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SMSM

SM Energy Company

$SM·$8.7B·Oil & Gas Exploration & Production·Energy
$39.03+2.4%YTD+104.5%1Y+49.7%
Price updated 15h ago·X counts updated 2d ago
SMSM
$SMSM Energy Company
$39.03+2.44%82 posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

Top X posts

The complete picture of $SM on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

82X posts · last 7 days
Aug 31Sep 13
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $SM's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-09-07

Chatter mostly Sierra Madre Gold's Mexico ramp — La Guitarra Q2 development metres doubling to 1,188m, throughput up to 672 tpd (+34% since prior updates), Del Toro 3,000 tpd plant on standby. Also SM Energy adds on largest volume since Covid rally with hedge funds adding 18M shares. Broadly bullish.

Read what X is saying about $SM

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $SM — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-09-14

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

SM Energy up 105% YTD — hedge funds added 18M shares on the biggest volume since Covid, oil-cycle play at 28x P/E.

SM Energy is the Permian and Uinta upstream oil-and-gas producer — Q1 revenue $1.48B up 76.2% YoY at -20% operating margin (large impairment charge one-time item) — up 105% YTD as the oil cycle plus operational execution both worked.

  • Q1 revenue was $1.48B up 76.2% YoY at a -20% operating margin — the negative op margin reflects one-time impairment charges rather than ongoing operating pressure; the underlying business is generating real cash flow at 45% gross margin and current oil prices.
  • At 28x P/E and 2.1x sales, this is priced for continued cycle strength — hedge funds adding 18M shares on the largest volume since the Covid rally is real institutional accumulation. Officer Lebeck's $648K S-Sale is small officer-scale profit-taking.

At 96% of its 52-week range and 15% above the 50-day, this is accelerating. Continued WTI above $80 plus the Nov 2 Q3 print showing continued production growth and free cash flow above $500M is what carries this past $42; a WTI collapse below $70 or a Permian output disappointment is what pulls this back to $30.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bullish X sample mixes Sierra Madre Gold's Mexico ramp (unrelated to SM Energy) with SM Energy's own signal — 'adds on largest volume since Covid rally with hedge funds adding 18M shares'. The Sierra Madre content is separated; the SM Energy hedge-fund accumulation signal is real institutional flow that lines up with the +105% YTD tape.

What to watch: The Nov 2 Q3 print. Continued production growth plus free cash flow above $500M and 2027 capex plans that show discipline is what carries this past $42; a WTI collapse below $70 or a Permian production/well-cost surprise is what pulls this back to $30.

On the calendar: 2026-11-02 — Q3 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $SM

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Oil and gas E&P focused on Permian Basin and South Texas Eagle Ford assets with a capital-return oriented operating model.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Oil & Gas Exploration & Production sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $SM.

Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · Energy

Crude oil above $100 following Houthi seizure of a Red Sea port is the immediate geopolitical supply driver — WTI and Brent held bullish breakouts with analysts flagging value in beaten-down E&P names. LNG export demand is the secular tailwind for Appalachian gas producers; Permian consolidation is rationalizing costs and lifting FCF conversion.

What this means for $SM

Direct beneficiary — SM Energy's Permian Delaware and Midland assets generate strong incremental FCF at $100+ WTI; Eagle Ford gas adds an LNG-correlated secondary revenue stream.

Industry benchmark

27-name peer basket
+53.4%YTD
+49.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
28.3How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
1.1%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
6.5%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-2.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.1Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
2.5%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
45.1%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 5, 2026$2.19$1.96+11.7%
Q1 2026May 6, 2026$1.55$1.12+38.4%
Q4 2025Feb 25, 2026$0.83$0.83+0.2%
Q3 2025Nov 4, 2025$1.33$1.25+6.4%
Next earningsMon, Nov 2·consensus EPS $1.73

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$1.5B+76.2%71.1%-20.1%$-2.91$85.0M
Q4 FY25$718.3M-14.1%18.9%0.6%$0.95$-572.2M
Q3 FY25$811.0M+26.3%31.6%30.4%$1.35$100.7M
Q2 FY25$785.1M+23.9%34.1%37.6%$1.76$160.9M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 9 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$7.6B$7.2B – $7.8B$7.27$6.68 – $8.279
FY27$7.5B$7.3B – $7.8B$7.44$6.16 – $9.409
FY28$7.5B$7.2B – $8.1B$7.64$6.19 – $9.566
FY29$7.1B$6.8B – $7.6B$6.97$6.56 – $7.564
FY30$7.1B$6.8B – $7.5B$7.36$6.92 – $7.983

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.2×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.96%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+17.3%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+43.2%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 237.4M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.9% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.755-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 21Lebeck James BarkerEVP, GC & Corp Secretary17.5K sh$648K
+ 24 other (7 exempts · 7 inkinds · 6 awards · 3 others · 1 gift) in window

See when $SM insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KAgreement terminatedSep 48-K — Item 1.02: Agreement terminated
AI summary

SM Energy Company disclosed on September 4, 2026, the full redemption of its 6.625% Senior Notes due 2027 with aggregate principal of approximately $416.791 million. Upon settlement, all obligations under the governing indenture documents (Base Indenture, Fourth Supplemental Indenture, and Sixth Supplemental Indenture) were satisfied and discharged, and the redeemed notes and related guarantees were cancelled. This debt retirement eliminates SM Energy's 2027 note maturity from the balance sheet.

8-KPress release / Reg FDAug 58-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

SM filed an 8-K (Item 2.02) reporting its financial results for the second quarter of 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1, filed 2026-08-05. The actual financial figures are in the attached press release (Exhibit 99.1), not reproduced in the body excerpt. This is a material disclosure; investors should review the press release for beat/miss details and guidance.

8-KAgreement terminatedJun 18-K — Item 1.02: Agreement terminated
8-KOfficer or director changeMay 228-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
8-KAgreement terminatedMay 128-K — Item 1.02: Agreement terminated
8-KAcquisition completedApr 308-K — Item 2.01: Acquisition completed · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KPress release / Reg FDApr 28-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 14 other (7 13Gs · 3 earnings 8-Ks · 2 10-Qs · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

SM Energy (SM) Ascends While Market Falls: Some Facts to Notezacks.com·17h ago5 Relatively Secure And Cheap Dividend Stocks, Yields Up To 8% (September 2026)seekingalpha.com·3d agoSM Energy Company (SM) Is a Trending Stock: Facts to Know Before Betting on Itzacks.com·8d agoWhy Is SM Energy (SM) Up 31% Since Last Earnings Report?zacks.com·11d agoHere's Why SM Energy (SM) is a Strong Momentum Stockzacks.com·11d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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