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WMWMT

Walmart Inc.

$WMT·$859B·Discount Stores·Consumer Defensive
$118.82+0.8%YTD-0.8%1Y+11.6%
Price updated 6h ago·X counts updated 5d ago
WMWMT
$WMTWalmart Inc.
$118.82+0.81%995 posts1.2×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

Top X posts

The complete picture of $WMT on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

995X posts · last 7 days
Sep 29Oct 11
Chatter Meter
1.2×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $WMT's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level, louder than 90% of tracked names.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-10-02

Walmart is bullish on a defensive-seasonality setup — WMT and AMZN are being named as the two defensive EOY holiday plays with SPY and QQQ at highs, and bulls argue Walmart's reported Muse teamup (after Amazon blocked Muse) positions WMT to take share back. Technicians would add shares on a retrace to $105.16. The thread is small and overwhelmingly positive on the holiday setup.

Read what X is saying about $WMT

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $WMT — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Proven numbersStalledAI verdict · as of 2026-10-03

The move has stalled — likely just drifts unless something new shows up.

A quietly flat Walmart heading into holiday season — defensive, not fading, but the market needs a reason to re-rate.

Walmart is the US retail compounder — grocery leader, ad-tech growing fast, and more recently a tariff-refund beneficiary. The 2026 drawdown is less about the business than about the market deciding the AI/tech trade is where the risk is paying.

  • The business itself is fine: last quarter revenue grew 7.3% YoY to $178B at a 4.2% operating margin, EPS beat by 9%, and tariff refunds plus the ad business are both quietly adding to the mix — these aren't the P&L of a company losing its grip on retail.
  • The problem is capital flow, not operations: sitting at just 15% of the 52-week range and 12% below the 200-day while insiders have been net sellers (CEO Christopher James sold recently) says the market is choosing to put money elsewhere, and holiday-seasonality bulls will need the Nov 19 print to argue back.

The setup is a stalled defensive — well-run, modestly growing, waiting for a reason to re-rate. Nov 19 earnings is the next real test — a strong holiday guide and continued ad-revenue acceleration is what wakes it up; another in-line quarter leaves the stock drifting against the growth-trade.

What to watch: Nov 19 Q3 earnings — US same-store sales, ad-revenue growth rate, and holiday-quarter guide. A reaccelerated ad business plus a strong holiday guide is the trigger; in-line US comp is the invalidation that keeps the stock stalled.

On the calendar: 2026-11-19 — Q3 earnings

below 200ddefensive

Read the AI verdict on $WMT

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

World's largest retailer by revenue, operating supercenters, Sam's Club warehouse stores, and a growing e-commerce and advertising business.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Discount Stores sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $WMT.

Discount Stores · Consumer Defensive

No material change from last week — Consumer value-seeking is structurally shifting share to discount and warehouse formats.

What this means for $WMT

Partial — World's largest retailer by revenue, operating supercenters, Sam's Club warehouse stores, and a growing e-commerce and advertising business.

Top industry ETF

$XRTSPDR S&P Retail ETF
-4.3%YTD
+3.6%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
41.1How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
11.9%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
4.2%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
1.3%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.3Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
24.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
25.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.8Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 20, 2026$0.81$0.74+9.2%
Q1 2026May 21, 2026$0.66$0.66+0.2%
Q4 2025Feb 19, 2026$0.74$0.73+1.8%
Q3 2025Nov 20, 2025$0.62$0.60+3.2%
Next earningsThu, Nov 19·consensus EPS $0.63

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY27$177.8B+7.3%25.1%4.2%$0.67$-1.9B
Q4 FY26$190.7B+5.6%24.7%4.6%$0.53$6.1B
Q3 FY26$179.5B+5.8%25.0%3.7%$0.77$1.9B
Q2 FY26$177.4B+4.8%25.2%4.1%$0.88$6.5B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 28 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY27$752.6B$746.5B – $754.6B$2.89$2.84 – $2.9627
FY28$786.0B$772.2B – $791.3B$3.23$3.11 – $3.5728
FY29$822.5B$820.9B – $824.1B$3.63$3.46 – $4.1516
FY30$837.9B$826.3B – $844.0B$3.94$3.87 – $3.978
FY31$890.5B$878.1B – $896.9B$4.23$4.15 – $4.277

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.55%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+9.1%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+0.5%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 4.4B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.5% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.585-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellOct 15John R. FurnerCEO13.1K sh$1.6MSellOct 15Nicholas Christopher JamesPresident2.9K sh$350KSellOct 14Latriece WatkinsPresident5.0K sh$575KSellOct 1Daniel J BartlettPresident4.0K sh$417KSellSep 17John R. FurnerCEO13.1K sh$1.4MSellSep 17Nicholas Christopher JamesPresident2.9K sh$309KSellSep 1Daniel J BartlettPresident4.0K sh$415KSellAug 26Daniel DankerPresident50.6K sh$5.3MSellAug 20Nicholas Christopher JamesPresident2.9K sh$308KSellAug 3Daniel J BartlettPresident3.7K sh$420K
1–10 of 27
+ 60 other (28 awards · 27 inkinds · 4 others · 1 gift) in window

See when $WMT insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentAug 7SC 13D/A
AI summary

an activist holder amended its 13D filing disclosing a beneficial ownership position of a 5%+ stake in WMT (WMT) as of 2026-08-07. This is a material ownership disclosure indicating significant shareholder interest that may signal activist or strategic intent. Investors should monitor for further 13D amendments, which could indicate evolving positions or demands on management.

8-KCharter amendmentJun 58-K — Item 5.03: Charter amendment · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

WMT (WMT) disclosed the results of its annual meeting of shareholders in an 8-K filing under Item 5.07. Shareholders voted on multiple proposals. All management-sponsored proposals were approved by majority shareholder vote. Annual meeting results are a routine disclosure that confirms shareholder ratification of the board's composition and compensation practices.

+ 16 other (2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 13Fs · 2 11-Ks) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Home Depot vs. Walmart: Which Consumer Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?fool.com·15h agoWhat the Latest Fed Decision Means for Costco, Walmart, Target, and Home Depotfool.com·18h agoAmazon Ads: The E-Commerce Search Monolith vs. Walmart Connect: The In-Store Data Goldmine247wallst.com·19h agoWalmart's Total Return From 5 Milestones: Jet.com to the All-Time High247wallst.com·19h agoWalmart Stock Climbs as Deutsche Bank Says It's Time to Buyinvestopedia.com·1d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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