TickerTalks
Browse all tickers →
TickerTalks›$NBIS
NBNBIS

Nebius Group N.V.

$NBIS·$53B·Internet Content & Information·Communication Services
$177.71+3.5%YTD+97.5%1Y+222.2%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-09: 1,222 posts2026-07-10: 1,943 posts2026-07-11: 401 posts2026-07-12: 531 posts2026-07-13: 946 posts2026-07-14: 1,414 posts2026-07-15: 1,301 posts7,868+2%
Price updated 37m ago·X counts updated 2d ago
NBNBIS
$NBISNebius Group N.V.
$177.71+3.46%7.9k posts+2%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
Loading…

AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $NBIS, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Driven by hypeCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-07-16

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

The 'neocloud' AI infrastructure trade in real time — up 3x, whipsawed 40% intraweek, and insiders just took some off the table.

Nebius is the pure-play AI-cloud builder spun out of the old Yandex, now competing with CoreWeave for the 'neocloud' trade. The stock 3x'd this year, whipsawed roughly 40% intraweek before snapping back, and the volatility is the story.

  • The revenue ramp is genuinely explosive: Q1 revenue grew 621% YoY, and analyst consensus has FY27 revenue at $11.6B versus $3.4B FY26 — this is what a business looks like when GPU capacity comes online faster than customers can sign, with Higgsfield's disclosed $500M ARR running on Nebius as one confirmed anchor.
  • The unit economics are still deep in the red: Q4 2025 operating margin was minus 103%, Q1 2026 free cash flow was minus $215M, and the FY29 EPS consensus is still minus $4.80 — Nebius is burning several billion a year to build the GPU footprint the growth math depends on.
  • The insider signal just fired against the rally: CEO Arkady Volozh sold $11M plus two other officers cleared $12M combined at $235 on July 1 — not scale-fund insider dumping, but not the 'we're just getting started' signal a $200 buyer probably wants either.

The August 6 Q2 print is the near-term direction call. A confirmed second named $100M+ customer beyond Higgsfield, plus an FY26 revenue guide raised comfortably above the current $3.4B, keeps the second-leg thesis alive. Any Meta-capex hedging language or a customer-deferral disclosure resets the stock back into the $150-180 zone the tape just visited.

Agrees with X sentimentX is bullish, citing Morgan Stanley's rebuttal of the bear case, Higgsfield's $500M ARR anchor, and CRO Boroditsky's 'tens of billions in 12 months' comment. Mechanics partly back it — Q1 revenue +621% YoY with 21 analysts covering and PT raises to $421+. But the insider signal cuts the other way: Volozh and two officers cleared roughly $23M at $235 in early July, and FY29 EPS consensus is still minus $4.80 — the growth is real; the profitability path is not proven.

What to watch: The August 6 Q2 earnings. Watch Q3 revenue guide vs the ~$500-600M implied path, a raised FY26 top-line, and named-customer disclosures beyond Higgsfield. Meta-capex hedging language or a big deferral = the neocloud bid trims fast.

On the calendar: 2026-08-06 — Q2 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment97 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-15

NBIS chatter is a whipsaw week that ended firmly bullish: shares fell roughly 40% intraweek to ~$180 before snapping back above $220 as neocloud peers ($CRWV, $IREN) also bounced. Bulls lean heavily on CRO Marc Boroditsky's 'tens of billions of revenue in the next 12 months' comment at the RAISE summit, Higgsfield's disclosed $500M ARR running on Nebius, and Meta's continued capex expansion (framed as demand-positive for Nebius despite the brief 'excess compute' FUD). Contrarian voices warn about convertible-note short hedging and technical damage from the failed $300 highs, but multiple analysts have raised 12-month price targets to $421+.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $NBIS

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Builds full-stack AI cloud with large-scale GPU clusters, alongside AI training data (Toloka), edtech (TripleTen), and autonomous driving (Avride).

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Internet Content & Information sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $NBIS.

Internet Content & Information · Communication Services

No material change from last week — AI-enhanced ad targeting sustains META and GOOGL digital advertising pricing while LLM-based search agents remain a medium-term displacement risk to search revenue. Digital advertising continues to outperform traditional media as brand budgets follow eyeballs to social and search platforms.

