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LMLMT

Lockheed Martin Corporation

$LMT·$136B·Aerospace & Defense·Industrials
$561.23-0.5%YTD+21.9%1Y+24.0%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-22: 12 posts2026-08-23: 16 posts217-5%
Price updated 5h ago·X counts updated 8d ago
LMLMT
$LMTLockheed Martin Corporation
$561.23-0.46%217 posts-5%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $LMT, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersStalledAI verdict · as of 2026-08-30

The move has stalled — likely just drifts unless something new shows up.

Defense prime with a fresh Army Stinger-replacement contract and a Tom Lee open-market buy — flat quarter, cheap tape.

Lockheed Martin is the largest US defense prime — F-35, missiles (PAC-3, Javelin), space/satellite systems, hypersonics R&D. It's had a soft operating quarter, but the missile-supercycle backdrop and a fresh Stinger-replacement contract are the setup.

How the setup shakes out:

  • Q1 was genuinely soft: revenue grew just 0.3% year-on-year, operating margin was 11% (unchanged) — a stall by defense-prime standards, why the stock sits at only the 50th percentile of the 52-week range.
  • Valuation is defensible: 25x earnings, 17x EV/EBITDA, 1.6x sales, 4.7% FCF yield with a ~2.7% dividend on 17% ROIC — reasonable, with room if op margins improve toward the traditional 12-13%.
  • Stinger replacement is a specific catalyst: US Army selected Lockheed's NGSRI (Next-Generation Short-Range Interceptor) — a multi-decade programmatic win that adds a specific line to future backlog.
  • Tom Lee's open-market buy is a rare visible signal: a well-followed strategist personally owning LMT is the retail-plus-institutional bridge that tends to reprice cheap, boring names.
  • The $2.25B revolving credit facility (August 22) signals defensive liquidity — not a red flag, but worth noting.

The October 20 print is what breaks the stall — a return to mid-single-digit revenue growth with F-35 delivery cadence normalizing keeps the multiple stable; another sub-1% growth quarter with continued margin flatness keeps the stock stuck at the 50th percentile of the range.

Agrees with X sentimentAgree — the crowd's specific setup (Tom Lee open-market buy, Army NGSRI selection as Stinger replacement, AI-trading-bot initiating a position, defense-primes catch-up trade framing) all map to real signals; the honest counterweight is the 0.3% Q1 revenue growth that the sample doesn't emphasize.

What to watch: October 20 earnings — Q3 revenue growth needs to return to mid-single-digit and F-35 delivery cadence normalized; another flat quarter with margin flatness keeps the stock stuck at the 50th percentile of the range and cheap remains cheap.

On the calendar: 2026-10-20 — Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment22 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-31

Chatter runs bullish on defense stability, with Tom Lee and a ChatGPT trading bot both flagged as recent buyers, one calling LMT "a reasonable late-cycle, defense-heavy ballast." Bulls anchor on the "$230B record backlog," fresh $1.1B NASA awards and multibillion Patriot/THAAD contracts, with Iran/NATO tensions cited as background. The one meaningful cross-current is the Army opening NGSRI Stinger-replacement to a third bidder, framed by some as a "pressure tactic on price."

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $LMT

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  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Makes F-35 jets, Aegis missile defense, and hypersonic weapons as the US's largest defense contractor.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Aerospace & Defense sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $LMT.

Aerospace & Defense · Industrials

Defense budget tailwinds — NATO spending commitments and Pentagon procurement acceleration — support backlogs at prime contractors. Commercial space is a separate driver: launch cadence and satellite constellations are pulling RKLB and LUNR on their own momentum, independent of traditional defense spending.

What this means for $LMT

Partial — fee-based midstream revenue has limited direct commodity price exposure but volume ties to upstream production activity.

