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APAPP

AppLovin Corporation

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 59% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesConsistent chatter on X (2.0K/wk), no spike
$APP·$170B·Software - Application·Technology
$434.48-4.0%YTD-36.4%1Y+22.2%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-10: 296 posts2026-07-11: 100 posts2026-07-12: 121 posts2026-07-13: 742 posts2026-07-14: 217 posts2026-07-15: 273 posts2026-07-16: 307 posts2,114+14%
Price updated 7h ago·X counts updated 7h ago
APAPP
$APPAppLovin Corporation
$434.48-4.03%2.1k posts+14%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $APP, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-07-16

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

Mobile ad-tech juggernaut down 34% YTD despite pristine numbers — insider $82M sale is the shadow here.

AppLovin runs the mobile-app advertising exchange and machine-learning-driven bidding stack that most iOS and Android game developers use to acquire users — its Axon 2 recommendation model is the actual moat. The stock has run 1,400% in three years, and the recent 34% YTD drawdown is being called a buying opportunity by the community while a chief growth officer just sold $82M in a single day.

  • Revenue grew 59% YoY to $1.8B last quarter with 78% operating margin and $1.3B in free cash flow in a single quarter — this is one of the highest-margin advertising businesses in public markets, and the operating leverage is only just starting to compound.
  • Trades at 47x TTM earnings and 30x sales — expensive, but with growth this fast and margins this high, the multiple is defensible; the community's comparison to Meta at 24x + 30% growth is directionally right, even if generous.
  • Eduardo Vivas (chief growth officer per public filings) sold $82.6M of stock on June 18 — that's an enormous single-day sale from a top exec, and while it may have been 10b5-1 planned, the size right into a soft-tape sets off the same 'why is he doing that?' question the tape is asking.
  • A Pomerantz Law Firm investigation notice was issued July 14 — opportunistic and often around drawdowns, but the fact that Pomerantz is circling into the recent sell-off is worth naming, not dismissing.
  • 52-week position 27th percentile with position vs 200-day MA -15% — the tape has done real damage to a name growing 59%, which is why the bulls call it a setup and the bears call it a top.

August 5 Q2 earnings is where the story either resumes or breaks: a Q3 guide reflecting continued Axon 2 performance plus stable margins keeps the multiple; any deceleration in ad revenue growth or a change in margin trajectory validates the drawdown thesis. The fundamentals are genuinely elite; the insider selling is genuinely a caution.

Differs from X sentimentThe bullish X thesis (59% revenue growth, 85% EBITDA margin, Meta comparison) is factually right, and this is a genuinely elite business. Where the crowd is thin: they treat the $82M Vivas sale as noise and the Pomerantz notice as ignorable — both are real signals into a 34% YTD drawdown that the fundamental case doesn't fully explain.

What to watch: Aug 5 Q2 earnings — need revenue growth held above 45% and a Q3 guide reflecting continued Axon 2 performance. Deceleration or a change in margin trajectory validates the recent drawdown.

On the calendar: 2026-08-05 — Q2 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment27 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-15

AppLovin chatter is emphatically bullish. Community highlights 59% revenue growth, 85% Adjusted EBITDA margins ($1.5B EBITDA on $1.8B revenue), and $1.3B FCF last quarter framed as 'one of the best businesses in public markets.' Traders describe a reclaim-and-backtest of the rising 21DMA structure. Bulls compare 50x earnings + 60% growth favorably to META at 24x + 30%. Multiple accumulators added at $525, $518, $510 with limit buys at $479. XOVR discussed APP as a top holding with SpaceX and ALAB alongside 27.45% Q2 2026 return. No meaningful bear thread beyond 'wait for a deeper correction' patience notes.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $APP

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Runs an AI-driven mobile advertising platform matching app marketers with publishers, dominant in mobile gaming.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Software - Application sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $APP.

Software - Application · Technology

No material change from last week — platforms where agents expand contract value (ServiceNow, Snowflake) are re-rated upward, while tools where agents substitute human users (Adobe Creative..

What this means for $APP

Partial — Runs an AI-driven mobile advertising platform matching app marketers with publishers, dominant in mobile gaming; the AI agent bifurcation — contract expansion vs. user substitution creates tailwinds for one product line, not the full operation.

