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MSMSTR

Strategy Inc

$MSTR·$51B·Software - Application·Technology
$136.83-9.6%YTD-1.6%1Y-51.8%
Price updated 6h ago·X counts updated 5d ago
MSMSTR
$MSTRStrategy Inc
$136.83-9.56%4.3k posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

Top X posts

The complete picture of $MSTR on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

4,319X posts · last 7 days
Sep 29Oct 11
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $MSTR's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data30 posts analyzed · as of 2026-10-02

Sentiment is bullish — Strategy reclaimed the 200-day SMA for the first time in nearly a year, Saylor added more bitcoin, and the cash/debt split (~$6.1B vs $6.7B) is being pitched as proof the "overleveraged" narrative is wrong. The dominant frame is "MSTR plus ASST, not either/or." A measured voice warns the room to take profits in the $400-600 band rather than chase a $1,000 cycle call.

Read what X is saying about $MSTR

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $MSTR — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Driven by hypeAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-10-03

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

A leveraged bitcoin proxy that has reclaimed the trend — and reset the debate over how much premium a 'BTC treasury' deserves.

Strategy is a software company in name and a leveraged bitcoin stack in practice. The stock trades on NAV versus underlying BTC, how convertible debt is being used to add more coins, and how much premium the market is willing to pay for the structure.

  • The capital structure got cleaner than critics claim: cash of ~$6.1B against ~$6.7B of debt flips the old 'overleveraged' tag, and Citigroup doubling its price target to $240 is the kind of institutional handshake Strategy didn't have a cycle ago.
  • But the equity economics still live and die on BTC: last quarter printed a -$24 EPS and the four-surprise sequence shows how non-cash impairments whiplash GAAP results — the business doesn't generate meaningful cash on its own, so a BTC drawdown re-opens the dilution-funnel debate instantly.

Up only 3.5% YTD but 30% in a month and back above the 200-day for the first time in a year, the setup is clean while bitcoin cooperates. The 'take profits in the $400-600 band' voice is the one worth listening to — this is a trend to ride with a stop, not a core holding to compound into.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bullish mechanics X is citing — reclaimed 200-day, Saylor still buying, cleaner cash/debt ratio — hold up. The 'take profits in $400-600' nuance in the sentiment is the correct hedge; I'd put more weight on it than the headline bullish tone does.

What to watch: BTC price action against $87K-100K and any new ATM/convertible issuance that would signal the funding treadmill is turning again. A BTC break below $75K would reset the premium debate; a sustained push to new highs extends the move.

On the calendar: 2026-10-29 — Q3 earnings

btc proxyhigh beta

Read the AI verdict on $MSTR

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Operates as a Bitcoin treasury company, holding large BTC reserves financed through equity and debt issuance.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Software - Application sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $MSTR.

Software - Application · Technology

No material change from last week — Adobe Q3 lifted guidance with triple-digit AI-first ARR, validating the AI upsell bifurcation: vendors embedding AI agents into core workflows (NOW, CRM, SAP, WDAY, TEAM, ADBE) are re-accelerating whi.

What this means for $MSTR

Partial — Operates as a Bitcoin treasury company, holding large BTC reserves financed through equity and debt issuance.; AI feature integration (Agentforce, AI Copilot) into core platform defends ARR while pricing for AI add-ons lifts ACV.

Top industry ETF

$IGViShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF
+4.2%YTD
-7.5%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-4.3How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
0.7%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
94.2%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
16.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
96.4Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-24.1%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
68.1%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 30, 2026$-24.45$-2.19-1016.4%
Q1 2026May 5, 2026$-38.25$-0.86-4337.4%
Q4 2025Feb 5, 2026$-42.93$-0.08-53562.5%
Q3 2025Oct 30, 2025$8.42$-0.10+8354.9%
Next earningsThu, Oct 29·consensus EPS $16.20

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$124.3M+11.9%67.1%-12.0%$-38.25$13.0M
Q4 FY25$123.0M+1.9%66.1%-14185%$-42.93$-32.2M
Q3 FY25$128.7M+10.9%70.5%3023%$9.30$14.4B
Q2 FY25$114.5M+2.7%68.8%12256%$36.23$-6.8B

