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AIAI

C3.ai, Inc.

$AI·$1.6B·Information Technology Services·Technology
$10.82+2.8%YTD-26.0%1Y-35.7%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-22: 323 posts2026-08-23: 929 posts2026-08-24: 559 posts6,590+6%
Price updated 13h ago·X counts updated 8d ago
AIAI
$AIC3.ai, Inc.
$10.82+2.75%6.6k posts+6%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $AI, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Hinges on a big eventEvent coming upAI verdict · as of 2026-09-01

A known event soon (earnings, a ruling, etc.) will likely decide the next move.

Earnings tomorrow is the whole tape; nothing else in the crowd or the file is doing work here.

C3.ai sells enterprise AI applications to large industrial and government customers, mainly on a subscription and services basis. It has spent the AI boom shrinking, and the Sept 2 earnings print will decide whether it stabilizes or breaks further.

Why this is a binary setup and not a compounder:

  • Revenue is going the wrong way — last quarter revenue fell 53% year over year to $47.6M, gross margin dropped to 22%, and consensus for the full year is still a $1.39 EPS loss on ~$250M in revenue; this is a business shrinking through the AI cycle, not participating in it.
  • Insider tape is aggressive on the exit — founder-CEO Thomas Siebel sold $6.1M across three transactions and gifted another 288K shares in early August, and officer Hitesh Lath added a $200K sale on top; that is what a shareholder base does when they've stopped believing in a near-term recovery.
  • Balance sheet still has room — zero long-term debt, so the runway question is cash burn against dwindling revenue rather than covenant risk, which keeps this alive to fight another quarter.
  • Tape sits at only 25% of the 52-week range on elevated volume, with the ticker basically at the 200-day — traders are positioning for the print, not committing either way.

The Sept 2 print is the whole trade: a beat with a stabilized bookings guide is a squeeze setup on a heavily-shorted small-cap; another miss with a fresh guide cut is what turns this from event-ahead into a fresh leg of breakdown.

What to watch: Sept 2 earnings — the bar is any revenue growth turning positive and a bookings guide that stops the -50% trajectory; a fifth quarter of decline with a guide cut is the seal.

On the calendar: 2026-09-02 — Q1 earnings

no sentiment signal

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Neutral sentiment243 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-31

Genuine C3.ai discussion is essentially absent — a single post notes the ticker "managed to get the single best ticker on the planet and the stock is still down 92%." Everything else in the window is the "Artificial Inu" memecoin on Robinhood Chain: hundreds of posts about its run from single-digit millions to a $100M+ market cap, its tokenized NVDA pairing mechanics, and boasts of 100x-plus wins. This window offers no readable signal on the equity itself.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $AI

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Sells pre-built enterprise AI software applications for predictive maintenance and operations optimization to large organizations.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Information Technology Services sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $AI.

Information Technology Services · Technology

SaaS multiples remain compressed as rate-sensitive valuations weigh on pure-play software; customers are lengthening deal cycles outside of AI-native workloads. AI co-pilot upsell is the only clear near-term catalyst — companies without it are treading water.

What this means for $AI

Direct beneficiary — AI-native product or platform captures spend from the same capex cycle driving the industry; Sells pre-built enterprise AI software applications for predictive maintenance and operations optimization to large orga.

Top industry ETF

$IGViShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF
-4.2%YTD
+2.5%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-3.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-68.7%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-195%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-12.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
5.9Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-63.9%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
30.9%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Jun 3, 2026$-0.33$-0.38+13.2%
Q4 2025Feb 25, 2026$-0.40$-0.29-37.9%
Q3 2025Dec 3, 2025$-0.25$-0.33+23.6%
Q2 2025Sep 3, 2025$-0.37$-0.38+2.6%
Next earningsWed, Sep 2·consensus EPS $-0.25

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q4 FY26$51.6M-52.5%21.9%-214%$-0.79$-53.3M
Q3 FY26$53.3M-46.1%17.3%-264%$-0.95$-56.2M
Q2 FY26$75.1M-20.3%40.4%-149%$-0.75$-46.9M
Q1 FY26$70.3M-19.4%37.6%-178%$-0.86$-34.3M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 12 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$250.3M$249.1M – $250.9M-$1.39-$1.45 – -$1.369
FY27$224.3M$215.0M – $227.8M-$0.79-$0.84 – -$0.7512
FY28$246.9M$226.7M – $264.5M-$0.45-$0.53 – -$0.2810
FY29$269.8M$252.3M – $279.0M-$0.39-$0.43 – -$0.363
FY30$1.7B$1.6B – $1.8B$0.40$0.37 – $0.431

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.3×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.25%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+14.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+1.2%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 137.0M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today4.7% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.075-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 11Thomas M SiebelCEO453.3K sh$4.8MSellAug 4Hitesh LathCFO20.0K sh$200KSellAug 3Thomas M SiebelCEO139.5K sh$1.3MSellJul 15Thomas M SiebelCEO198.5K sh$1.8MSellJul 14Thomas M SiebelCEO264.1K sh$2.4MSellJul 1Ehikian Stephen BradleyCEO50.5K sh$478KSellJun 30Hitesh LathCFO48.6K sh$426KSellJun 16Hitesh LathCFO34.2K sh$375KSellJun 15Thomas M SiebelCEO472.0K sh$5.2MSellJun 12Thomas M SiebelCEO23.6K sh$257K
1–10 of 24
+ 34 other (17 exempts · 8 gifts · 5 returns · 4 awards) in window

See when $AI insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsAug 273
AI summary

John Charles Dwyer filed Form 3 reporting his initial beneficial ownership as a new director of C3.ai (AI), effective August 25, 2026. He directly owns 1,700 shares of Class A Common Stock and holds options to purchase 132,077 shares at $9.79/share expiring August 24, 2036. Routine new-director initial ownership disclosure with no material market impact.

8-KOfficer or director changeAug 278-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

C3.ai appointed John C. Dwyer to its Board of Directors as a Class III director effective August 25, 2026, with his initial term running until the 2026 Annual Meeting. There are no arrangements or material interests connecting Dwyer to any other person that led to his appointment. Routine independent director addition to the C3.ai board.

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 168-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

C3.ai, Inc. (AI) filed an 8-K Item 5.02 on June 16, 2026 reporting a change involving a director or officer. Body unavailable — excerpt contains only XBRL/cover boilerplate without the specific personnel change details.

8-KOfficer or director changeMay 128-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

AI reported fourth quarter and full fiscal year ended April 30, 20 financial results (8-K Item 2.02). Investors should review the full earnings press release and any management guidance for forward outlook.

+ 13 other (4 13Gs · 2 proxys · 2 routine 8-Ks · 1 ARS) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

C3.ai vs. Intuit: Which Software Stock Is a Better Investment in 2026 as Both Hover Near 52-Week Lows?fool.com·2d agoC3.ai vs. UiPath: Which Artificial Intelligence Stock Is a Better Investment in 2026?fool.com·3d agoSeeking Clues to C3.ai (AI) Q1 Earnings? A Peek Into Wall Street Projections for Key Metricszacks.com·4d agoC3.ai vs. Oracle: Which Artificial Intelligence Stock Is a Better Investment in 2026?fool.com·5d agoAtrium Mortgage Investment (TSE:AI) Share Price Crosses Below 200 Day Moving Average – What’s Next?defenseworld.net·5d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

AI InfrastructureAgentic AI & Enterprise Software

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Voices on X · top 15 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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