TickerTalks
Browse all tickers →
TickerTalks›$AXON
AXAXON

Axon Enterprise, Inc.

$AXON·$46B·Aerospace & Defense·Industrials
$566.56-5.7%YTD+5.9%1Y-23.8%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-21: 31 posts2026-08-22: 17 posts2026-08-23: 16 posts2026-08-24: 13 posts138+13%
Price updated 2h ago·X counts updated 7d ago
AXAXON
$AXONAxon Enterprise, Inc.
$566.56-5.69%138 posts+13%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
Loading…

AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $AXON, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Driven by hypeCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-08-29

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

Axon with contract wins across Maryland/Alabama and a Bamco $86M new position — public-safety AI compounder cooling on a stretched multiple.

Axon Enterprise is the dominant law-enforcement and public-safety technology platform — Taser, body cameras, Evidence.com cloud, plus the Fusus and Dedrone acquisitions. The setup is a hot-momentum quality name cooling under a rich multiple.

  • The revenue trajectory is genuinely strong: Q1 revenue grew 33.7% YoY to $807M at a 59% gross margin, Q2 EPS beat at $1.88 vs $1.84 consensus, and the sell side models revenue climbing from ~$3.66B this year to ~$4.73B in 2027 and ~$6.07B in 2028 — a real 30%+ revenue growth trajectory with strong operating leverage building.
  • The contract tape is stacked: a Maryland statewide 10-year $40M body-cam prison deal, an $11M Decatur AL upgrade package, Antioch/Brenham/Utica municipal wins, and the Dedrone platform continuing to drive counter-UAS growth — plus a Bamco NY new $86.12M position at these levels.
  • The insider signal is loud negative: CPO Jeffrey Kunins sold $6.02M on August 21 into the tape, and multiple August 16 A-Awards (Fields, Bagley, Smith 97K, Brooks, Kunins) reflect scheduled comp — the combined pattern plus a 189x trailing P/E means the tape is asking a lot; two fresh director appointments (Mohindra, Kant on July 8) add governance freshness.

The setup is a hot-momentum quality public-safety name cooling on a stretched multiple with real fundamentals underneath — the November 3 Q3 print is the referee, and the market needs continued 30%+ revenue growth plus updated Dedrone segment color. A clean beat plus a named additional statewide contract breaks cooling back into a bid; another Kunins-scale insider sale or a growth deceleration below 25% cools the tape from the current levels.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bullish X read on the Maryland statewide 10-year $40M body-cam prison deal, the $11M Decatur AL upgrade package, Antioch/Brenham/Utica municipal wins, and the Flock Safety backlash framed as a tailwind for AXON is factually consistent with the announcements. The minority inverse H&S "loose reversal" technical caveat is fair given the 189x trailing multiple and the $6M Kunins sale on August 21.

What to watch: The November 3 Q3 earnings — need continued 30%+ revenue growth, updated Dedrone segment color, and any named additional statewide contract. Another Kunins-scale insider sale or a growth deceleration below 25% cools the tape from current levels; a clean beat plus a named additional statewide contract breaks cooling back into a bid.

On the calendar: 2026-11-03 — Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment13 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-30

Sentiment is decisively bullish on Axon — bulls anchor on 35% YoY revenue growth, 39% ARR, and $15B in future contracted bookings, framing the ecosystem of body cameras, digital evidence, drones, AI and 911 as "harder to replace" the deeper it embeds in police departments. Contract wins in Antioch, Brenham and Utica for AI systems and Drone-as-First-Responder feed the flywheel, and the post-earnings dip is described as already reversed.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $AXON

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Makes TASER devices, body cameras, and cloud-based evidence management software for law enforcement agencies.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Aerospace & Defense sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $AXON.

Aerospace & Defense · Industrials

Defense budget tailwinds — NATO spending commitments and Pentagon procurement acceleration — support backlogs at prime contractors. Commercial space is a separate driver: launch cadence and satellite constellations are pulling RKLB and LUNR on their own momentum, independent of traditional defense spending.

What this means for $AXON

Partial — upstream oil & gas exposure ties to commodity price cycle; Axon Enterprise, Inc.

