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AIAI

C3.ai, Inc.

$AI·$1.3B·Information Technology Services·Technology
$8.82-1.0%YTD-35.1%1Y-68.9%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-11: 3,428 posts2026-07-12: 1,330 posts2026-07-13: 1,799 posts2026-07-14: 559 posts2026-07-15: 673 posts2026-07-16: 772 posts2026-07-17: 408 posts9,275+8%
Price updated 13h ago·X counts updated 13h ago
AIAI
$AIC3.ai, Inc.
$8.82-1.01%9.3k posts+8%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $AI, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Broken storySelling offAI verdict · as of 2026-07-17

Falling on heavy selling — points lower unless it turns around.

The AI-services thesis has cracked structurally — massive burn, founder selling, tape at multi-year lows.

C3.ai sells enterprise AI applications to large industrial customers — a story that spent 2023-2024 as one of the loudest AI-software plays and has spent 2026 having that story unwound. The stock is sitting at 5% of its 52-week range with founder-CEO Tom Siebel selling on the way down.

Why the thesis has broken:

  • The economics don't add up: operating margin is negative 195% of revenue — meaning the company is spending nearly three dollars for every dollar it books — with return on invested capital at negative 69% and free cash flow yield at negative 13%.
  • The tape has fully re-rated: down 67% over twelve months and 26% below the 200-day, testing lows the stock hadn't seen since the post-IPO drawdown.
  • The founder is a seller: Tom Siebel took $2.9M off the table this month via exercise-and-sell — small dollars against the company's size but directionally exactly wrong when the equity narrative needed a founder buy.
  • The X chatter under the $AI tag is entirely about the Gensyn AI network crypto token, not C3.ai the equity — the sentiment feed here is not signalling anything about this company.

The path back would require an operating-margin credibility print — one Q that shows the burn moderating without gutting the top line. Absent that, the tape has no reason to stop making lower lows.

What to watch: The Sept 2 print — operating margin trend versus consensus and any specific commentary on federal-contract renewals. A margin improvement without a top-line cut stabilizes the tape; another quarter of unchanged burn continues the distribution.

On the calendar: 2026-09-02 — Q1 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment7 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-15

$AI (Gensyn AI network token) chatter is bullish. 30M AI tokens ($800k) just burned - a supply-shock catalyst. AI from Gensyn is live on Flash Earn with an 8M AI prize pool. Chart bulls flag AI testing crucial resistance from verge of Triangle on 1D - breakout could trigger recovery toward $0.0450+. Community expects '$AI season to start October 2026.' Community broadly long.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $AI

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Sells pre-built enterprise AI software applications for predictive maintenance and operations optimization to large organizations.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Information Technology Services sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $AI.

Information Technology Services · Technology

No material change from last week — SAIC, CACI, and LDOS benefit from multi-year DoD AI production contracts converting from pilots to deployed systems.

What this means for $AI

Neutral — Sells pre-built enterprise AI software applications for predictive maintenance and operations optimization to large organizations; limited exposure means the DoD AI production contract conversions driving multi-year IT backlog is not a near-term catalyst or headwind.

Top industry ETF

$IGViShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF
-12.9%YTD
-16.6%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-3.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-68.7%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-195%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-12.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
5.9Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-63.9%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
30.9%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Jun 3, 2026$-0.33$-0.38+13.2%
Q4 2025Feb 25, 2026$-0.40$-0.29-37.9%
Q3 2025Dec 3, 2025$-0.25$-0.33+23.6%
Q2 2025Sep 3, 2025$-0.37$-0.38+2.6%
Next earningsWed, Sep 2·consensus EPS $-0.26

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q4 FY26$51.6M-52.5%21.9%-214%$-0.79$-53.3M
Q3 FY26$53.3M-46.1%17.3%-264%$-0.95$-56.2M
Q2 FY26$75.1M-20.3%40.4%-149%$-0.75$-46.9M
Q1 FY26$70.3M-19.4%37.6%-178%$-0.86$-34.3M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 12 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$250.3M$249.1M – $250.9M-$1.39-$1.45 – -$1.369
FY27$224.3M$215.0M – $227.8M-$0.79-$0.84 – -$0.7512
FY28$246.9M$226.7M – $264.5M-$0.45-$0.53 – -$0.2810
FY29$269.8M$269.8M – $269.8M-$0.39-$0.43 – -$0.363
FY30$1.7B$1.6B – $1.8B$0.40$0.37 – $0.431

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.5%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-8.9%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-26.2%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 135.9M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today4.4% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.055-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJul 15Thomas M SiebelCEO198.5K sh$1.8MSellJul 14Thomas M SiebelCEO264.1K sh$2.4MSellJul 1Ehikian Stephen BradleyCEO50.5K sh$478KSellJun 30Hitesh LathCFO48.6K sh$426KSellJun 16Hitesh LathCFO34.2K sh$375KSellJun 15Thomas M SiebelCEO472.0K sh$5.2MSellJun 12Thomas M SiebelCEO23.6K sh$257KSellJun 2Thomas M SiebelCEO17.4K sh$196KSellMay 18Thomas M SiebelCEO112.0K sh$969KSellMay 15Thomas M SiebelCEO369.6K sh$3.2M
1–10 of 23
+ 35 other (17 exempts · 8 gifts · 6 returns · 4 awards) in window

See when $AI insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 168-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

C3.ai, Inc. (AI) filed an 8-K Item 5.02 on June 16, 2026 reporting a change involving a director or officer. Body unavailable — excerpt contains only XBRL/cover boilerplate without the specific personnel change details.

8-KOfficer or director changeMay 128-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

AI reported fourth quarter and full fiscal year ended April 30, 20 financial results (8-K Item 2.02). Investors should review the full earnings press release and any management guidance for forward outlook.

8-KRestructuring / exit costsFeb 258-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 2.05: Restructuring / exit costs
+ 11 other (5 13Gs · 2 routine 8-Ks · 1 S-8 · 1 10-K) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

C3.ai, Inc. (AI) Declines More Than Market: Some Information for Investorszacks.com·2d agoA 1950s Stock Checklist Just Predicted AI's Regulatory Reckoning in 2026247wallst.com·2d agoAI Solution Providers Shift From AI Features to AI-Enabled Executiongurufocus.com·4d agoSummit Therapeutics Signs Agreement to Sell Phase III Asset Ridinilazole to Biossil, Inc.gurufocus.com·4d agoAI-related debt jumped 99% over the past year. It's a ‘shock to the system' for investors.marketwatch.com·5d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

AI InfrastructureAgentic AI & Enterprise Software

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Voices on X · top 3 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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