TickerTalks
Browse all tickers →
TickerTalks›$COTY
COCOTY

Coty Inc.

$COTY·$2.5B·Household & Personal Products·Consumer Defensive
$2.85+3.6%YTD-14.1%1Y-42.9%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-07: 4 posts2026-08-08: 1 posts2026-08-09: 3 posts2026-08-10: 9 posts2026-08-11: 8 posts2026-08-12: 5 posts2026-08-13: 6 posts36-3%
Price updated 1d ago·X counts updated 2d ago
COCOTY
$COTYCoty Inc.
$2.85+3.64%36 posts-3%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
Loading…

AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $COTY, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Broken storySelling offAI verdict · as of 2026-08-15

Falling on heavy selling — points lower unless it turns around.

Coty is the beauty-brand licensor -43% t12m — Q3 EPS miss -3070%, revenue -1.3% YoY, 4 consecutive misses, Aug 19 print is the event.

Coty is a diversified beauty operator (fragrance, color cosmetics, skin/body) with two segments (Prestige and Consumer Beauty) — the equity is a broken-story name breaking down on the specific 4-miss pattern with the Aug 19 print looming.

  • Q3 was a massive miss: EPS -$0.03 vs $0.001 estimate (-3070%), revenue $1.28B vs $1.27B — the earnings miss is the specific fact pattern of margin collapse against consensus.
  • 4 consecutive misses: Q3 -3070%, Q2 -22%, Q1 -20%, Q4 2025 -600% — sustained credibility break with analysts.
  • Position at 32% of 52w with stock +20% above 50d MA and +7% above 200d MA — technical bounce off lows, YTD -14%, t12m -43%.
  • Fundamentals show mixed franchise quality: 61% GM but weak 6% op margin, 18% FCF yield at $2.5B market-cap — cash generation still real.
  • Analyst EPS $0.22 FY26 → $0.35 FY27 → $0.38 FY28 → $0.33 FY29 — modest recovery trajectory but low visibility.
  • Kuehn Law investigation announcement (7/27) — litigation overhang emerging.
  • 'Coty Refocusing Its Business With the Gucci Beauty Exit' (7/8) — real portfolio-simplification event.

August 19 is the next print with -$0.007 EPS estimate — a fifth miss and guidance cut cements broken-story; a clean beat with portfolio-refocus commentary starts to repair credibility. The real risk on 4 straight misses with a $1.15B D/E and litigation overhang is another disappointing quarter drives a structural rerating.

What to watch: August 19 Q4 print — margin trajectory and any raised/reaffirmed FY27 guidance. A clean beat with portfolio commentary starts repair; fifth miss cements broken-story.

On the calendar: 2026-08-19 — Q4 earnings

no sentimentlitigation active

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $COTY

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Beauty company manufacturing fragrances, color cosmetics, and skin care in prestige and mass-market channels worldwide.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Household & Personal Products sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $COTY.

Household & Personal Products · Consumer Defensive

No material change from last week — inflation-weary consumers sustain spend on trusted daily-use brands (Colgate, Pepsi) while trading down in discretionary categories.

What this means for $COTY

Neutral — Beauty company manufacturing fragrances, color cosmetics, and skin care in prestige and mass-market channels worldwide; limited read-through from household & personal products macro dynamics to this specific revenue mix.

Industry benchmark

12-name peer basket
-0.6%YTD
-16.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-3.1How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
3.8%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
6.0%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
18.4%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.3Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-15.1%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
60.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 5, 2026$-0.03$0.00-3070.3%
Q4 2025Feb 5, 2026$0.14$0.18-22.2%
Q3 2025Nov 5, 2025$0.12$0.15-20.0%
Q2 2025Aug 20, 2025$-0.05$0.01-600.0%
Next earningsWed, Aug 19·consensus EPS $-0.01

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q3 FY26$1.3B-1.3%56.0%-0.7%$-0.47$-248.7M
Q2 FY26$1.7B+0.5%59.4%9.3%$-0.14$513.1M
Q1 FY26$1.6B-5.6%64.5%11.7%$0.07$11.2M
Q4 FY25$1.3B-8.1%62.3%1.2%$-0.08$34.9M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 11 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$5.7B$5.5B – $5.7B$0.22$0.21 – $0.2311
FY27$5.7B$5.7B – $5.8B$0.35$0.28 – $0.4311
FY28$5.7B$5.2B – $6.0B$0.38$0.24 – $0.6011
FY29$5.5B$5.3B – $5.7B$0.33$0.31 – $0.342
FY30$5.3B$5.1B – $5.5B$0.27$0.26 – $0.281

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.32%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+20.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+6.8%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 375.6M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.9% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.955-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuyMar 6Von Bretten GordonPresident83.0K sh$200K
+ 8 other (6 awards · 1 exempt · 1 inkind) in window

See when $COTY insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeJul 28-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Coty Inc.'s Chief People and Purpose Officer Priya Srinivasan notified the company of her resignation, effective August 31, 2026, on June 30, 2026. Her departure is not the result of any disagreement with the company. Routine senior executive departure — administratively minor.

3New insider — initial holdingsApr 33
3New insider — initial holdingsApr 33
3New insider — initial holdingsApr 33
3New insider — initial holdingsApr 33
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 203
8-KOfficer or director changeMar 188-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 8 other (2 UPLOADs · 1 13G · 1 routine 8-K · 1 SD) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

COTY Set to Report Q4 Earnings: Essential Insights for Investorszacks.com·1d agoAhead of Coty (COTY) Q4 Earnings: Get Ready With Wall Street Estimates for Key Metricszacks.com·2d agoFirst Trust Advisors LP Has $4.06 Million Position in Coty $COTYdefenseworld.net·10d agoKuehn Law Encourages Investors of Coty, Inc. to Contact Law Firmglobenewswire.com·20d agoHow Coty Is Refocusing Its Business With the Gucci Beauty Exitzacks.com·38d ago

More in Household & Personal Products

Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

$CL$ELF$PG$EL$HNST$KVUE$CLX$NWL
Voices on X · top 1 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

PrivacyTermsSupport