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MXMXL

MaxLinear, Inc.

$MXL·$8.2B·Semiconductors·Technology
$74.40-16.3%YTD+317.3%1Y+410.3%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-10: 93 posts2026-07-11: 28 posts2026-07-12: 46 posts2026-07-13: 129 posts2026-07-14: 127 posts2026-07-15: 189 posts2026-07-16: 166 posts788+35%
Price updated 5h ago·X counts updated 4h ago
MXMXL
$MXLMaxLinear, Inc.
$74.40-16.25%788 posts+35%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $MXL, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Driven by hypeCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-07-16

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

MaxLinear up 517% in a year — biggest small-cap semi run of the cycle with fresh auditor change to watch.

MaxLinear makes chips for high-speed connectivity applications — DOCSIS cable modems, fiber-optic modules for data centers, and increasingly AI-networking silicon. The stock is up 517% over the past year, one of the biggest small-cap semi runs of the cycle.

  • Revenue grew 43% YoY last quarter with a -12% operating margin — real acceleration off a cyclical trough; the operating losses reflect the transition to higher-mix optical products, not fundamental deterioration.
  • Trades at 14x TTM sales and -54x TTM P/E on cyclical losses — the multiple is textbook hot-momentum small-cap; the FY27 EPS estimate of ~$3 makes forward P/E ~30x, still expensive but earnable if the mix shift continues.
  • The May 28 auditor change from Grant Thornton to a new firm (with no adverse opinions in prior years) is a real signal worth flagging — mid-run auditor changes deserve careful attention even when the reasons appear routine.
  • Position vs 200-day MA +137% — this is one of the most above-trend readings in any small-cap semi; the tape is fully priced for continued acceleration and any hiccup gets punished disproportionately.
  • 52-week position 66th percentile with today's -4% part of the group giveback — the cooling has started, and the July 23 earnings is where the setup either extends or the multiple compresses.

July 23 Q2 earnings is where the AI-optics story either extends or corrects: revenue growth accelerating past 40% plus specific commentary on the announced 'gamechanger' product per July 8 coverage is what restarts the run; a modest beat with cautious guide is where the +517% T12M gain gives back hard. Real cyclical-recovery small-cap semi at real extremes — the setup is asymmetric event-heavy.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bullish X take on MXL clearing the $100 Century Mark, the Top-10 relative-strength inclusion, and the 'gamechanger' product framing is analytically fair on the tape momentum. Where the crowd is thin: the auditor change deserves being watched, and 137% above the 200-day MA is exactly the setup where a moderate print becomes a serious correction.

What to watch: July 23 Q2 earnings — need revenue growth accelerating past 40% and specific commentary on the recently-announced product. A modest beat with cautious guide is where the +517% T12M gain gives back hard.

On the calendar: 2026-07-23 — Q2 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment⚠6 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-13 · top-engagement diverged

MaxLinear cleared the $100 Century Mark and delivered 28.30 points in short order per the Livermore Century Mark technique, though it triggered Livermore short entries on the way back down. The stock is included in a Top 10 Relative Strength screener alongside TXG, ALGM, and BAND, with earnings coming soon that will color the H2 setup.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $MXL

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Designs mixed-signal and RF SoCs for broadband access, fiber networking, and data center connectivity infrastructure.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Semiconductors sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $MXL.

Semiconductors · Technology

No material change from last week — structural AI capex engine unchanged: hyperscaler Blackwell allocation stays tight through 2H26 and HBM3e pricing holds as LLM context-window expansion drives 5-8x per-server memory demand uplift.

What this means for $MXL

Direct beneficiary — Designs mixed-signal and RF SoCs for broadband access, fiber networking, and data center connectivity infrastructure; the business model is a direct conduit for the AI capex and HBM/compute demand cycle.

Top industry ETF

$SMHVanEck Semiconductor ETF
+54.2%YTD
+96.7%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-53.7How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-12.7%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-15.9%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
0.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
14.2Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-28.4%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
57.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.3Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Apr 23, 2026$0.22$0.18+22.2%
Q4 2025Jan 29, 2026$0.19$0.18+5.6%
Q3 2025Oct 23, 2025$0.14$0.12+16.7%
Q2 2025Jul 23, 2025$0.02$0.020.0%
Next earningsThu, Jul 23·consensus EPS $0.33

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$137.2M+43.0%57.5%-12.2%$-0.52$-10.3M
Q4 FY25$136.4M+48.0%57.6%-10.9%$-0.17$6.7M
Q3 FY25$126.5M+55.9%56.6%-23.7%$-0.52$4.4M
Q2 FY25$108.8M+18.3%56.0%-17.5%$-0.31$9.3M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 8 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$657.2M$652.2M – $666.7M$1.34$1.31 – $1.418
FY27$791.6M$767.8M – $816.9M$1.88$1.68 – $2.027
FY28$875.2M$875.2M – $875.3M$2.10$1.50 – $2.575

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.0×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.53%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-18.3%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+96.8%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

β3.935-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellMay 26Thomas E PardunDirector11.0K sh$1.2MSellMay 8Connie H. KwongCorporate Controller & PAO35.0K sh$3.4MSellMay 5Ted L TewksburyDirector3.9K sh$315KSellMay 4Carolyn BeaverDirector6.0K sh$462KSellMay 4Ted L TewksburyDirector3.9K sh$304KSellMay 4Daniel A ArtusiDirector10.5K sh$826KSellMay 4Albert J MoyerDirector15.7K sh$1.2MSellMay 1Ted L TewksburyDirector2.8K sh$219KSellApr 29Connie H. KwongCorporate Controller & PAO4.1K sh$239KSellApr 27Connie H. KwongCorporate Controller & PAO15.1K sh$772K
1–10 of 13
+ 28 other (12 awards · 11 exempts · 5 inkinds) in window

See when $MXL insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KMaterial eventJun 18-K — Item 4.01
AI summary

MaxLinear dismissed Grant Thornton LLP as independent auditor effective May 28, 2026 with Audit Committee approval; Grant Thornton's reports for FY2024 and FY2025 contained no adverse opinions or qualifications, and no disagreements were reported. Auditor change is a notable governance event; reasons for the dismissal not disclosed in the filing.

8-KOfficer or director changeMay 218-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

MaxLinear, Inc. (MXL) filed an 8-K on May 20, 2026 disclosing a personnel change (Item 5.02) and annual shareholder meeting vote results (Item 5.07). MaxLinear is a Carlsbad, California-based fabless semiconductor company focused on broadband and connectivity listed on Nasdaq. The excerpt does not identify the executive involved; leadership changes at a mid-cap semiconductor company can be significant depending on the role.

8-KMaterial agreementApr 238-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

MXL reported period ending 2026-04-23 financial results (8-K Item 2.02). Investors should review the full earnings press release and any management guidance for forward outlook.

3New insider — initial holdingsFeb 183
8-KOfficer or director changeFeb 178-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
+ 15 other (4 13Gs · 3 proxys · 2 S-8s · 1 SD) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

AAOI vs. MXL: Which AI Data Center Infrastructure Stock Has an Edge?zacks.com·15h agoMXL Drops 31% From 52-Week High: Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock?zacks.com·15h agoMXL's Growth Story Tracks AI Optics, DOCSIS and Fiber Upgrades Aheadzacks.com·2d agoIs MaxLinear Stock a Buy Now or a Hold at Current Levels?zacks.com·3d agoMaxLinear Stock Outlook Hinges on Optics, Broadband and AI Demandzacks.com·3d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

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Voices on X · top 4 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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