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NBNB

NioCorp Developments Ltd.

$NB·$780M·Industrial Materials·Basic Materials
$4.17+1.0%YTD-4.1%1Y-9.8%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-21: 8 posts2026-08-22: 0 posts44-5%
Price updated 6m ago·X counts updated 9d ago
NBNB
$NBNioCorp Developments Ltd.
$4.17+0.97%44 posts-5%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $NB, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Too early to tellWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-08-25

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Development-stage critical-minerals company — updated Elk Creek study values the project at $4.1B NPV, but $0 revenue for years to come.

NioCorp Developments is developing the Elk Creek critical-minerals project in Nebraska — niobium, scandium, and titanium for aerospace, defense, and specialty industrial applications. The stock is flat over trailing year and 4% down year-to-date at $4.25 with a $780M market cap — priced as an option on the project financing and construction.

  • On August 11 the updated Elk Creek Feasibility Study boosted the pre-tax NPV8% to $4.1B (up 46% from prior estimate) and expanded to 8 US-made critical minerals over a 40-year mine life; the project itself is valued at $3.4B
  • The company has no revenue — Q3 fiscal 2026 revenue was $0, consistent across all recent quarters — this is entirely a permitting-and-financing story
  • Analyst FY26 revenue estimate is $140M (assumes some milestone revenue), dropping to $70M in FY27 and $46M in FY28 before jumping to $599M in FY29 — the model reflects hoped-for production timing
  • Analyst EPS: -$0.44 (2026), -$0.24 (2027), -$0.36 (2028), -$0.08 (2029), +$1.04 (2030) — profitability contingent on Elk Creek reaching production
  • Free cash flow yield -2.2% — modest burn given the pre-production state
  • Beta 0.17 — remarkably low, reflecting the project-development-not-cyclical profile
  • On August 14 rare-earth stocks broadly rallied (MP +8%, USA Rare Earth +9%) — NB gained 3% with the sector but was left behind on the rally magnitude
  • Position in 52-week range is only 5% — near the bottom despite the improved feasibility study, reflecting financing/timing uncertainty

This is a permitting/financing/construction option — a 5-10 year story where the equity value depends on progress toward first production.

Agrees with X sentimentX is bullish on the improved Elk Creek NPV and grouping NB with MP/ALOY/UUUU/USAR as domestic critical-minerals plays. Fair — the strategic positioning is genuine; the risk is execution timeline and financing dilution.

What to watch: Any material 8-K on project financing terms (equity, debt, government support) — that's the specific catalyst that either de-risks the equity or shows further dilution ahead.

On the calendar: TBD — next earnings not scheduled

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-30

NioCorp is drawing supportive attention around a Lockheed Martin scandium purchase agreement, with posters framing the niobium space as on track for substantial change. Chart-focused traders flag a potential higher low at $4.28 with structural targets stacking to $5.08, $5.65, and $6.50 as the key trigger for a bigger shift. One reply cites the Elk Creek niobium project valued at $3.4B as underpinning the setup.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $NB

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Pre-production niobium, scandium, and titanium project in Nebraska targeting critical minerals for steel and aerospace.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Industrial Materials sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $NB.

Industrial Materials · Basic Materials

Reshoring and infrastructure legislation are the structural demand pull for industrial materials; inventory destocking earlier in the cycle appears largely complete. Pricing power varies widely — commodity-linked materials face more volatility than engineered specialty products.

What this means for $NB

Partial — upstream oil & gas exposure ties to commodity price cycle; NioCorp Developments Ltd.

Industry benchmark

16-name peer basket
+11.4%YTD
+75.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-13.7How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-7.4%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
0.0%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-2.2%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-21.4%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
0.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 14, 2026$-0.02$-0.020.0%
Q4 2025Feb 6, 2026$-0.05$-0.050.0%
Q3 2025Nov 13, 2025$-0.11$-0.09-22.2%
Q2 2025Sep 22, 2025$-0.20$-0.17-17.6%

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q3 FY26$0———$0.01$23.0M
Q2 FY26$0———$-0.00$-14.2M
Q1 FY26$0———$-0.53$-20.7M
Q4 FY25$0———$-0.19$-4.8M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 4 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$139.6M$858K – $278.4M-$0.44-$0.63 – -$0.334
FY27$69.8M$429K – $139.2M-$0.24-$0.25 – -$0.233
FY28$46.5M$286K – $92.8M-$0.35-$0.81 – $0.104
FY29$598.9M$3.7M – $1.2B-$0.08-$0.18 – $0.022
FY30$598.9M$3.7M – $1.2B$1.04-$0.30 – $2.381

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.4%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-10.9%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-24.1%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 142.2M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.175-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 4 other (4 awards) in window

See when $NB insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeJul 88-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

NioCorp Developments adopted a new Annual Incentive Program (AIP) for fiscal year 2026 and granted AIP awards to named executive officers as approved by the Board of Directors. The AIP is a cash-based short-term incentive plan tied to corporate and individual performance milestones. The adoption of a formal AIP reflects NioCorp's maturation as a development-stage critical minerals company advancing the Elk Creek superalloy materials project. Specific award amounts and target metrics for each executive are described in the exhibit furnished with this filing.

8-KMaterial agreementApr 68-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 3.03 · Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

NioCorp Developments (NB) disclosed multiple corporate actions: (1) renewal of a shareholder rights plan (poison pill) under Item 1.01 to deter hostile acquisitions; (2) modifications to rights of security holders (Item 3.03) related to the rights plan; (3) officer or director changes (Item 5.02); and (4) annual meeting results (Item 5.07). The rights plan adoption is notable as it signals management is seeking to protect the company from unsolicited takeover attempts. NioCorp is developing the Elk Creek niobium, scandium, and titanium project in Nebraska.

+ 5 other (3 13Gs · 1 10-Q · 1 8-A12B/A) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

NioCorp’s Elk Creek Study Sees $4.1B NPV, 40-Year Critical Minerals Minedefenseworld.net·15d agoNioCorp's Elk Creek Study Sees $4.1B NPV, 40-Year Critical Minerals Minemarketbeat.com·16d agoRare Earth Stocks Soar on Friday: MP Materials Up 8%, USA Rare Earth Up 9%, NioCorp Up 3%. What's Behind the Jump?247wallst.com·17d agoNioCorp Developments Ltd. (NB) Discusses Updated Feasibility Study Results for Elk Creek Critical Minerals Project Transcriptseekingalpha.com·20d agoGlobally Ranked Flexible Legal Talent Company Latitude Opens Denver Office Led by Former Public Company General Counselgurufocus.com·20d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Critical Minerals & Rare Earths

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Voices on X · top 3 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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