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KRKRMN

Karman Holdings Inc.

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 51% YoYStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesQuiet on X (55 mentions/wk)
$KRMN·$7.7B·Aerospace & Defense·Industrials
$41.45-9.0%YTD-27.3%1Y-23.1%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-22: 4 posts55+4%
Price updated 5h ago·X counts updated 9d ago
KRKRMN
$KRMNKarman Holdings Inc.
$41.45-9.04%55 posts+4%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $KRMN, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Comeback attemptWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-08-26

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Karman Holdings at 7% of 52-week range on defense-space theme — coiled setup at 0.618 fib with weekly MACD bullish flip.

Karman Holdings is a small-cap defense-space and aerospace-components manufacturer that has spent 2026 in a broken tape but is now setting up as a technical-coil turnaround with a specific fib-based entry level.

  • The technical setup is specific: bulls starting a position at the 0.618 fib and 50-DMA confluence after a -9% pullback (hourly RSI only twice lower in history), plus a clean 5-wave completion on lower timeframes and a weekly MACD bullish flip that historically produced 50%+ moves — that's a compact technical framework with multi-timeframe support.
  • The fundamentals justify a growth-multiple case: PE 219x trailing on 41% gross margin, 16% operating margin — the trailing multiple is elevated from the transition mix, but last two prints delivered EPS beats of 7% (Q2) and a small 9% miss (Q1); FY27 sell-side EPS at $0.65+ implies significant compression on execution.
  • The tape is coiled at absolute capitulation: at 7% of the 52-week range, 5% below the 50-day and 32% below the 200-day on 0.67x normal volume with beta 0.55 — that's a stock at absolute lows starting to build a base on a technical framework; Bank of America increasing position is the institutional-flow signal.

The path if this works is the Nov 5 Q3 print delivering another clean beat plus concrete defense-space contract commentary, taking the tape past $60. What breaks it further is a soft defense-order signal or another sequential quarterly miss — the KRMN-plus-KTOS 'promising-but-unconfirmed' framing captures the setup honestly.

Agrees with X sentimentThe X bulls have the technical setup right — starting a position at 0.618 fib and 50-DMA confluence after -9% pullback, hourly RSI only twice lower in history, clean 5-wave completion on lower timeframes, weekly MACD bullish flip historically producing 50%+ moves, KRMN paired with KTOS as promising-but-unconfirmed — and mechanics support the coiled turnaround setup at capitulation levels.

What to watch: Nov 5 Q3 print (sell-side EPS $0.15) — a clean beat plus concrete defense-space contract commentary extends the tape past $60; a soft defense-order signal or another sequential quarterly miss breaks the coil back to $35.

On the calendar: 2026-11-05 — Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment10 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-31

Karman chatter is constructive but visibly bruised, with traders framing the drawdown as a "last best chance to buy" alongside KTOS and RKLB. Charts anchor to fib and 50DMA support, while one holder is "down 13% since my buy last week." Fundamentals get cited approvingly: Q2 revenue up 58.2%, a record $1.3B backlog, raised 2026 guidance, and a CFO transition bringing in a Raytheon Missiles & Defense veteran.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $KRMN

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Designs and manufactures missile shrouds, rocket motor cases, and launch vehicle structures for defense and commercial space customers.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Aerospace & Defense sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $KRMN.

Aerospace & Defense · Industrials

Defense budget tailwinds — NATO spending commitments and Pentagon procurement acceleration — support backlogs at prime contractors. Commercial space is a separate driver: launch cadence and satellite constellations are pulling RKLB and LUNR on their own momentum, independent of traditional defense spending.

What this means for $KRMN

Partial — upstream oil & gas exposure ties to commodity price cycle; Karman Holdings Inc.

Top industry ETF

$ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
+16.3%YTD
+15.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
218.7How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
4.5%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
16.2%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-0.5%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
12.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
7.9%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
41.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
2.1Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 6, 2026$0.14$0.13+6.8%
Q1 2026May 12, 2026$0.11$0.12-9.4%
Q4 2025Mar 25, 2026$0.11$0.110.0%
Q3 2025Nov 6, 2025$0.10$0.11-10.5%
Next earningsThu, Nov 5·consensus EPS $0.15

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$151.2M+51.0%42.2%14.2%$0.06$-7.2M
Q4 FY25$134.5M+47.4%39.9%15.7%$0.06$4.0M
Q3 FY25$121.8M+41.7%41.0%17.9%$0.06$-6.8M
Q2 FY25$115.1M+35.3%40.9%17.5%$0.05$-21.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 8 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$731.6M$728.7M – $736.7M$0.58$0.46 – $0.648
FY27$932.1M$892.2M – $973.5M$0.92$0.83 – $1.007
FY28$1.2B$1.1B – $1.2B$1.27$1.15 – $1.475
FY29$1.4B$1.3B – $1.4B$0.00$0.00 – $0.002
FY30$1.6B$1.6B – $1.7B$0.00$0.00 – $0.002

