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TGTGT

Target Corporation

$TGT·$61B·Discount Stores·Consumer Defensive
$134.90-0.2%YTD+38.0%1Y+29.0%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-06: 61 posts2026-07-07: 83 posts2026-07-08: 165 posts2026-07-09: 234 posts2026-07-10: 254 posts2026-07-11: 83 posts2026-07-12: 152 posts1,033+46%
Price updated 14m ago·X counts updated 21h ago
TGTGT
$TGTTarget Corporation
$134.90-0.18%1.0k posts+46%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $TGT, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-07-12

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Target defends the 50-day; back-to-school checks are positive, but the tape has already run 38% year-to-date.

Target is the mid-market discount retailer whose story has swung from pandemic winner to post-pandemic penalty box to a genuine reset. The tape has quietly reclaimed the 50-day and set up a coil near $129.

  • Revenue growth turned positive again: $25.4B last quarter grew 6.7% YoY (versus roughly -1% two quarters ago), and consensus expects EPS to grow from $8.39 this year to $9.46 by FY29 — a slow recovery in the works.
  • Valuation is finally reasonable: 7.1x EV/EBITDA and a 3.5% dividend yield make Target one of the better relative-value setups in a consumer group that's mostly binary — either it works or the multiple compresses further.
  • Back-to-school channel checks are a real positive tell: Oppenheimer analysts flagged better foot traffic, and the LoveShackFancy collaboration launch is the sort of merchandising-driven traffic driver that has worked historically for Target.
  • Insider prints are essentially neutral: officer Lisa Roath sold $966K on June 30 at $138 and officer Grant McGee received a restricted-stock award — one small trim, nothing that reads as a cluster.

The August 19 Q2 earnings print is the near-term test — a beat on comparable-store sales with a raised full-year guide sets up the run toward the $140 call strikes the option tape is watching. A soft comp, or a guide that suggests back-to-school is not converting cleanly, resets the tape back toward the low $120s.

Agrees with X sentimentX is constructive on the $129 support hold, the 50-day reclaim, the LoveShackFancy collaboration, early back-to-school promotions, and Oppenheimer's channel checks — the mechanics support it (6.7% revenue growth turning positive, 15x multiple, 3.5% yield). The setup is coiled without being expensive.

What to watch: August 19 Q2 earnings — a beat on comparable-store sales with a raised full-year guide sets up the run toward the $140 call strikes. A soft comp, or a guide that back-to-school isn't converting cleanly, resets the tape toward the low $120s.

On the calendar: 2026-08-19 — Q2 earnings

earnings soonback to school indicatorvalue setupreclaim 50 day

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment13 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-12

Posts describe Target up 6-7% off the $125 buy zone with a defense of trendline support and a reclaim of the 50 DMA, plus $140-strike call interest and Back-to-School season kicking in. Bulls flag improved foot traffic in channel checks, constructive higher-timeframe structure, and $120-$125 as the demand zone for a dip-buy on any pullback.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $TGT

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

US discount retailer offering groceries, apparel, electronics, and home goods via ~2,000 stores and a growing same-day delivery network.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Discount Stores sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $TGT.

Discount Stores · Consumer Defensive

No material change from last week — Consumer trade-down is extending into 2026 as tariff pass-through and sticky services inflation keep value-format retailers gaining wallet share from..

What this means for $TGT

Neutral — US discount retailer offering groceries, apparel, electronics, and home goods via ~2,000 stores and a growing same-day delivery network; this business's revenue is largely decoupled from the consumer trade-down extending through 2026 tariff cycle.

Top industry ETF

$XRTSPDR S&P Retail ETF
+2.7%YTD
+8.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
16.1How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
9.4%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
4.5%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
7.5%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
21.7%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
28.1%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.3Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 20, 2026$1.71$1.47+16.3%
Q4 2025Mar 3, 2026$2.44$2.16+13.0%
Q3 2025Nov 19, 2025$1.78$1.71+4.1%
Q2 2025Aug 20, 2025$2.05$2.04+0.5%
Next earningsWed, Aug 19·consensus EPS $2.21

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$25.4B+6.7%29.0%4.5%$1.72$716.0M
Q4 FY25$30.5B-1.5%26.6%4.5%$2.31$2.3B
Q3 FY25$25.3B-1.6%28.2%3.8%$1.52$149.0M
Q2 FY25$25.2B-0.9%29.0%5.2%$2.06$1.0B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 27 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY27$108.9B$108.1B – $109.2B$8.39$8.14 – $8.5427
FY28$112.2B$111.1B – $113.1B$8.98$8.58 – $9.4427
FY29$115.8B$115.5B – $116.0B$9.46$6.58 – $10.6917
FY30$119.0B$117.1B – $120.0B$10.17$9.97 – $10.298
FY31$122.9B$121.0B – $124.0B$11.09$10.86 – $11.219

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.87%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+5.3%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+22.3%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 452.8M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.8% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJun 29Lisa R RoathExecutive Officer7.0K sh$966KSellMay 29Cara A SylvesterExecutive Officer10.0K sh$1.3MSellMay 27Brian C CornellExecutive Officer50.0K sh$6.5MSellMar 17Matthew A LiegelChief Accounting Officer2.1K sh$241K
+ 44 other (25 awards · 17 inkinds · 2 discretionarys) in window

See when $TGT insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 128-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Target Corporation held its 2026 Annual Meeting on June 10, 2026. Shareholders elected 12 directors including CEO Brian Cornell with 87.2% approval, ratified Ernst & Young LLP as auditor, approved the Amended and Restated 2020 Long-Term Incentive Plan, and voted on other routine proposals. Annual governance meeting with no significant contested outcomes.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 83
AI summary

Grant B. McGee, an Executive Officer of Target Corporation (TGT), filed an initial Form 3 on June 8, 2026, disclosing no beneficial ownership of any Target securities — neither direct shares nor any derivative instruments. The triggering event date is May 31, 2026. This is a routine Section 16 initial statement filed upon appointment to an executive officer role, and is administratively immaterial.

3New insider — initial holdingsApr 33
AI summary

Target Corporation (TGT) filed a Form 3 initial statement of beneficial ownership for newly appointed director Bratspies, who holds no shares of common stock. This routine SEC filing is required within 10 days of becoming a corporate insider. The zero-share position is standard for newly appointed independent directors prior to receiving equity compensation. No derivative securities were reported.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 93
3New insider — initial holdingsFeb 233
8-KOfficer or director changeFeb 108-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
8-KOfficer or director changeFeb 58-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
8-KOfficer or director changeJan 228-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
+ 12 other (3 earnings 8-Ks · 2 PX14A6Gs · 2 13Gs · 1 SD) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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