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TickerTalks›$MCO
MCMCO

Moody's Corporation

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 15% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesQuiet on X (40 mentions/wk)
$MCO·$85B·Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges·Financial Services
$470.40+0.7%YTD-8.3%1Y-7.7%
Price updated 13m ago·X counts updated 19h ago
MCMCO
$MCOMoody's Corporation
$470.41+0.65%40 posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

Top X posts

The complete picture of $MCO on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

40X posts · last 7 days
Aug 28Sep 10
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $MCO's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data12 posts analyzed · as of 2026-09-10

Moody's chatter frames it as a durable duopoly compounder with S&P Global, cited within TCI Fund's 13% weighting and near its lowest 5-year multiple. Posters point to a coming $11 trillion debt-refinancing wall passing through the credit-rating toll booth and steady ROIC over a decade.

Read what X is saying about $MCO

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $MCO — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-09-11

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Ratings duopoly compounder trading at its lowest multiple in five years.

Moody's is one half of the credit-ratings duopoly with S&P Global — high-moat, cash-generative, and the tape has finally given it back to fundamentals-first buyers.

  • PE 31, ROIC 24%, ROE 80%, gross margin 72%, op margin 45%, Q2 revenue +15% — quality is not in question.
  • Down 8% YTD despite Q2 growth, at 45% of the 52-week range, -4.7% vs 50-day; the multiple has compressed while the business hasn't.
  • Analytics segment adding to Google Gemini Enterprise (AI distribution) plus the multi-year refinancing wave narrative give it two structural tailwinds.

Bet: the refi wall + Analytics compounding show up in numbers while the multiple sits below its five-year band. 10/28 print is the next data point.

Agrees with X sentimentX frames MCO as a duopoly compounder near a five-year-low multiple with an $11T debt-refi wave ahead — verdict aligns on both the quality read and the setup.

What to watch: 10/28 Q3 — Analytics organic growth, MIS pricing, and any commentary on the 2027-28 refinancing pipeline.

On the calendar: 2026-10-28 Q3 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $MCO

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Credit rating agency and financial analytics company serving debt issuers, investors, and risk professionals globally.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $MCO.

Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges · Financial Services

Exchange and financial-data platforms benefit from high volatility and rising derivatives volumes; crypto exchange demand tracks bitcoin cycle and institutional adoption. Rate uncertainty sustains options hedging activity, underpinning exchange revenue.

What this means for $MCO

Partial — Moody's credit ratings + analytics; debt-issuance cycle drives rating revenue; analytics subscription steadier.

Industry benchmark

7-name peer basket
-8.9%YTD
-13.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
31.0How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
23.9%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
45.1%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
4.0%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
10.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
79.7%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
71.9%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
2.5Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 22, 2026$4.68$4.26+9.9%
Q1 2026Apr 22, 2026$4.33$4.22+2.6%
Q4 2025Feb 18, 2026$3.64$3.43+6.1%
Q3 2025Oct 22, 2025$3.92$3.70+5.9%
Next earningsWed, Oct 28·consensus EPS $4.26

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$2.2B+15.1%76.3%47.9%$5.03$874.0M
Q1 FY26$2.1B+8.1%74.5%44.3%$3.74$844.0M
Q4 FY25$1.9B+13.0%66.9%42.1%$3.43$777.0M
Q3 FY25$2.0B+10.7%69.4%45.7%$3.61$903.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 17 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$8.3B$8.2B – $8.4B$16.94$16.42 – $17.4517
FY27$8.9B$8.8B – $9.2B$18.93$17.95 – $19.6817
FY28$9.6B$9.3B – $9.9B$21.13$20.55 – $21.7614
FY29$10.0B$9.9B – $10.3B$23.29$22.82 – $24.068
FY30$10.6B$10.4B – $10.8B$25.31$24.80 – $26.1512

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.45%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-4.7%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-1.2%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 158.5M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.4% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.335-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellSep 1Robert FauberCEO1.2K sh$586KSellAug 3Robert FauberCEO1.2K sh$565KSellJul 1Richard G SteeleSVP - General Counsel157 sh$72KSellJul 1Robert FauberCEO1.2K sh$532KSellJun 1Richard G SteeleSVP - General Counsel158 sh$72KSellJun 1Robert FauberCEO1.2K sh$529KSellMay 1Robert FauberCEO1.2K sh$544KSellMay 1Richard G SteeleSVP - General Counsel158 sh$74KSellApr 1Robert FauberCEO575 sh$252KSellApr 1Richard G SteeleSVP - General Counsel158 sh$69K
+ 22 other (16 awards · 6 exempts) in window

See when $MCO insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeAug 128-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Moody's Corporation (MCO) announced on August 12, 2026 that Keith Demmings has been elected to its Board of Directors effective November 1, 2026; board committee assignments are not yet determined. Demmings, 54, is President and CEO of Assurant, Inc. (NYSE: AIZ), a publicly traded insurance services company, a role he has held since January 2022 with prior senior leadership at Assurant dating back to 2005. The company also updated its investor presentation under Item 7.01. This is a routine board addition bringing financial services and insurance industry executive experience to Moody's governance.

8-KPress release / Reg FDJul 228-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

MCO filed an 8-K disclosing financial results for quarter ended June 30, 2026 under Item 2.02. press release containing the announcement is included as Exhibit 99. Results were simultaneously disclosed under Regulation FD (Item 7.01), indicating simultaneous public release. This is a routine earnings disclosure; investors should review the accompanying press release (Exhibit 99.1) for revenue, earnings, and guidance details.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 223
AI summary

Kosmowski Christina filed an initial Form 3 as 10%+ owner of MCO, reporting no beneficial ownership of securities as of the event date. This is an administrative Section 16 filing required upon becoming a new 10%+ owner. No shares are currently held, indicating this is a disclosure of a newly appointed insider with no current equity position.

8-KPress release / Reg FDApr 228-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KShareholder voteApr 168-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
8-KPress release / Reg FDApr 158-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 163
+ 7 other (3 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 1 S-8 · 1 11-K) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

VIRT vs. MCO: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?zacks.com·15d agoMoody's Brings Its Decision-Grade Intelligence to Gemini Enterprise for Financial Servicesbusinesswire.com·17d agoMCO DCF Analysis: Intrinsic Value $287 vs Price $511gurufocus.com·17d agoMoody's (MCO) Up 5.6% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?zacks.com·21d agoMoody's Corporation Elects Keith Demmings to Board of Directorsbusinesswire.com·30d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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