc L AndreessenDirector13.7K sh$2.5MSellSep 21Alesia J HaasCFO39.0K sh$8.0MSellSep 21Marc L AndreessenDirector6.8K sh$1.4MSellSep 8Marc L AndreessenDirector13.7K sh$2.5MSellSep 1Frederick R WilsonDirector10.0K sh$1.8MSellAug 24Jennifer N. JonesChief Accounting Officer2.1K sh$389KSellAug 3Frederick R WilsonDirector646 sh$92KSellJul 1Frederick R WilsonDirector500 sh$74KSellJun 5Jennifer N. JonesChief Accounting Officer2.1K sh$324K
1–10 of 13
+ 38 other (18 exempts · 10 awards · 10 inkinds) in window

See when $COIN insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeOct 28-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
3New insider — initial holdingsSep 23
AI summary

Anthony Armstrong filed an initial Form 3 as a new director of Coinbase Global (COIN) as of September 1, 2026, disclosing no securities beneficially owned — no common stock, no derivative instruments. Routine Section 16(a) administrative filing coinciding with his appointment to the Coinbase board.

8-KOfficer or director changeSep 28-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Coinbase (COIN) disclosed that its board expanded from 9 to 10 directors and appointed Anthony Armstrong as a director effective September 1, 2026, following a recommendation by the Nominating and Corporate Governance Committee. Armstrong will serve on the Audit and Compliance Committee until the 2027 annual meeting and will receive compensation under the company's standard non-employee director program. A standard indemnification agreement was also executed. Routine governance and board composition update; no financial impact.

8-KOfficer or director changeJul 238-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

COIN filed an 8-K under Item 5.02 disclosing a personnel change: Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. The filing also covers Item(s) 9.01. Personnel changes at the executive or board level are typically administrative but can signal strategic shifts depending on context.

8-KOfficer or director changeJul 98-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Coinbase Global disclosed that Chief Legal Officer Paul Grewal has resigned effective July 6, 2026, and the company expects to appoint Molly Abraham as General Counsel to succeed him. Grewal's departure comes after years of high-profile legal battles defending Coinbase against SEC enforcement actions. The transition to an internal successor suggests continuity in Coinbase's legal strategy. Grewal's experience as a former federal judge and his public advocacy in crypto legal battles will be difficult to replace.

8-KShareholder voteJun 188-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Coinbase (COIN) held its 2026 Annual Meeting on June 16, 2026 and filed an 8-K reporting routine director election and proposal vote results (Item 5.07). No extraordinary governance changes were disclosed.

8-KRestructuring / exit costsMay 58-K — Item 2.05: Restructuring / exit costs
AI summary

COIN filed an 8-K (other items) dated 2026-05-05. 0001679788 FALSE 0001679788 2026-05-05 2026-05-05 UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549 FORM 8-K CURRENT REPORT Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): May 5, 2026 Coinbase Global, Inc. A separation or divestiture could be material to valuation.

+ 9 other (2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 13Gs · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Coinbase Global Stock Drops 24% YTD: Time to Buy the Dip?zacks.com·2d agoAI Agents Can Already Pay in Crypto. Can a Website Tell Who They’re Working For?247wallst.com·2d ago15-Minute Markets For Cryptocurrency Prices Are Surging in Popularity. It's Easy to Predict What Happens Next.fool.com·2d agoCoinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) Registers a Bigger Fall Than the Market: Important Facts to Notezacks.com·2d agoA Look at Coinbase Global Inc (COIN) After 4.9% Decline -- GF Value $186.58 vs Price $172.89gurufocus.com·2d ago

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