Top industry ETF

$IGViShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF
-12.0%YTD
-14.7%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
47.4How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
65.2%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
77.1%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
2.4%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
30.4Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
222%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
88.4%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.5Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 6, 2026$3.56$3.44+3.5%
Q4 2025Feb 11, 2026$3.24$2.95+9.8%
Q3 2025Nov 5, 2025$2.45$2.38+2.9%
Q2 2025Aug 6, 2025$2.26$1.96+15.3%
Next earningsWed, Aug 5·consensus EPS $3.76

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$1.8B+59.0%88.9%78.2%$3.57$1.3B
Q4 FY25$1.7B+20.8%88.9%76.9%$3.26$1.3B
Q3 FY25$1.4B+68.2%87.6%76.8%$2.47$1.1B
Q2 FY25$1.3B+77.0%87.7%76.1%$2.42$772.2M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 23 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$8.2B$8.1B – $8.3B$16.11$15.41 – $16.8521
FY27$10.7B$10.5B – $11.1B$21.62$20.44 – $23.0923
FY28$13.8B$13.7B – $14.0B$28.46$21.71 – $32.8017
FY29$13.7B$12.9B – $14.6B$34.38$31.98 – $37.3614
FY30$15.3B$14.5B – $16.3B$0.00$0.00 – $0.008

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.23%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-13.9%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-18.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 255.7M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.485-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJul 6Maynard G WebbDirector3.1K sh$1.6MSellJun 16Eduardo VivasDirector163.9K sh$82.6MSellJun 12Foroughi Arash AdamCEO22.5K sh$11.2MSellJun 11Foroughi Arash AdamCEO3.7K sh$1.8MSellJun 10Foroughi Arash AdamCEO10.9K sh$5.4MSellJun 5Maynard G WebbDirector3.1K sh$1.8MSellJun 4Victoria ValenzuelaCALO & Corp. Secretary20.0K sh$11.3MSellMay 28Matthew StumpfCFO9.1K sh$5.4MSellMay 22Vasily ShikinCTO1.1K sh$519KSellMar 16Eduardo VivasDirector102 sh$46K
1–10 of 14
+ 16 other (9 awards · 5 inkinds · 2 gifts) in window

See when $APP insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsJul 23
AI summary

Ge Xiaochuan, Chief Technology Officer of AppLovin Corp. (APP), filed an initial Form 3 on July 1, 2026 disclosing direct beneficial ownership of 974,194 shares of Class A Common Stock, including RSUs and performance-based RSUs subject to vesting schedules and continued service. No additional derivative securities are separately listed. This is a routine initial officer ownership disclosure with no financial or operational significance.

8-KShareholder voteJun 58-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

AppLovin Corporation (APP) disclosed the results of its annual meeting of shareholders in an 8-K filing under Item 5.07. Shareholders voted on ratification of the independent auditor. All management-sponsored proposals were approved by majority shareholder vote. Annual meeting results are a routine disclosure that confirms shareholder ratification of the board's composition and compensation practices.

S-3ASRAuto-shelf registrationMay 6S-3ASR
AI summary

APP filed a S-3ASR (automatic shelf) shelf registration statement dated 2026-05-06. The shelf provides capacity to issue equity or debt as market conditions allow. No immediate capital raise is triggered; watch for prospectus supplements disclosing actual transactions.

8-KOfficer or director changeApr 78-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

APP disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-04-07). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

+ 11 other (3 13Gs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys · 1 10-Q) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

INVESTOR ALERT: Pomerantz Law Firm Investigates Claims On Behalf of Investors of AppLovin Corporation - APPprnewswire.com·19h agoWhat Investors Still Get Wrong About AppLovin247wallst.com·2d agoINVESTOR ALERT: Pomerantz Law Firm Investigates Claims On Behalf of Investors of AppLovin Corporation - APPglobenewswire.com·3d agoStock of the Day: AppLovin Bounces Off Support — But Where's the Floor?benzinga.com·3d agoIs It Too Late to Buy AppLovin After a 1,428% Run in 3 Years?247wallst.com·3d ago

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Voices on X · top 14 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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