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AMAMAT

Applied Materials, Inc.

$AMAT·$478B·Semiconductors·Technology
$529.66-5.6%YTD+98.3%1Y+175.1%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-10: 457 posts2026-07-11: 121 posts2026-07-12: 239 posts2026-07-13: 459 posts2026-07-14: 312 posts2026-07-15: 334 posts2026-07-16: 243 posts2,249-3%
Price updated 2h ago·X counts updated 1d ago
AMAMAT
$AMATApplied Materials, Inc.
$529.66-5.57%2.2k posts-3%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $AMAT, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-07-17

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

Semi-equipment leader in a two-year fab capex boom just watched the CEO cash out $55M into strength.

Applied Materials is the largest US-listed maker of wafer-fab equipment — the tools that fab operators like TSMC, Samsung, Intel and Micron install to actually build chips. The current cycle is unusual: AI, memory, and reshored US fabs are all lifting capex at once, and management is telling customers to plan two years out.

Why the setup is nuanced despite the tape:

  • Growth is decelerating even as the narrative accelerates: Q2 revenue grew 11% YoY to $7.9B, but Q1 was actually down 2% — the two-year capex-visibility story is what Wall Street is pricing, not the current print.
  • Multiple has fully priced the boom: 42x trailing earnings and 46x FY27 consensus EPS of $12.24 is the highest AMAT has traded in years; upside from here requires the next equipment-order cycle to actually raise consensus, not just confirm it.
  • The insider signal is the loudest in years: director Gary Dickerson (former CEO) sold roughly $55M in a single day on July 1, and CIO Prabu Raja added $6.3M — this is a rare cluster of senior-level distribution into a re-rated stock.
  • Sell-side is validating anyway: Stifel and Mizuho both raised targets to $650, and community flow lines AMAT up with ARM/MU/AVGO in the sector-leadership basket — the momentum trade is intact until it isn't.

The forward look: the August 13 Q3 print is the referee. A clean beat with a fresh two-year backlog commentary keeps the tape working; a beat with cautious language about lithography timing or a China-restrictions update would turn the cooling into a real correction, especially given the Dickerson selling. What breaks the momentum: any signal that TSMC/Micron capex is being deferred rather than pulled forward, or fresh export-control tightening.

Agrees with X sentimentThe X 'multi-year chip boom' framing matches Dickerson's own commentary and the raised targets. What the crowd is underweighting: the same Dickerson just sold $55M into that story — the insider action is the counter-tell to the celebration.

What to watch: August 13 Q3 earnings and any China-export-control update; another cluster of executive sales the week of the print would confirm the insider knowledge is negative.

On the calendar: 2026-08-13 — Q3 FY2026 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment12 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-17

Applied Materials is being framed as a high-quality picks-and-shovels supplier to the AI-chip buildout. Stifel raised its Applied Materials price target to $650 from $530, maintaining Buy and calling AMAT a high-quality holding positioned for market expansion and higher-than-consensus margins. Bulls emphasize the Fab5 (SCREEN, AMAT, ASML, LRCX, KLAC) as parabolic with earnings-growth expectations reaching WFE $400-500B in 2030 with margin expansion, and Micron's US chipmaking investment reaching $3B as part of a $250B expansion as a direct AMAT tailwind. TSMC's blowout print and raised capex are amplifying the read. The main critical thread is that ASML and AMAT are both 'allergic to the 50DMA' (a technical caution) and that Fab5 valuations have already gone parabolic; the balance of sentiment is constructive.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $AMAT

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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Makes CVD, PVD, etch, and CMP wafer processing equipment used by every major semiconductor fab to manufacture chips.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Semiconductors sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $AMAT.

Semiconductors · Technology

No material change from last week — structural AI capex engine unchanged: hyperscaler Blackwell allocation stays tight through 2H26 and HBM3e pricing holds as LLM context-window expansion drives 5-8x per-server memory demand uplift.

What this means for $AMAT

Partial — Makes CVD, PVD, etch, and CMP wafer processing equipment used by every major semiconductor fab to manufacture chips; the AI capex and HBM/compute demand cycle is a secondary rather than primary near-term earnings catalyst.

Top industry ETF

$SMHVanEck Semiconductor ETF
+50.8%YTD
+90.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
42.0How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
21.6%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
29.5%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
1.7%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
12.3Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
39.8%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
49.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.3Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 14, 2026$2.86$2.68+6.7%
Q4 2025Feb 12, 2026$2.38$2.21+7.7%
Q3 2025Dec 12, 2025$2.17$2.11+2.8%
Q2 2025Aug 14, 2025$2.48$2.36+5.1%
Next earningsThu, Aug 13·consensus EPS $3.36

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$7.9B+11.4%49.9%31.9%$3.53$832.0M
Q1 FY26$7.0B-2.1%49.0%29.9%$2.55$1.0B
Q4 FY25$6.8B-3.5%48.0%25.2%$2.39$2.0B
Q3 FY25$7.3B+7.7%48.8%30.6%$2.22$2.0B

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 26 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$33.4B$33.0B – $33.8B$12.24$11.63 – $12.5326
FY27$42.5B$37.1B – $44.8B$16.59$12.96 – $17.8626
FY28$50.6B$49.8B – $51.5B$20.97$15.20 – $27.4619
FY29$54.2B$49.7B – $57.3B$22.68$20.24 – $24.3914

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.69%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+7.2%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+57.2%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 790.8M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.1% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.575-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJun 30Gary E DickersonCEO20.0K sh$14.7MSellJun 29Gary E DickersonCEO58.3K sh$40.8MSellJun 18Prabu G. RajaPresident10.0K sh$6.3MSellJun 16Thomas J IannottiDirector9.3K sh$5.5MSellJun 16Gary E DickersonCEO71.7K sh$42.6MSellJun 16Omkaram NalamasuCTO24.3K sh$14.4MSellJun 15Gary E DickersonCEO11.3K sh$6.7MSellJun 15Timothy M DeaneSVP, Applied Global Services8.6K sh$5.1MSellJun 15Omkaram NalamasuCTO10.7K sh$6.4MSellJun 4Prabu G. RajaPresident50.0K sh$25.3M
1–10 of 17
+ 15 other (9 awards · 4 gifts · 2 inkinds) in window

See when $AMAT insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KShareholder voteMar 138-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
8-KPress release / Reg FDFeb 128-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
+ 10 other (2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 13Gs · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Why Investors Need to Take Advantage of These 2 Computer and Technology Stocks Nowzacks.com·2d agoApplied Materials Vs. KLA Corporation: This AI Infrastructure Play Is A Better Buy247wallst.com·2d agoSemiconductor Stock Could Continue to Test Key Resistanceschaeffersresearch.com·2d agoWall Street closes higher as cooling inflation lifts chip stocks, rate hopesproactiveinvestors.com·3d agoThe AI Boom Isn't Over: 3 Stocks to Buy for 2H 2026zacks.com·4d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

AI InfrastructureSemiconductor Onshoring

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Voices on X · top 9 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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