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WOWOLF

Wolfspeed Inc.

$WOLF·$1.2B·Semiconductors·Technology
$25.76-2.2%YTD+50.8%1Y+16.6%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-16: 58 posts2026-08-17: 82 posts2026-08-18: 94 posts2026-08-19: 189 posts2026-08-20: 167 posts2026-08-21: 81 posts2026-08-22: 47 posts720+4%
Price updated 2d ago·X counts updated 1d ago
WOWOLF
$WOLFWolfspeed Inc.
$25.76-2.24%720 posts+4%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $WOLF, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Comeback attemptSelling offAI verdict · as of 2026-08-23

Falling on heavy selling — points lower unless it turns around.

Post-restructuring silicon-carbide play with a real AI-datacenter tailwind and margins still in double-digit-negative territory.

Wolfspeed is the silicon-carbide semiconductor pure-play that emerged from a difficult restructuring and is now trying to convince the market that its AI-datacenter and 800V EV positioning is worth more than the $1.2B market cap implies. The Q4 FY26 print made the case harder, not easier.

  • The AI-datacenter angle is the real bull argument: FY26 AI datacenter revenue more than doubled YoY and grew 20% sequentially — that's a segment growing into a genuine capacity crunch for silicon-carbide power modules, and it's the reason a fresh 10%+ beneficial owner just filed a Form 3 (a large stake being taken).
  • The Q4 print was rough: revenue $149.6M against a $224M consensus (33% miss), non-GAAP gross margin -20% (i.e., they lose money on every unit), and adjusted EBITDA -$62.4M — a stock can't hold a +50% YTD run against those numbers indefinitely.
  • The balance-sheet math is deteriorating: $1.09B cash against roughly $60M/quarter free-cash-flow burn gives maybe 4-5 quarters of runway before capital is needed — the FY27 revenue estimate of $758M with EPS of -$12.37 doesn't fix that alone.
  • Beta 8.6 is not a typo: this is the highest-volatility single-name in the batch, so any move (positive or negative) will be violent — and with a 5.96M free-tradable-share float, a small buyer or seller moves the tape meaningfully.

A meaningful re-rate needs the November print to show the AI-datacenter segment revenue at a materially higher fraction of total and the margin trajectory improving toward zero — anything short of that and the balance-sheet clock becomes the driver. What would seal the breakdown: a fresh capital raise announced at these levels, a customer push-out on the AI-datacenter book, or an operational hiccup at the Mohawk Valley fab. What would restart the move: two consecutive quarters of margin improvement plus an AI-datacenter customer name-drop.

What to watch: The November 4 earnings for gross-margin trajectory (needs to be visibly improving) and AI-datacenter segment disclosure. Improving margins + AI reveal = the turnaround thesis extends; another margin miss or capital raise = the breakdown seals.

On the calendar: 2026-11-04 — Q1 FY27 earnings

post restructuringcapital runwayhigh beta

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Mixed sentiment52 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-22

Wolfspeed chatter is genuinely split around Q4 FY26 — revenue $149.6M (mid-guide) missed $224M consensus, adj EPS -$2.26 beat -$2.45 est, non-GAAP gross margin -20%, adjusted EBITDA -$62.4M, FCF -$60.9M with $1.09B cash. Bulls point to AI data-center revenue more than doubling YoY in FY26 and +20% QoQ, plus 800V-architecture optionality and Jesse Pollak's WOLF memecoin conviction stake. Bears see another headed-toward-bankruptcy risk with garbage gross margins and a 12% drop. Real two-sided debate.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $WOLF

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  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Manufactures silicon carbide wafers and MOSFETs for EV powertrains and industrial power, plus GaN RF devices for 5G and defense.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Semiconductors sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $WOLF.

Semiconductors · Technology

No material change from last week — structural AI capex engine unchanged: hyperscaler Blackwell allocation stays tight through 2H26 and HBM3e pricing holds as LLM context-window expansion drives 5-8x per-server memory demand uplift.

What this means for $WOLF

Neutral — Manufactures silicon carbide wafers and MOSFETs for EV powertrains and industrial power, plus GaN RF devices for 5G and defense; limited read-through from semiconductors macro dynamics to this specific revenue mix.

