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WMWMT

Walmart Inc.

$WMT·$890B·Discount Stores·Consumer Defensive
$114.95+2.2%YTD+3.2%1Y+20.8%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-09: 415 posts2026-07-10: 432 posts2026-07-11: 163 posts2026-07-12: 299 posts2026-07-13: 427 posts2026-07-14: 306 posts2026-07-15: 339 posts2,399-1%
Price updated 11h ago·X counts updated 1d ago
WMWMT
$WMTWalmart Inc.
$114.95+2.15%2.4k posts-1%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $WMT, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-07-17

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

The real-time consumer read priced as a defensive compounder — the price-cut disclosure is the honest tension.

Walmart is the largest US retailer by revenue — 4,600 domestic stores serving 140M weekly customers — running as the most reliable real-time consumer signal in the economy. The stock is coiled mid-range as bulls and bears debate what those signals are actually saying.

The two-sided tape:

  • Fundamentals are real for the scale: 12% return on invested capital and 4% operating margin — thin percentages but on a massive revenue base, meaning a small margin uplift is a big EPS lever, which is why the market pays 41x TTM P/E for it.
  • The Fed hiring a former Walmart CEO to build real-time economic data validates the specific durable moat: Walmart's transaction data is the real-time economy, which pushes it further from a commodity-retailer read.
  • The bear signal is specific and honest: WMT is lowering prices on thousands of items — 'not something you do when the consumer is in great shape' — with tax-refund exhaustion and gas prices squeezing on the low-income cohort. That's a leading signal on consumer weakness.
  • The tape reflects the tension: sitting mid-range, essentially flat with both moving averages, with volume 13% below average — a coiled setup waiting for the specific comps read on Aug 20.

Aug 20 earnings has to tell you which side of the price-cut disclosure to weight. Comps holding above 2% with margin stability reads as durable pricing power; a soft comps read with mix shift down-market confirms the consumer-weakness thesis and the multiple compresses.

What to watch: The Aug 20 print — same-store-sales comps, gross margin trajectory versus the price-cut disclosure, and any commentary on mix by income cohort. Above 2% comps with margin holding reads as durable; a soft comps print with margin compression confirms the consumer weakness.

On the calendar: 2026-08-20 — Q2 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Mixed sentiment⚠26 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-15 · top-engagement diverged

Walmart chatter is a real-economy read. Bulls note the Fed just hired a former Walmart CEO to help build real-time economic data (because WMT already is the real-time data) - 140M weekly customers, 4,600 domestic stores, private-label pricing power. Traders hit 100% on $115 7/10 calls with expectations for $116-117 next week. Bears zero in on WMT lowering prices on thousands of items ('not something you do when the consumer is in great shape') tied to tax-refund exhaustion and higher gas prices squeezing consumers. Trump tariff pass-through inflation is being modeled as a 2027+ overhang with 47% of firms planning 30-50% cost passthrough. Genuine two-sided consumer-outlook debate.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $WMT

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

World's largest retailer by revenue, operating supercenters, Sam's Club warehouse stores, and a growing e-commerce and advertising business.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Discount Stores sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $WMT.

Discount Stores · Consumer Defensive

No material change from last week — Consumer trade-down is extending into 2026 as tariff pass-through and sticky services inflation keep value-format retailers gaining wallet share from..

What this means for $WMT

Neutral — World's largest retailer by revenue, operating supercenters, Sam's Club warehouse stores, and a growing e-commerce and advertising business; end markets and revenue mix have limited overlap with the consumer trade-down extending through 2026 tariff cycle.

Top industry ETF

$XRTSPDR S&P Retail ETF
+5.5%YTD
+14.4%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
41.1How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
11.9%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
4.2%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
1.3%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.3Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
24.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
25.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.8Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 21, 2026$0.66$0.66+0.2%
Q4 2025Feb 19, 2026$0.74$0.73+1.8%
Q3 2025Nov 20, 2025$0.62$0.60+3.2%
Q2 2025Aug 21, 2025$0.68$0.73-7.2%
Next earningsThu, Aug 20·consensus EPS $0.74

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY27$177.8B+7.3%25.1%4.2%$0.67$-1.9B
Q4 FY26$190.7B+5.6%24.7%4.6%$0.53$6.1B
Q3 FY26$179.5B+5.8%25.0%3.7%$0.77$1.9B
Q2 FY26$177.4B+4.8%25.2%4.1%$0.88$6.5B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 28 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY27$752.5B$743.3B – $756.7B$2.90$2.82 – $3.0328
FY28$787.4B$770.0B – $797.9B$3.28$3.11 – $3.6327
FY29$828.5B$827.1B – $829.9B$3.66$3.49 – $4.1916
FY30$858.5B$843.4B – $869.4B$3.97$3.88 – $4.048
FY31$891.4B$875.8B – $902.8B$4.05$3.96 – $4.127

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.50%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-4.2%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-2.2%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 4.4B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.5% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.605-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJul 1Daniel J BartlettPresident3.8K sh$414KSellJun 18Nicholas Christopher JamesPresident2.9K sh$343KSellJun 16Walton Family Holdings Trust10% owner4.4M sh$535.8MSellJun 15Daniel J BartlettPresident1.4K sh$166KSellJun 10David W GugginaPresident12.0K sh$1.4MSellJun 2Walton Family Holdings Trust10% owner1.8M sh$200.7MSellMay 28Walton Family Holdings Trust10% owner207.6K sh$24.7MSellMay 28Latriece WatkinsPresident11.0K sh$1.3MSellMay 28Mcmillon C DouglasDirector19.4K sh$2.3MSellMay 27Walton Family Holdings Trust10% owner254.2K sh$30.3M
1–10 of 24
+ 71 other (39 awards · 24 inkinds · 6 others · 2 gifts) in window

See when $WMT insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KCharter amendmentJun 58-K — Item 5.03: Charter amendment · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

WMT (WMT) disclosed the results of its annual meeting of shareholders in an 8-K filing under Item 5.07. Shareholders voted on multiple proposals. All management-sponsored proposals were approved by majority shareholder vote. Annual meeting results are a routine disclosure that confirms shareholder ratification of the board's composition and compensation practices.

3New insider — initial holdingsApr 173
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for WMT on 2026-04-17, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentMar 3SC 13D/A
3New insider — initial holdingsFeb 103
3New insider — initial holdingsFeb 103
3New insider — initial holdingsFeb 103
3New insider — initial holdingsFeb 103
8-K/AOfficer or director change (amended)Jan 308-K/A — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
+ 19 other (3 routine 8-Ks · 2 11-Ks · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 13Fs) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Retail Sales Hold Up as Walmart and Amazon Go Back to Schoolpymnts.com·19h agoWalmart Commands a 36.74X Forward P/E: Is the Stock Worth Buying?zacks.com·21h ago3 Stocks to Own When the Market Gets Ugly in July247wallst.com·23h agoWalmart's people chief says these 10 jobs are still hot in the age of AIbusinessinsider.com·1d agoWalmart (WMT) Stock Sinks As Market Gains: Here's Whyzacks.com·2d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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