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SASAABF

Saab AB

$SAABF·$31B·Aerospace & Defense·Industrials
$58.50-2.0%YTD-5.0%1Y+8.2%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-14: 0 posts2026-07-15: 0 posts2026-07-16: 0 posts2026-07-17: 2 posts2026-07-18: 0 posts2026-07-19: 1 posts2026-07-20: 0 posts30%
Price updated 5m ago·X counts updated 23h ago
SASAABF
$SAABFSaab AB
$58.50-2.03%3 posts0%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $SAABF, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-07-20

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Saab AB Swedish defense OTC as NATO picks GlobalEye over US rival with record orders into Oct 23 print.

Saab AB is Sweden's premier defense-and-aerospace company — Gripen fighter aircraft, GlobalEye AEW&C (early warning), submarines, weapons systems — capturing a genuine European-defense-spending tailwind. A $31B mega-cap OTC listing (SAABF); primary listing on Stockholm Stock Exchange.

The setup:

  • Fundamentals are exceptional growth: Q2 revenue SEK 25.5B (+29% YoY) at 22% gross margin and 11% operating margin with EPS SEK 3.98 — 29% YoY at this scale is a genuine defense-spending inflection, and the July 17 print already delivered a beat on operating profit versus forecast.
  • The NATO GlobalEye selection is transformational: reported July 2 'NATO plans Saab GlobalEye jets to replace AWACS' plus July 7 'NATO picks Swedish Saab early-warning planes over US rival' — NATO choosing a European AEW&C platform over a US competitor is a real multi-billion-dollar strategic win and a validation of Saab's defense-technology positioning.
  • Management is backing guidance amid record orders: reported July 17 'Saab Backs Guidance as Defense Demand Remains Strong' plus 'Sweden's Saab posts record orders as fighter jet maker cashes in on higher defense spending' — record orders plus reaffirmed guidance is the exact combination that supports continued rerating.

Accelerating into Oct 23 Q3 earnings — a Q3 revenue beat plus Gripen/GlobalEye order-cadence and additional NATO/European contract wins extends the run; a European defense-spending deceleration triggers mean-reversion. OTC-listing adds liquidity risk vs Stockholm primary (SAAB-B.ST).

What to watch: Oct 23 Q3 earnings: revenue growth trajectory, Gripen/GlobalEye order cadence, additional NATO/European contract wins, and updated FY guide. A European defense-spending deceleration triggers mean-reversion.

On the calendar: 2026-10-23 — Q3 earnings

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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Saab AB engages in the production and sale of products, services, and solutions for military defense, commercial aviation and civil security. It operates through the following segments: Aeronautics, Dynamics, Surveillance, Kockums, Combitech, and Corporate. The Aeronatics segment includes advanced development of military and civil aviation technology. The Dynamics segment offers products comprising of ground combat weapons, missile systems, torpedoes, unmanned underwater vehicles, and signature management systems. The Surveillance segment provides efficient solutions for safety and security, for surveillance and decision support, and for threat detection and protection. The Kockums segment develops, delivers, and maintains solutions for naval environments. The Combitech segment includes aviation, defense, telecom, and other industries as well as the public sector. The company was founded on April 2, 1937 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Aerospace & Defense sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $SAABF.

Aerospace & Defense · Industrials

No material change from last week — institutions now mark RKLB, LUNR, and RDW against SPCX's $1.

What this means for $SAABF

Neutral — Saab AB engages in the production and sale of products, services, and solutions for military defense, commercial aviation and civil security. It operates through the following segments: Aeronautics; limited read-through from aerospace & defense macro dynamics to this specific revenue mix.

Top industry ETF

$ITAiShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
+6.6%YTD
+17.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
47.0How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
10.1%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
9.7%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
2.2%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
3.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
15.9%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
21.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.3Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 17, 2026$0.41$0.35+16.6%
Q1 2026Apr 23, 2026$0.28$0.25+11.8%
Q4 2025Feb 5, 2026$0.51$0.42+21.6%
Q3 2025Oct 24, 2025$0.19$0.20-6.3%
Next earningsFri, Oct 23·consensus EPS $0.25

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$25.5B+28.6%22.6%10.9%$3.98$-87.0M
Q1 FY26$19.2B+21.4%23.4%10.0%$2.67$-15.0M
Q4 FY25$27.7B+32.8%20.0%11.8%$4.76$6.2B
Q3 FY25$15.8B+16.4%22.9%8.4%$1.77$300.9M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 10 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$96.8B$95.7B – $98.8B$14.70$14.48 – $15.091
FY27$116.7B$114.3B – $121.1B$18.58$18.31 – $19.0710
FY28$136.9B$135.3B – $139.6B$22.86$22.52 – $23.464
FY29$158.0B$156.2B – $161.2B$28.30$27.88 – $29.055
FY30$171.7B$169.7B – $175.2B$30.13$29.68 – $30.925

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.2×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.37%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+7.4%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-2.7%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 370.7M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.015-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.ListedOTCListed on an over-the-counter market (PNK / OTCQB / OTCQX), not a major exchange. Lower disclosure requirements and thinner liquidity.

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Sweden's Saab posts record orders as fighter jet maker cashes in on higher defense spendingcnbc.com·5d agoSaab Backs Guidance as Defense Demand Remains Strongwsj.com·5d agoDefence group Saab operating profit beats forecastreuters.com·5d agoNATO picks Swedish Saab early-warning planes over US rivalreuters.com·15d agoNATO plans Saab GlobalEye jets to replace AWACS, sources sayreuters.com·20d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $SAABF on X in the last 7 days.

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