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MSMSCI

MSCI Inc.

$MSCI·$41B·Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges·Financial Services
$571.36+1.4%YTD+0.7%1Y-0.4%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-16: 5 posts2026-08-17: 7 posts2026-08-18: 8 posts2026-08-19: 9 posts2026-08-20: 7 posts2026-08-21: 2 posts2026-08-22: 2 posts41+3%
Price updated 10h ago·X counts updated 2d ago
MSMSCI
$MSCIMSCI Inc.
$571.36+1.40%41 posts+3%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $MSCI, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersStalledAI verdict · as of 2026-08-21

The move has stalled — likely just drifts unless something new shows up.

Index and analytics compounder growing 14% but stuck mid-range for months.

MSCI is the index provider and portfolio-analytics leader whose Q1 revenue grew 14% with world-class margins, but the stock has essentially gone nowhere for a year despite the fundamentals continuing to compound. The market has decided the premium multiple already fully prices the growth story.

  • Q1 revenue $851M grew 14% year-over-year at an 83% gross margin and 54% operating margin, with $278M of free cash flow — extraordinary profitability but not accelerating.
  • Analysts model $3.51B revenue this year rising to $3.82B next and $4.15B in 2028, with EPS growing from $19.72 to $25.56 — a mid-teens CAGR that supports the current 35x trailing multiple only if delivered.
  • The stock sits at 47% of its 52-week range and slightly below both moving averages with volume 26% below normal — the tape is a genuine stall, not a base being tested.

X chatter is split on the multiple compression versus five-year fundamentals, and separately notes MSCI removing Bitcoin-treasury companies from the index — that is a fund-flow story, not an MSCI P&L catalyst. The next real test is Q3 index-subscription revenue growth staying above 12% and any ESG-analytics segment update — either would restart the tape.

Agrees with X sentimentSplit crowd tone matches the setup — great business, expensive multiple, stalled tape.

What to watch: Q3 index-subscription growth staying above 12% and any ESG or Private Capital Solutions segment reacceleration.

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment6 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-24

MSCI is near its all-time high with a chart score of 21 - the only name in a screen of 15 falling charts without a visible reason for weakness. Over past 5 years MSCI stock is only up ~7% but revenue is +80%, EPS +115%, FCF/share +113% with stable margins. Bulls call MSCI 'one of the highest quality companies in the world with no significant bear case.' Li Lu sold out of MSCI (with MCO, SPGI) to increase PDD by 134%. BNN Barry Schwartz owns MSCI (down 8%). Descriptive: quality-compounder narrative.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $MSCI

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Financial data firm operating widely-tracked equity indices (MSCI World, EM), analytics tools, ESG ratings, and private asset benchmarks.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $MSCI.

Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges · Financial Services

No material change from last week — COIN's Kalshi acquisition and Bitcoin ETF expansion validate a new institutional market structure for digital assets.

What this means for $MSCI

Neutral — Financial data firm operating widely-tracked equity indices (MSCI World, EM), analytics tools, ESG ratings, and private asset benchmarks; limited read-through from financial - data & stock exchanges macro dynamics to this specific revenue mix.

Industry benchmark

10-name peer basket
+2.5%YTD
+8.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
34.8How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
38.5%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
55.4%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
3.5%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
13.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-64.1%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
82.9%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
-2.4Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 21, 2026$4.94$4.99-1.0%
Q1 2026Apr 21, 2026$4.55$4.44+2.5%
Q4 2025Jan 28, 2026$4.66$4.60+1.3%
Q3 2025Oct 28, 2025$4.47$4.38+2.1%
Next earningsTue, Oct 20·consensus EPS $5.01

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$850.8M+14.1%83.3%53.7%$5.54$278.0M
Q4 FY25$822.5M+10.6%82.6%56.4%$3.69$488.7M
Q3 FY25$793.4M+9.5%83.3%56.4%$4.25$445.5M
Q2 FY25$772.7M+9.1%82.2%55.0%$3.92$324.7M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 12 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$3.5B$3.5B – $3.6B$19.72$19.41 – $19.9311
FY27$3.8B$3.8B – $3.8B$22.48$21.93 – $22.8912
FY28$4.1B$4.0B – $4.2B$25.56$24.65 – $26.2212
FY29$4.5B$4.4B – $4.5B$28.97$28.33 – $29.4011
FY30$4.8B$4.7B – $4.8B$32.02$31.32 – $32.506

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.5×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.49%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-1.8%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-0.4%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 68.8M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.6% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.225-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJun 10Andrew C. WiechmannCFO450 sh$272KBuyMay 15Henry A FernandezCEO4.0K sh$2.2MSellApr 24Alvise J. MunariChief Product Officer10.0K sh$5.9MSellMar 17Andrew C. WiechmannCFO450 sh$252K
+ 19 other (17 awards · 1 inkind · 1 gift) in window

See when $MSCI insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeAug 78-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

MSCI Inc. (MSCI) disclosed an officer or director change (Item 5.02) on 2026-08-07. Details: Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Executive transitions are administrative disclosures; materiality depends on the seniority of the affected position. No financial terms were disclosed in this filing.

8-KShareholder voteApr 238-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
8-KOfficer or director changeMar 318-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
+ 10 other (3 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Why Is MSCI (MSCI) Down 1% Since Last Earnings Report?zacks.com·5d agoWhy the BFGFX Fund Is Underperforming After SpaceX IPOzacks.com·5d agoMSCI Equity Indexes August 2026 Index Reviewbusinesswire.com·13d agoMSCI: The Market Can't Settle On A Stable Price, Driving Opportunityseekingalpha.com·18d agoMSCI August Index Review Announcement Scheduled for August 12, 2026businesswire.com·20d ago

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