Top industry ETF

$ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
+16.3%YTD
+15.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
188.9How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
0.8%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
1.5%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
0.0%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
13.1Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
6.6%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
59.3%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.5Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 5, 2026$1.88$1.84+2.2%
Q1 2026May 6, 2026$1.61$1.60+0.6%
Q4 2025Feb 24, 2026$2.15$1.60+34.4%
Q3 2025Nov 4, 2025$1.17$1.52-23.0%
Next earningsTue, Nov 3·consensus EPS $1.95

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$807.3M+33.7%59.1%4.4%$2.11$-54.6M
Q4 FY25$796.7M+38.5%57.9%1.3%$0.04$155.4M
Q3 FY25$710.6M+30.6%60.1%-0.3%$-0.03$33.4M
Q2 FY25$668.5M+32.8%60.4%0.2%$0.46$-114.7M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 15 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$3.7B$3.6B – $3.7B$7.73$6.61 – $9.2614
FY27$4.7B$4.4B – $4.9B$10.58$9.17 – $11.8715
FY28$6.1B$5.7B – $6.6B$13.78$5.69 – $17.9912

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.6×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.57%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+7.8%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+18.2%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 76.0M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.7% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.405-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 21Jeffrey C KuninsCTO9.6K sh$6.0MSellAug 7Patrick W SmithCEO2.5K sh$1.4MSellJul 7Patrick W SmithCEO2.5K sh$1.6MSellJun 29Patrick W SmithCEO10.0K sh$5.0MSellJun 5Joshua IsnerPresident12.3K sh$6.0MSellJun 4Coughlin Elizabeth ReidChief Human Officer1.6K sh$754KSellJun 4Cameron BrooksCHIEF REVENUE OFFICER1.2K sh$621KSellJun 4Patrick W SmithCEO20.0K sh$10.0MSellJun 1Jeri WilliamsDirector629 sh$295KSellJun 1Kalinowski Caitlin ElizabethDirector564 sh$270K
1–10 of 14
+ 26 other (22 awards · 4 inkinds) in window

See when $AXON insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsJul 103
AI summary

Eiso Kant filed a Form 3 as a newly appointed director of Axon Enterprise, Inc. (effective July 8, 2026), disclosing direct beneficial ownership of 2,565 shares of common stock acquired in open-market transactions prior to his appointment and before becoming subject to Section 16 reporting. No derivative securities are held. This is a routine initial-ownership disclosure with no current-day market impact.

3New insider — initial holdingsJul 103
AI summary

Vivek Mohindra filed a Form 3 upon his appointment as a director of Axon Enterprise, Inc. effective July 8, 2026, reporting no beneficial ownership of Axon securities at the time of the filing. No direct or indirect holdings of common stock or derivative securities are disclosed. Routine initial-ownership statement; immaterial to the market.

8-KOfficer or director changeJul 108-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Axon Enterprise appointed two new independent directors on July 8, 2026: Vivek Mohindra, who joined the Audit and Compensation Committees, and Eiso Kant, who serves as a non-voting observer on the Mergers & Acquisitions and Capital Structure Committee. Both have initial terms expiring at Axon's 2027 annual meeting. The board expansion broadens governance coverage across financial oversight and M&A, an administrative but constructive signal given Axon's active capital-deployment profile.

8-KShareholder voteJun 18-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Axon Enterprise held its 2026 Annual Meeting on May 28, 2026; 72.9 million shares (approximately 90.5% of 80.6M outstanding) were voted on director elections, say-on-pay, and auditor ratification. Routine annual meeting with very high shareholder participation.

8-KOfficer or director changeApr 108-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

AXON disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-04-10). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

8-KOfficer or director changeMar 118-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
+ 12 other (2 13Fs · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 13Gs) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Will Strength in Dedrone Platform Continue to Drive AXON's Growth?zacks.com·3d agoBamco Inc. NY Takes $86.12 Million Position in Axon Enterprise, Inc $AXONdefenseworld.net·5d agoAxon Enterprise vs. Booking Holdings: Evaluating Absolute Scale and Sequential Volatility in Quarterly Revenue Trendsfool.com·6d agoAxon Enterprise CPO Jeffrey Kunins Sells $6 Million in Stock: Should Investors Sell Too?fool.com·6d ago6,406 Shares in Axon Enterprise, Inc $AXON Bought by Bank of Nova Scotiadefenseworld.net·6d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Defense & Drones

More in Aerospace & Defense

Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

$SPCX$RKLB$AIR$HEI$FLY$RDW$LUNR$HAWK
Voices on X · top 13 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

PrivacyTermsSupport