Top industry ETF

$SMHVanEck Semiconductor ETF
+56.0%YTD
+95.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-1.8How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-34.4%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-141%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-28.2%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
3.7Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-52.1%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
-31.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.8Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 19, 2026$-2.26$-2.45+7.8%
Q1 2026May 5, 2026$-3.26$-3.78+13.8%
Q4 2025Feb 4, 2026$-6.11$-0.61-893.5%
Q3 2025Oct 29, 2025$-0.55$-0.71+22.9%
Next earningsWed, Nov 4·consensus EPS $-1.99

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q3 FY26$150.2M-19.0%-26.6%-69.4%$-2.30$-121.6M
Q2 FY26$168.5M-6.6%-46.5%-94.0%$-2.90$-73.2M
Q1 FY26$196.8M+1.1%-39.2%-82.0%$-12.36$-99.7M
Q4 FY25$197.0M-1.8%-13.0%-295%$-12.90$-455.8M

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 2 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$757.8M$673.4M – $842.1M-$12.37-$14.16 – -$10.582
FY27$645.7M$573.8M – $717.6M-$8.65-$9.90 – -$7.401
FY28$801.5M$712.3M – $890.7M-$7.63-$8.73 – -$6.531
FY29$1.4B$1.3B – $1.6B$0.00$0.00 – $0.001

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.24%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-26.3%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-9.4%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatTiny float · 6.0M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today64.6% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β8.635-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 4 other (3 inkinds · 1 award) in window

See when $WOLF insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsAug 63
AI summary

A new 10%+ beneficial owner filed a Form 3 initial statement of ownership for WOLF (WOLF) dated 2026-08-06. The filing reports initial beneficial ownership of shares, representing approximately a 10%+ stake of outstanding shares. Form 3 is required within 10 days of crossing the 10% ownership threshold and is an administrative disclosure. This indicates significant insider or institutional accumulation and may precede further Schedule 13D/G activity.

8-K/AOfficer or director change (amended)Jul 298-K/A — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

WOLF (WOLF) disclosed an officer or director change (Item 5.02) on 2026-07-29. This is an amended 8-K filing. Details: Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Executive transitions are administrative disclosures; materiality depends on the seniority of the affected position. No new financial terms were disclosed in this filing.

8-KOfficer or director changeJul 298-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

WOLF (WOLF) disclosed an officer or director change (Item 5.02) on 2026-07-29. Also disclosed: Item 8.01. Details: Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Executive transitions are administrative disclosures; materiality depends on the seniority of the affected position. No new financial terms were disclosed in this filing.

S-1Initial registrationJun 9S-1
AI summary

Wolfspeed, Inc. (WOLF), a Delaware semiconductor company (SIC 3674), filed a new Form S-1 registration statement on June 9, 2026, to register 24,072,041 shares of common stock for resale by selling stockholders on a delayed or continuous basis under Rule 415. No new capital is being raised by the company — this is a resale registration for existing holders, not a primary offering. The filing is significant given Wolfspeed's ongoing financial pressures; registering ~24M shares for immediate resale by existing holders signals potential near-term secondary market selling pressure.

3New insider — initial holdingsMay 143
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for WOLF on 2026-05-14, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

8-KMaterial agreementMar 268-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

WOLF entered into a indenture (8-K Item 1.01, dated 2026-03-26). Counterparty: Company, Wolfspeed Texas LLC (“Wolfspeed Texas”). Size: approximately $379,000,000. Rate: 3.5%. Due 2031. Material definitive agreement — investors should review the full exhibit for covenants, conditions, and use of proceeds.

8-KMaterial agreementMar 198-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

WOLF entered into a purchase agreement (8-K Item 1.01, dated 2026-03-19). Material definitive agreement — investors should review the full exhibit for covenants, conditions, and use of proceeds.

S-1Initial registrationMar 9S-1
+ 30 other (21 13Gs · 2 EFFECTs · 2 routine 8-Ks · 1 SD) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Is Wolfspeed Stock a Buy on the Latest Dip?fool.com·17h agoWhy Wolfspeed Stock Crashed Todayfool.com·4d agoWolfspeed Sinks 12% on Wider-Than-Expected Loss, ON Semiconductor Slips as Chip Sector Holds Steady247wallst.com·4d agoStock Futures Pinched by Oil, Iran Escalationschaeffersresearch.com·4d agoWolfspeed Shares Plunge After Bigger-Than-Expected Lossgurufocus.com·4d ago

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