Dollar Tree, Inc.
$131.48+2.4%YTD+6.5%1Y+16.8%
Mentions · last 7 days
95+28%
Price updated 2d ago·X counts updated 23h ago
AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data
Today's AI verdict on what's driving $DLTR, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.
What it does
Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.
Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data
Where Discount Stores sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $DLTR.
Discount Stores
No material change from last week — Consumer trade-down is extending into 2026 as tariff pass-through and sticky services inflation keep value-format retailers gaining wallet share from..
What this means for $DLTR
Partial — Value discount retailer operating Dollar Tree (fixed $1.25 price point) and Family Dollar banners serving budget-conscious shoppers; partial earnings exposure to discount stores demand dynamics through its product portfolio.
Top industry ETF
$XRTSPDR S&P Retail ETF
+7.7%YTD
+5.4%1Y
Fundamentals & catalyst
Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.
Key ratios
P/E
19.5How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.ROIC
10.9%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.Op margin
8.5%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.FCF yield
6.5%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).P/S
1.2Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.ROE
35.9%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.Gross margin
36.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.D/E
2.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.Past earnings
QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 28, 2026$1.74$1.53+13.7%
Q4 2025Mar 16, 2026$2.56$2.53+1.2%
Q3 2025Dec 3, 2025$1.21$1.09+11.0%
Q2 2025Sep 3, 2025$0.77$0.42+84.8%
Next earningsThu, Aug 27·consensus EPS $1.14
Quarterly trend
QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$5.0B+7.2%36.9%9.5%$1.76$391.1M
Q4 FY25$5.5B+9.0%39.2%12.3%$2.54$969.8M
Q3 FY25$4.8B-37.2%35.9%6.7%$1.20$-182.7M
Q2 FY25$4.6B-38.1%34.4%4.9%$0.91$380.1M
Forward consensus
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY27$20.6B$20.6B – $20.7B$6.99$6.79 – $7.1715
FY28$21.8B$21.6B – $22.0B$7.70$7.33 – $8.2215
FY29$23.1B$22.5B – $23.4B$8.49$7.13 – $9.5010
FY30$24.2B$23.9B – $24.4B$8.88$8.71 – $8.965
FY31$25.0B$24.7B – $25.2B$7.78$7.63 – $7.854
Setup & momentum
Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.
Right now
Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.81%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+6.2%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+13.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.
Float & profile
FloatMid float · 191.6M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.675-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.
Insider activity
Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.
SEC filings
Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.
Recent material filings
8-KPress release / Reg FDAug 68-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary
SC 13D/AActivist amendmentJun 25SC 13D/A
AI summary
8-KCharter amendmentJun 238-K — Item 5.03: Charter amendment · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary
8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 288-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary
8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 78-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KAgreement terminatedMar 238-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 1.02: Agreement terminated · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
8-KPress release / Reg FDMar 168-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 11 other (5 13Gs · 2 proxys · 1 routine 8-K · 1 10-Q) in window
Recent news
Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.
Dollar Tree Q2 Earnings Around the Corner: What Should Investors Know?Bet on These 3 Stocks After Recent Broker Rating UpgradesAre These Top Stocks The Next AI Productivity Beneficiaries?BlackRock Inc. Invests $1.93 Billion in Dollar Tree, Inc. $DLTRHere Are Wednesday’s Top Wall Street Analyst Research Calls: Baidu, Ciena, CME Group, Dollar Tree, Dominion, Fabrinet, Honeywell Aerospace, Klarna, Pershing Square, and More
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