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AIAIRO

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock

$AIRO·$268M·Aerospace & Defense·Industrials
$7.78+0.3%YTD-9.7%1Y-69.9%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-21: 1 posts2026-08-22: 0 posts2026-08-23: 0 posts11-8%
Price updated 15m ago·X counts updated 8d ago
AIAIRO
$AIROAIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
$7.78+0.26%11 posts-8%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $AIRO, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Driven by hypeAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-08-31

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

AIRO Group is riding the drone-play basket — Q2 revenue +76% YoY, first operating profit, +60% in a few weeks.

AIRO Group Holdings (AIRO) is the newly-public aerospace-and-drones name that just gave the tape a real print to work with, in a sector actively bid.

  • Q2 2026 revenue of $43.2M was up ~76% YoY (vs a $31M estimate), and the company swung to ~$1.7M operating income — the beat is small in absolute terms but a step-function change vs prior quarters.
  • The stock ran to $11.78 intraday and settled +21-27% on the session, and is up ~60% in weeks against a low ~17M float — momentum plus category tailwind (drones/dual-use hybrid-electric VTOL, per the Jaunt/Calogy news) are working together.
  • The other side is stark: prior quarters showed revenue -73% YoY and losses of nearly 2x revenue, so the 'first profitable quarter' pattern needs Q3 to hold before it becomes a trajectory.

Bottom line: real momentum on a real print in a real sector — sizing matters given the low float and volatile earnings history.

Agrees with X sentimentX chatter is uniformly bullish on the drone-basket setup; the Q2 print supports the direction, though not the durability.

What to watch: Q3 revenue-recognition mix, gross-margin trend, any new drone or defense-adjacent contract wins, and float-changing filings.

On the calendar: Q3 2026 earnings — 2026-11-13.

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-20

AIRO Group posters describe an explosive move on heavy volume. AIRO surged as high as $11.78 intraday before settling around $10.34-$10.76 (+21-27% on the session), and is up over 60% in the last few weeks. Q2 revenue was $43.2M (+76% YoY) with a swing to $1.7M operating income. Bulls flag AIRO as part of the drone-play basket and describe it as an unusual small-cap flow. Uniformly bullish tone.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $AIRO

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

US aerospace and defense contractor making tactical systems and electronic warfare equipment for military programs.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Aerospace & Defense sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $AIRO.

Aerospace & Defense · Industrials

Defense budget tailwinds — NATO spending commitments and Pentagon procurement acceleration — support backlogs at prime contractors. Commercial space is a separate driver: launch cadence and satellite constellations are pulling RKLB and LUNR on their own momentum, independent of traditional defense spending.

What this means for $AIRO

Direct beneficiary — AI-native product or platform captures spend from the same capex cycle driving the industry; US aerospace and defense contractor making tactical systems and electronic warfare equipment for military programs.

Top industry ETF

$ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
+16.3%YTD
+16.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-14.8How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-5.9%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-48.7%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-17.2%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
3.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-2.4%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
59.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 13, 2026$-0.06$-0.30+80.0%
Q1 2026May 14, 2026$-0.49$-0.29-71.0%
Q4 2025Mar 31, 2026$-0.00$0.13-101.0%
Q3 2025Nov 14, 2025$-0.28$0.10-380.0%
Next earningsFri, Nov 13·consensus EPS $-0.43

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$8.9M-24.5%26.6%-193%$-0.49$-19.5M
Q4 FY25$48.3M+21.5%67.0%12.4%$-0.00$3.0M
Q3 FY25$6.3M-73.5%44.4%-191%$-0.28$-6.7M
Q2 FY25$24.6M+151.0%61.2%-80.2%$0.22$-21.7M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 1 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$108.1M$104.0M – $112.3M-$1.06-$1.15 – -$0.971
FY27$170.1M$163.6M – $176.6M-$0.18-$0.36 – -$0.011
FY28$293.2M$282.0M – $304.5M$0.38$0.36 – $0.401
FY29$316.0M$303.9M – $328.1M$0.84$0.80 – $0.881
FY30$393.5M$378.4M – $408.6M$1.95$1.85 – $2.051

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.5×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.10%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+3.1%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-11.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 17.3M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.5% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.905-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 14Mariya PylypivCFO19.4K sh$189KSellAug 14John UczekajCOO16.9K sh$164KSellJul 6John UczekajCOO154 sh$1KSellJun 17Mariya PylypivCFO30.0K sh$230KSellApr 6John UczekajCOO144 sh$1KSellApr 6John UczekajCOO3.4K sh$30KSellMar 12Mariya PylypivCFO20.1K sh$206KSellMar 12John UczekajCOO396 sh$4K
+ 8 other (8 awards) in window

See when $AIRO insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KShareholder voteJun 58-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO) disclosed the results of its annual meeting of shareholders in an 8-K filing under Item 5.07. Shareholders voted on ratification of the independent auditor. All management-sponsored proposals were approved by majority shareholder vote. Annual meeting results are a routine disclosure that confirms shareholder ratification of the board's composition and compensation practices.

+ 12 other (3 earnings 8-Ks · 2 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·18d agoAIRO Group Q2 Earnings Call Highlightsmarketbeat.com·18d agoAIRO Reports Second Quarter 2026 Resultsgurufocus.com·18d agoAIRO Reports Second Quarter 2026 Resultsbusinesswire.com·18d agoJaunt Air Mobility Selects Calogy Solutions to Design Battery System for Next-Generation Dual-Use Hybrid-Electric VTOL Dronebusinesswire.com·28d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Defense & Drones

More in Aerospace & Defense

Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $AIRO on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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