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TXTXT

Textron Inc.

$TXT·$16B·Aerospace & Defense·Industrials
$90.64+2.1%YTD+3.6%1Y+7.7%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-09: 111 posts2026-07-10: 130 posts2026-07-11: 49 posts2026-07-12: 94 posts2026-07-13: 125 posts2026-07-14: 28 posts2026-07-15: 28 posts573+2%
Price updated 7h ago·X counts updated 1d ago
TXTXT
$TXTTextron Inc.
$90.64+2.13%573 posts+2%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $TXT, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersEvent coming upAI verdict · as of 2026-07-15

A known event soon (earnings, a ruling, etc.) will likely decide the next move.

Aerospace-and-defense compounder with Cessna deliveries running — July 28 print is the checkpoint after a mixed year.

Textron owns Textron Aviation (Cessna, Beechcraft), Bell (helicopters), Textron Systems (defense unmanned) and Industrial. It's a diversified aerospace-defense industrial that's had an unusually flat year on the tape despite a genuinely improving order book.

Where the setup shows up:

  • Growth is reaccelerating: Q1 revenue grew 12% year-over-year to $3.7B — up from mid-single-digit growth a year ago, and Q4 was even stronger at +16%. This is genuine order-book conversion into revenue.
  • The valuation is quiet-compounder: 17x trailing PE and 11x EV/EBITDA for a defense-heavy industrial with 4.5% FCF yield — reasonable given the mid-teens EPS-CAGR the sell-side models, and the aerospace-cycle tailwind is durable through 2028.
  • The demand context is favorable: Cessna Citation and Beechcraft King Air demand into private/corporate operators has held despite jet-fuel volatility (US airlines spent $6B on May monthly fuel, up 84% YoY) — meaning corporate flight demand is inelastic, which is the specific driver of TXT's aviation P&L.

July 28 earnings is the near-term hinge: a beat driven by Cessna delivery mix combined with any updated Bell defense-order color would push shares toward $95-100, while a soft aviation quarter combined with an industrial-segment miss would confirm the current stall and pull shares back to the 200-day near $85.

What to watch: July 28 earnings: Cessna delivery growth, Bell defense order commentary, industrial segment margin, and FY guide. An aviation miss combined with industrial weakness pulls shares to $85.

On the calendar: 2026-07-28 — Q2 2026 earnings

sentiment ticker collision

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment6 posts analyzed · as of 2026-06-01

$TXT (TextRP) chatter is dominated by ecosystem activation on the XRP Ledger: 'TextRP Market is OPEN — official merch & digital storefront' with limited-edition Burn Box at $99 plus a free Launch Pack NFT spin (50 XRP value). TXT is the utility token for messaging credits, premium features, NFT trades and rewards. Affiliate program promotes burning TXT for guaranteed value. Tone is firmly bullish-community.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $TXT

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Makes Bell helicopters, Cessna aircraft, military vehicles, and industrial tools through a multi-segment conglomerate.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Aerospace & Defense sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $TXT.

Aerospace & Defense · Industrials

No material change from last week — institutions now mark RKLB, LUNR, and RDW against SPCX's $1.

What this means for $TXT

Partial — Makes Bell helicopters, Cessna aircraft, military vehicles, and industrial tools through a multi-segment conglomerate; this segment overlaps with the defense budget expansion and space commercialization but is not the dominant revenue driver.

Top industry ETF

$ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
+7.1%YTD
+18.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
17.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
13.5%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
8.4%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
4.5%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
12.1%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
14.4%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.5Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Apr 30, 2026$1.45$1.30+11.5%
Q4 2025Jan 28, 2026$1.73$1.70+1.8%
Q3 2025Oct 23, 2025$1.55$1.46+6.2%
Q2 2025Jul 24, 2025$1.55$1.45+6.9%
Next earningsTue, Jul 28·consensus EPS $1.52

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$3.7B+11.8%8.7%6.1%$1.25$-250.0M
Q4 FY25$4.2B+15.6%12.1%11.9%$1.31$527.0M
Q3 FY25$3.6B+5.1%18.2%7.7%$1.32$136.0M
Q2 FY25$3.7B+5.4%19.1%7.2%$1.36$294.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 13 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY27$15.6B$15.5B – $15.7B$6.51$6.36 – $6.6012
FY28$16.2B$15.8B – $16.6B$7.31$7.18 – $7.6012
FY29$16.7B$16.6B – $16.7B$8.11$7.00 – $9.3613
FY30$17.3B$16.6B – $17.7B$8.35$7.89 – $8.606
FY31$17.9B$17.1B – $18.3B$7.65$7.23 – $7.887

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.58%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-0.4%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+1.5%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 172.6M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.7% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.915-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellMay 6Clark R KerryDirector2.5K sh$234KBuyMay 1Thomas A KennedyDirector10.3K sh$989KSellFeb 17Mark S BamfordVP & Corporate Controller19.8K sh$1.9MSellFeb 17Lupone E RobertEVP, General Counsel & Secy28.1K sh$2.8MSellFeb 13Scott C DonnellyChair219.6K sh$21.6MSellFeb 13Mark S BamfordVP & Corporate Controller9.5K sh$941KSellFeb 13Lisa M AthertonCEO7.6K sh$750K
+ 27 other (16 awards · 5 inkinds · 5 exempts · 1 gift) in window

See when $TXT insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KShareholder voteMay 18-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

TXT held its Annual Meeting of stockholders around 2026-05-01 (8-K Item 5.07). Stockholders elected 10 directors to the board. A non-binding say-on-pay vote on executive compensation was conducted. Independent auditor ratification was approved. Routine governance event — monitor for unusually high withhold votes as an activist signal.

8-KPress release / Reg FDApr 308-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

TXT reported period ending 2026-04-30 financial results (8-K Item 2.02). Investors should review the full earnings press release and any management guidance for forward outlook.

S-3ASRAuto-shelf registrationFeb 25S-3ASR
3New insider — initial holdingsFeb 183
8-KOfficer or director changeFeb 28-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
+ 12 other (3 13Gs · 3 proxys · 1 11-K · 1 SD) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Cessna Citation CJ3 Gen2 and Beechcraft King Air 360 Crimson Edition to make EAA AirVenture show debutgurufocus.com·3d agoHexcel vs. Textron: Which Key Industrial Supplier Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?fool.com·4d agoUS airlines' spent over $6 billion on monthly fuel in May amid Iran war — up 84% from year agonypost.com·9d agoIs Textron Expanding Its Presence in the Helicopter Market?zacks.com·16d agoHere's Why Textron (TXT) is a Strong Value Stockzacks.com·16d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $TXT on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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