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Tower Semiconductor Ltd.

$TSEM·$28B·Semiconductors·Technology
$203.40-2.2%YTD+98.8%1Y+242.1%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-21: 4 posts2026-08-22: 7 posts2026-08-23: 6 posts96-2%
Price updated 3m ago·X counts updated 8d ago
TSTSEM
$TSEMTower Semiconductor Ltd.
$203.40-2.22%96 posts-2%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $TSEM, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-08-30

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

Tower Semi up 242% TTM on the silicon-photonics thesis — CEO just cashed $45M+ into strength, foundry-sector wobble.

Tower Semiconductor is a specialty analog foundry — RF, power management, image sensors, and now the emerging silicon-photonics platform for advanced networking. The photonics angle is what has driven the enormous 12-month move.

How the setup reads:

  • Growth is accelerating: Q1 revenue grew 15% year-on-year to $414M, Q4 +14% — steady mid-teens for a specialty foundry, backed by rising utilization.
  • Silicon-photonics thesis is the catalyst: CEO Ellwanger flagged Near-Packaged Optics attach reaching 'tens of the percentages' on the Q2 call — the sole justification for 118x trailing earnings.
  • Two concrete photonics steps: TSEM 4x-ing Japanese SiPho capacity, locked a multi-year epitaxial InP wafer deal with IQE — real supply-chain execution.
  • Insider distribution is enormous: CEO Ellwanger sold $25.9M and then $19.7M — over $45M coordinated distribution into strength, the loudest cautionary signal.
  • Position cooling: 58th percentile 52w, 13% below the 50-day but 13% above the 200-day on 68% baseline volume — digestion after a huge run; foundry-sector wobble on Aug 18 AI-spending fears added pressure.
  • Fibo88 zone as a decision level — technicians see this as make-or-break for continuation.

The November 9 print is what extends the run — silicon-photonics revenue-contribution commentary plus Japanese capacity ramp progress keeps the multiple; another AI-spending-fear pullback or a specific customer utilization miss triggers a further 15-20% pullback back to $175.

Agrees with X sentimentAgree — the bullish anchors (CEO Ellwanger's 'tens of percentages' NPO attach commentary, 4x Japanese silicon-photonics capacity, IQE multi-year epitaxial InP wafer deal, Fibo88 as decision level) all map to real filings; the honest add is Ellwanger's $45M+ distribution into strength is the cautionary counterweight the sample skips.

What to watch: November 9 earnings — silicon-photonics revenue-contribution commentary plus Japanese capacity ramp progress keeps the multiple; an AI-spending-fear pullback or specific customer utilization miss triggers a 15-20% pullback back to $175.

On the calendar: 2026-11-09 — Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment7 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-18

Chatter is very bullish on Tower Semiconductor as a top photonics play. Bulls emphasize CEO Russell Ellwanger's Q2 call comment that Near-Packaged Optics attach could reach 'not in the single digits, but in the tens of the percentages' — read as a huge signal for the LITE-adjacent supply chain. TSEM is quietly 4x-ing its Japanese silicon-photonics capacity, and just locked a multi-year epitaxial InP wafer deal with IQE to secure the biggest bottleneck in SiPho. Technicians describe reaching the Fibo88 zone as a decision level.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $TSEM

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Independent specialty foundry manufacturing analog-intensive mixed-signal chips including RF CMOS, image sensors, and power management ICs.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Semiconductors sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $TSEM.

Semiconductors · Technology

Hyperscaler AI capex keeps Blackwell allocation tight and HBM3e pricing firm; NVDA's data-center backlog and AVGO's networking wins confirm the cycle is not peaking. LLM context-window expansion — the structural demand pull — extends through at least 2H26.

What this means for $TSEM

Partial — semiconductor exposure exists but product mix may not fully align with the AI capex driver; Tower Semiconductor Ltd.

Top industry ETF

$SMHVanEck Semiconductor ETF
+56.0%YTD
+85.1%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
118.8How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
6.1%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
13.9%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
1.2%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
17.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
8.5%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
24.8%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.1Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 4, 2026$0.88$0.76+16.1%
Q1 2026May 13, 2026$0.65$0.56+15.5%
Q4 2025Feb 11, 2026$0.78$0.67+16.4%
Q3 2025Nov 10, 2025$0.55$0.54+1.3%
Next earningsMon, Nov 9·consensus EPS $1.08

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$413.6M+15.5%26.8%15.6%$0.57$353.6M
Q4 FY25$440.2M+13.7%26.7%16.1%$0.71$-75.3M
Q3 FY25$395.7M+6.8%23.5%12.8%$0.48$35.9M
Q2 FY25$372.1M+5.9%21.5%10.7%$0.42$11.9M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 5 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$1.9B$1.8B – $1.9B$3.34$3.28 – $3.425
FY27$2.6B$2.4B – $2.8B$5.84$5.22 – $7.075
FY28$3.3B$3.2B – $3.4B$9.18$7.92 – $11.515

