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TickerTalks›$MTDR
MTMTDR

Matador Resources Company

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 28% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesQuiet on X (43 mentions/wk)
$MTDR·$5.8B·Oil & Gas Exploration & Production·Energy
$48.66+3.5%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-30: 1 posts2026-07-31: 5 posts2026-08-01: 1 posts2026-08-02: 3 posts2026-08-03: 16 posts2026-08-04: 9 posts2026-08-05: 8 posts43
Price updated 13m ago·X counts updated 22h ago
MTMTDR
$MTDRMatador Resources Company
$48.66+3.47%43 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $MTDR, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-08-06

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Matador Resources Q2 revenue grew 28% and raised full-year 2026 production guidance — San Mateo's Cardinal Midstream acquisition closed.

Matador Resources is a Permian Basin oil-and-gas E&P with a growing midstream franchise (San Mateo joint venture) — a real-business energy compounder with strong cash generation and disciplined capital allocation.

Where the tape stands:

  • Growth is real and accelerating: Q2 revenue $1.19B grew 28% year over year, a decisive step-up from the -13% to -6% zone of prior quarters.
  • Margins are exceptional: gross margin 91% (accounting-quirk from midstream reporting), operating margin 49% — Permian E&P economics with midstream mix.
  • Beat cadence is very strong: last four EPS surprises 26%, 23%, 23%, 12% — consistent large beats.
  • The Aug 5 Q2 print topped both revenue and EPS estimates plus raised full-year 2026 production guidance.
  • The Aug 3 San Mateo/Cardinal Midstream acquisition close is transformative for the midstream franchise.
  • Positioning is coiling below highs: 33% of the 52-week range, -9% below the 50-day, -6% below the 200-day on 0.86x volume — a pullback despite the strong operational print.
  • PE 8.1 is undemanding for the growth-plus-cash profile.
  • FCF yield 17% is exceptional — the underlying cash generation supports capital return.

Nov Q3 earnings decides whether the tape reclaims $65+ — clean Permian production growth plus midstream synergy commentary keeps this working; a natural-gas price rollover or Permian well-productivity concern cools this back to $45.

Differs from X sentimentNo meaningful X sentiment sample exists for MTDR — Permian E&P is a low-attention name that doesn't attract retail-fintwit chatter. The Aug 5 Q2 beat plus the raised production guidance and Cardinal Midstream close are the fundamental signals that matter — this is a real-business energy compounder, not a discovery-narrative equity.

What to watch: Nov Q3 earnings — clean Permian production growth plus midstream synergy commentary reclaims $65+; a natural-gas price rollover or Permian well-productivity concern cools this back to $45.

On the calendar: 2026-11-05 — Q3 2026 earnings (window)

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $MTDR

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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Matador Resources Company operates as an independent energy firm, primarily engaged in the identification, development, extraction, and acquisition of crude oil and natural gas reserves throughout the United States. Its business operations are structured into two distinct divisions: Exploration and Production, and Midstream. The company's key asset holdings are concentrated in the Wolfcamp and Bone Spring formations within the Delaware Basin, which spans southeastern New Mexico and West Texas. Additionally, Matador maintains active operations in South Texas's Eagle Ford shale play, as well as the Haynesville shale and Cotton Valley plays located in Northwest Louisiana. To support its core upstream activities, Matador also manages midstream operations. These services include natural gas processing, crude oil transportation, and the gathering of oil, natural gas, and produced water. Furthermore, the company extends produced water disposal and other gathering services to external clients. As of December 31, 2021, Matador Resources reported estimated total proved oil and natural gas reserves amounting to 323.4 million barrels of oil equivalent. This total was comprised of 181.3 million stock tank barrels of oil and 852.5 billion cubic feet of natural gas. Originally incorporated as Matador Holdco, Inc., the company officially adopted its current name, Matador Resources Company, in August 2011. Established in 2003, Matador Resources Company maintains its corporate headquarters in Dallas, Texas.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Oil & Gas Exploration & Production sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $MTDR.

Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · Energy

No material change from last week — an outcome that compresses the upside price optionality that E&Ps have been pricing.

Industry benchmark

24-name peer basket
+39.6%YTD
+29.1%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
8.1How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
10.1%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
36.3%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
17.0%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
12.8%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
104%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.4Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 5, 2026$2.61$2.08+25.5%
Q1 2026May 6, 2026$1.53$1.24+23.4%
Q4 2025Feb 24, 2026$0.87$0.71+22.5%
Q3 2025Oct 21, 2025$1.36$1.22+11.5%

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$1.2B+28.2%91.0%48.7%$3.15$937.1M
Q1 FY26$941.6M-6.4%47.1%33.6%$-0.29$11.8M
Q4 FY25$848.0M-13.3%258%25.0%$1.55$-113.6M
Q3 FY25$915.1M+6.4%35.1%33.4%$1.42$158.5M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 7 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$3.9B$3.5B – $4.1B$7.11$5.30 – $9.277
FY27$4.6B$3.9B – $5.0B$8.20$6.69 – $10.335
FY28$4.7B$4.0B – $4.9B$8.62$7.55 – $9.515
FY29$4.7B$4.3B – $5.0B$9.67$8.59 – $10.552
FY30$4.8B$4.4B – $5.1B$10.13$9.00 – $11.052

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.33%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-9.1%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-6.1%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 115.1M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.5% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.745-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuyJun 15Baty Robert GainesDirector500 sh$26KBuyJun 9Glenn W StetsonCOO500 sh$27KBuyJun 9Joseph Wm ForanCEO2.0K sh$106KBuyJun 8Monika U EhrmanDirector362 sh$20KBuyJun 4Joseph Wm ForanCEO2.0K sh$113KBuyMay 29Benjamin T ColodneySVP & Chief Accounting Officer250 sh$13KBuyMay 29Christopher P CalvertCFO1.5K sh$80KBuyMay 29Joseph Wm ForanCEO482 sh$25KBuyMay 28Glenn W StetsonCOO500 sh$27KBuyMay 27Joseph Wm ForanCEO4.7K sh$245K
1–10 of 12
+ 33 other (15 awards · 9 exempts · 9 inkinds) in window

See when $MTDR insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Here's What Key Metrics Tell Us About Matador (MTDR) Q2 Earningszacks.com·1d agoMatador Resources (MTDR) Surpasses Q2 Earnings and Revenue Estimateszacks.com·1d agoMatador Resources Company Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results and Increases Full-Year 2026 Production Guidancebusinesswire.com·1d agoMatador Resources Company Announces Successful Closing of San Mateo's Acquisition of Cardinal Midstreambusinesswire.com·4d agoMatador Resources (MTDR) Earnings Expected to Grow: Should You Buy?zacks.com·8d ago

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