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CVCVI

CVR Energy, Inc.

$CVI·$6.2B·Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing·Energy
$59.89-2.5%YTD+145.5%1Y+84.5%
Price updated 8m ago·X counts updated 8d ago
CVCVI
$CVICVR Energy, Inc.
$59.89-2.49%60 posts0.9×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $CVI on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

60X posts · last 7 days
Oct 1Oct 11
Chatter Meter
0.9×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $CVI's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level.

AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $CVI — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Driven by hypeAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-10-03

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

CVR Energy up 118% YTD with Carl Icahn adding 69M shares to his own company — the refining-plus-fertilizer play has run hard.

CVR Energy is Carl Icahn's refining-plus-fertilizer conglomerate (CVR Partners is the fertilizer stub). The 2026 outperformance reflects both refining-cycle strength and specific insider-conviction positioning.

  • The P&L is firing but uneven: Q2 revenue grew 55% YoY to $2.74B at a slim 2.8% operating margin and EPS of -$0.03, with trailing EPS surprises of +31.7% and -130% — the earnings swings reflect refining-margin cycle plus specific tax-driven accounting.
  • The specific insider signal is unusual: Carl Icahn adding nearly 69 million shares of his own company last quarter — this is a historically-notable insider move, and State Street also increased its position, both coordinated institutional conviction datapoints.

At 96% of its 52-week range and 70% above the 200-day going into Nov 4 earnings, the setup is confirmed-breakout rather than a coil. A clean refining-margin print plus continued fertilizer segment acceleration is the trigger for continuation; a sharp crack-spread compression or any Icahn-dilution signal is the first warning. The GF Score 58 is a reasonable valuation hedge.

What to watch: Nov 4 Q3 earnings — refining margin, fertilizer segment, operating margin direction, and FY27 guide. Clean refining plus fertilizer strength is the trigger; crack-spread compression is the invalidation.

On the calendar: 2026-11-04 — Q3 earnings

event ahead 30dinsider concentration

Read the AI verdict on $CVI

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Operates two Kansas crude-oil refineries and, via CVR Partners, nitrogen fertilizer plants, deriving most profit from refining margin spreads.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $CVI.

Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · Energy

No material change from last week — Crude above $100/bbl tightening refined product markets and sustaining refinery crack spreads above mid-cycle.

What this means for $CVI

Partial — Operates two Kansas crude-oil refineries and, via CVR Partners, nitrogen fertilizer plants, deriving most profit from refining margin spreads.

Top industry ETF

$CRAKVanEck Oil Refiners ETF
+77.4%YTD
+84.9%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
63.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
3.4%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
1.6%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
7.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
10.5%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
3.4%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
3.4Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 29, 2026$0.34$0.26+31.7%
Q1 2026Apr 29, 2026$-1.24$-0.54-129.6%
Q4 2025Feb 18, 2026$-0.80$-0.84+4.8%
Q3 2025Oct 29, 2025$0.40$0.20+100.0%
Next earningsWed, Nov 4·consensus EPS $2.76

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$2.7B+55.5%4.3%2.8%$-0.03$264.0M
Q1 FY26$2.0B+20.3%-14.5%-16.5%$-1.91$17.0M
Q4 FY25$1.8B-7.0%-5.5%-7.3%$-1.09$-55.0M
Q3 FY25$1.9B+6.1%28.7%26.5%$3.72$120.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 4 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$9.2B$8.9B – $9.5B$3.24$1.61 – $4.844
FY27$7.8B$7.0B – $8.6B$4.24$3.97 – $4.504
FY28$7.6B$6.9B – $8.4B$2.72$2.40 – $3.183
FY29$8.0B$7.3B – $9.1B$3.25$2.87 – $3.791
FY30$8.3B$7.5B – $9.3B$0.55$0.48 – $0.642

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.6×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.95%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+29.4%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+80.9%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 29.3M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.905-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDSep 88-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

CVR Energy (CVI) filed a Regulation FD disclosure noting it will use an investor presentation in meetings beginning September 8, 2026. The presentation is attached as an exhibit; no new financial guidance or material transaction is disclosed in the filing body.

8-KPress release / Reg FDJul 298-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

CVR Energy (CVI) announced results for the three months ended June 30, 2026, via press release (Exhibit 99.1) filed July 29, 2026. Actual financial figures — earnings, refining margins, fertilizer results — are in the press release exhibit, not restated in the form body. The filing was signed by Interim CFO Richard J. Roberts Jr. Routine quarterly earnings disclosure for the petroleum refining and nitrogen fertilizer company.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 263
8-KOfficer or director changeJun 238-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 8.01: Other event
8-KShareholder voteJun 58-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 128-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KPress release / Reg FDApr 298-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 2 other (2 10-Qs) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Top 3 Energy Stocks That May Fall Off A Cliff In Octoberbenzinga.com·6d agoWhy CVR (CVI) Might be Well Poised for a Surgezacks.com·6d agoIs CVR Energy (CVI) Stock Outpacing Its Oils-Energy Peers This Year?zacks.com·6d agoCVR Energy Should Keep Flowing Higherseekingalpha.com·7d agoContrasting Alvopetro Energy (OTCMKTS:ALVOF) & CVR Energy (NYSE:CVI)defenseworld.net·9d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $CVI on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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