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 9 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$500.8M$489.3M – $511.5M-$23.96-$70.62 – $66.169
FY27$509.6M$487.6M – $531.7M$14.31-$1.56 – $39.466
FY28$526.1M$525.8M – $526.5M$23.07$2.14 – $64.135
FY29$476.4M$445.6M – $499.2M$100.57$92.12 – $106.842

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.4×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.25%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+1.4%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+0.9%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 363.6M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today8.7% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β3.575-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellOct 9Jarrod M PattenDirector1.4K sh$211KSellOct 8Jarrod M PattenDirector1.4K sh$211KSellSep 22Jarrod M PattenDirector475 sh$81KSellSep 21Jarrod M PattenDirector1.4K sh$238KSellSep 4Thomas C. ChowEVP & General Counsel106 sh$15KSellAug 27Jarrod M PattenDirector1.9K sh$241KSellAug 25Jarrod M PattenDirector2.8K sh$348KSellAug 24Jarrod M PattenDirector925 sh$113KSellAug 7Jarrod M PattenDirector3.8K sh$389KSellJul 27Jarrod M PattenDirector1.9K sh$192K
1–10 of 39
+ 47 other (40 exempts · 7 awards) in window

See when $MSTR insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDOct 138-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
8-KPress release / Reg FDOct 58-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
8-KPress release / Reg FDOct 18-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
8-KPress release / Reg FDSep 288-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

Strategy Inc. (MSTR) provided its weekly ATM (at-the-market) update on September 28, 2026, covering the period September 21-27, 2026. During the period, zero shares were sold across its STRF, STRC, and STRK preferred stock series, generating $0 in net proceeds. Remaining ATM capacity as of September 27, 2026: STRF $1.62 billion, STRC $17.51 billion, STRK $2.10 billion. Weekly ATM updates are routine disclosure; no preferred shares were issued in this period.

8-KPress release / Reg FDSep 218-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

Strategy Inc. (MSTR) disclosed via an ATM update that between September 14 and September 20, 2026, the company did not sell any shares under its at-the-market offering program; the filing also provides updated holdings of cash, bitcoin, and preferred stock (including M800 and M1000 Series A Perpetual Strike/Stride preferred stock) and current share counts. This is a routine weekly ATM activity disclosure; the absence of share sales during the period indicates no near-term equity dilution from this program.

8-KPress release / Reg FDSep 148-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

Strategy Inc. (MSTR, formerly MicroStrategy) filed an 8-K under Items 7.01 (Reg FD) and 8.01 (other events) on September 14, 2026, furnishing investor communications; the excerpt shows only the cover page. Given Strategy's ongoing Bitcoin accumulation strategy and active preferred stock capital markets program (multiple series outstanding), this filing likely accompanies an investor presentation or update on its Bitcoin treasury or capital raise activity.

8-KPress release / Reg FDSep 88-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

Strategy Inc. announced on September 8, 2026, that it holds approximately 845,050 bitcoin acquired at a total cost of $63.73 billion (average price approximately $75,412 per BTC including fees). During August 31 through September 7, 2026, the company made no purchases or sales of bitcoin and did not sell shares under its ATM program. The board approved increasing the Digital Credit Securities Repurchase Program from $1.0 billion to $2.0 billion authorized, with $1.19 billion in repurchase capacity remaining as of September 7, 2026.

8-KPress release / Reg FDSep 18-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
+ 81 other (44 proxys · 25 8-Ks · 3 routine 8-Ks · 3 13Gs) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Strategy (MSTR) Falls More Steeply Than Broader Market: What Investors Need to Knowzacks.com·8h agoStrategy stock (MSTR) falls as MSCI index exclusion threatens passive investmentsinvezz.com·15h agoStrategy Inc (MSTR) Stock Up 5.6% but GF Value Says Overvalued -- GF Score: 61/100gurufocus.com·1d agoCan You Buy Stocks With Crypto? Bybit Adds 1,000 US Stocks, but Not Every Version Gives You the Shares247wallst.com·2d agoIs Trending Stock Strategy Inc (MSTR) a Buy Now?zacks.com·3d ago

In themes

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Agentic AI & Enterprise SoftwareCrypto Equity Plays

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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