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FTFTAI

FTAI Aviation Ltd.

$FTAI·$22B·Aerospace & Defense·Industrials
$194.98-2.2%YTD+12.1%1Y+25.5%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-21: 10 posts2026-08-22: 4 posts86+5%
Price updated 3d ago·X counts updated 9d ago
FTFTAI
$FTAIFTAI Aviation Ltd.
$194.98-2.23%86 posts+5%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $FTAI, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Driven by hypeWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-08-29

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

FTAI with Morgan Stanley Top Pick $360 target and the behind-the-meter Power thesis — aerospace-and-energy name coiled on a specific upgrade.

FTAI Aviation is a diversified aerospace and infrastructure company — commercial jet engines and airframe leasing, Aerospace Products segment, Sustainability, plus a growing Power (behind-the-meter energy) business. The setup is a hot-momentum name coiled on a specific analyst-upgrade catalyst.

  • The MS Top Pick upgrade is the specific catalyst: Morgan Stanley upgraded to Top Pick with a PT raised to $360, framing the growth story across Aerospace Products, SCI, and Power — the crowd flags the Power business as misunderstood by the market with an asymmetric R/R at $209, and NVDA commentary is cited as bullish for the behind-the-meter thesis.
  • The Q2 print was a small miss: EPS came in at $1.13 vs a $1.36 consensus (a ~17% miss), revenue at $953M was below, but Q1 revenue grew 65% YoY to $831M and the sell side models FY revenue climbing from ~$3.65B this year to ~$5.87B in 2027 and ~$7.15B in 2028 — a real acceleration underway even after the Q2 hiccup.
  • The insider signal is a positive one-off: officer David Moreno made a $498K open-market P-Purchase on July 31 (small in absolute terms but a fresh buy signal), while director Ray Robinson made a routine 3.7K-share Gift — a small but favorable insider tilt.

The setup is a hot-momentum aerospace-and-energy compounder coiled on the MS Top Pick $360 upgrade plus behind-the-meter Power thesis — the October 26 Q3 print is the referee, and the market needs a clean beat plus updated Power segment revenue disclosure. A clean beat plus a named Power hyperscaler contract breaks the coil up toward $260; another quarter of guide-in-line with soft Power commentary or Aerospace Products deceleration cools the tape from current levels.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bullish X read on Morgan Stanley's upgrade to Top Pick with PT raise to $360, the framing of the growth story across Aerospace Products, SCI, and Power, the asymmetric R/R at $209, the Power business misunderstood by the market, and the NVDA commentary being bullish for the behind-the-meter thesis is factually consistent with the announcement and analyst commentary.

What to watch: The October 26 Q3 earnings — need a clean EPS beat, updated Power segment revenue disclosure, and reiterated FY26 revenue guide toward the $3.65B consensus. Another quarter of guide-in-line with soft Power commentary or Aerospace Products deceleration cools the tape from current levels; a clean beat plus a named Power hyperscaler contract breaks the coil up toward $260.

On the calendar: 2026-10-26 — Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment8 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-30

Analysts and long-form pitchers are enthusiastic, describing FTAI as misunderstood and building a flywheel across its aerospace parts business and the newer Power segment. Posters cite behind-the-meter power with a two-week install versus 18 months, redundancy from stacked 25MW units, and the PMA-blade FAA gate as durable moats, arguing NVDA commentary reinforces the setup. Multiple recent write-ups from named research accounts are circulating.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $FTAI

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Leases commercial aircraft and engines and sells aerospace MRO products including proprietary module engine repair programs.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Aerospace & Defense sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $FTAI.

Aerospace & Defense · Industrials

Defense budget tailwinds — NATO spending commitments and Pentagon procurement acceleration — support backlogs at prime contractors. Commercial space is a separate driver: launch cadence and satellite constellations are pulling RKLB and LUNR on their own momentum, independent of traditional defense spending.

What this means for $FTAI

Partial — upstream oil & gas exposure ties to commodity price cycle; FTAI Aviation Ltd.

Top industry ETF

$ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
+16.3%YTD
+16.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
44.7How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
16.3%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
28.2%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-5.8%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
8.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
181%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
31.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
8.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 29, 2026$1.13$1.36-16.9%
Q1 2026Apr 29, 2026$1.29$1.50-14.0%
Q4 2025Feb 25, 2026$1.08$1.24-12.9%
Q3 2025Oct 27, 2025$1.10$1.21-9.1%
Next earningsMon, Oct 26·consensus EPS $1.58

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$830.7M+65.5%22.8%22.5%$1.31$-166.7M
Q4 FY25$662.0M+31.6%28.8%28.5%$1.09$-873.9M
Q3 FY25$667.1M+42.1%37.3%31.2%$1.11$-87.9M
Q2 FY25$676.2M+51.2%37.2%31.8%$1.58$-262.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 6 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$3.7B$3.3B – $4.0B$6.46$4.92 – $7.636
FY27$5.9B$5.1B – $6.6B$13.40$10.19 – $15.816
FY28$7.1B$4.8B – $8.8B$18.84$13.65 – $25.186
FY29$9.1B$7.4B – $10.4B$28.55$21.71 – $33.695
FY30$13.6B$11.1B – $15.5B$49.16$37.39 – $58.023

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.30%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-11.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-14.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 101.4M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.1% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.585-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuyJul 31David MorenoPresident2.5K sh$498KSellMay 27Judith A HannawayDirector255 sh$65KSellMay 4Martin TuchmanDirector110.7K sh$26.7MSellMay 1Martin TuchmanDirector143.6K sh$34.8M
+ 28 other (17 awards · 9 inkinds · 1 gift · 1 exempt) in window

See when $FTAI insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KShareholder voteMay 298-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

FTAI Aviation Ltd. held its 2026 Annual General Meeting on May 28, 2026 at which shareholders voted on director elections and other matters. Three Class I directors were re-elected to serve until the 2029 Annual General Meeting. Vote tallies are provided in the filing. This is a routine annual meeting governance disclosure.

S-3ASRAuto-shelf registrationMay 1S-3ASR
AI summary

FTAI filed a S-3ASR (automatic shelf) shelf registration statement dated 2026-05-01. The shelf provides capacity to issue equity or debt as market conditions allow. No immediate capital raise is triggered; watch for prospectus supplements disclosing actual transactions.

8-KMaterial agreementApr 308-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

FTAI entered into a credit agreement (8-K Item 1.01, dated 2026-04-30). Size: approximately $2,025,000,000. Material definitive agreement — investors should review the full exhibit for covenants, conditions, and use of proceeds.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 163
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 163
8-KOfficer or director changeMar 68-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 15 other (6 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Beyond Big Tech: 3 Non-Tech Earnings Winners to Watchmarketbeat.com·6d agoA Look at FTAI Aviation Ltd (FTAI) After 5.4% Decline -- GF Value $237.50 vs Price $198.42gurufocus.com·7d agoBehind-the-Meter Energy Stocks Fall Tuesday: FTAI Aviation Down 7%, GE Vernova Down 6%, Caterpillar Down 4%247wallst.com·13d agoFTAI Closes $2.0 Billion Warehouse Financing Facility for Strategic Capital's Second Investment Vehicleglobenewswire.com·14d agoGet Paid by September 1st with These 4 Dividend Stocks. But There's a Catch.247wallst.com·25d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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