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DLDLTR

Dollar Tree, Inc.

$DLTR·$22B·Discount Stores·Consumer Defensive
$118.94+2.3%YTD-5.2%1Y+36.8%
Price updated 5m ago·X counts updated 4d ago
DLDLTR
$DLTRDollar Tree, Inc.
$118.94+2.27%66 posts0.9×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $DLTR on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

66X posts · last 7 days
Sep 21Oct 4
Chatter Meter
0.9×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $DLTR's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-09-05

Dollar Tree's CEO says sales grew across every income cohort, the CFO calls shrink materially improved beyond expectations, and traders take payday percentage before settling into full swings. TSOH Investment Research spotlights the weathering-the-storm narrative.

Read what X is saying about $DLTR

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $DLTR — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-10-03

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Dollar Tree printed a 135% EPS beat with shrink easing — a Dec 2 setup where fundamentals are catching the market.

Dollar Tree Inc. is the US discount-dollar-store operator plus Family Dollar — a consumer-staples name whose 2026 story is a quiet turnaround meeting a specific tailwind-wind-of-trade-down demand plus operational improvements.

  • The P&L surprise is enormous: Q2 revenue grew 7.2% YoY to $4.98B at a 9.5% operating margin and $1.76 EPS, with the trailing EPS beat of 135% being one of the largest in retail — this reflects both lower-than-modeled shrink and better-than-expected comp strength across all income cohorts.
  • The specific management signal is substantive: CEO saying sales grew across every income cohort plus CFO calling shrink 'materially improved beyond expectations' is the clearest signal of operational execution against the two big consumer-concerns of the cycle.

At 48% of its 52-week range going into Dec 2 earnings, the setup is coiled on continuation. A clean comp print plus continued shrink improvement is the trigger for a reclaim; another large non-cash charge or Family Dollar guidance cut is the invalidation.

Agrees with X sentimentThe CEO/CFO quotes on cohort growth and shrink improvement are specific operational datapoints, and the 134% EPS beat is grounded data. The 'weathering the storm' framing matches the fundamentals.

What to watch: Dec 2 Q3 earnings — comp-sales growth, operating margin direction, Family Dollar segment update, shrink trend, and FY27 guide. Clean comps plus continued shrink improvement is the trigger; Family Dollar guidance cut is the invalidation.

On the calendar: 2026-12-02 — Q3 earnings

eps beat cadencecohort strength

Read the AI verdict on $DLTR

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Value discount retailer operating Dollar Tree (fixed $1.25 price point) and Family Dollar banners serving budget-conscious shoppers.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Discount Stores sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $DLTR.

Discount Stores · Consumer Defensive

No material change from last week — Consumer value-seeking is structurally shifting share to discount and warehouse formats.

What this means for $DLTR

Partial — Value discount retailer operating Dollar Tree (fixed $1.25 price point) and Family Dollar banners serving budget-conscious shoppers.

Top industry ETF

$XRTSPDR S&P Retail ETF
-4.3%YTD
-1.4%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
19.5How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
10.9%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
8.5%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
6.5%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.2Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
35.9%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
36.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
2.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 27, 2026$2.70$1.15+134.8%
Q1 2026May 28, 2026$1.74$1.53+13.7%
Q4 2025Mar 16, 2026$2.56$2.53+1.2%
Q3 2025Dec 3, 2025$1.21$1.09+11.0%
Next earningsWed, Dec 2·consensus EPS $0.95

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$5.0B+7.2%36.9%9.5%$1.76$391.1M
Q4 FY25$5.5B+9.0%39.2%12.3%$2.54$969.8M
Q3 FY25$4.8B-37.2%35.9%6.7%$1.20$-182.7M
Q2 FY25$4.6B-38.1%34.4%4.9%$0.91$380.1M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 16 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY27$20.7B$20.6B – $20.8B$7.91$6.82 – $8.2215
FY28$21.9B$21.7B – $22.0B$7.89$7.56 – $8.5316
FY29$23.2B$22.6B – $23.9B$8.69$6.96 – $10.0011
FY30$24.4B$24.1B – $24.6B$9.27$9.12 – $9.405
FY31$25.0B$24.7B – $25.3B$8.39$8.25 – $8.504

