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SISIMO

Silicon Motion Technology Corporation

$SIMO·$8.6B·Semiconductors·Technology
$245.81-3.6%YTD+184.0%1Y+197.1%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-20: 7 posts2026-08-21: 7 posts2026-08-22: 6 posts56+12%
Price updated 2d ago·X counts updated 8d ago
SISIMO
$SIMOSilicon Motion Technology Corporation
$245.81-3.63%56 posts+12%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $SIMO, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Driven by hypeCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-08-25

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

Up 213% in twelve months on the NAND controller cycle — down 6% today, and the company just issued $1.15B in zero-coupon convertibles.

Silicon Motion Technology designs NAND flash controllers used in solid-state drives, mobile storage, and enterprise storage products. The stock is up 213% over the trailing year and 184% year-to-date on a genuine memory-cycle recovery, but today's 5.9% drop and the convertible issuance are marking a change in the risk profile.

  • Q1 2026 revenue was $342M, up 105% year-over-year with 47% gross margin and 15% operating margin — this is a real cyclical inflection, and Q2 26 (reported July 29) beat again by 14%
  • The last four EPS surprises show acceleration in beat magnitude: +14%, +21%, -2%, +23% — one small miss surrounded by three big beats
  • On August 13 the company closed an upsized $1.15B offering of 0.00% Convertible Senior Notes due 2031 — zero coupon means no interest expense, but the conversion feature will dilute if the stock stays above the conversion price
  • Wall Street analysts see 37% upside per the August 17 Zacks article; earnings estimates were raised per August 18 — the analyst community is bullish
  • Analyst 2026 revenue estimate is $1.64B on $8.88 EPS growing to $1.96B / $11.25 EPS in 2027 — the stock at $243 is 27.4x forward, expensive on trailing but reasonable if the NAND cycle sustains
  • Position vs 200-day moving average is +37% — that's very extended and today's -6% may be the first meaningful mean-reversion
  • Beta is null in the data (coverage flag) but historically SIMO has traded at ~1.5, so expect volatility on top of the base cyclical setup

A VistaShares AI Supercycle ETF listing alongside MU, SK Hynix, AMD, and TSM adds passive-flow tailwind but also cyclical exposure to any AI-spend hiccup.

Agrees with X sentimentX is bullish on unusual call flow, AI Supercycle ETF inclusion, and CEO commentary on SSD role. Fair on the fundamental story; the convertible issuance and the +37% overshoot vs 200-day are the near-term valuation/dilution risks worth weighting.

What to watch: The Q3 print on October 29 needs to sustain 50%+ revenue growth and demonstrate the convertible proceeds are being deployed productively — a first sub-20% growth print would trigger multiple compression fast at these levels.

On the calendar: 2026-10-29 — Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-13

Silicon Motion sees persistent unusual call flow for two consecutive days with a $373K sweep on Sep-2026 calls (43 days). Users flag it in the VistaShares AI Supercycle ETF alongside MU, SK Hynix, AMD and TSM. Sit-down interview with SIMO's CEO on their SSD role and opportunities in the 800V architecture is coming.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $SIMO

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Designs NAND flash controller chips for client SSDs, enterprise SSDs, mobile embedded storage, and industrial flash applications.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Semiconductors sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $SIMO.

Semiconductors · Technology

No material change from last week — structural AI capex engine unchanged: hyperscaler Blackwell allocation stays tight through 2H26 and HBM3e pricing holds as LLM context-window expansion drives 5-8x per-server memory demand uplift.

What this means for $SIMO

Neutral — Designs NAND flash controller chips for client SSDs, enterprise SSDs, mobile embedded storage, and industrial flash applications; limited read-through from semiconductors macro dynamics to this specific revenue mix.

Top industry ETF

$SMHVanEck Semiconductor ETF
+56.0%YTD
+85.1%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
12.8How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
12.1%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
12.8%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-0.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
8.2Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
20.2%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
48.1%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 29, 2026$2.43$2.13+14.1%
Q1 2026Apr 28, 2026$1.58$1.31+20.6%
Q4 2025Feb 3, 2026$1.26$1.29-2.3%
Q3 2025Oct 30, 2025$1.00$0.81+23.5%
Next earningsThu, Oct 29·consensus EPS $3.30

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$342.1M+105.5%47.1%15.3%$7.92$-49.4M
Q4 FY25$278.5M+45.7%49.1%11.4%$5.68$-6.3M
Q3 FY25$242.0M+13.9%48.6%12.1%$4.68$6.8M
Q2 FY25$198.7M-5.7%47.7%11.2%$1.96$-32.7M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 9 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$1.6B$1.6B – $1.7B$8.88$8.42 – $9.369
FY27$2.0B$1.7B – $2.5B$11.25$8.49 – $16.479
FY28$2.5B$2.3B – $2.9B$16.07$13.53 – $19.344

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.3×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.61%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-11.0%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+36.2%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 32.1M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.3% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.715-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJun 18Han-ping ShiehDirector1.0K sh$328KSellJun 18Kuan-ming LinDirector1.0K sh$320KSellJun 17Kuan-ming LinDirector2.0K sh$610KSellJun 2Han-ping ShiehDirector1.0K sh$301KSellMay 6Duann Shii TyngDirector1.5K sh$368K

See when $SIMO insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsApr 93
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for SIMO on 2026-04-09, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsApr 93
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for SIMO on 2026-04-09, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsApr 93
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for SIMO on 2026-04-09, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsApr 93
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for SIMO on 2026-04-09, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsApr 93
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for SIMO on 2026-04-09, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsApr 93
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for SIMO on 2026-04-09, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 303
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for SIMO on 2026-03-30, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 273
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for SIMO on 2026-03-27, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

+ 17 other (9 6-Ks · 5 3s · 1 13G · 1 SD) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Silicon Motion (SIMO) Just Flashed Golden Cross Signal: Do You Buy?zacks.com·3d agoSilicon Motion Technology Corporation (NASDAQ:SIMO) Given Consensus Recommendation of “Buy” by Analystsdefenseworld.net·4d agoEarnings Estimates Rising for Silicon Motion (SIMO): Will It Gain?zacks.com·12d agoWall Street Analysts Think Silicon Motion (SIMO) Could Surge 37%: Read This Before Placing a Betzacks.com·13d agoSIMO vs. LSCC: Which Semiconductor Stock is the Better Buy Today?zacks.com·16d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

AI InfrastructureAI Memory Supercycle

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Voices on X · top 1 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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