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TickerTalks›$SOFI
SOSOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.

Rising onWhy it's trendingStrong bullish X conversationBacked by solid revenue growth
$SOFI·$24B·Financial - Credit Services·Financial Services
$17.89-0.9%YTD-29.9%1Y-28.2%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-22: 375 posts2026-08-23: 325 posts3,944-5%
Price updated 8h ago·X counts updated 8d ago
SOSOFI
$SOFISoFi Technologies, Inc.
$17.89-0.94%3.9k posts-5%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $SOFI, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersStalledAI verdict · as of 2026-09-01

The move has stalled — likely just drifts unless something new shows up.

A fintech that's actually printing profits into a stock that's stuck — the mechanics are earning the accumulation.

SoFi runs a full-stack online bank plus Galileo/Technisys, its rented-out banking-tech backend for other fintechs. The company has spent the last two years quietly turning consistently profitable; the stock has spent all of 2026 going nowhere on rate-cut and geopolitical noise.

  • Revenue grew 33% YoY in Q1 with operating margin at 14%, up from single digits a year earlier — this is a bank whose unit economics are still improving, not a levered-growth story rolling over.
  • Ten straight profitable quarters at 30%+ growth is the setup accumulators are pointing at: at $18 the stock sits below the 200-day and in the bottom 17% of its 52-week range on a low-teens multiple against FY27 EPS.
  • The August insider prints look worse than they are — they're F-InKind tax withholding on RSU vesting, not conviction sales, and there's no director open-market selling, which is what would actually matter here.
  • The 30% year-to-date drawdown is rate-cycle repricing of consumer credit exposure, not a credit-quality break — delinquencies would show up in the next print if the thesis were cracking, and they haven't.

The stock stays stuck until a rate-cut catalyst arrives or Q3 delivers guidance that forces the market to re-underwrite the earnings ramp. The real breakdown risk is a credit-quality deterioration event, not sentiment — and there's no sign of that yet.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bull-thread accumulation logic — ~40% revenue growth, PEG near 0.6, ten profitable quarters, sub-$20 base — lines up with the mechanics I see. The Warsh/Jackson Hole overhang is a real rate-story macro drag, not a company problem, so partial agreement: the mechanics support accumulation but the tape needs a catalyst.

What to watch: The Oct 27 Q3 print — loan-loss provisions and personal-loan growth vs the 40% run rate. A credit-quality miss or growth deceleration below 30% seals a real de-rating; a beat plus a guide raise restarts the compounder story.

On the calendar: 2026-10-27 — Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment152 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-30

Conviction runs high across the thread, with holders pounding the table on the sub-$20 price as SoFi consolidates near $18-19. Bulls cite roughly 40% revenue growth, a PEG near 0.6, ten straight profitable quarters and CEO Anthony Noto's refusal to sell, framing weakness after Kevin Warsh's hawkish Jackson Hole tone as an accumulation window. A few voices grumble about frustrating price action, but the crowd stays overwhelmingly accumulation-focused.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $SOFI

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Digital-first bank offering student and personal loans, savings, and investing, plus Galileo B2B fintech payments infrastructure.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Financial - Credit Services sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $SOFI.

Financial - Credit Services · Financial Services

Consumer credit quality is the central variable; delinquency trends in credit cards and auto loans determine reserve requirements and loss expectations. Rate normalization improves NIM dynamics but a credit cycle turn would offset those gains.

What this means for $SOFI

Partial — net interest margin and credit quality are the primary earnings drivers; SoFi Technologies, Inc.

Industry benchmark

18-name peer basket
-0.3%YTD
-10.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
35.5How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
1.1%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
12.6%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-12.3%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
4.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
6.2%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
76.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 29, 2026$0.12$0.11+9.1%
Q1 2026Apr 29, 2026$0.12$0.12+0.8%
Q4 2025Jan 30, 2026$0.13$0.12+12.7%
Q3 2025Oct 28, 2025$0.11$0.08+32.0%
Next earningsTue, Oct 27·consensus EPS $0.17

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$1.4B+35.8%77.5%14.2%$0.13$50.3M
Q4 FY25$1.3B+32.5%76.4%13.9%$0.14$-1.1B
Q3 FY25$1.3B+28.6%75.1%11.7%$0.12$9.8M
Q2 FY25$1.1B+31.2%74.8%9.9%$0.09$-1.5B

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 15 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$4.7B$4.7B – $4.7B$0.60$0.57 – $0.6215
FY27$5.7B$5.6B – $5.9B$0.81$0.78 – $0.8614
FY28$7.2B$6.8B – $8.2B$1.04$0.83 – $1.159
FY29$8.1B$7.9B – $8.5B$1.38$1.32 – $1.474

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.6×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.17%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+0.3%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-11.4%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 1.3B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.9% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.205-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 20Kelli KeoughEVP, GBUL, SIPS11.3K sh$203KSellJul 20Kelli KeoughEVP, GBUL, SIPS11.0K sh$188KSellJun 22Kelli KeoughEVP, GBUL, SIPS11.0K sh$190KSellJun 18Robert S LavetGeneral Counsel1.2K sh$21KSellJun 17Jeremy RishelCTO102.1K sh$1.8MBuyJun 16Anthony NotoCEO13.9K sh$251KSellMay 20Kelli KeoughEVP, GBUL, SIPS10.0K sh$156KBuyMay 11Anthony NotoCEO15.5K sh$249KBuyMay 8Anthony NotoCEO15.9K sh$250KSellApr 21Kelli KeoughEVP, GBUL, SIPS9.7K sh$188K
1–10 of 13
+ 63 other (26 exempts · 18 inkinds · 18 awards · 1 gift) in window

See when $SOFI insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KShareholder voteJun 188-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Delaware disclosed voting results from its annual or special meeting. On June 17, 2026, SoFi Technologies, Inc. (the “Company”) held its 2026 annual meeting of stockholders (the “Annual Meeting”). At the Annual Meeting, the stockholders voted on the following proposals, each of which is described in more detail in the Company’s definitive proxy statement filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on April 30, 2026. 1. To elect ten nominees currently serv...

+ 10 other (3 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Is SoFi's Product Flywheel Gaining Enough Traction to Lift SOFI Stock?zacks.com·13h agoSoFi Stock Edges Lower Monday as Geopolitical Tensions and Interest Rate Uncertainty Hit Fintechbenzinga.com·19h agoCanada Pension Plan Investment Board Takes Position in SoFi Technologies, Inc. $SOFIdefenseworld.net·1d agoSoFi Tech Solutions' New President Is Building the AWS of Financepymnts.com·1d agoSoFi Stock: Why This "Fintech" Needs to Start Performing Like a Real Bankfool.com·3d ago

In themes

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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