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.6×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.55%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-5.8%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-0.7%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 191.6M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.8% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.725-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellSep 4Stephanie StahlDirector1.2K sh$156KSellAug 31Robert AflatooniChief Information Officer2.5K sh$315KSellJun 24Ridge Lp MantleDirector by deputization12.8M sh$1.8B
+ 16 other (10 awards · 3 conversions · 2 inkinds · 1 other) in window

See when $DLTR insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KCharter amendmentSep 258-K — Item 5.03: Charter amendment
AI summary

DOLLAR TREE, INC. (DLTR) filed an 8-K on 2026-09-25 disclosing an amendment to its articles of incorporation, bylaws, or a change in fiscal year (Item 5.03). These are governance changes that can affect shareholder voting rights, anti-takeover provisions, or reporting cadence — material if they alter capital structure rights or entrench management.

8-KPress release / Reg FDAug 278-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Dollar Tree (DLTR) reported its fiscal second quarter 2026 financial results on August 27, 2026, covering the period ending approximately August 2, 2026. The company simultaneously furnished an investor presentation and press release with the results, both available under Regulation FD. Dollar Tree has been executing a strategic transformation including the planned spinoff of its Family Dollar banner. These results are material for assessing the pace and financial impact of that ongoing strategic restructuring.

8-KPress release / Reg FDAug 68-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Dollar Tree, Inc. issued a press release on August 6, 2026 announcing it will host an investor conference call on Thursday, August 27, 2026 at 8:00 a.m. ET to discuss Q2 fiscal 2026 financial results for the period ended August 1, 2026. The filing was signed by CFO Stewart Glendinning. This is a Reg FD call-scheduling notice, not a results release — no financial figures are disclosed. The market will focus on the August 27 call for actual Q2 data and any updated fiscal 2026 guidance following the Family Dollar divestiture.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentJun 25SC 13D/A
AI summary

Paul C. Hilal / Mantle Ridge LP filed Amendment No. 6 to its Schedule 13D for Dollar Tree, Inc. as of June 24, 2026. Mantle Ridge is an active investor engaged with Dollar Tree's strategic direction, and this amendment reflects evolving position or plan changes as Dollar Tree executes its strategic review and leadership transition.

8-KCharter amendmentJun 238-K — Item 5.03: Charter amendment · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Dollar Tree, Inc. held its 2026 Annual Meeting on June 16, 2026, simultaneously amending its By-Laws to reduce the board from 11 to 10 directors. Shareholders elected the 10-member board including CEO Michael Creedon Jr. and activist-backed director Paul Hilal of Mantle Ridge, all with strong support, and ratified the independent auditor. Routine annual meeting — the board reduction and continued election of Mantle Ridge's Hilal reflects activist influence on Dollar Tree's governance during its strategic transition.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 288-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Dollar Tree, Inc. reported fiscal Q1 2026 financial results on May 28, 2026, via a press release (Exhibit 99.1) and held an earnings call. The filing was made under Item 2.02 as furnished (not filed) data. Quarterly earnings disclosure — investors should refer to Exhibit 99.1 for the actual Q1 results and guidance update.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 78-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 10 other (4 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 proxys · 1 routine 8-K) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Dollar Tree Got Nearly $400 Million in Tariff Refunds After Shoppers Paid the Higher Prices247wallst.com·2d agoDollar Tree, Inc. (NASDAQ:DLTR) Receives Average Recommendation of “Hold” from Analystsdefenseworld.net·2d agoDollar Tree's Comp Trend Improves: What's Fueling Growth Now?zacks.com·2d agoTap These 5 Bargain Stocks With Impressive EV-to-EBITDA Ratioszacks.com·7d agoHere Are Thursday’s Top Wall Street Analyst Research Calls: BP, Dollar Tree, Exxon Mobil, Lennar, Occidental Petroleum, Rocket Lab, Teva Pharmaceuticals, United Therapeutics, and More247wallst.com·7d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $DLTR on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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