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TGTGT

Target Corporation

$TGT·$68B·Discount Stores·Consumer Defensive
$163.14-1.7%YTD+51.3%1Y+68.5%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-19: 514 posts2026-08-20: 176 posts2026-08-21: 90 posts2026-08-22: 42 posts2026-08-23: 27 posts1,204-2%
Price updated 16h ago·X counts updated 6d ago
TGTGT
$TGTTarget Corporation
$163.14-1.68%1.2k posts-2%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $TGT, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Comeback attemptAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-08-29

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Two years of negative comps just broke — Q2 crushed, but a chunk of the EPS was one-time and the CEO sold at today's price.

Target is the second-largest US general-merchandise retailer, a Dividend King with a fifty-plus-year distribution history, and has spent the last two years digesting an inventory and traffic reset after the 2022-2023 discretionary softness. The most recent quarter is the first clear evidence the trough has turned, and the stock has already run 51% year-to-date to price it in.

What the inflection looks like from the numbers:

  • The comp turn is real but young — Q1 revenue of $25.4B grew 6.7% YoY after three consecutive quarters of low-single-digit declines; one clean quarter of positive comps is the first data point of a trend, not the trend itself.
  • The EPS beat is loud but partly optical — Q2 EPS of $4.11 versus $2.35 estimated (+75%) includes roughly $1.65 of one-time benefit per the sell side; strip that and you get ~$2.46, still a beat but a normalized one, not a 100% surprise.
  • Cash generation is solid — 7.5% FCF yield on the trailing base and 4.5% operating margin at scale mean the dividend and buyback are both funded from operations, not balance sheet leverage; debt-to-equity of 0.28 is well-managed.
  • Insider action is a real caution — CEO Brian Cornell sold 50,000 shares for $8.18M at $163.55 on Aug 27, and CHRO Melissa Kremer sold $2.63M at $169.96; both at prices essentially at today's tape, meaning management thinks this range is fine to trim.

The forward test is Q3 earnings on Nov 18 delivering a second consecutive comp-positive quarter and progress on the Target Beauty Studio rollout in 600+ stores from Sept 10; two clean quarters lock in the turnaround thesis and push consensus FY27 EPS above $9. The bear case is that the one-time EPS benefit gets rounded off the model and the CEO's exit price becomes resistance; a Q3 comp back to zero-or-negative and the multiple contracts hard.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bullish X read on the +47% six-month run and the Beauty Studio catalyst is grounded, but the crowd is glossing over the specific $1.65/share one-time benefit in Q2 EPS and the CEO's $8.18M sale at essentially today's price.

What to watch: Q3 earnings on Nov 18 — specifically same-store comparable sales sign versus the Q1 +6.7% baseline. A second positive-comp quarter locks in the turnaround; a flip back to negative and the run gives back.

On the calendar: 2026-11-18 — Q3 2026 earnings

one time eps benefitinsider cluster selling

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment40 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-28

Target posts are decisively bullish following +35% since early July, +47% over 6 months, and Q2 EPS $4.11 vs $2.05 YoY (100% growth). Bulls cite Target Beauty Studio rolling out in 600+ stores Sept 10, +70% dividend-king run for 2026, 52-week highs, and Target outperforming Mag7 YTD. Skeptics flag $1.65 of the EPS came from one-time benefit. Tone dominates bullish.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $TGT

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

US discount retailer offering groceries, apparel, electronics, and home goods via ~2,000 stores and a growing same-day delivery network.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Discount Stores sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $TGT.

Discount Stores · Consumer Defensive

No material change from last week — Consumer trade-down is extending into 2026 as tariff pass-through and sticky services inflation keep value-format retailers gaining wallet share from..

What this means for $TGT

Neutral — US discount retailer offering groceries, apparel, electronics, and home goods via ~2,000 stores and a growing same-day delivery network; limited read-through from discount stores macro dynamics to this specific revenue mix.

Top industry ETF

$XRTSPDR S&P Retail ETF
+7.7%YTD
+1.9%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
16.1How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
9.4%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
4.5%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
7.5%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
21.7%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
28.1%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.3Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 19, 2026$4.11$2.35+74.9%
Q1 2026May 20, 2026$1.71$1.47+16.3%
Q4 2025Mar 3, 2026$2.44$2.16+13.0%
Q3 2025Nov 19, 2025$1.78$1.71+4.1%
Next earningsWed, Nov 18·consensus EPS $2.03

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$25.4B+6.7%29.0%4.5%$1.72$716.0M
Q4 FY25$30.5B-1.5%26.6%4.5%$2.31$2.3B
Q3 FY25$25.3B-1.6%28.2%3.8%$1.52$149.0M
Q2 FY25$25.2B-0.9%29.0%5.2%$2.06$1.0B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 27 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY27$108.9B$108.1B – $109.2B$8.39$8.14 – $8.5427
FY28$112.2B$111.1B – $113.1B$8.98$8.58 – $9.4427
FY29$115.8B$115.5B – $116.0B$9.46$6.58 – $10.6917
FY30$119.0B$117.1B – $120.0B$10.17$9.96 – $10.298
FY31$122.9B$121.0B – $123.9B$11.09$10.86 – $11.219

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.91%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+13.2%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+35.2%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 452.8M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.8% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.975-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 25Brian C CornellExecutive Officer50.0K sh$8.2MSellAug 24Melissa K KremerExecutive Officer15.5K sh$2.6MSellAug 21Matthew A LiegelChief Accounting Officer926 sh$151KSellJun 29Lisa R RoathExecutive Officer7.0K sh$966KSellMay 29Cara A SylvesterExecutive Officer10.0K sh$1.3MSellMay 27Brian C CornellExecutive Officer50.0K sh$6.5MSellMar 17Matthew A LiegelChief Accounting Officer2.1K sh$241K
+ 45 other (26 awards · 17 inkinds · 2 discretionarys) in window

See when $TGT insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KAgreement terminatedAug 148-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 1.02: Agreement terminated · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

Target Corporation entered into a new five-year $4.0 billion unsecured revolving credit facility on August 14, 2026, arranged by Bank of America (administrative agent), Citi and Wells Fargo (co-syndication), and JPMorgan and U.S. Bank (co-documentation), expiring August 14, 2031 with two one-year extension options and an upsize option of up to $1.0 billion. The facility includes a leverage-ratio financial covenant and simultaneously terminates the prior credit agreement. A $4B+ undrawn revolver is standard liquidity infrastructure for an investment-grade mega-cap retailer — routine, not transformative.

