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AXAXON

Axon Enterprise, Inc.

$AXON·$34B·Aerospace & Defense·Industrials
$390.29-6.4%YTD-27.2%1Y-40.2%
Price updated 3h ago·X counts updated 5d ago
AXAXON
$AXONAxon Enterprise, Inc.
$390.29-6.45%486 posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

Top X posts

The complete picture of $AXON on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

486X posts · last 7 days
Sep 29Oct 11
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $AXON's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data10 posts analyzed · as of 2026-10-02

The $AXON thread runs two tracks and both lean bullish — Axon Enterprise just added a Newport Beach amendment worth $4.5M and an Oceanside 5-year $680K Drone-as-First-Responder contract, with holders arguing the ALPR backlash is overblown (24% YTD drawdown framed as overshoot). In parallel, the AXON crypto token on Robinhood Chain is adding agents (74 → 87 in a week) and burning 10.9% of supply across 233 transactions. No bear voice in either strand.

Read what X is saying about $AXON

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $AXON — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Proven numbersSelling offAI verdict · as of 2026-10-02

Falling on heavy selling — points lower unless it turns around.

Taser-plus-body-cams compounder got cut 40% — real growth, but 188x P/E is still asking for a lot.

Axon makes TASER energy weapons, body cameras, in-car video, and now the Axon Cloud (evidence management) and Fleet Response (DFR drones) platforms used by nearly every major US police force. The stock is down 41% TTM and at 20% of its 52-week range despite 34% revenue growth — the valuation unwind finally hitting a software-growth favorite.

  • The business is still growing fast: revenue grew 33.7% YoY to $807M last quarter at a 59% gross margin — the Software and Services line is accelerating faster than Hardware, which is the mix shift bulls need, with multiple segments growing triple digits.
  • At 189x trailing earnings and 13x sales for a 59% gross-margin business, Axon is still priced like a hyper-grower — the de-rating has been painful but there's structurally more to go if growth decelerates to 25%.
  • Insider selling is clear: CEO Patrick Smith sold $5M at $509 and officer Fields sold $489K at $480 — meaningful trims near the summer highs, consistent with the "we think the easy money is done" tell. The $1.15B 0% convertible notes due 2031 is funding-stack management, not distress.

Breaking-down holds unless Nov 3 earnings re-accelerate net new ARR, DFR (drone-as-first-responder) pilots convert to multi-year contracts at scale, and Software mix extends. A soft net-new-ARR print, or any slowing commentary on international expansion, is what seals the de-rating; a DFR contract-cycle inflection is what breaks the tape higher.

Agrees with X sentimentX bulls citing accelerating revenue, DFR pilots-to-multi-year-contracts, and triple-digit segment growth have the right operational facts — the worst-index-relative-year-since-2009 framing is the honest counter, and the Robinhood Chain AXON token side-reference is unrelated noise.

What to watch: Nov 3 earnings — net new ARR, DFR pilot-to-contract conversion rate, Software and Services as a share of revenue mix, and international revenue growth. A sub-$80M net-new-ARR print is what seals breaking-down.

On the calendar: 2026-11-03 — Q3 FY26 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $AXON

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Makes TASER devices, body cameras, and cloud-based evidence management software for law enforcement agencies.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Aerospace & Defense sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $AXON.

Aerospace & Defense · Industrials

No material change from last week — Defense procurement backlogs remain intact on NATO 2% GDP commitments.

What this means for $AXON

Neutral — Makes TASER devices, body cameras, and cloud-based evidence management software for law enforcement agencies.

Top industry ETF

$ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
-5.3%YTD
+1.4%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
188.9How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
0.8%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
1.5%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
0.0%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
13.1Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
6.6%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
59.3%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.5Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 5, 2026$1.88$1.84+2.2%
Q1 2026May 6, 2026$1.61$1.60+0.6%
Q4 2025Feb 24, 2026$2.15$1.60+34.4%
Q3 2025Nov 4, 2025$1.17$1.52-23.0%
Next earningsTue, Nov 3·consensus EPS $1.91

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$807.3M+33.7%59.1%4.4%$2.11$-54.6M
Q4 FY25$796.7M+38.5%57.9%1.3%$0.04$155.4M
Q3 FY25$710.6M+30.6%60.1%-0.3%$-0.03$33.4M
Q2 FY25$668.5M+32.8%60.4%0.2%$0.46$-114.7M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 15 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$3.7B$3.5B – $3.7B$7.70$6.17 – $8.5914
FY27$4.8B$4.4B – $5.0B$10.60$8.56 – $12.2715
FY28$6.2B$5.8B – $6.8B$13.79$13.12 – $14.7213

