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TPTPL

Texas Pacific Land Corporation

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 31% YoY at strong marginsRecent insider buyingQuiet on X (28 mentions/wk)
$TPL·$26B·Oil & Gas Exploration & Production·Energy
$356.25-6.7%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-30: 4 posts2026-07-31: 1 posts2026-08-01: 0 posts2026-08-02: 0 posts2026-08-03: 0 posts2026-08-04: 2 posts2026-08-05: 20 posts28
Price updated 9m ago·X counts updated 22h ago
TPTPL
$TPLTexas Pacific Land Corporation
$356.25-6.71%28 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $TPL, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-08-06

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Texas Pacific Land beat Q2 with revenue up 31.2% YoY on Permian royalty + water services — 75% operating margin on a $26B market cap.

Texas Pacific Land Corporation is a Permian Basin land and resource management company — royalty income from oil & gas production on 900,000+ acres of Texas surface and mineral rights, plus water services (sourcing, disposal) for oilfield operations. Structurally one of the highest-margin US energy businesses due to the royalty model.

The mechanics of the setup:

  • Q2 revenue was $246M, up 31.2% YoY and 3.9% QoQ — meaningful growth continuing driven by Permian production volume growth and water services scaling.
  • Q2 EPS was $2.23 versus $2.18 expected — a 2.3% beat.
  • Q2 gross margin at 100% and operating margin at 78% reflect the royalty-plus-water-services model — near-costless revenue with modest overhead.
  • Q3 EPS estimate for November 4 is $2.35 — continued modest sequential improvement.
  • At $26B market cap and 49x TTM P/E and 29x P/S the multiple is extreme — TPL trades at a premium reflecting the perpetual-royalty asset base and Texas-domiciled tax-advantaged structure.
  • The GF Value framing ($378.69 vs $381.88 price) suggests fair-value equivalence at current prices — the stock is essentially priced to fair value on GuruFocus's model, meaning further upside requires either Permian production surprises or a re-rating on the water business.
  • Debt-to-equity of 0.01 reflects an essentially debt-free balance sheet — capital return is enormous relative to the asset base.
  • The August 5 8-K included Items 2.02, 7.01, 8.01, 9.01 — full quarterly reporting with material disclosures.
  • Insider activity (15 filings) is active board/executive engagement.

The path from here is defined by continued Permian production growth + water services scale + WTI oil price. Continued growth + oil above $65 + water margin expansion re-rates toward $450; WTI below $55 or Permian production softness resets to $320.

What to watch: November 4 Q3 print — royalty revenue, water services growth, and Permian production trajectory. Growth + WTI above $65 re-rates toward $450; WTI below $55 or Permian softness resets to $320.

On the calendar: 2026-11-04 — Q3 2026 earnings

missing sentiment

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $TPL

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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) operates in two core business segments: land and resource management, and water services. Its Land and Resource Management division oversees a vast land portfolio, spanning nearly 880,000 acres. This segment also holds significant oil and gas royalty interests. These include perpetual non-participating royalty interests (NPRIs) covering approximately 85,000 acres (at a 1/128th rate) and about 371,000 acres (at a 1/16th rate). Furthermore, it possesses around 4,000 additional net royalty acres, primarily located in West Texas. The segment grants various easements and commercial leases for purposes such as oil, gas, and hydrocarbon infrastructure, power and utility lines, and subsurface wellbores. It also leases its land for facilities like processing, storage, and compression plants, as well as roads, and sells materials such as caliche. The Water Services and Operations division provides comprehensive water solutions to energy operators throughout the Permian Basin. Its services encompass water sourcing, the gathering and treatment of produced water, infrastructure development, disposal solutions, water tracking, analytics, and well testing. This segment also generates royalty income from water extracted from its own lands. Founded in 1888, Texas Pacific Land Corporation maintains its headquarters in Dallas, Texas.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Oil & Gas Exploration & Production sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $TPL.

Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · Energy

No material change from last week — an outcome that compresses the upside price optionality that E&Ps have been pricing.

Industry benchmark

24-name peer basket
+39.6%YTD
+29.1%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
48.6How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
30.1%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
74.9%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
1.3%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
29.3Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
35.8%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
72.9%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 5, 2026$2.23$2.18+2.3%
Q1 2026May 6, 2026$2.07$2.02+2.5%
Q4 2025Feb 18, 2026$1.79$1.790.0%
Q3 2025Nov 5, 2025$1.76$1.92-8.5%
Next earningsWed, Nov 4·consensus EPS $2.35

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$246.1M+31.2%100%78.0%$2.23$-21.9M
Q1 FY26$236.8M+20.8%82.1%77.0%$2.07$154.7M
Q4 FY25$211.6M+13.9%136%70.5%$1.79$85.0M
Q3 FY25$203.1M+17.0%84.5%73.4%$1.76$136.0M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 1 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$993.5M$993.5M – $993.5M$8.66$8.66 – $8.661
FY27$1.1B$1.1B – $1.1B$9.69$9.69 – $9.691
FY28$1.2B$1.2B – $1.2B$0.00$0.00 – $0.001

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.0×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.41%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-3.4%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-1.2%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 68.6M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.5% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.595-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuyAug 4Horizon Kinetics Asset Management Llc10% owner1 sh$404BuyAug 3Horizon Kinetics Asset Management Llc10% owner1 sh$393BuyJul 31Horizon Kinetics Asset Management Llc10% owner1 sh$400BuyJul 30Horizon Kinetics Asset Management Llc10% owner1 sh$389BuyJul 29Horizon Kinetics Asset Management Llc10% owner1 sh$394BuyJul 28Horizon Kinetics Asset Management Llc10% owner1 sh$393BuyJul 27Horizon Kinetics Asset Management Llc10% owner1 sh$409BuyJul 24Horizon Kinetics Asset Management Llc10% owner1 sh$424BuyJul 23Horizon Kinetics Asset Management Llc10% owner1 sh$430BuyJul 22Horizon Kinetics Asset Management Llc10% owner1 sh$427
1–10 of 49

See when $TPL insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDAug 58-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KPress release / Reg FDJun 238-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 188-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
3New insider — initial holdingsMay 73
SC 13D/AActivist amendmentMay 7SC 13D/A
8-KMaterial agreementMay 68-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
SC 13D/AActivist amendmentApr 13SC 13D/A
8-KPress release / Reg FDApr 98-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 7 other (2 10-Qs · 2 13Gs · 1 SC 13D/A · 1 10-K) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Texas Pacific (TPL) Tops Q2 Earnings and Revenue Estimateszacks.com·1d agoA Look at Texas Pacific Land Corp (TPL) After 3.5% Decline -- GF Value $378.69 vs Price $381.88gurufocus.com·1d agoTexas Pacific Land Corporation Announces Second Quarter Resultsbusinesswire.com·1d agoMurray Stahl Expands RENN Fund Inc (RCG) Stake in Value-Driven Movegurufocus.com·6d agoAmerica's Most Powerful Banker Just Confirmed It: I Want These 5 Stocks, Not The Marketseekingalpha.com·12d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $TPL on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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