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RSRSKD

Riskified Ltd.

$RSKD·$973M·Software - Application·Technology
$6.65+7.5%1Y+31.1%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-26: 1 posts2026-08-27: 0 posts2026-08-28: 2 posts2026-08-29: 0 posts2026-08-30: 0 posts2026-08-31: 0 posts2026-09-01: 5 posts12
Price updated 1h ago·X counts updated 4h ago
RSRSKD
$RSKDRiskified Ltd.
$6.65+7.52%12 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $RSKD, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-08-21

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

E-commerce fraud platform printing steady mid-single-digit growth — a director just sold ~$1M into the strength.

Riskified provides a machine-learning-based fraud-prevention platform for e-commerce merchants — it takes chargeback risk off the merchant's books in exchange for a fee. Slow-growth but sticky SaaS with real free cash flow generation.

  • Q1 revenue grew 7% year-on-year to $88M and Q2 came in at $99M with EPS beating (33% beat on a small denominator) — the growth is modest but the last four EPS surprises averaged +20%; guidance is set conservatively.
  • On Aug 18-19 director Erez Shachar sold ~$1.0M and COO Ravi Kumaraswami sold ~$405K — real Section-16 cluster in one window totalling roughly $1.4M into strength; not decisive individually but the pattern is worth logging.
  • Trades at ~2.8x TTM sales — a modest SaaS multiple that reflects the slow growth, plus a ~4% FCF yield that anchors the value case.
  • Sits at the 77th percentile of the 52-week range and 25% above the 200-day trend — the tape has been strong, which is exactly the setup where insider selling matters more for future upside.

What restarts the move upward is Nov 11 Q3 landing a fifth straight beat with revenue growth stepping into double digits alongside no additional insider distribution. What sustains the cooling is another Shachar-scale sale in the next window, or a specific customer-loss disclosure; the equity is now expensive enough on the trailing move that either would trigger real profit-taking.

What to watch: Nov 11 Q3 earnings — revenue growth trajectory (need to see step to double digits) and net-retention rate. Watch for additional Shachar/Kumaraswami Form 4 filings as a specific timing signal.

On the calendar: 2026-11-11 — Q3 earnings

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $RSKD

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

E-commerce fraud prevention platform using machine learning to approve more orders while chargeback-guaranteeing them for online retailers.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Software - Application sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $RSKD.

Software - Application · Technology

SaaS multiples remain compressed as rate-sensitive valuations weigh on pure-play software; customers are lengthening deal cycles outside of AI-native workloads. AI co-pilot upsell is the only clear near-term catalyst — companies without it are treading water.

What this means for $RSKD

Direct beneficiary — AI-native product or platform captures spend from the same capex cycle driving the industry; E-commerce fraud prevention platform using machine learning to approve more orders while chargeback-guaranteeing them fo.

Top industry ETF

$IGViShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF
-4.2%YTD
-1.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-54.9How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-7.0%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-6.4%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
4.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.8Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-5.9%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
52.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.1Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 12, 2026$0.02$0.01+33.3%
Q1 2026May 13, 2026$0.05$0.04+25.0%
Q4 2025Mar 4, 2026$0.12$0.10+20.0%
Q3 2025Nov 12, 2025$0.04$0.03+33.3%
Next earningsWed, Nov 11·consensus EPS $0.04

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$88.3M+7.1%51.3%-6.7%$-0.03$9.4M
Q4 FY25$99.3M+6.2%56.6%5.3%$0.04$11.7M
Q3 FY25$81.9M+3.8%50.2%-10.9%$-0.05$13.4M
Q2 FY25$81.1M+3.0%49.0%-16.0%$-0.07$5.3M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 4 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$380.2M$375.9M – $383.3M$0.24$0.24 – $0.254
FY27$418.5M$415.1M – $421.9M$0.37$0.35 – $0.394
FY28$446.8M$439.6M – $454.1M$0.33$0.33 – $0.332

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.3×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.86%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+13.4%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+28.5%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 120.1M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.5% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.355-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 26Erez ShacharDirector145.5K sh$868KSellAug 25Erez ShacharDirector90.0K sh$535KSellAug 24Erez ShacharDirector102.4K sh$606KSellAug 21Erez ShacharDirector115.5K sh$681KSellAug 20Erez ShacharDirector157.2K sh$935KSellAug 19Erez ShacharDirector139.9K sh$854KSellAug 18Erez ShacharDirector161.9K sh$1.0MSellAug 17Erez ShacharDirector100 sh$643SellAug 17Ravi KumaraswamiPres. Worldwide Field Ops.65.0K sh$405KSellAug 14Aglika DotchevaCFO80.0K sh$522K
1–10 of 53
+ 7 other (4 inkinds · 2 conversions · 1 award) in window

See when $RSKD insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsAug 173
3New insider — initial holdingsJul 63
AI summary

Ronen Assia filed a Form 3 on July 7, 2026 (event date June 25), reporting his initial beneficial ownership of Riskified Ltd. (RSKD) as a Director, with no securities directly or indirectly owned at the time of filing. Riskified provides e-commerce fraud prevention technology using machine learning. The Form 3 establishes Assia's reporting baseline; future equity grants will be disclosed on Form 4.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 253
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
+ 20 other (9 6-Ks · 5 13Gs · 4 3s · 1 S-8) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Riskified Expands its Risk Intelligence Platform with ARIAbusinesswire.com·2d agoRiskified Analysis Finds Travel Fraudsters Are Adapting Faster Than Traditional Signals Can Keep Up, With May Flight Risk Up 32%businesswire.com·17d agoRiskified Q2 Earnings Call Highlightsmarketbeat.com·21d agoRiskified Ltd. (RSKD) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·21d agoRiskified (RSKD) Q2 Earnings Miss Estimateszacks.com·22d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

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