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RIRIO

Rio Tinto Group

$RIO·$168B·Industrial Materials·Basic Materials
$103.27+0.4%YTD+22.0%1Y+65.3%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-28: 47 posts2026-08-29: 25 posts2026-08-30: 16 posts2026-08-31: 25 posts2026-09-01: 26 posts2026-09-02: 33 posts2026-09-03: 30 posts203+18%
Price updated 10h ago·X counts updated 1d ago
RIRIO
$RIORio Tinto Group
$103.27+0.42%203 posts+18%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $RIO, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-09-04

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Iron-ore giant grinding toward highs on beat cadence; the tape's chatter is about crypto, not the mining major.

Rio Tinto is the London-based diversified miner — iron ore, aluminium/lithium and copper — whose stock at $102.84 sits in the 81st percentile of its 52-week range and up 22% year-to-date.

  • Q2 2026 (reported Jul 28) delivered $4.21 EPS vs. $4.09 expected on $31.0B of revenue — the second straight double-digit-percent EPS beat after the FY25 half — with consensus modelling $8.24 of FY26 EPS and $8.30 FY27 on iron-ore price stabilization.
  • On Aug 13 Rio Tinto committed A$1.1B to secure the long-term future of the Tomago aluminium smelter alongside a renewable-power supply deal, and Aug 25 saw its Condestable copper mine in Peru receive modified EIA approval clearing the path to expansion.
  • The stock trades at 14.5x trailing earnings, 7.5x EV/EBITDA and a 3.3% free-cash-flow yield on a 0.66 beta and $164B market cap; no U.S.-filed insider transactions on the tape.

Next scheduled earnings date is Feb 24 2027 (Rio Tinto reports on a half-yearly cadence, not a U.S. quarterly one) — the near-term signal is copper and aluminium demand around the Tomago and Condestable capital commitments.

What to watch: H2 2026 production report ahead of the Feb 24 2027 print for iron-ore shipment trend; capital allocation between Tomago aluminium and Condestable copper expansion; any incremental lithium-project update.

On the calendar: 2027-02-24 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment38 posts analyzed · as of 2026-09-04

$RIO (Realio Network) chatter is a small crypto community bullish on RWA tokenization. Bulls DCA the dip 30-40% after a Realio Fund hack, calling it a 'buying opportunity' at $10M mcap targeting $287M (45x). Realio launched luxury supercar tokenization on Freehold with UTS compliance — 'multi-billion RWA market.' Chartists see weekly MACD approaching horizon with bullish histogram. Very small crypto community with 'bull post until 500M MC' energy. No bears in the sample.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $RIO

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Global mining company with dominant iron ore operations in Western Australia plus aluminum, copper, and lithium assets.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Industrial Materials sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $RIO.

Industrial Materials · Basic Materials

Reshoring and infrastructure legislation are the structural demand pull for industrial materials; inventory destocking earlier in the cycle appears largely complete. Pricing power varies widely — commodity-linked materials face more volatility than engineered specialty products.

What this means for $RIO

Partial — upstream oil & gas exposure ties to commodity price cycle; Rio Tinto Group engages in exploring, mining, and processing.

Industry benchmark

11-name peer basket
+1.2%YTD
+27.2%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
14.5How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
9.3%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
26.3%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
3.3%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
16.6%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
27.1%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.4Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 28, 2026$4.21$4.09+2.9%
Q4 2025Feb 19, 2026$3.73$3.71+0.5%
Q2 2025Jul 29, 2025$2.23$2.35-5.1%
Q4 2024Feb 19, 2025$2.49$2.56-2.7%
Next earningsWed, Feb 24·consensus EPS $3.89

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q4 FY25$30.6B+12.9%25.3%25.3%$3.33$2.5B
Q2 FY25$27.1B+1.6%25.0%25.0%$2.81$2.3B
Q4 FY24$26.9B-0.7%27.8%27.5%$3.54$2.9B
Q2 FY24$26.8B-10.0%32.5%30.8%$3.58$3.0B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 18 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$64.4B$61.9B – $67.2B$8.24$7.93 – $8.4114
FY27$65.1B$62.1B – $67.4B$8.30$7.60 – $9.5915
FY28$66.0B$60.3B – $73.5B$8.12$6.84 – $9.1318
FY29$71.3B$64.5B – $77.1B$8.30$7.27 – $9.1711
FY30$64.5B$58.3B – $69.7B$6.91$6.05 – $7.649

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.81%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+6.4%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+10.4%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 1.4B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.1% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.665-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentApr 1SC 13D/A
+ 15 other (12 6-Ks · 2 SDs · 1 F-3ASR) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Condestable Mine Receives Approval of Modified EIA Paving the Path Forward for Expansionnewsfilecorp.com·11d agoRio Tinto celebrates 60 years in Western Australiabusinesswire.com·14d agoGreater regulatory scrutiny no bar to mining mergers, bosses sayreuters.com·17d agoRio2 Reports Q2 2026 Financial and Operating Results and Webinarglobenewswire.com·23d agoRio Tinto secures long-term future of Tomago smelter with A$1.1 billion investment and renewable power dealproactiveinvestors.co.uk·23d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

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