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.18%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-17.4%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-15.1%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 76.3M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.2% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.445-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellSep 11Isaiah FieldsChief Legal Officer1.0K sh$489KSellSep 8Patrick W SmithCEO10.0K sh$5.1MSellAug 31Joshua IsnerPresident16.8K sh$9.6MSellAug 21Jeffrey C KuninsCTO560 sh$341KSellAug 7Patrick W SmithCEO2.5K sh$1.4MSellJul 7Patrick W SmithCEO2.5K sh$1.6MSellJun 29Patrick W SmithCEO10.0K sh$5.0MSellJun 5Joshua IsnerPresident12.3K sh$6.0MSellJun 4Coughlin Elizabeth ReidChief Human Officer1.6K sh$754KSellJun 4Cameron BrooksCHIEF REVENUE OFFICER1.2K sh$621K
1–10 of 14
+ 30 other (22 awards · 8 inkinds) in window

See when $AXON insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KMaterial agreementSep 218-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Axon Enterprise completed a $1.15B offering of 0% Convertible Senior Notes due September 15, 2031, including the full $150M over-allotment exercised by underwriters. The notes carry no regular cash interest and convert at an initial rate of 1.5336 shares per $1,000 principal, implying a conversion price of approximately $652.06 per share — a significant premium to the prevailing stock price. Proceeds will be used for general corporate purposes including potential acquisitions and share repurchases.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Sep 17424B5
AI summary

Axon Enterprise (AXON) is offering $1,000,000,000 principal amount of 0% Convertible Senior Notes due September 15, 2031, pursuant to Rule 424(b)(5). The notes bear no regular interest and are convertible into common stock at holders' option prior to June 15, 2031 under specified stock-price and trading-price triggers (including ≥130% of conversion price for 20 of 30 days). Axon may optionally redeem the notes on or after September 20, 2028 and must redeem in cleanup scenarios. This is a material $1B dilutive event — a zero-coupon convertible structure that defers cash interest while creating future equity dilution, funded for general corporate purposes.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Sep 15424B5
AI summary

Axon Enterprise (AXON) launched a preliminary $1.0B offering of 0% Convertible Senior Notes due September 15, 2031, via a 424B5 prospectus supplement. The zero-coupon notes convert into cash, shares, or a combination at Axon's election; conversion price not yet disclosed in the preliminary. An active dilutive capital raise — zero-coupon convertible offering targeting institutional arbitrage demand, with full dilution terms to be set at final pricing.

8-KMaterial agreementSep 158-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Axon Enterprise (AXON) entered into a Second Amendment to its credit agreement with JPMorgan Chase as administrative agent, conditioned on closing of the concurrent $1B convertible notes offering. The amendment increases the revolving credit facility from $300M to $500M (with option for $150M more) and extends maturity to approximately September 18, 2031. Combined with the convertible offering, Axon is executing a major liquidity expansion — increasing revolving capacity by 67% alongside $1B of long-term zero-coupon debt.

3New insider — initial holdingsJul 103
AI summary

Eiso Kant filed a Form 3 as a newly appointed director of Axon Enterprise, Inc. (effective July 8, 2026), disclosing direct beneficial ownership of 2,565 shares of common stock acquired in open-market transactions prior to his appointment and before becoming subject to Section 16 reporting. No derivative securities are held. This is a routine initial-ownership disclosure with no current-day market impact.

3New insider — initial holdingsJul 103
AI summary

Vivek Mohindra filed a Form 3 upon his appointment as a director of Axon Enterprise, Inc. effective July 8, 2026, reporting no beneficial ownership of Axon securities at the time of the filing. No direct or indirect holdings of common stock or derivative securities are disclosed. Routine initial-ownership statement; immaterial to the market.

8-KOfficer or director changeJul 108-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Axon Enterprise appointed two new independent directors on July 8, 2026: Vivek Mohindra, who joined the Audit and Compensation Committees, and Eiso Kant, who serves as a non-voting observer on the Mergers & Acquisitions and Capital Structure Committee. Both have initial terms expiring at Axon's 2027 annual meeting. The board expansion broadens governance coverage across financial oversight and M&A, an administrative but constructive signal given Axon's active capital-deployment profile.

8-KShareholder voteJun 18-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Axon Enterprise held its 2026 Annual Meeting on May 28, 2026; 72.9 million shares (approximately 90.5% of 80.6M outstanding) were voted on director elections, say-on-pay, and auditor ratification. Routine annual meeting with very high shareholder participation.

+ 9 other (2 13Fs · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 1 305B2) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Axon Reports Significant Momentum Across Federal Sector as U.S. Government Fiscal Year Closesprnewswire.com·2d agoHere's Why Axon Enterprise (AXON) Fell More Than Broader Marketzacks.com·2d agoAxon Enterprise, Inc (AXON) is Attracting Investor Attention: Here is What You Should Knowzacks.com·3d agoKrilogy Financial LLC Acquires 17,660 Shares of Axon Enterprise, Inc $AXONdefenseworld.net·3d agoCan Axon Sustain EBITDA Margin Momentum Amid Cost Pressures?zacks.com·3d ago

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