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AIAIRO

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock

$AIRO·$197M·Aerospace & Defense·Industrials
$6.53+0.6%YTD-21.7%1Y-75.1%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-10: 0 posts2026-07-11: 1 posts2026-07-12: 2 posts2026-07-13: 2 posts2026-07-14: 13 posts2026-07-15: 2 posts2026-07-16: 8 posts28+130%
Price updated 39m ago·X counts updated 23h ago
AIAIRO
$AIROAIRO Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
$6.53+0.62%28 posts+130%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $AIRO, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Hinges on a big eventWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-07-16

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Drone pure-play with a Blue UAS listing and a coiling range-low chart.

AIRO Group is a defense-drone pure-play that is down about 75% over twelve months but is coiling near the low of its range on a series of milestones, including the July 14 addition of its RQ-35 Heidrun ISR drone to the U.S. Blue UAS List, which is a prerequisite for federal-agency purchase.

  • The Zentra camera-suite integration delivered on July 9 and the June Eurosatory 2026 debut of the RQ-70 long-range platform give a multi-product roadmap that could inflect revenue if the Blue UAS designation converts into orders.
  • Insider trading was small during June, but Chief Business Officer Mariya Pylypiv's $230,000 sale on June 17 is worth flagging against a $200 million market cap, and Chief Executive John Uczekaj's $1,200 sale on July 6 was a routine transaction.
  • The August 13 second-quarter print is the near-term catalyst, with defense-contract disclosure and gross-margin commentary the two items that determine whether the coil resolves upward.

Watch Blue UAS-driven contract awards, gross margin, and cash-runway commentary on the Q2 call.

Agrees with X sentimentThe drone-and-defense rally chatter aligns with the Blue UAS milestone; the fundamentals need to convert that visibility into revenue.

What to watch: Blue UAS contract awards, Q2 gross margin, and cash runway.

On the calendar: Q2 earnings on August 13, 2026.

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment6 posts analyzed · as of 2026-06-04

AIRO Group is being lumped into the broader drone-and-defense rally as a pure-play drone manufacturer with ISR and defense exposure, with traders citing roughly 25% single-day pops and asymmetric upside in the microcap segment. The name is consistently grouped with ONDS, KTOS and AVEX as the watchlist for any incremental signal that the Trump administration takes ownership stakes in US drone companies. The corpus is thin and entirely bullish; no near-term bear case is articulated, though one poster explicitly frames these as small high-risk bets.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $AIRO

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

US aerospace and defense contractor making tactical systems and electronic warfare equipment for military programs.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Aerospace & Defense sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $AIRO.

Aerospace & Defense · Industrials

No material change from last week — institutions now mark RKLB, LUNR, and RDW against SPCX's $1.

What this means for $AIRO

Partial — US aerospace and defense contractor making tactical systems and electronic warfare equipment for military programs; the defense budget expansion and space commercialization is a secondary rather than primary near-term earnings catalyst.

Top industry ETF

$ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
+7.1%YTD
+18.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-14.8How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-5.9%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-48.7%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-17.2%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
3.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-2.4%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
59.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 14, 2026$-0.49$-0.29-71.0%
Q4 2025Mar 31, 2026$-0.00$0.13-101.0%
Q3 2025Nov 14, 2025$-0.28$0.10-380.0%
Q2 2025Aug 14, 2025$0.22$-0.35+161.6%
Next earningsThu, Aug 13·consensus EPS $-0.25

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$8.9M-24.5%26.6%-193%$-0.49$-19.5M
Q4 FY25$48.3M+21.5%67.0%12.4%$-0.00$3.0M
Q3 FY25$6.3M-73.5%44.4%-191%$-0.28$-6.7M
Q2 FY25$24.6M+151.0%61.2%-80.2%$0.22$-21.7M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 2 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$111.5M$105.7M – $117.3M-$1.04-$1.11 – -$0.972
FY27$175.8M$166.6M – $185.0M-$0.10-$0.11 – -$0.092
FY28$300.6M$284.8M – $316.3M$0.38$0.35 – $0.411
FY29$316.0M$299.4M – $332.5M$0.84$0.78 – $0.901
FY30$393.5M$372.8M – $414.0M$1.95$1.82 – $2.081

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.4%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-12.9%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-36.9%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 17.3M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.925-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJul 6John UczekajCOO154 sh$1KSellJun 17Mariya PylypivCFO30.0K sh$230KSellApr 6John UczekajCOO144 sh$1KSellApr 6John UczekajCOO3.4K sh$30KSellMar 12John UczekajCOO396 sh$4KSellMar 12Mariya PylypivCFO20.1K sh$206K
+ 11 other (11 awards) in window

See when $AIRO insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KShareholder voteJun 58-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. (AIRO) disclosed the results of its annual meeting of shareholders in an 8-K filing under Item 5.07. Shareholders voted on ratification of the independent auditor. All management-sponsored proposals were approved by majority shareholder vote. Annual meeting results are a routine disclosure that confirms shareholder ratification of the board's composition and compensation practices.

+ 8 other (2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys · 1 10-Q · 1 ARS) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

AIRO Completes Major Delivery of its RQ-35 ISTAR UAS, Highlighting Production Scalebusinesswire.com·2d agoAIRO's RQ-35 Heidrun ISR Drone Added To U.S. Blue UAS Listbusinesswire.com·4d agoAIRO Completes First Operational Delivery Featuring New Zentra Camera Suitebusinesswire.com·9d agoAIRO Debuts RQ-70 Long-Range ISR Drone Platform at Eurosatory 2026, Advancing Multi-Product Growth Strategybusinesswire.com·30d agoAIRO Group's Biggest Breakout May Be Aheadseekingalpha.com·41d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Defense & Drones

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Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $AIRO on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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