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KRKRMN

Karman Holdings Inc.

$KRMN·$4.3B·Aerospace & Defense·Industrials
$33.90+12.5%YTD-59.4%1Y-55.4%
Price updated 12h ago·X counts updated 4d ago
KRKRMN
$KRMNKarman Holdings Inc.
$33.90+12.48%62 posts0.9×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

Top X posts

The complete picture of $KRMN on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

62X posts · last 7 days
Sep 28Oct 11
Chatter Meter
0.9×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $KRMN's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level.

Bearish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data6 posts analyzed · as of 2026-09-16

Karman is one of the ugliest tapes in the window, approaching a 70% drawdown from peak with eight consecutive red candles and a break of the 0.786 fib triggering another 16% leg lower. Holders are tax-loss-harvesting rather than adding, one asks openly whether the company is committing fraud, and the last bull leans on "$34-$35 has to hold" and stop-loss discipline. No fresh catalyst is being cited.

Read what X is saying about $KRMN

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $KRMN — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Broken storySelling offAI verdict · as of 2026-10-03

Falling on heavy selling — points lower unless it turns around.

Karman down 70% from peak with eight red candles — a space-defense name where the thesis has cracked.

Karman Holdings is a space-and-defense name whose 2026 drawdown has been severe — tax-loss selling, questions about fundamentals, and the chart in pure distribution. The underlying business is still growing, but the market has stopped trusting the structural setup.

  • The P&L still shows revenue growth: Q2 revenue grew 51% YoY to $151M at a 14.2% operating margin and $0.06 EPS, with trailing EPS beats of 6.8% and miss of 9.4% — the business isn't cratering, but EPS is small-dollar enough that even consistent surprises don't drive the stock.
  • The specific tape is unambiguous: eight consecutive red candles plus a break of the 0.786 fib triggering another 16% leg lower, with holders tax-loss-harvesting and one openly asking whether the company is committing fraud — these are the sentiment signals of a stock that has lost its narrative footing.

At 3% of its 52-week range and 50% below the 200-day going into Nov 5 earnings, this is a textbook broken-story. A clean operating-margin print plus specific contract-pipeline disclosure is the trigger for a potential reversal; another concerning cash-flow signal or any fraud-related news flow confirms the breaking-down trajectory.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bearish eight-red-candles-plus-fraud-question framing is grounded on specific tape dynamics. The $34-$35 'has to hold' line is a reasonable technical sizing marker. Honest coverage of real tape distress.

What to watch: Nov 5 Q3 earnings — operating margin direction, contract backlog, free cash flow, and FY27 guide. Clean backlog plus FCF stabilization is the trigger; cash-flow deterioration is the invalidation.

On the calendar: 2026-11-05 — Q3 earnings

event ahead 30dtape distress

Read the AI verdict on $KRMN

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Designs and manufactures missile shrouds, rocket motor cases, and launch vehicle structures for defense and commercial space customers.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Aerospace & Defense sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $KRMN.

Aerospace & Defense · Industrials

No material change from last week — Defense procurement backlogs remain intact on NATO 2% GDP commitments.

What this means for $KRMN

Direct beneficiary — Designs and manufactures missile shrouds, rocket motor cases, and launch vehicle structures for defense and commercial space customers.

Top industry ETF

$ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
-5.3%YTD
-0.4%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
218.7How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
4.5%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
16.2%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-0.5%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
12.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
7.9%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
41.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
2.1Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 6, 2026$0.14$0.13+6.8%
Q1 2026May 12, 2026$0.11$0.12-9.4%
Q4 2025Mar 25, 2026$0.11$0.110.0%
Q3 2025Nov 6, 2025$0.10$0.11-10.5%
Next earningsThu, Nov 5·consensus EPS $0.15

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$151.2M+51.0%42.2%14.2%$0.06$-7.2M
Q4 FY25$134.5M+47.4%39.9%15.7%$0.06$4.0M
Q3 FY25$121.8M+41.7%41.0%17.9%$0.06$-6.8M
Q2 FY25$115.1M+35.3%40.9%17.5%$0.05$-21.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 8 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$741.4M$736.2M – $749.8M$0.59$0.53 – $0.628
FY27$949.9M$928.0M – $970.0M$0.95$0.91 – $1.018
FY28$1.2B$1.2B – $1.3B$1.37$1.13 – $1.616
FY29$1.4B$1.3B – $1.4B$0.00$0.00 – $0.004
FY30$1.6B$1.6B – $1.7B$0.00$0.00 – $0.003

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.3×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.5%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-19.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-49.3%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 29.6M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today16.3% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.555-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Cluster buy3 insiders bought shares in the last 30 days.