3New insider — initial holdingsAug 43
AI summary

DePinto Joseph Michael (Last) (First) (Middle) 1000 NICOLLET MALL (Street) MINNEAPOLIS MINNESOTA 55403 (City) (State) (Zip) UNITED STATES (Country) 2. Date of Event Requiring Statement (Month/Day/Year) 08/01/2026 3. Issuer Name and Ticker or Trading Symbol TARGET CORP [ TGT ] 3a. Foreign Trading Symbol 5. If Amendment, Date of Original Filed (Month/Day/Year) 4. Relationship of Reporting Person(s) to Issuer (Check all applicable) X Director 10% Owner Officer (give title below) Other (specify below) 6. Individual or Joint/Group Filing (Check Applicable Line) X Form filed by One Reporting Person Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-Derivative Securities Beneficially Owned 1. Title of Security (Instr. 4) 2. Amount of Securities Beneficially Owned (Instr. 4) 3. Ownership Form: Direct (D) or Indirect (I) (Instr. 5) 4. Nature of Indirect Beneficial Ownership (Instr. 5) Table II - Derivative Securities Beneficially Owned (e.g., puts, calls, warrants, options, convertible securities) 1. Title of Derivative Security (Instr. 4) 2. Date Exercisable and Expiration Date (Month/Day/Year) 3. Title and Amount of Securities Underlying Derivative Security (Instr. 4) 4. Conversion or Exercise Price of Derivative Security 5. Ownership Form: Direct (D) or Indirect (I) (Instr. 5) 6. Nature of Indirect Beneficial Ownership (Instr. 5) Date Exercisable Expiration Date Title Amount or Number of Shares Explanation of Responses: Remarks: Exhibit 24 - Power of Attorney No securities are beneficially owned. Miranda S. Hirner, Attorney-In-Fact 08/04/2026 ** Signature of Reporting Person Date Reminder: Report on a separate line for each class of securities beneficially owned directly or indirectly. * If the form is filed by more than one reporting person, see Instruction 5 (b)(v). ** Intentional misstatements or omissions of facts constitute Federal Criminal Violations See 18 U.S.C. 1001 and 15 U.S.C. 78ff(a). Note: File three copies of this Form, one of which must be manually signed. If space is insufficient, see Instruction 6 for procedure. Persons who respond to the collection of information contained in this form are not required to respond unless the form displays a currently valid OMB Number. * Form 3: SEC 1473 (03-26) filed an initial statement of beneficial ownership (Form 3) as a Director of TGT, with an event date of 1473. This is a routine insider-ownership disclosure with no indication of open-market purchases or activist intent.

8-KOfficer or director changeJul 228-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Target Corporation disclosed on July 22, 2026 that its Board of Directors elected Joe DePinto as a director effective August 1, 2026. DePinto, 63, served as President and CEO of 7-Eleven, Inc. from 2005 through December 2025, and previously held the role of President at GameStop Corporation and leadership positions at PepsiCo. He was appointed to Target's Audit & Risk Committee and Infrastructure & Finance Committee. There are no undisclosed arrangements regarding his selection and no related-party transactions. DePinto's two-decade convenience retail operating background adds relevant consumer and operational expertise to Target's board at a time when the retailer is navigating traffic and margin pressures in its core discretionary categories.

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 128-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Target Corporation held its 2026 Annual Meeting on June 10, 2026. Shareholders elected 12 directors including CEO Brian Cornell with 87.2% approval, ratified Ernst & Young LLP as auditor, approved the Amended and Restated 2020 Long-Term Incentive Plan, and voted on other routine proposals. Annual governance meeting with no significant contested outcomes.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 83
AI summary

Grant B. McGee, an Executive Officer of Target Corporation (TGT), filed an initial Form 3 on June 8, 2026, disclosing no beneficial ownership of any Target securities — neither direct shares nor any derivative instruments. The triggering event date is May 31, 2026. This is a routine Section 16 initial statement filed upon appointment to an executive officer role, and is administratively immaterial.

3New insider — initial holdingsApr 33
AI summary

Target Corporation (TGT) filed a Form 3 initial statement of beneficial ownership for newly appointed director Bratspies, who holds no shares of common stock. This routine SEC filing is required within 10 days of becoming a corporate insider. The zero-share position is standard for newly appointed independent directors prior to receiving equity compensation. No derivative securities were reported.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 93
+ 13 other (3 earnings 8-Ks · 3 13Gs · 2 PX14A6Gs · 1 SD) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Target's Digital Growth Story Gains Strength With Same-Day Deliveryzacks.com·23h agoCenterra Gold: Why I Am Raising My Price Targetseekingalpha.com·1d agoBreakfast News: Week in Reviewfool.com·1d agoQuoin Pharmaceuticals Reports Positive Interim Data from Ongoing Phase 2/3 Study of QRX003 in Netherton Syndromeglobenewswire.com·1d agoTarget CEO Brian Cornell Sells 50,000 Shares for $8.2 Million -- Should Investors Be Concerned?fool.com·1d ago

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