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NDNDAQ

Nasdaq, Inc.

$NDAQ·$50B·Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges·Financial Services
$91.69-2.7%YTD-3.1%1Y+5.9%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-09: 178 posts2026-07-10: 223 posts2026-07-11: 88 posts2026-07-12: 149 posts2026-07-13: 226 posts2026-07-14: 71 posts2026-07-15: 85 posts1,036-1%
Price updated 5m ago·X counts updated 2d ago
NDNDAQ
$NDAQNasdaq, Inc.
$91.69-2.71%1.0k posts-1%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $NDAQ, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersEvent coming upAI verdict · as of 2026-07-16

A known event soon (earnings, a ruling, etc.) will likely decide the next move.

Exchange operator with AxiomSL + Verafin ARR — earnings on July 23, tape ripped 3.8% today.

Nasdaq Inc. is the exchange operator + market-tech (AxiomSL, Verafin) + capital-access solutions provider whose 2026 tape has quietly consolidated at 59% of the 52-week range. Earnings hit in seven days and the setup is decisively event-ahead.

  • The core business is quietly executing: Q1 2026 revenue grew 2.2% YoY to $2.14B, gross margin at 66%, and operating margin was 31% — the market-tech + Verafin AML-and-fraud-tech segments are the real growth drivers, and the trading + listing base provides the earnings floor.
  • Valuation is defensible for a compounder: 27x TTM P/E and 6.3x sales for a business earning 30%+ operating margins is at the middle of the exchange-multiple range — the setup is a compounder that rewards continued growth in Market Technology and Financial Crime Solutions.
  • Institutional positioning is active: the +3.8% pop today with 1.3x normal volume multiplier + 1 insider event and the trader-mechanical NDX/NASDAQ100 discussion capture the pre-earnings coil — real institutional accumulation into the July 23 print.

The July 23 Q2 earnings are the near-term arbiter — Solutions (Market Tech + Verafin) segment growth, Capital-Access-Platforms trajectory, and any FY26 organic-growth guide movement extend the setup toward $100. A Solutions growth miss or Verafin ARR deceleration stalls the tape near $88.

What to watch: The July 23 Q2 earnings. Watch Solutions (Market Tech + Verafin) segment growth, Capital-Access-Platforms trajectory, and FY26 organic-growth guide. Solutions growth miss or Verafin ARR deceleration stalls the tape near $88; steady growth + guide affirmation extends toward $100.

On the calendar: 2026-07-23 — Q2 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Mixed sentiment15 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-15

NDAQ chatter is trader-mechanical rather than fundamental. Multiple posts discuss NDX/NASDAQ100 index trading with mixed bull/bear intraday takes: 'clean liquidity grab and reversed like it owed us money' (bear), 3/3 complete TP setups on NDAQ (bull). The NASDAQ ended slightly up while the rest of the market fell on renewed hostilities (Iran-related). One note flags Avalanche Treasury firm AVAX One regaining NASDAQ compliance after a reverse split. Sentiment is basically bounded market-mechanics rather than a directional debate.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $NDAQ

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Operates US stock exchanges, sells market data subscriptions, and provides financial technology and anti-financial crime software.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $NDAQ.

Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges · Financial Services

No material change from last week — COIN's Kalshi acquisition and Bitcoin ETF expansion validate a new institutional market structure for digital assets.

What this means for $NDAQ

Direct beneficiary — Operates US stock exchanges, sells market data subscriptions, and provides financial technology and anti-financial crime software; core operations sit in the path of the institutional crypto ETF expansion and retail trading volume.

