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ELEL

The Estée Lauder Companies Inc.

$EL·$35B·Household & Personal Products·Consumer Defensive
$107.19+5.5%YTD-7.2%1Y+12.5%
Price updated 8h ago·X counts updated 4d ago
ELEL
$ELThe Estée Lauder Companies Inc.
$107.19+5.51%183 posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $EL on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

183X posts · last 7 days
Sep 28Oct 11
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $EL's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level, louder than 62% of tracked names.

Neutral sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data6 posts analyzed · as of 2026-09-10

$EL chatter is thin. Estée Lauder-focused technicians want a break above $120.38 as the long-term-bottom confirmation, while an EssilorLuxottica thread airs management-risk concerns with the founder's son calling for 'a new chapter.' Neither camp dominates.

Read what X is saying about $EL

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $EL — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Comeback attemptWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-10-02

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Estée Lauder is a $34B beauty name grinding sideways — a break above $120 is the long-term-bottom confirmation bulls are tracking.

Estée Lauder is the global prestige-beauty company — Estée Lauder, Clinique, La Mer, MAC. The business has been in a multi-year China and travel-retail drawdown; the stock is in the long bottoming process.

  • Operations are slowly stabilizing: Q1 revenue +4.6% YoY at a 7.6% operating margin — margin is still well below pre-pandemic levels, but the trajectory off the bottom is clean enough to call a bottoming attempt.
  • At PE -122 (TTM negative earnings) and 2.0x sales the stock is cheap on sales for the brand portfolio — the market is still pricing in meaningful execution risk even as EL has made leadership and sales-structure changes.
  • 52-week range position is 48% with vol at 92% of average — true mid-range consolidation, waiting for a break above the $120 bulls flag as the long-term-bottom confirmation.

Nov 2 Q1 is the gate — any travel-retail revenue stabilization plus the China mix improving extends the move toward the $120 level. A continued travel-retail softness or guide cut and the stock stays stuck in its current range.

What to watch: Nov 2 Q1 — travel-retail revenue trajectory, China mix, operating-margin direction, and any 2027 margin recovery commentary. A travel-retail softness or guide cut is the clear invalidator.

On the calendar: 2026-11-02 — Q1 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $EL

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Makes Estée Lauder, Clinique, MAC, and La Mer prestige beauty products distributed through department stores and travel retail worldwide.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Household & Personal Products sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $EL.

Household & Personal Products · Consumer Defensive

No material change from last week — Mass beauty is outperforming prestige as China travel-retail headwinds persist for Estee Lauder.

What this means for $EL

Direct beneficiary — Makes Estée Lauder, Clinique, MAC, and La Mer prestige beauty products distributed through department stores and travel retail worldwide.

Industry benchmark

12-name peer basket
+17.1%YTD
-2.2%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-122.1How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-11.2%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
7.6%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
4.3%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-6.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
73.4%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
2.3Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 19, 2026$0.39$0.32+22.2%
Q1 2026May 1, 2026$0.91$0.65+40.4%
Q4 2025Feb 5, 2026$0.89$0.83+6.6%
Q3 2025Oct 30, 2025$0.32$0.18+82.1%
Next earningsMon, Nov 2·consensus EPS $0.51

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q3 FY26$3.7B+4.6%71.0%9.6%$0.25$310.0M
Q2 FY26$4.2B+5.8%76.5%13.9%$0.45$1.0B
Q1 FY26$3.5B+3.6%73.4%4.9%$0.13$-436.0M
Q4 FY25$3.4B-12.0%72.1%0.2%$-1.51$394.0M

Forward consensus

6-year forecast · up to 21 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$15.0B$14.9B – $15.0B$2.44$2.17 – $2.5415
FY27$15.7B$15.7B – $15.8B$3.32$3.21 – $3.4121
FY28$16.4B$16.2B – $16.6B$3.94$3.75 – $4.3021
FY29$17.2B$16.8B – $17.7B$4.53$4.07 – $5.2012
FY30$17.8B$17.5B – $18.0B$4.82$4.74 – $4.926
FY31$17.9B$17.6B – $18.1B$4.25$4.18 – $4.335

