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AIAIRO

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock

$AIRO·$192M·Aerospace & Defense·Industrials
$5.32-3.1%YTD-33.8%1Y-71.9%
Price updated 15m ago·X counts updated 5d ago
AIAIRO
$AIROAIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
$5.32-3.10%5 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $AIRO on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

5X posts · last 7 days
Sep 28Oct 11
Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-20

AIRO Group posters describe an explosive move on heavy volume. AIRO surged as high as $11.78 intraday before settling around $10.34-$10.76 (+21-27% on the session), and is up over 60% in the last few weeks. Q2 revenue was $43.2M (+76% YoY) with a swing to $1.7M operating income. Bulls flag AIRO as part of the drone-play basket and describe it as an unusual small-cap flow. Uniformly bullish tone.

Read what X is saying about $AIRO

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $AIRO — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Driven by hypeWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-10-02

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

AIRO just surged on heavy volume with Q2 revenue +76% to $43.2M — drone-play basket got attention.

AIRO Group Holdings is a drone and defense-adjacent industrial — the business is reaccelerating with meaningful Q2 operational improvement.

  • The business inflection is specific: Q2 revenue $43.2M (+76% YoY) with a swing to $1.7M operating income — tangible operational turn from the trailing P&L, though PE -14.8 reflects TTM losses.
  • The chart signal is specific: AIRO surged as high as $11.78 intraday before settling around $10.34-$10.76 (+21-27% session) and up over 60% in the last few weeks — the current ~$6.54 price in the bundle suggests subsequent consolidation after the spike.
  • 52-week range position is 5% at $6.54 with vol at 92% of average — near-absolute floor after the spike, with 'unusual small-cap flow' framing being the catalyst.

Nov 13 Q3 is the gate — any continued revenue growth plus confirmed operating income extends the move. A revenue reversion or any sector-wide drone-cohort pullback and the stock gives back the recent spike.

Agrees with X sentimentThe thread has substantive drivers — intraday $11.78 then settling $10.34-$10.76 (+21-27% session), +60% last weeks, Q2 revenue $43.2M (+76% YoY), $1.7M operating income swing, drone-play basket framing — all grounded; current $6.54 price suggests subsequent cooling.

What to watch: Nov 13 Q3 — revenue trajectory, operating-income sustainability, drone-contract commentary, and FY27 guide. A revenue reversion is the clear invalidator.

On the calendar: 2026-11-13 — Q3 earnings

price inconsistency

Read the AI verdict on $AIRO

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

US aerospace and defense contractor making tactical systems and electronic warfare equipment for military programs.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Aerospace & Defense sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $AIRO.

Aerospace & Defense · Industrials

No material change from last week — Defense procurement backlogs remain intact on NATO 2% GDP commitments.

What this means for $AIRO

Direct beneficiary — US aerospace and defense contractor making tactical systems and electronic warfare equipment for military programs.

Top industry ETF

$ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
-5.3%YTD
-0.4%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-14.8How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-5.9%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-48.7%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-17.2%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
3.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-2.4%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
59.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 13, 2026$-0.06$-0.30+80.0%
Q1 2026May 14, 2026$-0.49$-0.29-71.0%
Q4 2025Mar 31, 2026$-0.00$0.13-101.0%
Q3 2025Nov 14, 2025$-0.28$0.10-380.0%
Next earningsFri, Nov 13·consensus EPS $-0.40

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$8.9M-24.5%26.6%-193%$-0.49$-19.5M
Q4 FY25$48.3M+21.5%67.0%12.4%$-0.00$3.0M
Q3 FY25$6.3M-73.5%44.4%-191%$-0.28$-6.7M
Q2 FY25$24.6M+151.0%61.2%-80.2%$0.22$-21.7M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 2 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$109.5M$103.9M – $115.7M-$1.16-$1.32 – -$0.992
FY27$165.2M$156.8M – $174.5M-$0.49-$0.99 – $0.012
FY28$262.4M$231.3M – $293.5M$0.15-$0.27 – $0.572
FY29$316.0M$299.9M – $333.8M$0.84$0.78 – $0.901
FY30$393.5M$373.5M – $415.7M$1.94$1.81 – $2.081

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.3×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.3%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-25.9%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-34.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 17.9M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.8% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.055-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellSep 2Mariya PylypivCFO8.7K sh$62KSellSep 2John UczekajCOO7.2K sh$51KSellAug 14Mariya PylypivCFO19.4K sh$189KSellAug 14John UczekajCOO16.9K sh$164KSellJul 6John UczekajCOO154 sh$1KSellJun 17Mariya PylypivCFO30.0K sh$230K
+ 8 other (8 awards) in window

See when $AIRO insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KShareholder voteJun 58-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO) disclosed the results of its annual meeting of shareholders in an 8-K filing under Item 5.07. Shareholders voted on ratification of the independent auditor. All management-sponsored proposals were approved by majority shareholder vote. Annual meeting results are a routine disclosure that confirms shareholder ratification of the board's composition and compensation practices.

+ 9 other (2 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

AIRO Qualifies for Canada's Defence Drone Initiative Marketplacebusinesswire.com·2d agoAIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:AIRO) Stock Has Consensus Price Target of $17.33defenseworld.net·5d agoA New Era Arrives: Airo Trains Make Their Amtrak Cascades Debutbusinesswire.com·15d agoSiemens-Built Amtrak Airo Fleet Enters Service, Marking Major Milestone in U.S. Rail Modernizationbusinesswire.com·16d agoAIRO Invited to Phase 2.5 of Drone Dominance Programgurufocus.com·24d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Defense & Drones

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $AIRO on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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