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NBNBIS

Nebius Group N.V.

$NBIS·$53B·Software - Application·Technology
$165.47-12.2%YTD+137.8%1Y+34.5%
Price updated 6h ago·X counts updated 5d ago
NBNBIS
$NBISNebius Group N.V.
$165.47-12.18%7.8k posts1.1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

Top X posts

The complete picture of $NBIS on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

7,799X posts · last 7 days
Sep 29Oct 11
Chatter Meter
1.1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $NBIS's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level, louder than 86% of tracked names.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data32 posts analyzed · as of 2026-10-02

X is confidently bullish — BNP's $260→$399 upgrade and a Platinum ClusterMAX 3.0 rating give longs new ammo, and GPU rental hikes (H100 +17%, H200 +20%) are being quoted as proof depreciation fears were wrong. Multi-trillion end-state framing is openly discussed. A smaller contrarian thread flags choppy chart structure and a reported New Jersey datacenter shutdown over natural-gas generators.

Read what X is saying about $NBIS

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $NBIS — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Driven by hypeCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-10-02

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

The Yandex spin-out turned AI-cloud play — business is real, valuation isn't yet, and the chart has stopped going up.

Nebius is a European AI cloud operator — buying GPUs, racking them, and renting the compute to AI labs. It was the Yandex spin-out that rebranded into the data-center play of the moment and ran 167% YTD before stalling around $230.

  • Revenue grew roughly 6x YoY last quarter to $582M, which validates that H100/H200 demand is real and that the 17-20% price hikes bulls cite are landing with customers.
  • The valuation already prices in a very specific future: 62x sales with -69% operating margin and $1.1B of negative free cash flow — the model doesn't turn profitable until 2029, where analysts need $34B of revenue off today's $2.3B run rate.
  • Insider signal just turned bearish: the chief revenue officer liquidated his entire directly-held stake for $1.5M and a director sold $1.3M in mid-September, the first wave of real selling into the YTD rip.

Upside needs analyst estimates — $12B 2027, $22B 2028 — to actually land and the data center buildout to keep pulling permits. If GPU pricing softens or the New Jersey natural-gas power issue widens into a trend, this de-rates fast.

Differs from X sentimentX is treating the chop as pre-breakout coiling behind BNP's $399 target, but the chart is pulling back below the 50-day with volume tapering and insiders just started hitting the bid — closer to cooling after a 2x YTD run than loading for the next leg.

What to watch: Nov 10 earnings — sequential revenue growth versus the Q2 $582M print, and any color on how the New Jersey natural-gas shutdown affects the power ramp needed to deliver 2027 numbers.

On the calendar: 2026-11-10 — Q3 FY26 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $NBIS

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Builds full-stack AI cloud with large-scale GPU clusters, alongside AI training data (Toloka), edtech (TripleTen), and autonomous driving (Avride).

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Software - Application sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $NBIS.

Software - Application · Technology

No material change from last week — Adobe Q3 lifted guidance with triple-digit AI-first ARR, validating the AI upsell bifurcation: vendors embedding AI agents into core workflows (NOW, CRM, SAP, WDAY, TEAM, ADBE) are re-accelerating whi.

What this means for $NBIS

Direct beneficiary — Builds full-stack AI cloud with large-scale GPU clusters, alongside AI training data (Toloka), edtech (TripleTen), and autonomous driving (Avride).; AI-native architecture commands premium multiple as enterprises shift from pilot to production AI deployments.

Top industry ETF

$IGViShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF
+4.2%YTD
-7.5%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
70.4How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-2.9%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-68.8%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-4.5%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
62.3Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
16.4%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
47.9%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.3Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 12, 2026$-0.12$-0.72+83.3%
Q1 2026May 13, 2026$-0.23$-0.77+70.0%
Q4 2025Feb 12, 2026$-0.99$-0.58-70.7%
Q3 2025Nov 11, 2025$-0.39$-0.56+29.9%
Next earningsTue, Nov 10·consensus EPS $-0.75

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$399.0M+621.5%20.9%-32.1%$2.40$-214.9M
Q4 FY25$227.7M+500.8%69.9%-103%$-0.99$-1.2B
Q3 FY25$146.1M+237.4%70.6%-89.1%$-0.47$-1.0B
Q2 FY25$105.1M+769.7%71.4%-106%$2.45$0

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 13 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$3.3B$3.3B – $3.4B-$2.05-$3.05 – -$1.3912
FY27$12.1B$8.3B – $17.5B-$3.55-$5.74 – -$1.9113
FY28$22.7B$17.1B – $31.0B-$0.72-$1.07 – -$0.497
FY29$34.1B$25.6B – $46.5B$5.95$4.02 – $8.7611
FY30$50.0B$37.5B – $68.1B$11.47$7.74 – $16.896

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.2.0×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.41%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-25.7%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-4.9%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellOct 12Marc BoroditskyChief Revenue Officer7.0K sh$1.5MSellOct 5Ophir NaveCOO500.0K sh$117.8MSellOct 1Andrey KorolenkoChief Infrastructure Officer29.1K sh$6.8MSellOct 1Danila ShtanCTO14.5K sh$3.4MSellOct 1Arkadiy VolozhCEO37.8K sh$8.8MSellSep 29Boynton John Wilson IvDirector50 sh$12KSellSep 15Boynton John Wilson IvDirector6.4K sh$1.3MSellSep 14Marc BoroditskyChief Revenue Officer7.0K sh$1.5MSellSep 1Alonso Sanchez Maria Del DadoCFO470 sh$92KSellAug 14Charles E RyanDirector47.3K sh$12.6M
1–10 of 28
+ 12 other (9 awards · 3 exempts) in window

See when $NBIS insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsJul 83
AI summary

Initial Form 3 ownership statement filed by Yael Almog, a newly reportable officer or director at Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS), disclosing initial beneficial ownership of company securities upon becoming a Section 16 reporting person. Routine Section 16(a) disclosure triggered by appointment or election to a qualifying role. No operational implications for the company.

+ 22 other (14 6-Ks · 5 13Gs · 1 6-K/A · 1 20-F/A) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Top AI Stocks: Michael Burry Vs. Quant Fundamentalsseekingalpha.com·13h agoCoreWeave and Nebius Sink 9% as Sentiment Index Closes in on ‘Extreme Fear'247wallst.com·15h agoAI Cloud Spending Is Splitting Companies Into the Funded and the Stretchedfool.com·15h agoCoreWeave Drops 6% as Debt Worries Linger; IREN Falls 4%, Nebius Slips247wallst.com·18h agoInnodata vs. Nebius: Here's What Revenue Trends Tell Investors About These Artificial Intelligence Companiesfool.com·23h ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

AI InfrastructureRobotics & HumanoidsAI Neocloud & GPU Cloud

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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