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OLOLLI

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.

Hot onWhy it's trendingX chatter spiked vs its recent normBacked by solid revenue growthPrice and volume picking up
$OLLI·$4.5B·Discount Stores·Consumer Defensive
$76.56+3.9%1Y-42.8%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-28: 6 posts2026-08-29: 11 posts2026-08-30: 8 posts2026-08-31: 20 posts2026-09-01: 25 posts2026-09-02: 86 posts2026-09-03: 14 posts170
Price updated 4h ago·X counts updated 1d ago
OLOLLI
$OLLIOllie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
$76.57+3.90%170 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $OLLI, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-09-04

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Q2 EPS beat on tariff refunds but sales missed; the discount-retailer's compounder story needs a comp-sales tailwind.

Ollie's Bargain Outlet is the Pennsylvania-headquartered closeout discount retailer whose Q2 fiscal-2027 print just landed with a headline beat and a modest sales disappointment.

  • Q2 (reported Sept 2) delivered $1.42 EPS vs. $1.12 expected — a 27% beat — on $741M of revenue, but the revenue figure was just below the $748M estimate; analysts revised forecasts modestly higher post-print (Benzinga Sept 3), and consensus models $3.87 of FY26 EPS rising to $4.57 next year and $4.96 in FY28.
  • The beat was driven materially by tariff-refund tailwinds and margin management — Q2 gross margin ran at 43.5% and operating margin at 14.6%, better than the trailing four-quarter blend, so the earnings quality is a genuine improvement rather than pure one-off.
  • The stock trades at 16.4x trailing earnings, 12x EV/EBITDA and a 6% free-cash-flow yield on a $4.45B market cap, in the 17th percentile of its 52-week range with a 32% price gap versus the 200-day moving average — value setup with cautious-consumer overhang.

No insider transactions on the tape and next earnings Dec 8; the Sept 2 print already showed the tariff-refund tailwind, so the near-term watchpoint is whether Q3 comp-store sales trend improves enough to justify the multiple against a subdued consumer backdrop.

What to watch: Dec 8 earnings for whether Q3 comp-store sales trend improves and gross margin retains the Q2 uplift; whether the tariff-refund tailwind extends or reverses; any commentary on store-expansion cadence.

On the calendar: 2026-12-08 earnings

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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. operates as a leading discount retailer, offering a wide variety of brand-name goods. The company's diverse inventory includes home essentials such as housewares, bed and bath products, and floor coverings, as well as food items, health and beauty aids, books, stationery, toys, and electronics. Additionally, they stock hardware, confectionery, apparel, sporting goods, pet supplies, and lawn and garden items. Ollie's markets its products under various proprietary labels, including Ollie's, Ollie's Bargain Outlet, Good Stuff Cheap, Ollie's Army, Real Brands Real Cheap!, Real Brands! Real Bargains, Sarasota Breeze, Steelton Tools, American Way, and Middleton Home. As of August 3, 2022, the company maintained 450 retail locations across 29 states, covering approximately half of the United States. Established in 1982, the business was initially known as Bargain Holdings, Inc., before officially adopting the name Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. in March 2015. Its corporate headquarters are situated in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Discount Stores sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $OLLI.

Discount Stores · Consumer Defensive

Value-oriented consumer spending — trade-down from grocery and discretionary — continues to favor discount formats. Private label share gains are the margin driver as branded goods pricing moderates.

Top industry ETF

$XRTSPDR S&P Retail ETF
+7.7%YTD
+0.7%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
16.4How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
10.0%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
12.8%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
6.0%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
14.6%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
40.5%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.4Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Sep 2, 2026$1.42$1.12+26.8%
Q1 2026Jun 3, 2026$0.91$0.87+4.6%
Q4 2025Mar 12, 2026$1.39$1.38+0.7%
Q3 2025Dec 9, 2025$0.75$0.74+1.4%
Next earningsTue, Dec 8·consensus EPS $0.78

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$741.3M+9.1%43.5%14.6%$1.42$108.1M
Q1 FY26$658.9M+14.2%41.9%11.5%$0.93$20.0M
Q4 FY25$779.3M+16.8%36.0%14.3%$1.40$164.4M
Q3 FY25$613.6M+18.6%41.3%10.2%$0.75$-26.0M

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 11 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$2.7B$2.6B – $2.7B$3.87$3.83 – $3.929
FY27$2.9B$2.9B – $3.0B$4.57$4.38 – $4.669
FY28$3.3B$3.1B – $3.3B$4.96$4.55 – $5.0811
FY29$3.6B$3.5B – $3.6B$5.41$5.28 – $5.515

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.17%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+2.0%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-21.1%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 60.2M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today4.3% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.505-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellApr 7John W SwygertChair3.3K sh$319K
+ 26 other (11 exempts · 8 awards · 6 inkinds · 1 gift) in window

See when $OLLI insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
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Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

These Analysts Revise Their Forecasts On Ollie's Bargain Outlet Following Q2 Earningsbenzinga.com·2d agoOLLI Q2 Earnings Beat Estimates on Tariff Refunds, Sales Misszacks.com·2d agoOllie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI) Q2 2027 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·2d agoOllie's Bargain Outlet Stock Is Not Yet A Bargain Given Cautious Consumersseekingalpha.com·3d agoOllie's Bargain Outlet Q2 Earnings Call Highlightsmarketbeat.com·3d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $OLLI on X in the last 7 days.

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