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.6×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.0%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-19.0%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-42.5%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 29.6M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today14.3% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.555-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 13 other (13 awards) in window

See when $KRMN insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KMaterial agreementAug 288-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

Karman Holdings entered into a Sixth Amendment to its Credit Agreement (Citibank as administrative agent) on August 27, 2026, adding $100 million in incremental term loans to the existing facility, bringing total outstanding term loans to approximately $863.96M. The proceeds are designated to fund the acquisition of Walker Precision Engineering, a complementary aerospace/defense supplier. The amendment was executed concurrently with the closing of the Walker acquisition. The incremental debt increases Karman’s leverage but is acquisition-purpose funded, consistent with its inorganic growth strategy.

8-KOfficer or director changeAug 278-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Karman Holdings Inc. announced a CFO transition: Chris Boynton, a veteran aerospace and defense finance executive (formerly CFO at Battelle and senior finance leader at RTX/Raytheon), will join as EVP and CFO on September 14, 2026. Incumbent CFO Mike Willis will step down on the same date and depart by year-end following a transition. Boynton holds a CFA and MBA from Suffolk University with over 20 years of A&D financial leadership. This is a routine CFO change with an experienced successor.

8-KMaterial agreementAug 68-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

KARMAN HOLDINGS INC. (KRMN) entered into a material agreement with a counterparty on 2026-08-06, involving an undisclosed amount. . This is a material definitive agreement (Item 1.01) requiring immediate disclosure under SEC rules. Investors should review the agreement terms for financial obligations, dilution, or strategic implications.

8-KMaterial eventJun 118-K — Item 4.01
AI summary

Karman Holdings Inc. disclosed a change in its certifying accountant (Item 4.01) as of June 10, 2026. The Audit Committee dismissed Baker Tilly US, LLP and appointed PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as independent auditor for fiscal year ending December 31, 2026. Baker Tilly's prior audit reports contained no adverse opinions and no modifications; there were no disagreements or reportable events during the two most recent fiscal years or subsequent interim period. The auditor switch from a regional firm to a Big Four firm is a governance upgrade consistent with Karman's profile as a recently public aerospace and defense company.

8-KMaterial agreementJun 18-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

KRMN (KRMN) disclosed a material definitive agreement under Item 1.01, reporting a merger or acquisition transaction involving growth company as defined in Rule. The deal is valued at approximately $0. Details of the transaction terms, consideration structure, and closing conditions are set forth in the full 8-K filing. Definitive merger agreements are among the most material events a public company can disclose, triggering regulatory review and shareholder vote requirements.

S-3ASRAuto-shelf registrationMay 28S-3ASR
AI summary

Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) filed an automatic shelf registration statement (S-3ASR) with the SEC. The registration establishes a shelf to offer common stock from time to time. As an S-3ASR (automatic shelf), this registration is immediately effective upon filing — a privilege reserved for well-known seasoned issuers (WKSIs) with large public floats. The shelf registration does not commit the company to any specific offering but provides flexible capital markets access for future transactions.

3New insider — initial holdingsMay 203
AI summary

Doug Laurendeau, Chief Growth Officer of Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN), filed an initial Form 3 on May 6, 2026. No securities are listed in the beneficial ownership tables. This is a routine initial ownership filing required upon appointment as a new officer at Karman Holdings, the Huntington Beach, California-based aerospace and defense components manufacturer.

8-KShareholder voteMay 48-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) filed an 8-K reporting results of its annual shareholders' meeting under Item 5.07. Shareholders voted on routine governance matters including director elections, auditor ratification, and advisory vote on executive compensation. All management-supported proposals passed as expected. Detailed vote tallies for each proposal are included in the filing.

+ 15 other (3 earnings 8-Ks · 3 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 8-Ks) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Karman Space & Defense to Participate in Upcoming Investor Conferencesbusinesswire.com·8h agoWhy Karman Holdings Stock Was Sliding This Weekfool.com·4d agoKarman Holdings: A Much More Constructive Situationseekingalpha.com·4d agoKarman Space & Defense Announces Planned CFO Transitionbusinesswire.com·5d agoInvesco Discovery Mid Cap Growth Fund Q2 2026 Portfolio Performanceseekingalpha.com·9d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Space EconomyDefense & Drones

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Voices on X · top 12 · last 7 days

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