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PEPEGA

Pegasystems Inc.

$PEGA·$5.0B·Software - Application·Technology
$36.81+1.8%YTD-47.2%1Y-31.5%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-22: 1 posts2026-08-23: 2 posts15+8%
Price updated 15h ago·X counts updated 9d ago
PEPEGA
$PEGAPegasystems Inc.
$36.81+1.77%15 posts+8%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $PEGA, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Broken storySelling offAI verdict · as of 2026-09-01

Falling on heavy selling — points lower unless it turns around.

Enterprise-software vendor down 47% year to date after two consecutive EPS misses and a downgrade.

Pegasystems is an enterprise workflow-automation vendor whose earnings delivery has broken down over two consecutive quarters, and the market has repriced it hard.

  • Q2 revenue is $420.7M with year-over-year growth of +9.4%, but Q1 declined -9.6% — the licensing model produces lumpy quarters, and the two-quarter average is roughly flat.
  • Q2 EPS missed at $0.35 versus $0.43 and Q1 missed at $0.46 versus $0.65 — two consecutive misses of 19-29% after two earlier beats.
  • The stock is -47.2% year to date and -31.5% over the trailing twelve months, fell 13% on the Q2 print, and Citizens downgraded to Market Perform from Market Outperform.
  • Pomerantz opened investor investigations on both August 25 and August 27, while Coforge expanded a strategic partnership to accelerate enterprise AI transformation on the Pega platform.

The Q3 print on October 20 needs the miss pattern to break — consensus 2026 EPS of $2.45 sits far above the recent quarterly run rate, so either delivery improves or estimates come down further.

Agrees with X sentimentX sentiment is bearish after the 13% drop on weak Q2 results and the Citizens downgrade, with bulls only pointing to a possible repeat of the prior Q1 crush-and-guide-up — the take here agrees the immediate picture is negative and treats the October print as where that hope gets tested.

What to watch: Whether the two-quarter EPS miss pattern breaks, annual contract value growth and cloud transition metrics, and progress on the Pomerantz investigations.

On the calendar: 2026-10-20 Q3 2026 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bearish sentiment16 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-29

Pegasystems is down 13% and contributing to the broader software selloff after reporting weak Q2 results and citing concerns. Citizens downgraded PEGA to Market Perform from Market Outperform. Unusual option volume was noted. Bulls note the market's memory of Q1 crush-and-guide-up as a possible re-do, but the immediate sentiment on PEGA is bearish.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $PEGA

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Enterprise AI and workflow automation software company serving large banks, insurers, and telecom operators.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Software - Application sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $PEGA.

Software - Application · Technology

SaaS multiples remain compressed as rate-sensitive valuations weigh on pure-play software; customers are lengthening deal cycles outside of AI-native workloads. AI co-pilot upsell is the only clear near-term catalyst — companies without it are treading water.

What this means for $PEGA

Direct beneficiary — AI-native product or platform captures spend from the same capex cycle driving the industry; Enterprise AI and workflow automation software company serving large banks, insurers, and telecom operators.

Top industry ETF

$IGViShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF
-4.2%YTD
+2.5%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
13.7How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
26.0%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
9.9%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
11.8%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
48.9%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
75.6%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.1Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 21, 2026$0.35$0.43-19.2%
Q1 2026Apr 21, 2026$0.46$0.65-29.1%
Q4 2025Feb 10, 2026$0.76$0.72+5.6%
Q3 2025Oct 21, 2025$0.30$0.18+66.7%
Next earningsTue, Oct 20·consensus EPS $0.48

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$420.7M+9.4%74.3%4.0%$0.08$91.7M
Q1 FY26$430.0M-9.6%75.2%8.6%$0.19$206.5M
Q4 FY25$504.3M+2.7%79.5%20.7%$1.38$152.4M
Q3 FY25$381.4M+17.3%72.2%3.8%$0.25$51.8M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 9 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$1.9B$1.8B – $2.0B$2.45$2.21 – $2.838
FY27$2.1B$2.0B – $2.2B$2.64$2.49 – $3.089
FY28$2.2B$2.2B – $2.3B$2.81$2.56 – $3.115

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.27%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+16.6%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-12.3%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 88.9M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.4% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.865-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 25Akgonul Rifat KerimChief Product Officer3.0K sh$102KSellAug 10Efstathios A KouninisSVP, Chief Accounting Officer860 sh$28KSellAug 7Efstathios A KouninisSVP, Chief Accounting Officer860 sh$28KSellJun 16Efstathios A KouninisSVP, Chief Accounting Officer750 sh$24K
+ 42 other (17 inkinds · 17 exempts · 7 awards · 1 gift) in window

See when $PEGA insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KShareholder voteJun 188-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

PEGA filed an 8-K covering Item(s) 5.07. Item 5.07. Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders Pegasystems Inc. (the “Company”) held its 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders on June 16, 2026. At the Annual Meeting, the following items were presented to the shareholders of the Company for their approval, and the shareholders voted as follows: 1. The Company’s shareholders reelected the eight directors named below to serve on the Company’s Board of Directors until the 2027 Annual Meeting of Shareholders and until their successors. Investors should review the full filing for complete details.

8-KPress release / Reg FDJun 88-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

PEGA filed an 8-K under Reg FD (Item 7.01), disclosing material non-public information simultaneously to all investors. The disclosure covers: investors. This is typically an investor presentation, conference slides, or press release furnished as an exhibit. Reg FD filings ensure equal access to information for all investors; the substantive data is in the attached exhibit.

+ 8 other (2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys · 1 ARS) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Coforge Expands Strategic Partnership with Pega to Accelerate Enterprise AI Transformationgurufocus.com·4d agoINVESTOR ALERT: Pomerantz Law Firm Investigates Claims On Behalf of Investors of Pegasystems Inc. - PEGAprnewswire.com·5d agoUiPath Rallies 9% as the Software Bid Broadens Beyond the Earnings Winners, Pegasystems Gains 4%247wallst.com·5d agoINVESTOR ALERT: Pomerantz Law Firm Investigates Claims on Behalf of Investors of Pegasystems Inc. - PEGAglobenewswire.com·7d agoPega to Present at Upcoming Investor Conferencebusinesswire.com·7d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Agentic AI & Enterprise Software

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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