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TickerTalks›$TSM
TSTSM

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 35% YoY at strong margins30 insiders bought $122K in 30 daysConsistent chatter on X (1.7K/wk), no spike
$TSM·$2.3T·Semiconductors·Technology
$434.67+1.0%YTD+37.9%1Y+61.8%
Price updated 14h ago·X counts updated 7d ago
TSTSM
$TSMTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited
$434.67+1.02%1.7k posts1.1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $TSM on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

1,743X posts · last 7 days
Sep 2Sep 13
Chatter Meter
1.1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $TSM's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level, louder than 72% of tracked names.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data26 posts analyzed · as of 2026-09-15

TSMC and ASML announced a joint industry initiative to transition EUV photomasks from 6-inch to 12-inch (pilot 2031, full transition 2033), and TSMC committed to High-NA EUV in high-volume manufacturing starting 2030. Stock is at a 2-month high, +15% from July lows; Jensen keeps pointing to TSM as the AI-supplier picks-and-shovels play.

Read what X is saying about $TSM

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $TSM — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-09-19

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

TSMC is the picks-and-shovels monopoly for every AI hyperscaler — the market has finally priced pricing power as structural, not cyclical.

TSMC is the foundry that manufactures the leading-edge chips for Apple, NVIDIA, and every AI hyperscaler — and the tape has re-rated as the market accepted the pricing power is structural, not cyclical.

  • Revenue grew 35% YoY last quarter with 58% operating margin — foundry economics at this scale are essentially monopoly rent on advanced-node capacity, and the Q3 revenue run rate suggests full-year growth well above the mid-20% guide.
  • The joint ASML initiative to transition EUV photomasks from 6-inch to 12-inch (2031 pilot) plus High-NA EUV in HVM by 2030 lock in another node cycle of TSMC-only capability — that's the moat the multiple is paying for.
  • A cluster of small officer open-market purchases on 9/9 is a rare positive-conviction signal at these prices — modest dollars, but the right direction from the people who see the demand book.

Oct 15 earnings — CoWoS capacity guide into 2027 and the Q4 revenue guide are the two numbers; another raise reloads the trade toward all-time highs, while an NT$ headwind or hyperscaler capex pause is the only realistic invalidator here.

Agrees with X sentimentAgrees with the X bulls on the ASML-EUV roadmap and Jensen's TSM-as-picks-and-shovels framing — both are structurally correct, and the +15% off July lows with a 2-month high is exactly what a foundry supply-chain re-rating looks like. No meaningful bear voice, and the small officer buys reinforce the read.

What to watch: Oct 15 Q3 earnings — CoWoS capacity guide into 2027 and Q4 revenue guide are the two numbers; another raise reloads the trade toward all-time highs, while an NT$ headwind or hyperscaler capex pause is the only realistic invalidator at 80th-percentile-of-range.

On the calendar: 2026-10-15 — Q3 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $TSM

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Manufactures chips for Apple, NVIDIA, and AMD as the world's largest and most advanced semiconductor contract foundry.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Semiconductors sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $TSM.

Semiconductors · Technology

Hyperscaler AI capex drives the cycle — Blackwell GPU allocation constrained, HBM3e pricing firm. AVGO custom ASIC wins confirm AI demand broadening beyond NVDA. An Anthropic/OpenAI-led push to slow AI growth introduces regulatory tail risk but has not yet slowed near-term capex commitments.

What this means for $TSM

Direct beneficiary — TSMC manufactures virtually all leading-edge AI GPUs (NVDA Blackwell, AMD Instinct) and advanced CPUs; hyperscaler AI capex is TSMC's primary growth driver and backlog source.

Top industry ETF

$SMHVanEck Semiconductor ETF
+51.9%YTD
+80.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
31.8How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
25.8%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
53.2%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
1.7%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
14.9Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
36.9%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
61.9%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 16, 2026$4.31$3.87+11.4%
Q1 2026Apr 15, 2026$3.49$3.31+5.4%
Q4 2025Jan 15, 2026$3.09$2.90+6.6%
Q3 2025Oct 16, 2025$2.92$2.63+11.0%
Next earningsThu, Oct 15·consensus EPS $4.41

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$1.13T+35.1%66.2%58.0%$111.55$377.1B
Q4 FY25$1.06T+21.6%62.3%53.9%$98.40$388.2B
Q3 FY25$989.9B+30.3%59.5%50.6%$89.05$139.4B
Q2 FY25$933.8B+38.6%58.6%49.6%$72.60$197.5B

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 23 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$5.41T$5.02T – $5.63T$536.79$425.01 – $564.7323
FY27$7.28T$6.51T – $7.84T$701.37$555.71 – $790.5023
FY28$9.18T$8.49T – $9.92T$886.97$800.69 – $980.4613
FY29$11.65T$10.78T – $12.60T$1100.32$993.29 – $1216.3111

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.3×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.80%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+4.1%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+14.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 5.2B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.2% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.395-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Cluster buy30 insiders bought shares in the last 30 days.