Recent transactions

BuySep 16Mary D PetryszynDirector500 sh$19KBuySep 16Stephen TwittyDirector275 sh$10KBuySep 16David StinnettDirector27.0K sh$1.0M
+ 14 other (14 awards) in window

See when $KRMN insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDSep 168-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) filed an 8-K under Item 7.01 (Reg FD disclosure) on September 16, 2026, furnishing investor presentation materials or other fair-disclosure communications. The excerpt shows only the cover page with no detail on the topic covered. Reg FD filings of this type are typically administrative accompaniments to investor days or earnings calls.

3New insider — initial holdingsSep 153
AI summary

Chris Michael Boynton, Chief Financial Officer of Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN), filed an initial Form 3 dated September 14, 2026 reporting no securities beneficially owned at the time of filing. This is a routine administrative insider-ownership disclosure upon appointment as CFO; no material business events are implied.

8-KMaterial agreementAug 288-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

Karman Holdings entered into a Sixth Amendment to its Credit Agreement (Citibank as administrative agent) on August 27, 2026, adding $100 million in incremental term loans to the existing facility, bringing total outstanding term loans to approximately $863.96M. The proceeds are designated to fund the acquisition of Walker Precision Engineering, a complementary aerospace/defense supplier. The amendment was executed concurrently with the closing of the Walker acquisition. The incremental debt increases Karman’s leverage but is acquisition-purpose funded, consistent with its inorganic growth strategy.

8-KOfficer or director changeAug 278-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Karman Holdings Inc. announced a CFO transition: Chris Boynton, a veteran aerospace and defense finance executive (formerly CFO at Battelle and senior finance leader at RTX/Raytheon), will join as EVP and CFO on September 14, 2026. Incumbent CFO Mike Willis will step down on the same date and depart by year-end following a transition. Boynton holds a CFA and MBA from Suffolk University with over 20 years of A&D financial leadership. This is a routine CFO change with an experienced successor.

8-KMaterial agreementAug 68-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

KARMAN HOLDINGS INC. (KRMN) entered into a material agreement with a counterparty on 2026-08-06, involving an undisclosed amount. . This is a material definitive agreement (Item 1.01) requiring immediate disclosure under SEC rules. Investors should review the agreement terms for financial obligations, dilution, or strategic implications.

8-KMaterial eventJun 118-K — Item 4.01
AI summary

Karman Holdings Inc. disclosed a change in its certifying accountant (Item 4.01) as of June 10, 2026. The Audit Committee dismissed Baker Tilly US, LLP and appointed PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as independent auditor for fiscal year ending December 31, 2026. Baker Tilly's prior audit reports contained no adverse opinions and no modifications; there were no disagreements or reportable events during the two most recent fiscal years or subsequent interim period. The auditor switch from a regional firm to a Big Four firm is a governance upgrade consistent with Karman's profile as a recently public aerospace and defense company.

8-KMaterial agreementJun 18-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

KRMN (KRMN) disclosed a material definitive agreement under Item 1.01, reporting a merger or acquisition transaction involving growth company as defined in Rule. The deal is valued at approximately $0. Details of the transaction terms, consideration structure, and closing conditions are set forth in the full 8-K filing. Definitive merger agreements are among the most material events a public company can disclose, triggering regulatory review and shareholder vote requirements.

S-3ASRAuto-shelf registrationMay 28S-3ASR
AI summary

Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) filed an automatic shelf registration statement (S-3ASR) with the SEC. The registration establishes a shelf to offer common stock from time to time. As an S-3ASR (automatic shelf), this registration is immediately effective upon filing — a privilege reserved for well-known seasoned issuers (WKSIs) with large public floats. The shelf registration does not commit the company to any specific offering but provides flexible capital markets access for future transactions.

+ 9 other (3 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 1 3) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Karman (NYSE:KRMN) Hits New 12-Month Low – Here’s Whydefenseworld.net·13d ago3 Space Stocks to Buy in Octoberfool.com·16d agoKarman (NYSE:KRMN) and L3Harris Technologies (NYSE:LHX) Head to Head Analysisdefenseworld.net·16d agoDavid Stinnett Purchases 27,000 Karman Holdings Shares for $1 Million. Is the Defense Contractor Now a Buy?fool.com·17d agoAnalysts Warn the Entire Space Trade Is Sitting in Neutral Waiting on One Rocket247wallst.com·22d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Space EconomyDefense & Drones

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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