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AMAMTM

Amentum Holdings, Inc.

$AMTM·$4.7B·Aerospace & Defense·Industrials
$18.13-2.1%YTD-37.7%1Y-21.8%
Price updated 11h ago·X counts updated 3d ago
AMAMTM
$AMTMAmentum Holdings, Inc.
$18.13-2.11%33 posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $AMTM on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

33X posts · last 7 days
Sep 28Oct 11
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $AMTM's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level.

AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $AMTM — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Broken storyWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-10-02

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Amentum is at the 52-week floor on defense-services malaise — Nov 23 earnings tests whether the backlog holds.

Amentum Holdings provides engineering and technology services to US government and allied defense customers. The business has been in continued post-spinoff reset.

  • The business is modest: Q1 revenue -2% YoY at a 4.1% operating margin and ROIC of 4.7% — low operating margins typical of government-services contractors, with PE 26.1x reflecting cycle discount.
  • At 0.37x sales for a defense-services contractor the valuation is cheap — the market is pricing in continued US government budget uncertainty.
  • 52-week range position is 2.9% with volume at 92% of average — near-absolute floor on normal volume, which is distribution rather than exhaustion for a $4.7B defense-services name.

Nov 23 Q3 is the gate — any confirmed defense-contract backlog growth plus margin stability extends the stock off the floor. Another revenue decline or contract-award setback and the stock stays range-bound at the lows.

What to watch: Nov 23 Q3 — defense-contract backlog, operating-margin direction, revenue by segment, and FY27 guide. A contract-award setback is the clear invalidator.

On the calendar: 2026-11-23 — Q3 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $AMTM

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Government contractor providing critical mission support and technology services to US defense, intelligence, and federal civilian agencies.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Aerospace & Defense sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $AMTM.

Aerospace & Defense · Industrials

No material change from last week — Defense procurement backlogs remain intact on NATO 2% GDP commitments.

What this means for $AMTM

Partial — Government contractor providing critical mission support and technology services to US defense, intelligence, and federal civilian agencies.

Top industry ETF

$ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
-5.3%YTD
-3.1%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
26.1How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
4.7%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
4.1%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
9.2%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.4Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
4.4%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
8.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 10, 2026$0.67$0.61+9.7%
Q1 2026May 11, 2026$0.60$0.58+3.4%
Q4 2025Feb 9, 2026$0.54$0.53+1.9%
Q3 2025Nov 24, 2025$0.63$0.59+6.6%
Next earningsMon, Nov 23·consensus EPS $0.66

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q3 FY26$3.5B-2.0%10.3%4.9%$0.27$135.0M
Q2 FY26$3.5B-0.4%7.2%3.7%$0.22$231.0M
Q1 FY26$3.2B-5.2%10.1%4.3%$0.18$-142.0M
Q4 FY25$3.9B-7.5%7.5%3.6%$0.16$261.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 10 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$13.9B$13.9B – $13.9B$2.45$2.42 – $2.498
FY27$14.1B$13.9B – $14.1B$2.64$2.50 – $2.848
FY28$14.5B$14.2B – $14.8B$2.95$2.46 – $3.3810
FY29$15.3B$15.1B – $15.7B$3.10$3.05 – $3.231
FY30$15.9B$15.7B – $16.4B$3.35$3.30 – $3.491

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.6×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.2%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-10.0%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-27.9%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 196.9M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.5% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.315-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 11 other (5 exempts · 5 inkinds · 1 gift) in window

See when $AMTM insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeOct 28-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Amentum Holdings, Inc. amended and restated its employment agreement with Executive Chair Steven J. Demetriou effective September 28, 2026, extending his previously-expired initial term on an indefinite at-will basis. Under the revised terms, Demetriou's base salary is $625,000, his short-term incentive target is 100% of base salary, and his long-term incentive target value at grant is $1,250,000 annually. The amendment removed all prior severance obligations except a pro-rata bonus and full LTI vesting acceleration. Modest compensation re-set for an existing executive; severance removal reduces future liability.

8-KMaterial agreementApr 288-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement
+ 6 other (2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 13Gs) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Amentum Opens Global Nuclear Headquarters in Oak Ridge, Tennesseebusinesswire.com·7d agoAmentum: Margin Quality Over Revenue Quantityseekingalpha.com·7d agoAmentum Joint Venture Secures Preferred Position for Major UK Nuclear Contractgurufocus.com·15d agoAmentum Joint Venture Secures Preferred Position for Major UK Nuclear Contractbusinesswire.com·15d agoNew Industry Survey Reinforces Nuclear's Growth Outlooketftrends.com·17d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $AMTM on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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