Industry benchmark

6-name peer basket
-7.0%YTD
-12.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
27.4How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
7.3%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
29.5%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
3.8%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
6.3Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
15.9%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
54.8%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.8Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Apr 23, 2026$0.96$0.93+3.2%
Q4 2025Jan 29, 2026$0.96$0.92+4.1%
Q3 2025Oct 21, 2025$0.88$0.85+3.3%
Q2 2025Jul 24, 2025$0.85$0.81+4.4%
Next earningsThu, Jul 23·consensus EPS $0.98

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$2.1B+2.2%65.8%30.7%$0.92$629.0M
Q4 FY25$2.1B+2.5%66.9%30.3%$0.91$536.0M
Q3 FY25$2.0B+2.9%44.4%29.9%$0.74$152.0M
Q2 FY25$2.1B+16.6%41.2%27.2%$0.79$687.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 10 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$5.8B$5.7B – $5.9B$3.98$3.22 – $4.2210
FY27$6.3B$6.0B – $6.4B$4.50$3.59 – $4.9010
FY28$6.8B$6.8B – $6.8B$5.15$4.74 – $5.687
FY29$7.3B$7.1B – $7.4B$5.69$5.51 – $5.833
FY30$7.5B$7.3B – $7.6B$6.05$5.86 – $6.206

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.70%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+7.3%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+5.9%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 444.7M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.8% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.005-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJul 1Smith Bryan EverardEVP, CPO3.0K sh$240KSellJun 11Smith Bryan EverardEVP, CPO3.0K sh$261KBuyJun 11Ab Investor10% owner56.8K sh$4.9MSellMay 18Griggs Pc NelsonPres. Capital Access Platforms5.1K sh$472KSellApr 28Bradley J PetersonEVP, CIO7.7K sh$700KSellApr 27Cohen TalPres. Market Platforms15.5K sh$1.4MSellApr 24Daly Michelle LynnSVP, Controller & PAO1.3K sh$118KSellApr 1Adena T FriedmanCEO113.6K sh$9.7MSellMar 6Adena T FriedmanCEO92.8K sh$8.4MSellMar 2Smith Bryan EverardEVP, CPO6.0K sh$523K
1–10 of 12
+ 48 other (24 awards · 21 inkinds · 2 exempts · 1 gift) in window

See when $NDAQ insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KAgreement terminatedJul 18-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 1.02: Agreement terminated · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

Nasdaq entered an Amended and Restated Credit Agreement with Bank of America as administrative agent on June 30, 2026 (Item 1.01) while terminating the prior December 2022 facility (Item 1.02). Routine credit facility renewal replacing the prior revolver.

8-KShareholder voteJun 168-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) reported results of its June 10, 2026 Annual Meeting: all twelve director nominees were elected, executive compensation was approved on an advisory basis, and Ernst & Young LLP was ratified as independent auditor for fiscal 2026. Director vote tallies ranged from approximately 342M to 372M shares FOR with ~26.2M broker non-votes. Routine annual meeting outcome — all standard governance items passed with strong majorities, no material opposition.

8-KPress release / Reg FDApr 238-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

NDAQ reported first quarter of 2026. A copy of the press release is financial results (8-K Item 2.02). Investors should review the full earnings press release and any management guidance for forward outlook.

8-KPress release / Reg FDJan 298-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
+ 10 other (3 proxys · 3 13Gs · 1 10-Q · 1 CERT) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Google Stock Falls Amid Delay In AI Model Release, Nasdaq Retreatinvestors.com·23h agoNasdaq (NDAQ) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growthzacks.com·1d agoNDAQ Stock Rises 1.6% in a Year: A Signal for Investors to Hold Tight?zacks.com·1d agoBRODSKY & SMITH SHAREHOLDER UPDATE: Notifying Investors of the Following Investigations: AtaiBeckley Inc. (Nasdaq – ATAI), Distribution Solutions Group, Inc. (Nasdaq – DSGR), Cross Country Healthcare, Inc. (Nasdaq – CCRN), Nuvalent, Inc. (Nasdaq – NUVL)globenewswire.com·1d agoONAR Holding Corporation Issues Letter to Stockholders Outlining a Pivotal Year Aheadglobenewswire.com·1d ago

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Voices on X · top 5 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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