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TickerTalks›$SOFI
SOSOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.

Rising onWhy it's trendingStrong bullish X conversationBacked by solid revenue growth
$SOFI·$24B·Financial - Credit Services·Financial Services
$17.89-0.9%YTD-29.9%1Y-28.2%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-22: 375 posts2026-08-23: 325 posts3,944-5%
Price updated 6h ago·X counts updated 8d ago
SOSOFI
$SOFISoFi Technologies, Inc.
$17.89-0.94%3.9k posts-5%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $SOFI, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersSelling offAI verdict · as of 2026-08-30

Falling on heavy selling — points lower unless it turns around.

A digital bank compounding revenue 30%+ while the stock keeps making lower lows — the gap is the whole story.

SoFi is a full-stack digital bank that has grown into a legitimate financial-services franchise — lending, banking, brokerage, plus the Galileo platform behind other fintechs. The stock has come apart despite operating results getting better, and that gap is the trade.

Where the tension sits:

  • The business kept accelerating while the stock cracked: revenue grew 36% year-on-year last quarter, EPS has beaten every quarter (32% surprise, then 12.7%, then 0.8%, then 9%), yet shares are down 30% YTD and sit at the 18th percentile of the 52-week range — the market is repricing the multiple, not the fundamentals.
  • Quality of earnings is what the debate really turns on: return on equity is 6% and operating margin 14% — solid for a bank but not the compounder profile SOFI's multiple used to imply, so investors are asking whether this is a 'real bank' (cyclical mid-teens ROE) or still a growth story.
  • Insiders are trimming, not accumulating: three officers filed sales or tax-withholding events in mid-August at ~$18, so anyone hoping to see a big insider buy signal here is likely to keep waiting.

The next real event window is the S&P 500 rebalance decision the crowd keeps referencing and the October 27 print — a Q3 beat with clean guidance plus index inclusion would rerate the stock; a credit-quality wobble or a soft guide extends the drift lower.

What to watch: S&P 500 September rebalance decision (the crowd's 26-day countdown) and the October 27 print — a clean beat plus index inclusion is the rerate trigger; a credit-quality wobble or a soft guide extends the drift.

On the calendar: 2026-10-27 — Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment152 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-30

Conviction runs high across the thread, with holders pounding the table on the sub-$20 price as SoFi consolidates near $18-19. Bulls cite roughly 40% revenue growth, a PEG near 0.6, ten straight profitable quarters and CEO Anthony Noto's refusal to sell, framing weakness after Kevin Warsh's hawkish Jackson Hole tone as an accumulation window. A few voices grumble about frustrating price action, but the crowd stays overwhelmingly accumulation-focused.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $SOFI

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Digital-first bank offering student and personal loans, savings, and investing, plus Galileo B2B fintech payments infrastructure.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Financial - Credit Services sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $SOFI.

Financial - Credit Services · Financial Services

Consumer credit quality is the central variable; delinquency trends in credit cards and auto loans determine reserve requirements and loss expectations. Rate normalization improves NIM dynamics but a credit cycle turn would offset those gains.

What this means for $SOFI

Partial — net interest margin and credit quality are the primary earnings drivers; SoFi Technologies, Inc.

Industry benchmark

18-name peer basket
-0.3%YTD
-10.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
35.5How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
1.1%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
12.6%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-12.3%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
4.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
6.2%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
76.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 29, 2026$0.12$0.11+9.1%
Q1 2026Apr 29, 2026$0.12$0.12+0.8%
Q4 2025Jan 30, 2026$0.13$0.12+12.7%
Q3 2025Oct 28, 2025$0.11$0.08+32.0%
Next earningsTue, Oct 27·consensus EPS $0.17

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$1.4B+35.8%77.5%14.2%$0.13$50.3M
Q4 FY25$1.3B+32.5%76.4%13.9%$0.14$-1.1B
Q3 FY25$1.3B+28.6%75.1%11.7%$0.12$9.8M
Q2 FY25$1.1B+31.2%74.8%9.9%$0.09$-1.5B

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 15 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$4.7B$4.7B – $4.7B$0.60$0.57 – $0.6215
FY27$5.7B$5.6B – $5.9B$0.81$0.78 – $0.8614
FY28$7.2B$6.8B – $8.2B$1.04$0.83 – $1.159
FY29$8.1B$7.9B – $8.5B$1.38$1.32 – $1.474

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.6×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.17%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+0.3%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-11.4%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 1.3B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.9% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.205-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 20Kelli KeoughEVP, GBUL, SIPS11.3K sh$203KSellJul 20Kelli KeoughEVP, GBUL, SIPS11.0K sh$188KSellJun 22Kelli KeoughEVP, GBUL, SIPS11.0K sh$190KSellJun 18Robert S LavetGeneral Counsel1.2K sh$21KSellJun 17Jeremy RishelCTO102.1K sh$1.8MBuyJun 16Anthony NotoCEO13.9K sh$251KSellMay 20Kelli KeoughEVP, GBUL, SIPS10.0K sh$156KBuyMay 11Anthony NotoCEO15.5K sh$249KBuyMay 8Anthony NotoCEO15.9K sh$250KSellApr 21Kelli KeoughEVP, GBUL, SIPS9.7K sh$188K
1–10 of 13
+ 63 other (26 exempts · 18 inkinds · 18 awards · 1 gift) in window

See when $SOFI insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KShareholder voteJun 188-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Delaware disclosed voting results from its annual or special meeting. On June 17, 2026, SoFi Technologies, Inc. (the “Company”) held its 2026 annual meeting of stockholders (the “Annual Meeting”). At the Annual Meeting, the stockholders voted on the following proposals, each of which is described in more detail in the Company’s definitive proxy statement filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on April 30, 2026. 1. To elect ten nominees currently serv...

+ 10 other (3 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Is SoFi's Product Flywheel Gaining Enough Traction to Lift SOFI Stock?zacks.com·12h agoSoFi Stock Edges Lower Monday as Geopolitical Tensions and Interest Rate Uncertainty Hit Fintechbenzinga.com·17h agoCanada Pension Plan Investment Board Takes Position in SoFi Technologies, Inc. $SOFIdefenseworld.net·23h agoSoFi Tech Solutions' New President Is Building the AWS of Financepymnts.com·23h agoSoFi Stock: Why This "Fintech" Needs to Start Performing Like a Real Bankfool.com·3d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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