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ALALGT

Allegiant Travel Company

$ALGT·$1.8B·Airlines, Airports & Air Services·Industrials
$66.98-4.9%YTD-17.6%1Y+2.1%
Price updated 1d ago·X counts updated 6d ago
ALALGT
$ALGTAllegiant Travel Company
$66.98-4.86%5 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $ALGT on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

5X posts · last 7 days
Sep 29Oct 11

AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $ALGT — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Comeback attemptEvent coming upAI verdict · as of 2026-10-03

A known event soon (earnings, a ruling, etc.) will likely decide the next move.

Allegiant with 97% EPS surprise and 'Best Low-Cost Airline' award — the low-cost-carrier turnaround into Nov 4 earnings.

Allegiant Travel is a US low-cost leisure-focused airline whose 2026 story is operational-execution recovery meeting specific brand validation — the 'Best Low-Cost Airline in North America at 2026 World Airline Awards' is a specific external validation signal.

  • The P&L is firing: Q2 revenue grew 36.9% YoY to $943M at a slim 2.2% operating margin and EPS of -$0.27, but trailing EPS beats of 97.3% and 10.9% show large underlying operational-leverage against conservative Street models.
  • The specific capital-markets positioning is substantive: the 'Clearance to Climb: Why Allegiant Has Room to Fly' Seeking Alpha framing plus the World Airline Award and Monday Research Call coverage — three coordinated signals supporting the turnaround narrative.

At 31% of its 52-week range and 13% below the 200-day going into Nov 4 earnings, the setup is a classic low-cost-carrier-at-drawdown turnaround coil. Another 50%+ EPS surprise plus continued fare-management commentary is the trigger for a reclaim; a soft load-factor print or any specific fuel-cost signal is the invalidation.

What to watch: Nov 4 Q3 earnings — load factor, operating margin direction, fuel cost, and FY27 guide. 50%+ EPS surprise plus margin expansion is the trigger; load-factor softness is the invalidation.

On the calendar: 2026-11-04 — Q3 earnings

event ahead 30dlcc turnaround

Read the AI verdict on $ALGT

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Low-cost leisure airline connecting small and mid-size US cities directly to popular vacation destinations.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Airlines, Airports & Air Services sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $ALGT.

Airlines, Airports & Air Services · Industrials

No material change from last week — Premium air travel demand remains healthy with Delta's non-main-cabin revenue hitting 61% of total — structural premium-cabin pricing power is intact.

What this means for $ALGT

Neutral — Low-cost leisure airline connecting small and mid-size US cities directly to popular vacation destinations.

Industry benchmark

11-name peer basket
-1.3%YTD
-22.4%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
58.0How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
1.5%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
5.5%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
5.5%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.7Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
2.1%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
44.1%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.6Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 4, 2026$2.19$1.11+97.3%
Q1 2026Apr 30, 2026$3.77$3.40+10.9%
Q4 2025Feb 4, 2026$2.86$2.01+42.3%
Q3 2025Nov 4, 2025$-2.09$-1.84-13.6%
Next earningsWed, Nov 4·consensus EPS $-0.49

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$943.5M+36.9%61.4%2.2%$-0.27$-74.6M
Q1 FY26$732.4M+4.8%65.4%11.1%$2.30$222.6M
Q4 FY25$656.2M+4.5%19.1%12.9%$1.74$90.4M
Q3 FY25$561.9M-0.0%16.4%-4.8%$-2.41$-121.7M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 8 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$3.7B$3.6B – $3.8B$5.66$3.72 – $7.018
FY27$4.5B$4.3B – $4.8B$9.94$8.46 – $11.288
FY28$4.8B$4.6B – $5.0B$14.07$13.31 – $14.826

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.15%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-14.7%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-24.3%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 24.3M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.8% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.545-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 14 other (10 inkinds · 4 awards) in window

See when $ALGT insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDAug 48-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Allegiant Travel Company furnished its Q2 2026 financial results (quarter ended June 30, 2026) via a press release as Exhibit 99.1, announced August 4, 2026. The filing body contains no financial figures — all revenue, operating metrics, and EPS data are in the furnished exhibit. Allegiant operates in the leisure travel segment and its Q2 results reflect peak summer travel demand. Investors should refer to the Exhibit 99.1 press release for Allegiant's Q2 2026 operating and financial results.

8-KPress release / Reg FDAug 38-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Allegiant Travel Company disclosed that its pilots, represented by Teamsters Local 2118, ratified a new Collective Bargaining Agreement on July 31, 2026. The new CBA includes improved pay tables, enhanced retirement benefits, and a preferential bidding system. Accrued retention bonuses under the agreement are payable in Q4 2026. The ratified CBA eliminates near-term labor relations uncertainty for Allegiant and provides a stable pilot cost structure for the foreseeable future.

8-KMaterial agreementJul 308-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

Allegiant Travel Company entered into an amendment to its Pre-Delivery Payment (PDP) financing facility with Carlyle's Runway Seven Lender LLC, establishing an available commitment of $231,028,700 to finance pre-delivery payments on Boeing aircraft orders. The facility matures March 31, 2028, bears SOFR-based interest, and is secured by an assignment of Allegiant's Boeing aircraft purchase agreement. The PDP facility provides essential interim financing to fund deposits on new aircraft before delivery, a critical capital need for Allegiant's planned fleet expansion.

8-KMaterial agreementJun 298-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 8.01: Other event
8-KShareholder voteJun 268-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
8-KPress release / Reg FDJun 98-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
3New insider — initial holdingsMay 153
3New insider — initial holdingsMay 153
+ 25 other (7 13Gs · 4 routine 8-Ks · 4 8-Ks · 3 425s) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

36,217 Shares of Allegiant Travel Company $ALGT Acquired by Venture Visionary Partners LLCdefenseworld.net·10d agoAllegiant Wins Top Award as the Best Low-Cost Airline in North America at 2026 World Airline Awardsprnewswire.com·30d agoClearance to Climb: Why Allegiant Has Room to Flymarketbeat.com·33d agoHere Are Monday’s Top Wall Street Analyst Research Calls: Accenture, Chime Financial, Crown Castle, Dick’s Sporting Goods, EchoStar Corporation, GE Vernova, Honeywell Aerospace, IREN Limited, and More247wallst.com·34d agoAllegiant to Launch Two New Nonstop Flights to Florida Destinationszacks.com·46d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $ALGT on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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