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EMEMBJ

Embraer S.A.

$EMBJ·$14B·Aerospace & Defense·Industrials
$71.56-1.4%1Y+24.6%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-22: 0 posts2026-08-23: 0 posts2026-08-24: 0 posts7-15%
Price updated 10h ago·X counts updated 7d ago
EMEMBJ
$EMBJEmbraer S.A.
$71.56-1.35%7 posts-15%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $EMBJ, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-08-20

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Brazilian regional-jet and defense-aircraft maker riding the same aerospace supercycle as Boeing/Airbus — cheaper valuation, same tailwind.

Embraer is Brazil's national aerospace champion — E-Jet regional airliners (E175, E195-E2), business jets (Phenom, Praetor, Legacy), defense platforms (KC-390, Super Tucano), and eVTOL work through the Eve subsidiary. The stock is up 39% over the last year on the same aerospace-cycle tailwind lifting the whole sector.

The setup that's compounding:

  • The Q2 print was a full validation: revenue grew 16% year-on-year to $11.6B (in reais) and EPS of $6.24 came in exactly 100% above the $0.61 consensus — regional-jet and defense deliveries both stepped up materially, driven by the E195-E2 order book conversion.
  • The mix shift into higher-margin work is the real story: operating margin lifted to 12% in Q2 from 8% a year ago — as defense and executive-jet mix rises against regional-jet mix, the through-cycle margin trends upward, which is why the FY28 consensus EPS at $4.42 is 60% above FY26.
  • The valuation is where Embraer differs from Boeing/Airbus: 30x trailing earnings and 15x EV-to-EBITDA, versus 40-60x for its US/EU peers — the emerging-market discount is real but shrinking as the KC-390 wins international competitions (already Portugal, Netherlands, Austria, Czech Republic).

Trajectory is accelerating at 89% of the 52-week range with fresh all-time highs on the Q2 print; the Nov 10 Q3 earnings needs another double-digit revenue growth print plus reaffirmed FY26 guide to sustain the multiple compression against Boeing/Airbus — a Brazilian real weakness or a KC-390 win loss breaks the setup.

What to watch: Nov 10 Q3 earnings — double-digit revenue growth continued plus reaffirmed FY26 guide sustains the multiple-compression trade against Boeing/Airbus; a Brazilian real weakness or an unexpected KC-390 competitive loss breaks the setup back toward the emerging-market discount.

On the calendar: 2026-11-10 — Q3 2026 earnings

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Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $EMBJ

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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Brazilian aircraft manufacturer making regional commercial jets, executive business jets, and military aviation platforms.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Aerospace & Defense sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $EMBJ.

Aerospace & Defense · Industrials

Defense budget tailwinds — NATO spending commitments and Pentagon procurement acceleration — support backlogs at prime contractors. Commercial space is a separate driver: launch cadence and satellite constellations are pulling RKLB and LUNR on their own momentum, independent of traditional defense spending.

What this means for $EMBJ

Partial — upstream oil & gas exposure ties to commodity price cycle; Embraer SA engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of a.

Top industry ETF

$ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
+16.3%YTD
+15.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
29.9How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
7.0%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
8.3%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
7.6%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
12.8%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
17.9%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.8Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 10, 2026$1.22$0.61+100.0%
Q1 2026May 8, 2026$0.16$0.29-44.8%
Q4 2025Mar 6, 2026$0.83$0.17+388.2%
Q3 2025Nov 4, 2025$0.64$0.61+4.3%
Next earningsTue, Nov 10·consensus EPS $0.80

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$11.6B+16.3%19.9%12.1%$6.24$1.9B
Q1 FY26$7.4B+15.5%18.0%5.1%$0.92$-2.4B
Q4 FY25$14.5B+1.6%16.7%8.0%$2.40$4.2B
Q3 FY25$10.9B+17.5%17.2%9.4%$3.40$1.1B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 8 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$8.5B$8.4B – $8.5B$2.81$2.70 – $3.018
FY27$9.5B$9.4B – $9.6B$3.71$3.31 – $4.208
FY28$10.4B$10.1B – $11.0B$4.42$4.28 – $4.795
FY29$10.4B$10.2B – $11.1B$4.11$3.97 – $4.456
FY30$11.1B$10.9B – $11.9B$4.61$4.46 – $4.996

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.1×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.66%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+4.0%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+8.9%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 3 other (3 awards) in window

See when $EMBJ insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsApr 233
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 233
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 203
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 193
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 193
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
+ 45 other (31 6-Ks · 8 3s · 3 13Gs · 1 SD) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Is Embraer (EMBJ) a Solid Growth Stock? 3 Reasons to Think "Yes"zacks.com·14d agoEMBJ or RTX: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?zacks.com·14d agoAre Aerospace Stocks Lagging EmbraerEmpresa Brasileira de Aeronautica (EMBJ) This Year?zacks.com·14d agoEmbraer Q2: Strong Stock Momentum Likely To Persist, Reiterate Buyseekingalpha.com·15d agoWhy Embraer (EMBJ) is a Top Value Stock for the Long-Termzacks.com·19d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Defense & Drones

More in Aerospace & Defense

Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

$SPCX$RKLB$AIR$HEI$FLY$RDW$LUNR$HAWK
Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $EMBJ on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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