What this means for $NBIS

Partial — Builds full-stack AI cloud with large-scale GPU clusters, alongside AI training data (Toloka), edtech (TripleTen), and autonomous driving (Avride); this segment overlaps with the AI-enhanced digital advertising repricing but is not the dominant revenue driver.

Top industry ETF

$FDNFirst Trust Dow Jones Internet Index Fund
+0.9%YTD
+2.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
70.4How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-2.9%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-68.8%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-4.5%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
62.3Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
16.4%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
47.9%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.3Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 13, 2026$-0.23$-0.77+70.0%
Q4 2025Feb 12, 2026$-0.99$-0.58-70.7%
Q3 2025Nov 11, 2025$-0.39$-0.56+29.9%
Q2 2025Aug 7, 2025$-0.38$-0.50+24.0%
Next earningsThu, Aug 6·consensus EPS $-0.56

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$399.0M+621.5%20.9%-32.1%$2.40$-214.9M
Q4 FY25$227.7M+500.8%69.9%-103%$-0.99$-1.2B
Q3 FY25$146.1M+237.4%70.6%-89.1%$-0.47$-1.0B
Q2 FY25$105.1M+769.7%71.4%-106%$2.45$0

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 11 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$3.4B$3.1B – $3.8B-$2.49-$4.62 – -$0.2710
FY27$11.6B$9.1B – $13.4B-$3.05-$51.01 – $49.9711
FY28$22.0B$17.2B – $29.1B-$1.41-$2.01 – -$1.014
FY29$36.9B$28.8B – $48.9B-$4.79-$6.82 – -$3.445
FY30$54.0B$42.2B – $71.5B$2.68$1.92 – $3.815

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.5×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.49%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-23.6%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+24.9%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

β1.405-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJul 1Arkadiy VolozhCEO46.6K sh$11.0MSellJul 1Danila ShtanCTO16.9K sh$4.0MSellJul 1Andrey KorolenkoChief Infrastructure Officer33.9K sh$8.0MSellJun 15Boynton John Wilson IvDirector5.8K sh$1.5MSellJun 4Danila ShtanCTO15.7K sh$3.7MSellJun 2Marc BoroditskyChief Revenue Officer10.8K sh$3.0MSellJun 2Alonso Sanchez Maria Del DadoCFO1.5K sh$417KSellMay 20Boaz TalGeneral Counsel5.1K sh$1.0MSellMay 15Marc BoroditskyChief Revenue Officer4.5K sh$979KSellMay 13Elena BuninaDirector10.9K sh$2.3M
1–10 of 22
+ 1 other (1 exempt) in window

See when $NBIS insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsJul 83
AI summary

Initial Form 3 ownership statement filed by Yael Almog, a newly reportable officer or director at Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS), disclosing initial beneficial ownership of company securities upon becoming a Section 16 reporting person. Routine Section 16(a) disclosure triggered by appointment or election to a qualifying role. No operational implications for the company.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for NBIS on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for NBIS on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for NBIS on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for NBIS on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for NBIS on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for NBIS on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for NBIS on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

+ 23 other (12 6-Ks · 7 3s · 2 13Gs · 1 20-F/A) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Nebius Group Rolls Out Echo AI Agent, Cloud Controls in Investor Updatemarketbeat.com·1d agoNebius Sinks 13% as the Neocloud Trade Unravels; How CoreWeave, IREN, and the AI Data Center Stocks Stack Up247wallst.com·1d agoNebius Unveils an Asset-Light AI Cloud Model: Key to Faster Growth?zacks.com·1d agoMorgan Stanley Destroys Bear Case Against Nebius. Proves The 35% Plunge Was a Huge Mistake247wallst.com·2d agoNebius: Thank You, Mr Market (Rating Upgrade)seekingalpha.com·2d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

AI InfrastructureRobotics & HumanoidsAI Neocloud & GPU Cloud

More in Internet Content & Information

Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

$META$GOOGL$GOOG$RDDT$BIDU$SNAP$DJT$DASH
Voices on X · top 15 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

PrivacyTermsSupport