Recent transactions

BuySep 7Min CaoVP56 sh$4KBuySep 7Yi-huang WuVP40 sh$3KBuySep 7Chue-san YooVP53 sh$4KBuySep 7Yeap Choh FeiSVP54 sh$4KBuySep 7Zhang Kevin XiaoqiangCOO61 sh$5KBuySep 7Yung-pei ChinCOO71 sh$5KBuySep 7Pei-hung ChenVP46 sh$4KBuySep 7Tzonz-sheng ChangSVP53 sh$4KBuySep 7Lipen YuanVP41 sh$3KBuySep 7Yuh-jier MiiCOO71 sh$5K
1–10 of 187
+ 27 other (21 awards · 4 gifts · 2 expirelongs) in window

See when $TSM insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3/ANew insider — initial holdingsJun 233/A
AI summary

Amendment to Form 3 filed by A new officer/director (Other (specify below) VP 6. Individual or Joint/Group Filing (Check Applicable Line) X Form filed by One Reporting Person Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-Derivative Securities Beneficially Owned 1. Title of Security (Instr. 4) 2. Amount of Securities Beneficially Owned (Instr. 4) 3. Ownership Form: Direct (D) or Indirect (I) (Instr. 5) 4. Nature of Indirect Beneficial Ownership (Instr. 5) Common Shares (2330.TW) 30,851 D Common Shares (2330.TW) 72,946 (1) I By Spouse Common Shares (2330.TW) 131,000 I By Wei Liang Asset Management Co. Ltd. Table II - Derivative Securities Beneficially Owned (e.g., puts, calls, warrants, options, convertible securities) 1. Title of Derivative Security (Instr. 4) 2. Date Exercisable and Expiration Date (Month/Day/Year) 3. Title and Amount of Securities Underlying Derivative Security (Instr. 4) 4. Conversion or Exercise Price of Derivative Security 5. Ownership Form: Direct (D) or Indirect (I) (Instr. 5) 6. Nature of Indirect Beneficial Ownership (Instr. 5) Date Exercisable Expiration Date Title Amount or Number of Shares Explanation of Responses: 1. This amended Form 3 is being filed to correct the number of Common Shares (2330.TW) reported as owned by the reporting person's spouse in Table I of the original Form 3 filed on June 1, 2026, which inadvertently included 450 Common Shares (2330.TW) not owned by the reporting person's spouse. This amended Form 3 corrects the number of Common Shares (2330.TW) owned by the reporting person's spouse from 73,396 to 72,946, and is deemed to update such information reported in the Form 4 filed on June 9, 2026. Remarks: /s/ Jen-Chau Huang, as attorney-in-fact 06/23/2026 ** Signature of Reporting Person Date Reminder: Report on a separate line for each class of securities beneficially owned directly or indirectly. * If the form is filed by more than one reporting person, see Instruction 5 (b)(v). ** Intentional misstatements or omissions of facts constitute Federal Criminal Violations See 18 U.S.C. 1001 and 15 U.S.C. 78ff(a). Note: File three copies of this Form, one of which must be manually signed. If space is insufficient, see Instruction 6 for procedure. Persons who respond to the collection of information contained in this form are not required to respond unless the form displays a currently valid OMB Number. * Form 3: SEC 1473 (03-26)) at TSM on 2026-06-23. This initial statement of beneficial ownership reports the filer's securities holdings as required under Section 16(a). Filing is routine and indicates an insider's initial ownership disclosure following appointment or acquisition of 10%+ stake.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 13
AI summary

TSMC officer/director filed an initial Form 3 reporting 50,967 direct shares plus 3,000 shares indirectly through spouse; total beneficial ownership approximately 53,967 Taiwan common shares. Routine Form 3.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 13
AI summary

TSMC officer/director filed an initial Form 3 reporting 30,851 direct shares, 73,396 held by spouse, and 131,000 held by Wei Liang Asset Management Co. Ltd.; total approximately 235,247 shares. Routine Form 3.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 13
AI summary

TSMC officer/director filed an initial Form 3 reporting 44,359 direct shares and 63,000 held by spouse; total approximately 107,359 Taiwan common shares. Routine Form 3.

3/ANew insider — initial holdingsMar 313/A
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3/A (amended) for TSM on 2026-03-31, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3/ANew insider — initial holdingsMar 303/A
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3/A (amended) for TSM on 2026-03-30, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Beneficial ownership covers 5,259 shares. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

+ 30 other (28 6-Ks · 1 SD · 1 20-F) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Semiconductor Stocks to Buy and Hold Through 2030fool.com·2d agoTSMC (TSM) Beats Stock Market Upswing: What Investors Need to Knowzacks.com·2d agoThere's a Good Reason to Choose GLOBALFOUNDRIES Over Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing247wallst.com·3d ago1 AI Stock Poised to Outperform Micron and Sandisk on the Next Infrastructure Surgefool.com·4d agoLabor crisis in U.S. chip manufacturing leaves Samsung, TSMC desperate for talentcnbc.com·4d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

AI InfrastructureSemiconductor OnshoringAdvanced Packaging & AI Interconnect

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $TSM on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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