Top industry ETF

$ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
+16.3%YTD
+15.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
25.1How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
16.8%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
9.9%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
4.7%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
74.5%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
9.8%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
2.8Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 23, 2026$7.94$7.22+10.0%
Q1 2026Apr 23, 2026$6.44$6.74-4.5%
Q4 2025Jan 29, 2026$5.80$7.07-18.0%
Q3 2025Oct 21, 2025$6.95$6.38+8.9%
Next earningsTue, Oct 20·consensus EPS $7.56

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$18.0B+0.3%11.5%11.4%$6.47$-291.0M
Q4 FY25$20.3B+9.2%11.4%11.5%$5.82$2.8B
Q3 FY25$18.6B+8.8%12.0%12.3%$6.98$3.3B
Q2 FY25$18.2B+0.2%4.0%4.1%$1.46$-150.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 16 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$80.8B$79.7B – $82.0B$30.36$29.89 – $30.7515
FY27$85.4B$82.6B – $87.9B$32.63$31.18 – $34.5916
FY28$90.4B$83.9B – $94.1B$34.99$31.84 – $38.3116
FY29$91.3B$88.1B – $93.4B$37.52$35.83 – $38.6415
FY30$95.3B$92.0B – $97.5B$40.28$38.47 – $41.4915

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.5×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.50%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+2.3%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+1.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 230.6M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.3% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.115-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 13John DonovanDirector3.4K sh—SellAug 12Robert M LightfootPresident196 sh$118KSellAug 11Robert M LightfootPresident2.4K sh—SellMar 11Timothy S CahillPres. Missiles & Fire Control4.6K sh—
+ 8 other (5 awards · 1 discretionary · 1 gift · 1 exempt) in window

See when $LMT insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KMaterial agreementAug 288-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement
AI summary

Lockheed Martin entered into a new $2.25 billion 364-day unsecured revolving credit facility on August 22, 2026, with Bank of America as administrative agent and a syndicate of major financial institutions. The facility matures August 23, 2027 and includes an option to convert outstanding borrowings into a one-year term loan extending to August 2028; it replaces Lockheed’s prior revolving credit facility entered in December 2025. Interest is priced at SOFR plus an applicable margin tied to Lockheed’s credit ratings. The facility was undrawn at closing and provides Lockheed with a large, flexible liquidity backstop for general corporate purposes.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 103
AI summary

Orlando Sanchez Jr., President of Aeronautics at Lockheed Martin Corp., filed a Form 3 on June 1, 2026, reporting initial beneficial ownership upon becoming a reporting officer. He beneficially owns 460.226 shares of common stock held indirectly through the Lockheed Martin Salaried Savings Plan, plus multiple tranches of Restricted Stock Units (RSUs) that vest over time held directly. No 10% ownership is involved. Routine insider disclosure upon appointment to a reporting officer role — administrative, no market impact.

8-KShareholder voteMay 138-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

LMT held its Annual Meeting of stockholders around 2026-05-13 (8-K Item 5.07). The meeting was adjourned, likely due to insufficient quorum. Routine governance event — monitor for unusually high withhold votes as an activist signal.

S-3ASRAuto-shelf registrationApr 23S-3ASR
AI summary

LMT filed a S-3ASR (automatic shelf) shelf registration statement dated 2026-04-23. The shelf provides capacity to issue equity or debt as market conditions allow. No immediate capital raise is triggered; watch for prospectus supplements disclosing actual transactions.

+ 14 other (4 11-Ks · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 13Gs) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Pentagon Seeks To Accelerate Missile Production With New Agreementsforbes.com·6h agoPentagon signs 7-year deals to increase missile productionreuters.com·17h agoBeacon Pointe Advisors LLC Purchases 2,296 Shares of Lockheed Martin Corporation $LMTdefenseworld.net·3d agoLockheed Martin: The Missile Supercycle Could Drive A Re-Rating (Rating Upgrade)seekingalpha.com·3d agoLockheed Martin (LMT) Rises As Market Takes a Dip: Key Factszacks.com·5d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Space EconomyDefense & Drones

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Voices on X · top 15 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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