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ARARQQ

Arqit Quantum Inc.

$ARQQ·$399M·Software - Application·Technology
$20.04-6.6%YTD-3.5%1Y-37.2%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-21: 6 posts2026-08-22: 0 posts2026-08-23: 1 posts200%
Price updated 3d ago·X counts updated 7d ago
ARARQQ
$ARQQArqit Quantum Inc.
$20.04-6.62%20 posts0%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $ARQQ, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Driven by hypeAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-08-31

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

ARQQ is a post-quantum-crypto microcap with a ~55% short-interest setup — a classic thematic squeeze candidate, not a fundamentals story.

Arqit Quantum (ARQQ) is riding a genuine macro theme (post-quantum cryptography) but with a balance sheet and float profile that make it a trading vehicle first, fundamentals second.

  • Reported short interest sits around 55% of float against a tiny share count, so any real customer-contract catalyst can force violent covering rallies of the kind the tape has already delivered.
  • The commercial story remains early — revenue is trivial versus operating expense — so the bull thesis is that PQC awareness (NIST standardization, government mandates) pulls customers forward before cash runs out.
  • This is one of those names where the same setup that offers explosive upside also allows large drawdowns on secondary offerings or thin volume days; sizing and stops matter more than the narrative.

Bottom line: legitimate thematic tailwind meets speculative-microcap plumbing — treat it as a momentum trade with real cash-burn risk, not as a growth-compounder.

Agrees with X sentimentX sentiment is squarely bullish on the PQC theme and the squeeze setup; the underlying risk profile is consistent with that framing but does not endorse position sizing.

What to watch: Reported customer contract wins, cash runway updates, NIST/US federal PQC procurement headlines, and any capital-raise disclosures.

On the calendar: Next fiscal-year results — historically reported December; watch for an interim commercial update sooner.

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment7 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-18

Chatter is bullish on Arqit Quantum as a post-quantum-cryptography squeeze setup. Bulls describe roughly 55% of float short and 95% ownership held by institutions/insiders on light volume (28K), framing any positive contract or PQC deployment catalyst as capable of driving the stock quickly toward $30-$60. Management is described as having said they are working on contract announcements 'this summer' on the last earnings call. Comparisons to IONQ (which added nearly $500M in market cap in a single session versus ARQQ's ~$420M total).

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $ARQQ

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Provides quantum-safe symmetric key encryption via satellite and terrestrial networks for government and enterprise clients.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Software - Application sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $ARQQ.

Software - Application · Technology

SaaS multiples remain compressed as rate-sensitive valuations weigh on pure-play software; customers are lengthening deal cycles outside of AI-native workloads. AI co-pilot upsell is the only clear near-term catalyst — companies without it are treading water.

What this means for $ARQQ

Partial — software subscription economics provide some insulation from macro cycles; AI integration is the growth catalyst for this segment; Arqit Quantum Inc.

Top industry ETF

$IGViShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF
-4.2%YTD
+0.4%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-3.9How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-165%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-48.6%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-21.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
175.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-184%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
9.3%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.1Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 21, 2026$-1.99$-0.78-155.6%
Q3 2025Dec 9, 2025$-1.22$-0.92-32.6%
Q1 2025May 22, 2025$-1.35$-0.85-59.1%
Q3 2024Dec 5, 2024$-1.98$-2.10+5.7%
Next earningsWed, Dec 16·consensus EPS $-0.74

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$623K+423.5%-6.7%-4962%$-1.99$-25.3M
Q4 FY25$463K-25.4%30.9%-4712%$-1.19$-16.4M
Q2 FY25$67K+252.6%-557%-23291%$-1.34$-12.5M
Q4 FY24$174K-104.8%-331%-4628%$-3.45$-14.8M

Forward consensus

2-year forecast · up to 1 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$2.5M$2.5M – $2.5M-$1.52-$1.52 – -$1.521
FY27$7.8M$7.8M – $7.8M-$1.06-$1.06 – -$1.061

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.6×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.20%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+0.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+8.5%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatTiny float · 8.5M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.2% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.265-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJul 10Lefebvre D'ovidio ManfrediDirector8 sh—SellJul 9Lefebvre D'ovidio ManfrediDirector404 sh—SellJul 8Lefebvre D'ovidio ManfrediDirector110 sh—SellJul 7Lefebvre D'ovidio ManfrediDirector40 sh—SellJul 6Lefebvre D'ovidio ManfrediDirector97 sh—SellJul 2Lefebvre D'ovidio ManfrediDirector36 sh—SellJul 2Garth RitchieDirector439 sh$11KSellJul 2Andrew LeaverCEO9.9K sh$249KSellJul 2Wilder Ben SimonCOO769 sh$19KSellJul 2Paul FeenanChief Revenue Officer1.8K sh$46K
1–10 of 68
+ 30 other (20 exempts · 10 awards) in window

See when $ARQQ insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 53
AI summary

A new insider filed a Form 3 with the SEC, disclosing initial beneficial ownership of ARQQ securities. This filing is required under Section 16(a) of the Securities Exchange Act within 10 days of becoming a reporting person (officer, director, or 10%+ holder). The filing reports 4 shares of common stock. Form 3 filings establish a baseline ownership record for subsequent Form 4 (changes) and Form 5 (annual) filings, providing transparency into insider positions at ARQQ.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 53
AI summary

A new insider filed a Form 3 with the SEC, disclosing initial beneficial ownership of ARQQ securities. This filing is required under Section 16(a) of the Securities Exchange Act within 10 days of becoming a reporting person (officer, director, or 10%+ holder). The filing reports 4 shares of common stock. Form 3 filings establish a baseline ownership record for subsequent Form 4 (changes) and Form 5 (annual) filings, providing transparency into insider positions at ARQQ.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentMay 26SC 13D/A
AI summary

With filed Amendment No. 9 to Schedule 13D disclosing updated beneficial ownership in ARQQ (ARQQ). The filing covers approximately 9,249,963 shares of ARQQ. The position is held for potential M&A activity. Schedule 13D amendments are required when a 5%-or-greater holder's ownership, intent, or plans change materially, providing transparency into concentrated positions that could influence corporate governance or trigger M&A activity.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for ARQQ on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for ARQQ on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for ARQQ on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for ARQQ on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for ARQQ on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

+ 13 other (6 6-Ks · 6 3s · 1 13G) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Quantum Computing Is Raising the Stakes for Cybersecurity: 5 Stocks to Watchmarketbeat.com·5d agonLighten and Arqit prove you can use the public cloud without giving up sovereigntyglobenewswire.com·48d agoAs Washington Pours Billions Into Quantum Computing, One Company Says the Real Race Is Defending the Datagurufocus.com·88d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Quantum ComputingDefense & DronesCybersecurity

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $ARQQ on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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