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.58%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-12.8%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+13.4%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 112.5M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.1% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.905-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 11Ellwanger Russell CraigCEO104.2K sh$25.9MSellAug 10Ellwanger Russell CraigCEO77.3K sh$19.7MSellJul 13Ellwanger Russell CraigCEO67.0K sh$14.4M
+ 10 other (10 awards) in window

See when $TSEM insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsMay 293
AI summary

Tower Semiconductor Ltd. (TSEM) filed a Form 3 for Russell Craig Ellwanger, Chief Executive Officer, as a new Section 16 reporter as of May 29, 2026. Ellwanger beneficially owns 752,369 ordinary shares across five tranches of RSUs, including 66,964 vesting July 2026, 279,362 (partially vested, balance due July 2026-2027), 217,500 (145K vested, 72.5K vesting May 2027), 173,893 vesting 2026-2028, and 14,650 vesting July 2026. Standard initial Section 16 filing for a new reporting obligation at TSEM.

3New insider — initial holdingsMay 293
AI summary

Tower Semiconductor Ltd. (TSEM) filed a Form 3 for Amir Elstein, Director, as a new Section 16 reporter as of May 29, 2026. Elstein beneficially owns 125,334 ordinary shares: 103,686 vested shares plus RSU tranches of 7,995 (5,330 vested, 2,665 vest July 2026), 7,380 (2,460 vested, 2,460 vest July 2026, 2,460 vest July 2027), and 6,273 (vesting 2026-2028). Standard initial Section 16 filing for a director-level reporting obligation at TSEM.

3New insider — initial holdingsMay 293
AI summary

Tower Semiconductor Ltd. (TSEM) filed a Form 3 for Marco Racanelli, President, as a new Section 16 reporter as of May 29, 2026. Racanelli beneficially owns 121,311 ordinary shares across six RSU tranches: 13,286 vested shares, plus tranches vesting through March 2029 for various amounts totaling ~108K unvested RSUs. Standard initial Section 16 filing for a new reporting obligation at TSEM.

3New insider — initial holdingsMay 293
AI summary

Tower Semiconductor Ltd. (TSEM) filed a Form 3 for Oren Shirazi, Chief Financial Officer, as a new Section 16 reporter as of May 29, 2026. Shirazi beneficially owns 82,570 ordinary shares: 1,494 vested shares plus RSU tranches vesting 2026 through 2029 totaling ~81K unvested RSUs across five grants. Standard initial Section 16 filing for a CFO-level reporting obligation at TSEM.

3New insider — initial holdingsMay 293
AI summary

Tower Semiconductor Ltd. (TSEM) filed a Form 3 for Rafy Mor, Chief Operating Officer, as a new Section 16 reporter as of May 29, 2026. Mor beneficially owns 118,636 ordinary shares: 2,816 vested shares plus RSU tranches vesting from July 2026 through March 2029 totaling approximately 116K unvested RSUs across six grants. Standard initial Section 16 filing for a COO-level reporting obligation at TSEM.

3New insider — initial holdingsMay 283
AI summary

Tower Semiconductor Ltd. (TSEM) filed a Form 3 for Sagi Ben Moshe, Director, as a new Section 16 reporter as of May 28, 2026. Ben Moshe beneficially owns 9,102 ordinary shares via two RSU tranches: 4,920 RSUs (2,460 vested, 2,460 vest July 2026) and 4,182 RSUs (2,090 vest July 2026, 2,092 vest July 2027). Standard initial Section 16 filing for a new director reporting obligation at TSEM.

3New insider — initial holdingsMay 283
AI summary

Tower Semiconductor Ltd. (TSEM) filed a Form 3 for Kalman Kaufman, Director, as a new Section 16 reporter as of May 28, 2026. Kaufman beneficially owns approximately 9,769 ordinary shares: 667 vested shares plus RSU tranches of 4,920 (2,460 vested, 2,460 vest July 2026) and 4,182 (vesting July 2026-2027). Standard initial Section 16 filing for a director reporting obligation at TSEM.

3New insider — initial holdingsMay 283
AI summary

Tower Semiconductor Ltd. (TSEM) filed a Form 3 for Yoav Chelouche, Director, as a new Section 16 reporter as of May 28, 2026. Chelouche beneficially owns approximately 33,152 ordinary shares: 24,050 vested shares plus RSU tranches of 4,920 (2,460 vested, 2,460 vest July 2026) and 4,182 (vesting July 2026-2027). Standard initial Section 16 filing for a director at TSEM.

+ 34 other (23 6-Ks · 5 3s · 4 13Gs · 1 SD) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Tower Semiconductor Ltd (TSEM) Shares Fall 5.3% -- GF Value Says Still Overvaluedgurufocus.com·7d agoUnited Microelectronics Falls 7%, Tower Semiconductor Sinks 10%, GlobalFoundries Drops 7% as AI Spending Fears Hit Foundries247wallst.com·13d agoEmpowered Funds LLC Invests $754,000 in Tower Semiconductor Ltd. $TSEMdefenseworld.net·13d ago3 Under-the-Radar Chip Stocks Wall Street Is Sleeping On in August247wallst.com·16d agoTower Semiconductor to Participate in August and September Investor Conferencesglobenewswire.com·19d ago

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