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GCGCTS

GCT Semiconductor Holding, Inc.

$GCTS·$141M·Semiconductors·Technology
$2.39+1.7%YTD+88.2%1Y+73.2%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-08: 9 posts2026-07-09: 13 posts2026-07-10: 13 posts2026-07-11: 6 posts2026-07-12: 14 posts2026-07-13: 16 posts2026-07-14: 10 posts82+24%
Price updated 11h ago·X counts updated 11h ago
GCGCTS
$GCTSGCT Semiconductor Holding, Inc.
$2.39+1.70%82 posts+24%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $GCTS, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Driven by hypeWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-07-15

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

GCT Semiconductor is +88% YTD on the 5G/6G Anywan chipset supercycle thesis — MaxLinear 5G FWA partnership 5/27, but $120M ATM overhang caps the trade.

GCT Semiconductor is a $141M fabless 5G/LTE-modem/RF-chipset company. Shares at $2.39, up 88.2% YTD and 73.2% over twelve months, sitting 0.48 through the 52-week range and 49% above the 200-day.

  • Fundamentals reflect small operating base with lumpy revenue: Q1 revenue $1.92M (+287% yoy off a tiny base), 49% gross margin, op margin -319%, EPS -$0.15 (a 15.4% miss). Four-quarter revenue trend: $1.18M → $430K → $758K → $1.92M — highly volatile. FY26 consensus $21.6M revenue growing to $77.8M in 2027 and $170.6M in 2028 — the ramp is 2H2026/2027 dependent.
  • 5/27 8-K/press: MaxLinear partnership to develop next-gen 5G FWA and converged gateways — real strategic tell that supports the acceleration.
  • 6/18 8-K: Q2 earnings reported. 6/18 424B5: ATM offering expanded by $45M to $120M total ($2.61 reference) with B. Riley/HC Wainwright as agents. That's a real dilution overhang on $141M market cap.
  • 7/2 A-Awards: six directors received 9,259-share grants each (nominal comp).
  • Structural: low float (44M), beta 1.78, volume 0.22x 30-day norm (very quiet), position 0.48 in 52w range.
  • X sentiment is loudly bullish: massive buying volume signaling Anywan 5G/6G order flow, JPM view that comms chips are starting new 6G/Global Connectivity supercycle, GCTS framed alongside MXL and AIJR as strong 3-month runners, entries from $1.37 in April now above $3.

Next dated read is Q3 on 8/11 with consensus EPS -$0.08. Revenue growth continuation (needs to exceed $2M), 5G FWA customer names, MaxLinear-partnership revenue, and ATM issuance pace is the substance; ongoing dilution caps the momentum.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bullish X read (5G/6G supercycle, MaxLinear partnership, ~2x from April entries) matches the tape. The $120M ATM overhang on $141M market cap is the honest counterweight to the momentum.

What to watch: Q3 print 8/11: revenue vs prior quarter trend, MaxLinear-partnership revenue quantification, ATM issuance pace, and named 5G FWA customer wins. Watch for pace of Anywan order backlog.

On the calendar: 2026-08-11 — Q3 2026 earnings (consensus EPS -$0.08)

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment10 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-07

GCT Semiconductor chatter is dominated by massive buying volume signaling significant Anywan 5G/6G order flow, with posters citing JPM's view that comms chips are starting a new supercycle into 6G and Global Connectivity. Subscribers cite entries from $1.37 in April now over $3. GCTS is framed alongside MXL and AIJR as strong 3-month runners.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $GCTS

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Fabless semiconductor company designing RF and modem chips for 4G/5G wireless devices and IoT applications.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Semiconductors sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $GCTS.

Semiconductors · Technology

No material change from last week — structural AI capex engine unchanged: hyperscaler Blackwell allocation stays tight through 2H26 and HBM3e pricing holds as LLM context-window expansion drives 5-8x per-server memory demand uplift.

What this means for $GCTS

Neutral — Fabless semiconductor company designing RF and modem chips for 4G/5G wireless devices and IoT applications; the AI capex and HBM/compute demand cycle does not materially affect this business's near-term earnings.

Top industry ETF

$SMHVanEck Semiconductor ETF
+62.7%YTD
+110.4%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-3.9How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
67.6%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-8.1%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-20.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
36.3Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
60.2%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
-22.3%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
-0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 12, 2026$-0.15$-0.13-15.4%
Q4 2025Mar 25, 2026$-0.15$-0.22+31.8%
Q3 2025Nov 12, 2025$-0.25$-0.19-31.6%
Q2 2025Aug 12, 2025$-0.26$-0.14-85.7%
Next earningsTue, Aug 11·consensus EPS $-0.08

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$1.9M+287.1%49.3%-319%$-0.15$-7.5M
Q4 FY25$758K-57.5%-163%-1577%$-0.16$-8.5M
Q3 FY25$430K-83.5%-244%-2152%$-0.25$-7.8M
Q2 FY25$1.2M-19.5%32.0%-642%$-0.26$-8.7M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 2 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$21.6M$18.1M – $25.0M-$0.29-$0.36 – -$0.222
FY27$77.8M$60.7M – $95.0M-$0.04-$0.06 – -$0.012
FY28$170.6M$135.2M – $205.9M$0.36$0.26 – $0.461

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.2×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.48%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-5.8%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+49.0%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 44.1M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.1% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.785-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 13 other (12 awards · 1 gift) in window

See when $GCTS insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Jun 18424B5
AI summary

GCT Semiconductor (GCTS) filed a 424B5 prospectus supplement increasing its ATM offering program by $45 million to a total of $120 million, with B. Riley Securities and HC Wainwright as distribution agents at a 3.0% commission. Shares were priced at approximately $2.61 at the time of filing. This incremental increase reflects ongoing at-the-market equity financing activity.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Mar 30424B5
AI summary

GCTS filed a 424B5 prospectus supplement dated 2026-03-30, representing an active capital markets transaction. This represents immediate dilution to existing shareholders.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Mar 2424B5
8-KMaterial agreementFeb 258-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement
+ 9 other (3 earnings 8-Ks · 2 routine 8-Ks · 2 13Gs · 1 10-Q) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

GCT Semiconductor Announces Strategic Commitment to Powering the AI-Edge Data Pipelinebusinesswire.com·22d agoMaxLinear and GCT Semiconductor Partner to Develop Next-Generation 5G FWA and Converged Gatewaysbusinesswire.com·49d agoGCT Semiconductor Holding, Inc. (GCTS) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·63d agoGCT Semiconductor Q1 Earnings Call Highlightsmarketbeat.com·63d agoGCT Semiconductor Holding, Inc. Provides Business Update and Reports First Quarter 2026 Financial Resultsbusinesswire.com·64d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $GCTS on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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