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SWSWBI

Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc.

$SWBI·$651M·Aerospace & Defense·Industrials
$14.84+0.5%YTD+46.8%1Y+87.5%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-28: 13 posts2026-07-29: 0 posts2026-07-30: 1 posts2026-07-31: 0 posts2026-08-01: 0 posts2026-08-02: 3 posts2026-08-03: 6 posts230%
Price updated 8m ago·X counts updated 20h ago
SWSWBI
$SWBISmith & Wesson Brands, Inc.
$14.84+0.54%23 posts0%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $SWBI, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-08-04

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Smith & Wesson beat Q4 with 27% sales growth and 23% handgun shipments YoY — Lake Street PT $16.50, +88% T12M.

Smith & Wesson Brands is the iconic US firearms manufacturer (handguns, long guns, sporting rifles). Q4 fiscal beat estimates on June 17 with 27% revenue growth and 23% handgun shipment growth, driving a +22% single-day pop and Lake Street PT raise to $16.50.

  • Q4 fiscal was a step-change: revenue grew 27% YoY to $178M with 30% GM and 12% OM plus $0.36 EPS — real earnings acceleration from strong handgun demand, and 12% Q4 OM confirms operating leverage post-manufacturing move to Tennessee.
  • The July 15 investor day in Maryville, TN is real management signal: Smith & Wesson hosted investor day at HQ — real strategic-communication event, and management typically uses investor days to reveal FY guidance and strategic pipeline.
  • The Lake Street $16.50 PT raise is real sell-side endorsement: PT raised from $14 to $16.50 Buy — real bull framing matching the +88% T12M tape, though 12% FCF yield reflects continued value framing.
  • The entry into hunting/carbines drives strategic narrative shift: real product-category expansion beyond core handguns — broadening the addressable market and reducing handgun-only cycle risk.

Sep 3 Q1 fiscal is the tension breaker. Continued 20%+ handgun-shipment growth plus hunting/carbines commentary and any FY guidance raise restarts the run toward $18; a Q1 miss or a soft firearms-demand commentary and the setup pauses with $11 as support and 39x P/E as the compression risk.

Agrees with X sentimentX sentiment is bullish on the Q4 beat plus 23% handgun shipment growth and Lake Street's $16.50 PT with entry into hunting/carbines as the strategic narrative shift; our take agrees on the setup and adds the July 15 investor day is the specific management-signal event.

What to watch: Sep 3 Q1 fiscal print: watch for handgun-shipment trajectory, hunting/carbines revenue commentary, FY guidance revision, and OM cadence — the sustain signals for the +88% T12M run.

On the calendar: 2026-09-03 — Q1 (FY2027) earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment6 posts analyzed · as of 2026-06-25

Smith & Wesson is up 63% YTD with Q4 sales +27% to $178.4M and handgun shipments +23% YoY. Lake Street raised PT to $16.50 from $14 Buy. +22% on the print. Strong handgun demand and new products with healthy growth expected in 2027. Entry into hunting/carbines drives strategic narrative shift. Tone is firmly bullish.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $SWBI

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

US firearms manufacturer selling Smith & Wesson, M&P, and Gemtech branded handguns, rifles, and suppressors globally.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Aerospace & Defense sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $SWBI.

Aerospace & Defense · Industrials

No material change from last week — institutions now mark RKLB, LUNR, and RDW against SPCX's $1.

What this means for $SWBI

Neutral — US firearms manufacturer selling Smith & Wesson, M&P, and Gemtech branded handguns, rifles, and suppressors globally; limited read-through from aerospace & defense macro dynamics to this specific revenue mix.

Top industry ETF

$ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
+10.5%YTD
+24.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
38.7How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
4.9%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
5.5%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
14.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.4Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
5.0%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
26.9%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Jun 17, 2026$0.36$0.23+60.0%
Q4 2025Mar 5, 2026$0.08$0.04+77.8%
Q3 2025Dec 4, 2025$0.04$0.05-20.0%
Q2 2025Sep 4, 2025$-0.08$0.02-500.0%
Next earningsThu, Sep 3·consensus EPS $-0.06

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q4 FY26$178.4M+26.7%29.8%12.0%$0.36$70.3M
Q3 FY26$135.7M+17.1%26.2%4.8%$0.08$16.8M
Q2 FY26$124.7M-3.9%24.3%3.3%$0.04$31.6M
Q1 FY26$85.1M-3.7%25.9%-3.5%$-0.08$-12.4M

Forward consensus

2-year forecast · up to 2 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$500.7M$500.5M – $501.0M$0.28$0.27 – $0.282
FY27$551.0M$549.0M – $552.9M$0.51$0.50 – $0.512

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.6×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.72%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-2.1%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+16.4%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 43.2M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 11 other (7 inkinds · 4 awards) in window

See when $SWBI insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDJul 158-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. hosted an investor day at its corporate headquarters in Maryville, Tennessee on July 15, 2026, and filed the accompanying slide presentation as Exhibit 99.1 under Reg FD (Item 7.01). No specific financial guidance or material disclosures appear in the filing body; substance is in the presentation exhibit. Routine investor relations event.

+ 7 other (2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 13Gs · 1 10-K · 1 SD) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

A Look at Smith & Wesson Brands Inc (SWBI) After 3.7% Decline -- GF Value $13.87 vs Price $14.62gurufocus.com·13d agoSmith & Wesson: Strong Brand With A 12% FCF Yield (Rating Upgrade)seekingalpha.com·46d agoStock Market Today: S&P 500, Dow, Nasdaq 100 Futures Jump After Sharp Sell-Off On Fed Rates Pause— Freecast, Smith & Wesson In Focus (UPDATED)feeds.benzinga.com·47d agoWhy Smith & Wesson Brands Shares Are Trading Higher By Around 17%; Here Are 20 Stocks Moving Premarketbenzinga.com·48d agoSmith & Wesson Brands, Inc. (SWBI) Q4 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·48d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $SWBI on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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