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MTMTSI

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc.

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 22% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesConsistent chatter on X (116/wk), no spike
$MTSI·$25B·Semiconductors·Technology
$271.39-6.8%YTD+76.7%1Y+98.3%
Price updated 4m ago·X counts updated 5d ago
MTMTSI
$MTSIMACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc.
$271.39-6.84%116 posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

Top X posts

The complete picture of $MTSI on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

116X posts · last 7 days
Sep 28Oct 11
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $MTSI's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data6 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-14

MACOM is bullish. Q2 commentary flagged customer urgency due to general supply shortage of indium phosphide DFB lasers, validating structural AI-photonics bottlenecks. Framed alongside AAOI/LITE/COHR/SIVE cohort as beneficiaries of AI infrastructure supply crunch. Read as positive read-through for laser/interconnect suppliers.

Read what X is saying about $MTSI

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $MTSI — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-10-02

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

MACOM is flagging a general indium phosphide DFB laser shortage — AI-photonics bottleneck is the structural pitch.

MACOM Technology Solutions designs analog and mixed-signal semiconductors — the newer story is indium phosphide (InP) lasers and high-speed photonics for AI data-center interconnect.

  • The business is accelerating: Q1 revenue +22.5% YoY at a 16% operating margin and ROIC of 7.8% — top-line reflecting the InP laser demand plus traditional analog mix, with margins expanding as the laser mix grows.
  • The commentary is specific: Q2 flagged customer urgency due to general supply shortage of indium phosphide DFB lasers — a structural AI-photonics bottleneck framing that supports the AAOI/LITE/COHR/SIVE peer-group thesis.
  • 52-week range position is 61% with volume at 93% of average — upper-mid range on normal volume, consolidating ahead of Nov 5 earnings as the next catalyst.

Nov 5 Q3 is the gate — any laser-revenue mix step-up plus confirmed hyperscaler customer wins extends the move. A soft InP laser order print or margin reversion and the stock gives back some of the YTD gain.

Agrees with X sentimentThe thread has substantive drivers — Q2 customer-urgency commentary on InP DFB laser shortage, AI-photonics bottleneck framing, AAOI/LITE/COHR/SIVE peer-group grouping — all grounded in actual management commentary and sector reads.

What to watch: Nov 5 Q3 — InP laser revenue mix, hyperscaler customer wins, operating-margin trajectory, and FY27 guide. A soft InP laser order print is the clear invalidator.

On the calendar: 2026-11-05 — Q3 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $MTSI

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Designs analog semiconductor ICs for RF, microwave, and lightwave applications in telecom infrastructure, defense, and data centers.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Semiconductors sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $MTSI.

Semiconductors · Technology

No material change from last week — hyperscaler AI capex remains the structural driver with Blackwell supply still packaging-constrained. Jensen Huang publicly named memory bandwidth as AI's next bottleneck, reinforcing HBM3e pricing power. AVGO custom ASIC demand broadens AI beneficiaries beyond NVDA's GPU allocation.

What this means for $MTSI

Partial — Designs analog semiconductor ICs for RF, microwave, and lightwave applications in telecom infrastructure, defense, and data centers.; auto/industrial analog mix has limited direct AI capex exposure but benefits from overall fab utilization tightening.

Top industry ETF

$SMHVanEck Semiconductor ETF
+64.5%YTD
+63.5%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
146.7How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
7.8%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
16.0%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
0.6%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
24.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
13.2%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
55.3%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.3Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 6, 2026$1.40$1.35+3.7%
Q1 2026May 7, 2026$1.09$1.07+1.9%
Q4 2025Feb 5, 2026$1.02$0.99+3.0%
Q3 2025Nov 6, 2025$0.94$0.93+1.2%
Next earningsThu, Nov 5·consensus EPS $2.00

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$289.0M+22.5%56.9%17.6%$0.62$65.5M
Q1 FY26$271.6M+24.5%55.9%15.9%$0.65$30.0M
Q4 FY25$261.2M+30.1%54.6%15.2%$0.61$49.4M
Q3 FY25$252.1M+32.3%53.7%14.9%$0.49$22.8M

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 11 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$1.3B$1.3B – $1.4B$5.51$5.50 – $5.5211
FY27$1.8B$1.7B – $1.9B$8.49$6.59 – $9.5711
FY28$2.1B$2.0B – $2.3B$10.05$8.98 – $10.546
FY29$2.5B$2.4B – $2.6B$12.48$12.10 – $13.434

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.48%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-5.2%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-3.0%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 71.1M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today3.5% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.765-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellOct 1Ambra R. RothSVP, GC and Secretary653 sh$196KSellAug 28Robert DennehyCOO252 sh$69KSellAug 17John KoberCFO7.4K sh$2.4MSellJun 25Hwang Donghyun ThomasSVP, Global Sales2.6K sh$1.0MSellMay 29Stephen G DalyCEO15.8K sh$5.8MSellMay 18John KoberCFO4.7K sh$1.7MSellMay 18Hwang Donghyun ThomasSVP, Global Sales600 sh$213KSellMay 14Peter Y ChungDirector43.3K sh$16.4MSellMay 13Charles R BlandDirector800 sh$304KSellMay 11Geoffrey G RibarDirector1.6K sh$587K
1–10 of 11
+ 6 other (3 gifts · 3 awards) in window

See when $MTSI insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

No material 8-K / SC 13D / S-3 / 424B5 filings in the last 180 days.

+ 11 other (6 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 1 SD) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

M/A-Com (MTSI) Is Up 12.62% in One Week: What You Should Knowzacks.com·7d ago4 Semiconductor Stocks to Grab as Sales Hit $1 Trillion for First Timezacks.com·9d agoThese 3 Red-Hot Stocks Have Benefited From AI Tailwindszacks.com·10d agoHead to Head Review: Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO) & MACOM Technology Solutions (NASDAQ:MTSI)defenseworld.net·10d agoIs MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Inc (MTSI) Overvalued After 5.9% Rally? GF Value Says Overvaluedgurufocus.com·15d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

AI InfrastructureDefense & Drones

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Voices on X · top 1 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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