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MRMRCY

Mercury Systems, Inc.

$MRCY·$6.5B·Aerospace & Defense·Industrials
$97.14+1.2%YTD+30.6%1Y+85.8%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-10: 2 posts2026-07-11: 0 posts2026-07-12: 1 posts2026-07-13: 4 posts2026-07-14: 6 posts2026-07-15: 3 posts2026-07-16: 4 posts20+33%
Price updated 12m ago·X counts updated 17h ago
MRMRCY
$MRCYMercury Systems, Inc.
$97.15+1.19%20 posts+33%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $MRCY, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Driven by hypeCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-07-17

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

Defense-electronics run-up meets a plaintiff-firm fiduciary probe and a GF Value $43 vs $98 price gap.

Mercury Systems supplies advanced electronic components, modules, and integrated subsystems into aerospace and defense programs — signal-intelligence, radar, and computing modules.

  • Twelve-month rally is real: +86% t12m, +31% YTD, price at $96 — the geopolitical-conflict tailwind Zacks flags is being paid for.
  • But cooling signs: today's session was -6.8%; a GuruFocus write-up (July 13) calls out GF Value $42.99 vs price $98.26 — a large flag from a valuation model.
  • Legal overhang: a July 3 PR-wire piece asks whether Mercury insiders 'breached fiduciary duties' — a plaintiff-firm solicitation rather than a filed complaint, but a signal of legal-firm attention that can precede real litigation.
  • Valuation snapshot: PE -469 (still not profitable), P/S ~6.9 — priced for growth that hasn't fully arrived in earnings.

Close: The recent -6.8% day and the plaintiff-firm poke, layered on a stretched valuation multiple, are the specific cooling signals against a still-strong twelve-month rally. Anywhere from here needs a Q1 print that ratifies the multiple.

What to watch: Next earnings for margin trajectory and program mix; any complaint filing following the plaintiff-firm inquiry; insider Form 4 activity around the cooling; any Ukraine/Middle East program awards.

On the calendar: Next quarterly earnings (date TBD)

sentiment ticker mismatch

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Neutral sentiment5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-06-24

Chatter around MRCY in this window centers on a token/mining-style community discussing emission schedule changes, supply scarcity, and gameplay-like deploy mechanics rather than equity fundamentals. Posts highlight an emission update aimed at slowing new supply alongside community engagement around mining rounds. The conversation is descriptive of token mechanics with no clear directional equity view.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $MRCY

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Makes ruggedized compute modules and EW subsystems for military aircraft, ships, and ground vehicles.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Aerospace & Defense sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $MRCY.

Aerospace & Defense · Industrials

No material change from last week — institutions now mark RKLB, LUNR, and RDW against SPCX's $1.

What this means for $MRCY

Partial — Makes ruggedized compute modules and EW subsystems for military aircraft, ships, and ground vehicles; the defense budget expansion and space commercialization is a secondary rather than primary near-term earnings catalyst.

Top industry ETF

$ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
+7.1%YTD
+18.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-468.6How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
0.4%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
1.2%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
1.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
6.9Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-1.0%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
27.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.4Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 5, 2026$0.27$0.06+350.0%
Q4 2025Feb 3, 2026$0.16$0.07+128.6%
Q3 2025Nov 4, 2025$0.26$0.08+225.0%
Q2 2025Aug 11, 2025$0.47$0.21+123.8%
Next earningsMon, Aug 10·consensus EPS $0.38

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q3 FY26$235.8M+11.5%25.2%3.2%$-0.05$-1.8M
Q2 FY26$232.9M+4.4%26.0%-4.6%$-0.26$42.6M
Q1 FY26$225.2M+10.2%27.9%-3.8%$-0.21$-4.4M
Q4 FY25$273.1M+9.9%31.0%8.6%$-0.33$34.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 7 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$959.2M$956.3M – $963.3M$1.08$0.88 – $1.167
FY27$1.0B$1.0B – $1.1B$1.54$1.29 – $2.016
FY28$1.2B$1.2B – $1.2B$2.14$0.99 – $4.166
FY29$1.3B$1.2B – $1.3B$2.60$2.52 – $2.763
FY30$1.4B$1.3B – $1.4B$3.15$3.05 – $3.355

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.59%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-9.3%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+10.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 55.5M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.2% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.935-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellMay 26Howard L LanceDirector9.3K sh$923KSellMay 12Orlando D CarvalhoDirector7.0K sh$626KSellMay 11Steven RatnerEVP, CHRO2.0K sh$185KSellApr 16David E. FarnsworthCFO3.6K sh$308KSellMar 4Jana Partners Management, LpSee Remarks100.9K sh$9.0MSellMar 3Jana Partners Management, LpSee Remarks168.6K sh$15.2MSellMar 2Jana Partners Management, LpSee Remarks182.5K sh$17.2MSellFeb 25Howard L LanceDirector4.8K sh$430KSellFeb 17Stuart KupinskyEVP, CLO & Corp Sec2.3K sh$191KSellFeb 17Douglas MunroSVP, CAO582 sh$49K
1–10 of 11
+ 2 other (2 awards) in window

See when $MRCY insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentMar 4SC 13D/A
+ 7 other (2 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 1 SD) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Buy 3 Small-Sized Defense Equipment Stocks Amid Geopolitical Conflictszacks.com·1d agoA Look at Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY) After 9.0% Decline -- GF Value $42.99 vs Price $98.26gurufocus.com·4d agoIs Mercury Systems (MRCY) Outperforming Other Aerospace Stocks This Year?zacks.com·8d agoDid Mercury Systems, Inc. Insiders Breach their Fiduciary Duties to Shareholders?prnewswire.com·14d agoMercury Systems (MRCY) Surges 3.6%: Is This an Indication of Further Gains?zacks.com·18d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Defense & DronesRobotics & Humanoids

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $MRCY on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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