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.3×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.74%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+11.4%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+16.9%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 360.6M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.275-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellSep 14Paul J FribourgDirector58.0K sh$5.7MSellSep 11Paul J FribourgDirector45.0K sh$4.4MSellSep 9Charlene BarshefskyDirector3.8K sh$373KSellAug 28La Lande RashidaExec VP & General Counsel7.8K sh$802KSellAug 21La Lande RashidaExec VP & General Counsel5.6K sh$554K
+ 45 other (40 awards · 4 exempts · 1 inkind) in window

See when $EL insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentSep 18SC 13D/A
AI summary

Eric Louis Zinterhofer and the 2008 Descendants Trust (a Lauder family trust) filed an amended Schedule 13D on Estee Lauder (EL), adding ELZ as co-reporting person; the trust and ELZ together hold approximately 4.9 million Class A shares (~1.9% of outstanding). The amendment primarily updates the reporting person list rather than announcing a new economic position. Administrative family trust ownership update with no material change in stake or activist intent.

8-KPress release / Reg FDSep 88-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Estée Lauder Companies (EL) nominated Jean-Frédéric Dufour, CEO of Rolex, and Matthew E. Rubel, non-executive chairman of Holley Inc., for board election at the November 17, 2026 annual meeting. The nominations bring luxury brand leadership and operational expertise to a board navigating significant strategic challenges in prestige beauty.

8-KOfficer or director changeJul 248-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

EL filed an 8-K under Item 5.02 disclosing a personnel change: Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. The filing also covers Item(s) 9.01. Personnel changes at the executive or board level are typically administrative but can signal strategic shifts depending on context.

8-K/ARestructuring / exit costs (amended)Jul 78-K/A — Item 2.05: Restructuring / exit costs
AI summary

The Estée Lauder Companies filed Amendment No. 7 to its February 2024 8-K reporting on the Profit Recovery and Growth Plan (PRGP) restructuring, originally launched November 2023 with $500–700 million in expected charges. The program was expanded in February 2025 to cover reorganization, process simplification, selective outsourcing, and go-to-market evolution — all aimed at rebuilding operating margins through fiscal year 2027. The updated amendment provides final cost estimates and cash expenditure breakdowns by major cost type, details that were unavailable at the original filing. This is the latest update to a multi-year, multi-billion-dollar turnaround program that remains materially in progress.

8-K/ARestructuring / exit costs (amended)Jun 38-K/A — Item 2.05: Restructuring / exit costs
AI summary

Lauder Companies Inc. (EL) filed an 8-K/A amendment to a previously filed Form 8-K current report. The amendment updates or corrects information previously disclosed under Item 2.05, Item 9.01. 8-K amendments are filed when material new information becomes available that was not known at the time of the original filing, or when an earlier disclosure contained errors requiring correction. Investors should compare this amendment with the original 8-K to identify what specifically changed or was updated.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentMay 28SC 13D/A
AI summary

An individual reporting person filed an amendment to their Schedule 13D for The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. (EL), disclosing that they currently have no plans or proposals of the type specified in Item 4(a)-(j) of Schedule 13D, while reserving the right to change plans in the future. The filing confirms the holder's passive stance at the time of filing. This is a routine 13D amendment to update the market on the filer's current lack of activist intentions.

+ 16 other (6 13Gs · 2 proxys · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 1 ARS) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

The Estée Lauder Companies Announces BEAUTY&YOU India 2026 Winners and Marks Five Years of Advancing Indian Beauty Entrepreneurshipbusinesswire.com·17h agoReliance Foundation and The Estée Lauder Companies Charitable Foundation Launch Multi-Year Partnership That Aims to Empower One Million Girls and Young Women in Indiabusinesswire.com·2d agoHere's Why Estee Lauder (EL) is a Strong Momentum Stockzacks.com·3d agoCan Estee Lauder's Innovation Push Unlock the Next Growth Wave?zacks.com·7d ago70 Million Luxury Shoppers Vanished, and 5 US Stocks Are in the Blast Radius247wallst.com·8d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $EL on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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