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TickerTalks›$LRCX
LRLRCX

Lam Research Corporation

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 24% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesConsistent chatter on X (300/wk), no spike
$LRCX·$389B·Semiconductors·Technology
$301.49-0.1%YTD+78.7%1Y+210.7%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-22: 12 posts2026-08-23: 18 posts300-8%
Price updated 14h ago·X counts updated 9d ago
LRLRCX
$LRCXLam Research Corporation
$301.49-0.14%300 posts-8%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $LRCX, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-08-31

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

The wafer-fab-equipment leg of the AI compounding trade — a 27% dividend hike, Goldman top pick, and a CEO $9M sale into the recent highs.

Lam Research is one of the three big wafer-fab-equipment (WFE) makers alongside Applied Materials and Tokyo Electron — the deposition and etch systems that build every advanced logic and memory chip. The stock has nearly tripled over the last twelve months, and just started to cool 9% below the 50-day moving average.

  • The operating story is unrelenting: Q1 revenue grew 23.8% year-over-year to $5.84B, prior quarters ran 22-34%, with operating margins in the 34-35% range — this is the mature compounder profile the multiple expansion is being paid for, and the last four EPS prints beat consensus by 3-9%.
  • The management-signal on capital return is aggressive: a 27% quarterly dividend hike to $0.33 (largest since 2018 and the twelfth consecutive annual raise) is exactly the kind of confidence-in-forward-earnings signal a compounder can send when the pipeline is genuinely visible.
  • The sell-side setup is unambiguous: Morgan Stanley lifted 2026 WFE forecasts to $163B and Goldman named Lam a top pick — combined with consensus FY27 EPS of $8.06 (up from $5.69 FY26), the analyst community is fully on-board, and the risk is now consensus rather than a leading indicator.
  • Insider selling is real: CEO Timothy Archer exercised and sold $9M of stock on Aug 7 at $300 (right at the current tape), and officer Ava Harter's $1.8M F-InKind — the cluster of officer selling at recent highs is what the current cooling reflects; two board members (Ahmed, Cannon) retiring Nov 2 also removes senior-most engagement.

The path if the compounding resumes is the Oct 21 Q1 print keeping revenue above +25% year-over-year with any positive commentary on FY27 WFE — the tape breaks the cooling and re-rates on Goldman's constructive framing. What extends the pullback is a print where China revenue drops sharply on export-control tightening or memory-customer capex slips; that's when a 190% one-year run gives back 20% before finding the 200-day support.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bullish X take — the 27% quarterly dividend hike to $0.33 as the largest since 2018 and twelfth consecutive annual raise, Morgan Stanley lifting 2026 WFE forecasts to $163B and Goldman naming Lam a top pick, sell-side 19% growth estimates called too conservative — captures the fundamental case cleanly; the pair-trade positioning (long equipment / short design) is exactly what the current cooling trajectory reflects as the equipment side pauses after a huge run.

What to watch: The Oct 21 Q1 print — revenue above +25% YoY with positive FY27 WFE commentary breaks the cooling; a China revenue drop on export-control tightening or memory-customer capex slippage is what extends the pullback toward the 200-day.

On the calendar: 2026-10-21 — Q1 fiscal 2027 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment34 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-31

Tone is upbeat, anchored on a 26.9% dividend hike (largest since 2018) and freshly raised WFE forecasts — Morgan Stanley to $163B for 2026, Goldman to $281B by 2028 — with LRCX named a top pick alongside AMAT and ASML. Semi-ecosystem list posts recur as filler. One skeptic asks "how do you look at this chart and say" "I want to own this," and another calls the group "Dead Money," but the dominant read is a bottoming cycle.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $LRCX

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Makes etch and thin-film deposition equipment critical for advanced memory and logic semiconductor manufacturing.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Semiconductors sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $LRCX.

Semiconductors · Technology

Hyperscaler AI capex keeps Blackwell allocation tight and HBM3e pricing firm; NVDA's data-center backlog and AVGO's networking wins confirm the cycle is not peaking. LLM context-window expansion — the structural demand pull — extends through at least 2H26.

What this means for $LRCX

Direct beneficiary — semiconductor products are directly in the AI capex supply chain; Lam Research Corporation is a prominent supplier of equipment vital for semiconductor processing, encompassing its desig.

Top industry ETF

$SMHVanEck Semiconductor ETF
+56.0%YTD
+94.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
56.5How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
42.8%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
34.3%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
1.7%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
17.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
65.8%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
50.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.4Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 29, 2026$1.82$1.69+7.7%
Q1 2026Apr 22, 2026$1.47$1.36+8.1%
Q4 2025Jan 28, 2026$1.27$1.17+8.5%
Q3 2025Oct 22, 2025$1.26$1.22+3.3%
Next earningsWed, Oct 21·consensus EPS $2.15

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q3 FY26$5.8B+23.8%49.8%35.0%$1.46$809.8M
Q2 FY26$5.3B+22.1%49.6%33.9%$1.27$1.7B
Q1 FY26$5.3B+27.7%50.4%34.4%$1.24$1.6B
Q4 FY25$5.2B+33.6%50.1%33.7%$1.35$2.4B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 25 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$23.2B$23.1B – $23.4B$5.69$5.65 – $5.7425
FY27$30.8B$28.1B – $33.3B$8.06$7.39 – $8.9424
FY28$35.9B$25.9B – $47.2B$9.80$7.06 – $14.8622
FY29$40.8B$39.1B – $44.0B$11.36$11.25 – $11.465
FY30$44.9B$39.5B – $52.5B$13.22$11.16 – $16.104

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.60%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-8.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+16.8%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 1.2B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.6% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 6Timothy ArcherCEO30.0K sh$9.0MSellJul 13Abhijit Y TalwalkarDirector18.3K sh$6.1MSellJul 2Timothy ArcherCEO30.0K sh$11.7MSellJun 12Eric BrandtDirector54.5K sh$20.0MSellJun 11Eric BrandtDirector53.9K sh$18.9MSellJun 1Neil J FernandesPresident7.7K sh$2.4MSellMay 1Neil J FernandesPresident18.2K sh$4.6MSellApr 27Ava HarterChief Legal Officer6.0K sh$1.6M
+ 7 other (3 exempts · 3 inkinds · 1 gift) in window

See when $LRCX insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeAug 278-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Lam Research Corporation disclosed that board members Sohail U. Ahmed and Michael R. Cannon each notified the board of their decisions to retire, effective November 2, 2026, reducing board size from 12 to 10. Ahmed served approximately seven years across audit, compensation, and technology committees; Cannon served approximately 16 years, including 12 on the audit committee and seven as chair of the nominating/governance committee. No strategic rationale or replacements were announced. This is a routine board transition with no operational impact.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 103
+ 8 other (2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 13Gs · 1 10-K · 1 11-K) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Is Lam Research an Undervalued Stock to Buy?fool.com·15h agoDividend Announcements: August 22-28, 2026seekingalpha.com·2d agoCovington Investment Advisors Inc. Lowers Holdings in Lam Research Corporation $LRCXdefenseworld.net·2d agoLam Research Corporation $LRCX Shares Sold by Cookson Peirce & Co. Inc.defenseworld.net·2d agoLam Research Corporation $LRCX Shares Sold by BNP Paribasdefenseworld.net·3d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

AI InfrastructureSemiconductor Onshoring

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Voices on X · top 15 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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